Thursday, 28 February 2013
FEB P.T.S Results.
FEB
1. = £160.00 Profit
2. = £100.00 Profit
3. = £176.00 Profit
4. = £92.00 Profit
5. = £400.00 Profit
6. = £98.00 Profit
7. = £42.00 Loss
Eow Totals = £984.00 Profit
8. = £79.44 Profit
9. = £137.50 Profit
10. = £40.00 Profit
11. = £400.00 Profit
12. = £62.00 Profit
13. = £80.00 Profit
14. = £117.10 Profit
Eow Total £916.04 Profit / Running Total = £1900.04 Profit
15. = £130.00 Loss
16. = £33.00 Profit
17. = £50.00 Profit
18. = £52.00 Profit
19. = £90.00 Profit
20. = £68.00 Profit
21. = £168.00 Profit
Eow Total £331.00 Profit / Running Total = £2231.04 Profit
22. = £148.00 Profit
23. = £22.00 Loss
24. = £NO BET
25. = £NO BET
26. = £170.00 Profit
27. = £100.00 Profit
28. = £136.00 Profit
EoW Total = £532.00 Profit
EoM Total = £2763.04 Profit
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Another Solid Month , a few blips along the way which is to be expected but nothing too damaging and the month has returned a very healthy Profit...Bring it on March!! ;-)
Monday, 25 February 2013
Dom Chelsea..
Well after a fucking nightmare day yesterday when my server system and main pcs all threw a spaz ( burnt HDD ) and a 7 hour loss on my day im glad to have everything back in pretty much full working order but it was a close thing tho as the lot nearly went out the window!!....
So onto Tues and as Dom is off to Leicester to taste the delights of this almost semi Midlands town i thought i would try and assist in trying to get some winners..so here goes..and have a grand day mate.
LEICESTER
RACE 1 : CAULFIELDS VENTURE ( EW ) - 3rd @ 5.10
Quite a few things i dont like here ( from a punting perspective ) those words , Novice, Hcap and Chase....oohh my wallet hides straight away lol , but i digress i said i would take a shot so shoot i will and its gonna be hard as this lot are hardly prolific in area other than being inconsistent!...But one i do like here is CAULFIELDS VENTURE fell lto when fading but prior to that had 2 runs here over CD and was 2nd both times ( beaten fair ) but the form is as good as anything on offer, likes the ground and likes it at Leicester so has plenty of pluses in a field full of minuses...not the strongest finisher and only just lasts this trip but this is a weak enough event for him to get home and is now on a winable mark , this is a cautious EW to start the day off.
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RACE 2 : NOT SO SURE DICK ( EW ) - BD -
This time its a hcap Chase for some hardy ol sorts that are in the main again inconsistent or out of form a statement that doesn't apply to FRANKLIN ROOSEVELT ( 1ST @ 3.1 ) a horse that appears to have finally got his act together has started jumping with fluency and has started to develop a good racing profile and is good for another 20lb+ of improvement imo which makes him the equal or better of this field however he isnt at the stage where i would feel happy taking a short price so i feel i will go against my better judgement and look for a nice EW to take him on with and i feel NOT SO SURE DICK could be the one to give him a race for an 8 yr old is still lightly raced ( only 18 starts ) and has in recent times been beaten twice by the very impressive Hunt Ball ( When Hunt Ball was racing from 108 & 127 , now 157 ) and i feel there is more improvement to come and at a fair price is worth a go against some of these inc the Fav although to be fair it does look wide open..another small stakes race.
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RACE 3 : SAWPIT SUPREME ( EW ) - NON RUNNER -
We move into race 3 and ive just realized its an All Chase card today!1..;(...This time a 2m race and again nothing really jumps out as quite a few have a chance of sorts and i could make a consistent case for about 6...But SAWPIT SUPREME who now carries a penalty but is running a 2f shorter trip is holding form quite well and even with the penalty is still reasonably treated and can be trusted to run an Honest race.
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RACE 4 : HOWARDS LEGACY - 1st @ 3.80
HOWARDS LEGACY & VOLADOR are the two i like in this and i will be dutching these at decent odds as this is a fairly weak yet competitive race with plenty of lateral form lines but little actual form and i cant really see the remainder getting involved or turning the form around , In fact Howards Legacy isnt far off being a NAP here today..
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RACE 5 : FRENCH CANADIAN - 2nd @ 1.91
Maiden " Hunters Chase "...this is dire...and most of these are extremely average and my token vote goes to FRENCH CANADIAN as it has at least excelled in the p2p sphere this year and ran fairly well under rules.
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RACE 6 : BALLYMAN ( EW ) - 2nd @ 13.93
Sorry Dom but this is dog shit..BALLYMAN EW...
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Well there ya go Dom...tbh not a great card, a lot of very poor runners and some dire races and a shame i cant be more direct with you on this...but its awful and will be seeing very little of my money...Good Luck.
Sunday, 24 February 2013
Friday, 22 February 2013
Dealers Choice
Tmrw is Saturday , our big racing day of the week and instead of doing a race card or running thru some random i will instead give a detailed analysis of 5 races, those races are to be picked by you , my lovely readers , so come on , use the comment box and tell me what races you what analysing!!...same person / multi person..first 5 races entered into the comment box will be our Races of Interest..Feast or Famine..its upto you...lets smash em on Saturday ;)
DOM CHELSEA , Good afternoon mate, as you may or may not yet know but Newcastle is caped due to the Snow ;( , but here is your 2nd choice the 14:05 Kempton.
14:05 KEMPTON : VASCO DU RONCERAY -
A 2m Juvenile Hurdle ( Grade 2 ) and a viciously competitive affair it is , 7 runners with two that can be insta discounted ( Fosters Road & Shadrapour ) leaves 5 ( good at maths i am ;-) ) and all the remaining 5 have a case , they all have or in form , they all have potential or potential for more and we have 2 chasing Hat Tricks!.
From a form perspective i feel Vasco Du Ronceray has the strongest form as it would have given the impressive and highly regarded Far West a tougher fight up the run in if it hadn't gone thru the last fence and lost all chance ( only 1 Length down at the time ) and is a confirmed stayer, will stay the trip at pace as it travels very well and does have a touch of class.
Irish Saint also has some smart form and ran well against Rolling Aces lto and these two ( Vasco d r ) are closely matched on collateral form ( Roc D'Apsis ) having both beaten that beast by around 30L and i doubt there will be much separating them today.
Chris Pea Green is a horse on the up but this will be a severe acid test ( big jump in class ) and although routing a good field at Huntingdon having to give the likes of Vascoo Du Ronceray 3lb may well be beyond him at this stage.
L'Unique is a CD winner and has done little wrong thus far however the quality of opposition it has dispatched is meagre and this does have a profile of a chaser and will imo be better suited when faced with some of the bigger obstacles , a decent hurdler yes but triumph class...i doubt it.
Which just leaves the smart flat horse and debutante Courtesy Call ex Mark Johnston and a solid 2m flat winner and a good 2nd over 2m2f leaves the impression that this has a bright future and Senor Spence has moved quite a lot of horses over to Hendo to train and im sure he would want a bright start from this and must have some confidence regarding its ability otherwise he wouldnt be chucking it in and this is still entered up for the Triumph Hurdle. I havent been in touch with any of the team this weekend which is a shame and this isnt on my pre season list so i have no notes for it but one would suspect that BG has made the right choice.
SUMMARY :
I think the winner will be either IRISH SAINT or VASCO DU RONCERAY and im finding it very hard to split these two , VDR is currently 4.6 and has obvious potential for a BTL with Irish Saint 2.58 this leaves enough room to safely Dutch the pair ( imo the best bet ) if i had to hang my coat on one i would pick.......VDR...just because i liked that run behind Far West and its a thorough stayer , quick jumper ( usually ) and travels very well.
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Next up is 2 Races from Michael009 ( G'day Baz ) .....
And Michael has chose the 14:30 @ Lingfield and the 14:40 @ Kempton...a couple of nice races.
14:30 LINGFIELD : YORK GLORY ( EW ) -
On the AW aside from the Winter Derby the Cleves Stakes ( Listed ) is probably the next biggest profile race they have , a 6f sprint worth £35k and a Class 1 so as expected the cream of the AW game are in attendance ( not really, rather poor turn out imo , but im building it up ) .
YORK GLORY is the one they all have to beat here a full second quickest on my speed panel was in fine form last back end and returned to action with a good run at Wolverhampton just being out sped by Piscean but will have been primed for this by his smart handler and is the most likely winner.
There are only 3 others in this field that appeal to me and they are Noverre to Go , Farmleigh House and Capone and there is virtually nothing between them on my OSR ( 0.25 secs ) and any one of the three could easily easily get involved and with luck in running possibly even snatch a win , tough call but i am loathed to go against York Glory here.
SUMMARY : Has to be York Glory for me and at a rather attractive 3.85 this is where my cash will be going and if the price moves out a bit more ( 4.2 ) i will be hitting it even bigger in the place market as this is another race that is effectively a 5 runner field paying top three and i think it has an outstanding chance of placing and a very good chance of winning today.
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14:40 KEMPTON : MOLOTOF -
Now we have a 2m4f Novice Chase and the easiest of todays races thus far , this should be a straight fight between Grandioso & Molotof although Theatre Guide has the ability is best watched until it strings some form together and improves its jumping.
Molotof & Grandioso have similar profiles, neither have done much wrong and both have recent winning form , both like the distance, both like the ground and both have their respective Nos 1 Jockey's riding...On recent form Grandioso is the slower , clocking lower average times however based upon its last run although it was 3 secs quicker in travelled 110yd's less and the ground in Molotof's race was bottomless so i think that was a better performance , however it is still an almost impossible task to split these and at 2.38 & 3.2 the Dutch is a Skinny Latte of a bet , a solid but expensive bet i think for me , personally i will be getting a decent lump on MOLOTOF as i have reviewed every race in both back catalogues and i do feel this is the more reliable option , safer jumper and slightly quicker.
SUMMARY : A good race but for me MOLOTOF just has the edge but this should go to the wire and if you fancy a punt at bigger odds then maybe Theatre Guide as this could easily get into the shake up if settling down.
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And Michael has chose the 14:30 @ Lingfield and the 14:40 @ Kempton...a couple of nice races.
14:30 LINGFIELD : YORK GLORY ( EW ) -
On the AW aside from the Winter Derby the Cleves Stakes ( Listed ) is probably the next biggest profile race they have , a 6f sprint worth £35k and a Class 1 so as expected the cream of the AW game are in attendance ( not really, rather poor turn out imo , but im building it up ) .
YORK GLORY is the one they all have to beat here a full second quickest on my speed panel was in fine form last back end and returned to action with a good run at Wolverhampton just being out sped by Piscean but will have been primed for this by his smart handler and is the most likely winner.
There are only 3 others in this field that appeal to me and they are Noverre to Go , Farmleigh House and Capone and there is virtually nothing between them on my OSR ( 0.25 secs ) and any one of the three could easily easily get involved and with luck in running possibly even snatch a win , tough call but i am loathed to go against York Glory here.
SUMMARY : Has to be York Glory for me and at a rather attractive 3.85 this is where my cash will be going and if the price moves out a bit more ( 4.2 ) i will be hitting it even bigger in the place market as this is another race that is effectively a 5 runner field paying top three and i think it has an outstanding chance of placing and a very good chance of winning today.
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14:40 KEMPTON : MOLOTOF -
Now we have a 2m4f Novice Chase and the easiest of todays races thus far , this should be a straight fight between Grandioso & Molotof although Theatre Guide has the ability is best watched until it strings some form together and improves its jumping.
Molotof & Grandioso have similar profiles, neither have done much wrong and both have recent winning form , both like the distance, both like the ground and both have their respective Nos 1 Jockey's riding...On recent form Grandioso is the slower , clocking lower average times however based upon its last run although it was 3 secs quicker in travelled 110yd's less and the ground in Molotof's race was bottomless so i think that was a better performance , however it is still an almost impossible task to split these and at 2.38 & 3.2 the Dutch is a Skinny Latte of a bet , a solid but expensive bet i think for me , personally i will be getting a decent lump on MOLOTOF as i have reviewed every race in both back catalogues and i do feel this is the more reliable option , safer jumper and slightly quicker.
SUMMARY : A good race but for me MOLOTOF just has the edge but this should go to the wire and if you fancy a punt at bigger odds then maybe Theatre Guide as this could easily get into the shake up if settling down.
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End of Education?
Government ditches plan to educate people
THE government has scrapped plans to educate people aged between five and 22.
Knowing nothing is no bar to getting a well-paid job
Education secretary Michael Gove said teaching children was too complicated and taxpayers’ money would be better spent putting pictures on things.
But Mr Gove said that the abolition of education means that GCSEs will continue.
He added: “The modern GCSE is a proven method of not-educating. Teachers need the couldn’t-give-a-shit structure of the GCSE system to ensure that no-one learns anything important.”
The GCSE will be reformed to ensure that the level of a child’s non-education will remain a secret until they actually sit an end-of-year exam.
Mr Gove said: “With continuous assessment you run the risk of discovering that a child may be learning something and that is just a bureaucratic nightmare.”
The National Union of Teachers said it would support the move as long as it meant that its members did not have to learn anything new.
A spokesman added: “We need to find a way of abolishing education that takes the hassle out of being a teacher.”
Thursday, 21 February 2013
PTS Results
Month to Date PTS Results.
FEB
1. = £160.00 Profit
2. = £100.00 Profit
3. = £176.00 Profit
4. = £92.00 Profit
5. = £400.00 Profit
6. = £98.00 Profit
7. = £42.00 Loss
Eow Totals = £984.00 Profit
8. = £79.44 Profit
9. = £137.50 Profit
10. = £40.00 Profit
11. = £400.00 Profit
12. = £62.00 Profit
13. = £80.00 Profit
14. = £117.10 Profit
Eow Total £916.04 Profit / Running Total = £1900.04 Profit
15. = £130.00 Loss
16. = £33.00 Profit
17. = £50.00 Profit
18. = £52.00 Profit
19. = £90.00 Profit
20. = £68.00 Profit
21. = £168.00 Profit
Eow Total £331.00 Profit / Running Total = £2231.04 Profit
FEB
1. = £160.00 Profit
2. = £100.00 Profit
3. = £176.00 Profit
4. = £92.00 Profit
5. = £400.00 Profit
6. = £98.00 Profit
7. = £42.00 Loss
Eow Totals = £984.00 Profit
8. = £79.44 Profit
9. = £137.50 Profit
10. = £40.00 Profit
11. = £400.00 Profit
12. = £62.00 Profit
13. = £80.00 Profit
14. = £117.10 Profit
Eow Total £916.04 Profit / Running Total = £1900.04 Profit
15. = £130.00 Loss
16. = £33.00 Profit
17. = £50.00 Profit
18. = £52.00 Profit
19. = £90.00 Profit
20. = £68.00 Profit
21. = £168.00 Profit
Eow Total £331.00 Profit / Running Total = £2231.04 Profit
Can Cameron Win his Bet?
Cameron annoys all humans
DAVID Cameron is close to winning a £1 bet with Boris Johnson that he can annoy every single human on the Planet!.
‘I love The Smiths’
After posing with One Direction to promote their gang-banging of Blondie’s One Way Or Another he flew to Delhi to alienate another billion people by attempting to resurrect the East India Company.
A Downing Street source said: “He crossed off half the planet by telling an adult woman elected to parliament to ‘calm down dear’ – you can’t learn that stuff.
“And after pissing off all of India, he called the Chinese a bunch of criminals. Another billion down. Spiffing.
“Nick Clegg is in on it and while he disapproves he’s going along with it. Denholm Elliott, yes.”
With a small pocket of Tory MPs still loyal, he intends to a hold a party meeting dressed as Malcolm X and announce that Baroness Thatcher’s face will be etched onto every public urinal in the country.
After winning, Cameron is expected to reveal that the Bullingdon Club photo of him looking like he is about to shoot an orphan’s kitten was created using Photoshop in 2004.
The source added: “People think he’s driven by ideology, when it’s all down to a tiny wager with a bleached wookie in the back of a Jag.”
C'mon then guys n gals..
Wednesday, 20 February 2013
If Babies could talk...
Middle Class Parents Exhausting, Say Babies
INFANTS are finding it difficult to cope with their middle class parents’ tedious angst about their careers and ‘creative space’, it was claimed last night.
'Shall we look at the Guardian website together?'
The Institute for Studies found that increasing numbers of babies born to liberal, middle-income households believed their parents to be self-absorbed dicks.
Baby Martin Bishop said: “This should be a great time in my life. Never again will I be able to projectile vomit over strangers without fear of recrimination, or get such delight from pointing at dogs.
“However my mum keeps bleating to her friends about how dealing with the contents of my bum is leaving her ‘creatively unfulfilled’, and my dad’s freaking out because he’s can’t find a quiet place to masturbate.
“It’s not like I’ve eaten their dreams. Well, not deliberately anyway.”
He added: “I’ve a nasty feeling this will lead to a ‘taboo breaking’ article for the Observer magazine about how ‘the moral establishment’ is trying to make decent people feel guilty for giving their baby to gypsies.
“The mere thought of it is giving me sleepless nights. Well, that and all the piss.”
Six month-old Emma Bradford said: “My parents are the sort of people who labour under the misapprehension that they would've done something really brilliant and clever had I not arrived and started shitting all over their CDs.
“Meanwhile my mum has just started drawing up a chapter plan for one of those books about her ‘struggle to regain her sense of self in the midst of motherhood’. I suppose this means she won’t have time to write that novel about a clever but emotionally confused young woman from North London.
“I fucking hate her.”
Forgettable Wednesday...
Well today was a bit slow but tbh i expected it to be so and stakes went accordingly so all ended quite well as i traded on the fly for most of the day nipping bits n pieces and chipping up a healthy profit so no complaints here and in all honesty i cant expect to post a bag full of winners ever post as that just couldnt happen or be sustained , sometimes you have to cut your cloth accordingly and today was one of those days, i took a big loss on Swynmor but doubled up on Minella Forfitness so stayed in front after that and thats how it goes some days.
All said and done tho there has been some rather odd results over the last few days with a lot of favs getting turned over and a lot of form lines being reversed and ui cant blame the ground because its mainly as soft as its been all winter...On the Plus side my Bread n Butter which is PTS has been good this week after a negative start so that is pleasing and i doubled up on my nap selection today which was never in doubt ;).
Tmrw we have 3 moderate NH cards to look at with Ayr probably being the principal meeting in which Isla Pearl Fisher looks quite well in racing back over hurdles on a rating of just 97 ( 118 on the Chase ) and although this Gelding hasnt raced over Hurdles for some time if he can reproduce his Chase form then im afraid this is a done deal..but such is my confidence at the minute that until i re-enter the purple zone i will be keeping things simple and save my big bullets for the premier meetings where form has a truer meaning and is respected or upheld in a more prudent fashion.
I also like the look of SPIRIT OF A NATION ridden by Lucy Alexander even tho her dad has a runner ( ridden by younger brother ) and this is one of two Goldie runners but i think there is some shrewdie shenanigans going on with this class dropper and expect it win tmrw.
Tmrw we have an Epic NAP in the shape of THE TRACEY SHUFFLE a rare runner up at Ayr for the Pipe team and they rarely come up this far for a day out and this is also Tom Scud's only ride ( for his gaffer ) and this was backed off the boards lto as tho defeat was out of the question and now dropped in trip i expect this to gain compensation..max lump job for me!!.
And finally at Ayr we get to see Raya Star's ( fantastic horse ) brother running in the concluding NHF race , GREENSALT cost £30,000 and out of Milan this will be another El Lumpo for me as im a huge fan of the bloodline , jockey , trainer is still firing in the winners and this is another winner waiting to happen , so Ayr could either be glorious or expensive for me...we will see...
Over at Huntingdon i am giving TETLAMI one more chance to impress as it has a very subdued start to its chasing career winning an average 3 runner race then getting outclassed by Overturn but his two main rivals in this race Act of Kalanisi and Tonys Star are both ( or have shown to be ) poor jumpers and this is the class of race that Tetlami should be cleaning up in.
And at Soggy Sedgefield i am liking the look of Big Water as his run behind the progressive Duke of Navan now reads very strong and with AP booked i can see this running a stamina sapping race to kill of the threat of Three Kingdoms , also SOUDAIN another AP ride but this a Dom Alco gelding and will be followed on that basis.
TWICE LUCKY is worth one more chance in a weak looking race this showed a hint of a revival lto and if recapturing some old form then would be in the places no doubt.
Not forgetting there is another stellar card at Meydan with one stand out selection in RUSSIAN SOUL who races in the finale , well over due a good win but will have to be ridden to perfection by Foley.
So thats a brief round up of what to expect tmrw as full cards and a detailed analysis of races is being now kept for the big meetings and Saturdays as im finding them very time consuming and a thankless task....
Its looking like the Big Saturday card will be for Kempton with a couple of tasty races to review and a good day all in all....So until tmrw , sleep well , keep smiling and keep the faith ;)
All said and done tho there has been some rather odd results over the last few days with a lot of favs getting turned over and a lot of form lines being reversed and ui cant blame the ground because its mainly as soft as its been all winter...On the Plus side my Bread n Butter which is PTS has been good this week after a negative start so that is pleasing and i doubled up on my nap selection today which was never in doubt ;).
Tmrw we have 3 moderate NH cards to look at with Ayr probably being the principal meeting in which Isla Pearl Fisher looks quite well in racing back over hurdles on a rating of just 97 ( 118 on the Chase ) and although this Gelding hasnt raced over Hurdles for some time if he can reproduce his Chase form then im afraid this is a done deal..but such is my confidence at the minute that until i re-enter the purple zone i will be keeping things simple and save my big bullets for the premier meetings where form has a truer meaning and is respected or upheld in a more prudent fashion.
I also like the look of SPIRIT OF A NATION ridden by Lucy Alexander even tho her dad has a runner ( ridden by younger brother ) and this is one of two Goldie runners but i think there is some shrewdie shenanigans going on with this class dropper and expect it win tmrw.
Tmrw we have an Epic NAP in the shape of THE TRACEY SHUFFLE a rare runner up at Ayr for the Pipe team and they rarely come up this far for a day out and this is also Tom Scud's only ride ( for his gaffer ) and this was backed off the boards lto as tho defeat was out of the question and now dropped in trip i expect this to gain compensation..max lump job for me!!.
And finally at Ayr we get to see Raya Star's ( fantastic horse ) brother running in the concluding NHF race , GREENSALT cost £30,000 and out of Milan this will be another El Lumpo for me as im a huge fan of the bloodline , jockey , trainer is still firing in the winners and this is another winner waiting to happen , so Ayr could either be glorious or expensive for me...we will see...
Over at Huntingdon i am giving TETLAMI one more chance to impress as it has a very subdued start to its chasing career winning an average 3 runner race then getting outclassed by Overturn but his two main rivals in this race Act of Kalanisi and Tonys Star are both ( or have shown to be ) poor jumpers and this is the class of race that Tetlami should be cleaning up in.
And at Soggy Sedgefield i am liking the look of Big Water as his run behind the progressive Duke of Navan now reads very strong and with AP booked i can see this running a stamina sapping race to kill of the threat of Three Kingdoms , also SOUDAIN another AP ride but this a Dom Alco gelding and will be followed on that basis.
TWICE LUCKY is worth one more chance in a weak looking race this showed a hint of a revival lto and if recapturing some old form then would be in the places no doubt.
Not forgetting there is another stellar card at Meydan with one stand out selection in RUSSIAN SOUL who races in the finale , well over due a good win but will have to be ridden to perfection by Foley.
So thats a brief round up of what to expect tmrw as full cards and a detailed analysis of races is being now kept for the big meetings and Saturdays as im finding them very time consuming and a thankless task....
Its looking like the Big Saturday card will be for Kempton with a couple of tasty races to review and a good day all in all....So until tmrw , sleep well , keep smiling and keep the faith ;)
G'Day All , Whats a Crackin' ;-)
Yesterday was a tale of two countries, big loss in Ireland and Big wins in UK so that means i will now leave all Orish racing alone as its the devils playground.
Racing picks up a bit today with a quite attractive looking Doncaster card ( fairly local track > 25m away ) and a place that suffers derision but a place i like.
Quite often mid week i find it hard to decide which way to blog and what is the best call as i try and find you guys ( n gals ) some winners and a bit more input on a day to day basis would help ease the frustration as i dont want to leave all the busy days blank but Donny is what i would class as a grade 1 track and it will get some focus today , so i think today we can brief our way through the card, looking at runners i like , fancy and favs that are beatable and hopefully we can muster a few bets together...
DONCASTER
RACE 1 : SO FINE : Unplaced
P n L on this race : Broke Even as Private Equity hit 2.4 in the run and laid it for my stakes.
Summary : Couldn't have got this any more wrong as both the Henderson pair come home first and second as the Hobbs pair both fell away rather poorly.
A small field Novice Chase to start the day and this is a Hobbs V Henderson match with both supplying two each of the 4 runners and with neither of the Hendo Runners appearing to be proper stayers i think this is going to the Hobbs yard but which one? as they are both Distance winners , both in a bit of form although So Fine was disappointing lto against Rocky Creek but had previously beaten a few good sorts over 3m at Kempton in what looks like a decent race but is now conceding weight all round.
Personally i will just be dutching the Hobbs pair and looking to lay Private Equity in the run , for the purposes of a win selection i will say rather unconvincingly SO FINE.
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RACE 2 : SWYNMOR : 3rd @ 1.63
P n L : Loss
Summary : this was beaten a long way out , travelled off the pace but never looked comfortable and then ran on at the death to snatch 3rd, beaten fair n square and the jury is out on this one.
Now we have a nice little Juvenile Hurdle and this race carries today's MASTER NAP in the shape of SWYNMOR , This has had 2 runs to date , firstly a victory over a decent yardstick in Amoralist ( Henderson ) and then it was full of running when in the lead and falling at the last in a race won by Ruacana ( Ferguson ) and it would have won that race for sure and this race is his for the taking , with only 2 runners of any real merit i will be surprised if this doesnt win handsomely before taking up a pitch at Cheltenham.
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RACE 3 : ( EW ) - SWING BILL - 4th ( hd )
P n L = Loss
Summary : Ran a fair race, no complaints ul not to get my place losing out by a head.
Next up is a very tricky looking Veterans Chase over 3m , some old school quality here but most if not all are on the down grade so working out which is most in shape and ready for this is no mean feat.
Marufo and Dashing George are the " form " choices , Swing Bill is the " Class " and Zitenka is the " Most Interesting " as i always sit up and take note when AP rides for the Easterby's.
In a Tough , Trappy and competitive race my bet and selection is an EW on SWING BILL 4th lto in the Listed Becher Chase at Aintree and not beat that far is Gteed to stay , travels and jumps well and has a jockey riding i like and i feel this is a solid bet for today in an unconventional race.
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RACE 4 : ( EW ) MINELLA FORFITNESS - 1st @ 3.30
P n L = Win
Summary : Finally a win and an all out victory over the promising Cheltanian with Valdez running well for 3rd.
Now a Hcap , Novice Hurdle Qualifier a race jam packed with intrigue and untapped potential and easily the most interesting runner here is Cheltanian who hasnt been seen out since winning the Champion Bumper at the 2011 Festival , this could be absolutely anything but is for me best watched today.
MINELLA FORFITNESS has to be the selection based on its lto win beating the highly regarded Zuider Zee and the enigmatic but non staying Aim to Prosper , this drop in trip should be no problem , the ground is fine and BG takes the ride and this surely has to be there at the finish , Snake Eyes has been disappointing , New Years Eve always flatters to deceive and is a doubtful stayer leaving just Valdez as the key challenger holding his form very well running fine races at Plumpton beating Asker comfortably and prior to that got beat easy but not by far in another very high class Qualifier that was won by Melodic Rendezvous but also included the likes of Eduard , Village Vic and Mr Watson so is entitled to get into the places.
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RACE 5 : ( EW * ) - VELATOR -
P n L =
Time for potentially the most competitive race of the day and its a large field 3m Hcap hurdle where cases can be soundly made for the majority of the field , this will only attract a minuscule investment from me as this is one of those races where you need a trusty magic pin!!.
My three EW selections in this race are VELATOR , HOT WHISKEY & ENTER PARADISE.
The first named would be my stand alone selection as im a fan of the yard and the rider, they can ready a horse from a long lay off and its proven over trip and on this ground, and as the field by and large have shown their collective hands this could easily be upto getting involved.
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RACE 6 : EW - SIMPLY SMASHING -
P n L = NO BET
The Foxhunters Trial...a race beset with caution signs!!...i am saying with extreme caution SIMPLY SMASHING ( EW ) , if fit this could easily get into the mix, stays forever but is as old as time itself,although realistically this should go the way of Dantes Peak or Rumbury Grey....this is a race for loose change only...
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RACE 7 : ( EW ) - SIR TOBY TYLER -
P n L =
A tasty looking NHF race to round off this card and with quite a few running from my breeders list its a tough call but i am going to row in with an EW on SIR TOBY TYLER from a yard that are very smart at these events and have a good strike rate and the price is very attractive.
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A decent looking card for a Wednesday with some good quality horses in play , backed up with some interesting sorts at Ludlow and Lingers today should again be another good day, have fun all ;)
Racing picks up a bit today with a quite attractive looking Doncaster card ( fairly local track > 25m away ) and a place that suffers derision but a place i like.
Quite often mid week i find it hard to decide which way to blog and what is the best call as i try and find you guys ( n gals ) some winners and a bit more input on a day to day basis would help ease the frustration as i dont want to leave all the busy days blank but Donny is what i would class as a grade 1 track and it will get some focus today , so i think today we can brief our way through the card, looking at runners i like , fancy and favs that are beatable and hopefully we can muster a few bets together...
DONCASTER
RACE 1 : SO FINE : Unplaced
P n L on this race : Broke Even as Private Equity hit 2.4 in the run and laid it for my stakes.
Summary : Couldn't have got this any more wrong as both the Henderson pair come home first and second as the Hobbs pair both fell away rather poorly.
A small field Novice Chase to start the day and this is a Hobbs V Henderson match with both supplying two each of the 4 runners and with neither of the Hendo Runners appearing to be proper stayers i think this is going to the Hobbs yard but which one? as they are both Distance winners , both in a bit of form although So Fine was disappointing lto against Rocky Creek but had previously beaten a few good sorts over 3m at Kempton in what looks like a decent race but is now conceding weight all round.
Personally i will just be dutching the Hobbs pair and looking to lay Private Equity in the run , for the purposes of a win selection i will say rather unconvincingly SO FINE.
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RACE 2 : SWYNMOR : 3rd @ 1.63
P n L : Loss
Summary : this was beaten a long way out , travelled off the pace but never looked comfortable and then ran on at the death to snatch 3rd, beaten fair n square and the jury is out on this one.
Now we have a nice little Juvenile Hurdle and this race carries today's MASTER NAP in the shape of SWYNMOR , This has had 2 runs to date , firstly a victory over a decent yardstick in Amoralist ( Henderson ) and then it was full of running when in the lead and falling at the last in a race won by Ruacana ( Ferguson ) and it would have won that race for sure and this race is his for the taking , with only 2 runners of any real merit i will be surprised if this doesnt win handsomely before taking up a pitch at Cheltenham.
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RACE 3 : ( EW ) - SWING BILL - 4th ( hd )
P n L = Loss
Summary : Ran a fair race, no complaints ul not to get my place losing out by a head.
Next up is a very tricky looking Veterans Chase over 3m , some old school quality here but most if not all are on the down grade so working out which is most in shape and ready for this is no mean feat.
Marufo and Dashing George are the " form " choices , Swing Bill is the " Class " and Zitenka is the " Most Interesting " as i always sit up and take note when AP rides for the Easterby's.
In a Tough , Trappy and competitive race my bet and selection is an EW on SWING BILL 4th lto in the Listed Becher Chase at Aintree and not beat that far is Gteed to stay , travels and jumps well and has a jockey riding i like and i feel this is a solid bet for today in an unconventional race.
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RACE 4 : ( EW ) MINELLA FORFITNESS - 1st @ 3.30
P n L = Win
Summary : Finally a win and an all out victory over the promising Cheltanian with Valdez running well for 3rd.
Now a Hcap , Novice Hurdle Qualifier a race jam packed with intrigue and untapped potential and easily the most interesting runner here is Cheltanian who hasnt been seen out since winning the Champion Bumper at the 2011 Festival , this could be absolutely anything but is for me best watched today.
MINELLA FORFITNESS has to be the selection based on its lto win beating the highly regarded Zuider Zee and the enigmatic but non staying Aim to Prosper , this drop in trip should be no problem , the ground is fine and BG takes the ride and this surely has to be there at the finish , Snake Eyes has been disappointing , New Years Eve always flatters to deceive and is a doubtful stayer leaving just Valdez as the key challenger holding his form very well running fine races at Plumpton beating Asker comfortably and prior to that got beat easy but not by far in another very high class Qualifier that was won by Melodic Rendezvous but also included the likes of Eduard , Village Vic and Mr Watson so is entitled to get into the places.
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RACE 5 : ( EW * ) - VELATOR -
P n L =
Time for potentially the most competitive race of the day and its a large field 3m Hcap hurdle where cases can be soundly made for the majority of the field , this will only attract a minuscule investment from me as this is one of those races where you need a trusty magic pin!!.
My three EW selections in this race are VELATOR , HOT WHISKEY & ENTER PARADISE.
The first named would be my stand alone selection as im a fan of the yard and the rider, they can ready a horse from a long lay off and its proven over trip and on this ground, and as the field by and large have shown their collective hands this could easily be upto getting involved.
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RACE 6 : EW - SIMPLY SMASHING -
P n L = NO BET
The Foxhunters Trial...a race beset with caution signs!!...i am saying with extreme caution SIMPLY SMASHING ( EW ) , if fit this could easily get into the mix, stays forever but is as old as time itself,although realistically this should go the way of Dantes Peak or Rumbury Grey....this is a race for loose change only...
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RACE 7 : ( EW ) - SIR TOBY TYLER -
P n L =
A tasty looking NHF race to round off this card and with quite a few running from my breeders list its a tough call but i am going to row in with an EW on SIR TOBY TYLER from a yard that are very smart at these events and have a good strike rate and the price is very attractive.
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A decent looking card for a Wednesday with some good quality horses in play , backed up with some interesting sorts at Ludlow and Lingers today should again be another good day, have fun all ;)
Tuesday, 19 February 2013
30,000 Reasons to be happy....
Morning All , another dull Tues being lit up with a few nice races over the Drogheda Straight @ Navan but i think by now you all know i am quite happy to sit Mondays & Tuesdays out and take a breather unless its a special occasion but i do have 5 i really quite like today ( all favs of course ) and two unraced sorts which have caught my eye .
If only there was a horse running today called Master Cleavage i would surely be lumping on ;) , however i will avert your gaze ( eyes down ) with my 5 for today....
1.COVERHOLDER - 1st @ 2.22
This is in sparkling form and has been raised another 7lb for its last win ( although after today will be raised again ) but England takes off his claim and in this rather un remarkable race this should have no trouble completing his 4 timer , been backed by some sponge this morning at 1.69...tool!!...now a more respectable and very backable 2.56 i simply cannot resist , imo thats huge ( like the breasts ).
2.NO SECRETS - 1st @ 3.32 ( Back in front and happy again ;-) )
Pipe hasnt travelled all the way up here for the day out, this is his winner for today of that i have no doubt , lto racing over 2m7f it only got stoked up at back end after travelling quite well and will relish this extra yardage and at 2.96 looks a bloody fine bet to me.
3.CITY SLICKER - 2nd @ 1.58 ( Tanked n Emptied )
This should get the Mullins benefit day off to a flyer , was always going well lto ( 2m4f ) and looked the winner until 2 out when the distress flares were fired off and at 1f out he was sinking like the Titanic eventually limped home in 4th ( won easy over 2m ) and this return to 2m should see this strapping son of Kings Theatre back in the winners enclosure.
4.RUBI LIGHT - Unplaced ( Ran too bad to be true , another Irish bullshit race, when will i learn to leave this shit alone!! )
This is a far better horse than the remaining three , is in fine form and i will be amazed if this doesnt win this race , a race it has won for the last two years , todays *MASTER NAP*.
5.THOUSAND STARS - Unplaced @ 1.54 ( i will never bother with another Irish race again , just a total piss take )
Another that should be winning now its fitness has improved and Hurricane Fly is not in the race , a classy animal that should despatch these with minimal fuss.
I think some 4 folds are in order , happy Tuesday folks.....;)x
Monday, 18 February 2013
Sunday, 17 February 2013
The Sunday Money Spinner
I will be having just one Big Bet today and that will be on TIMESISHARD to Place only in the 14:00 Market Rasen , lto this was patently outclassed in a Listed Event behind The New One but previously had been placed in races that included Mr Watson ( ahead ) , Barrakilla and Two Rockers and all three have since won again and other surrounding placed horses have franked the form further by running well , any one of his previous 3 or 4 runs would be easily good enough for him to get involved in a race that lacks any great strength , Darley Sun is obviously of interest as this is another former Cesarewitch winner ( 2009 ) and Godolphin runner but since the boys in blue made the purchase in went down hill quicker than Jack n Jill and is readily over looked, there is Mighty Mobb , Fiddlers Bid and Bit of a Jig and that really is about it as i can find nothing to make a case for the remainder so this is effectively a 5 runner race paying top 3 and at 1.6+ this imo is a great bet and i will be smashing the arse out of it ;-)...and then getting back in my pit to watch some movies as the hangover kicks in.....( Thanks Marc....Kans ffs!!?...glad i didnt pay to get in that shit hole )...ttfn x
RESULT = 1st @ 3.10 ( BoooooooM ) ;-)
RESULT = 1st @ 3.10 ( BoooooooM ) ;-)
Saturday, 16 February 2013
What an absolute star!!...
Black Caviar races to 23rd win on return from injury
Black Caviar broke the Flemington track record as she returned from eight months off to record her 23rd win.
The unbeaten Australian mare had been on the brink of retirement after tearing a quadriceps muscle while running at Royal Ascot last June.
But she was a convincing winner of a race named in her honour - the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes - leading the field by two lengths.
"I am just so proud of her and my team," trainer Peter Moody said.
Black Caviar had been nursed back to health by Moody and his team using a combination of laser therapy treatment and exercising in water.
The mare won the Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot last summer on her first race outside her homeland, but came back in style at Melbourne, defeating Moment Of Change by two-and-a-half lengths.
"We were on a hiding to nothing by bringing her back," Moody continued.
"The job was done and we thought it was over, but to come back and do that and run a record, I'm lost for words."
Jockey Luke Nolen added: "She didn't tow up like she can through the early and middle stages.
"But she towed me into it nicely and I gave her a squeeze because I didn't want to get complacent with win 23.
"I had a look at the time when I rolled back in and I thought we might have gone a bit quicker than how it felt.
"She continues to amaze me."