Monday, 29 August 2011

Who is the viewer from Habana?

I have noticed over the last few days we have two more regulars , 1 from Dublin and 1 from Havana , come and say Hi , Dont be Shy ;-)

Sunday, 28 August 2011

its my birfday,..its my birfday.......

And here i am . what a sad sack lol , its my birthday and i have spent the morning reviewing races , and this afternoon i will be mainly trading....sigh what a life ;-) , hopefully tho i shall get out for a couple of sherbets later and maybe take go for a Chinese...nos 69 always looks appealing ;-**.
Had another storming day yesterday so the run continues and i see no reason for it to change , i think at long last we have found a stable base to work from and won that satisfies all my urgings , which for me is a key factor , also very pleased with the winners that the Beta Backs has been finding , overall results and roi is extremely high just at the minute , and it has a snowball effect , as i have made more in the last 7 days than i have in the 50 days prior...so obv fucking about with the bets, stakes, dutches earlier patently didnt work...
My team ARSENAL take on the mighty Man Utd today @ Old Trafford and tbh i think we will get stuffed either 2-0 or 3-1 , things do not look rosy in the Emirates garden , we will get hammered in the champions league and i think we will struggle to make top 6 this year so im not gonna hold my breath waiting for a trophy any time soon , what i will be doing however is at 80 mins in every arsenal game or ( if ) they go 2-0 ahead i will be laying them ( should be 1.01 - 1.12 ) , doing this last year would have reaped huge rewards and this year looks no different.
Onto the racing , for a sunday ( because of the bank holiday ) its a decent day and there is a very good card at the Curragh this aft' which holds the Moyglare stud stakes...where Maybe ( 1st ) is expected to win..however.....

For the blog today we will be mainly looking at Goodwood.....

so here goes..

GOODWOOD

14:10
BACK - ONELADYOWNER - Result = 1st @ 6.2
LAY - TAGULA NIGHT - £150 @ 13.5 - Result = Unplaced = Won £150
BETA BACK - QUASI CONGAREE  - Result = Unplaced 

14:45
BACK - POTENTIALE - Result = Unplaced 
LAY - BYRD IN THE HAND - £150 @ BFSP - Result = 2nd = Won £150
BETA BACK - LOYALISTE - Result = 1st @ 8.58

15:20

BACK - THE CHEKA  - Result = Unplaced
LAY - HOORAY* - £200 @ 4.4 ( LOTD ) - Result = Unplaced = Won £200
BETA BACK - JAQUELINE QUEST - Result = 2nd @ 13.0 ( beaten in a photo , on the nod! )
**Trip and ground against him today , he only bares gets this and a fast run race will see him have his legs taken off in the ground , insta lay **.

15:55

BACK - ELLIE IN THE PINK  - Result = 1st @ 3.61
LAY - XCLAIM - £75 @ BFSP  - Result = Unplaced = Won £75
BETA BACK - DIAMOND RUN   - Result = Unplaced

16:30

BACK - ZAMINA  - Result = 1st @ 2.83
LAY - LOCH FLEET - £75 @ BFSP - Result = Unplaced = Won £75
BETA BACK - LADY ELSIE - Result = 2nd @ 3.42

17:05

BACK - SEAMUS SHINDIG  - Result = 3rd @ 4.0
LAY - MEMPHIS MAN - £150 @ BFSP  - Result = 2nd = Won £150
BETA BACK - EVEN BOLDER - Result = Unplaced

______________________________________________________
Thats it for now i may update with some clues for the Curragh....., whatever you do today, smile and be happy ;-)
______________________________________________________

Another FANTASTIC day , with a combined 4 winners from 6 races , 6 / 6 winning laybets and 8 tickets collected on the placepot , again im extremely happy with the way its all going at the minute and hope that this is the winning thread i have been for so long searching..., bank holiday tmrw , everyones out tmrw bar me ;-( ,  a day at the races it is then!! , if anyone has a preference for which card is put up tmrw, comment , the first one to comment will be the one i use , so till tmrw , stay well , fit and healthy , get some beers and chill....see ya all tmrw ( oh and dont mention the football ffs! )...
Total profits for today are £800-00





Saturday, 27 August 2011

Happy Sat morning folks...

Well it is morning in my world , and yes mr fox i will/have added your blog and good morning to you , as im short on time again today, my daily diatribe will have to take a back seat whilst i finish off my cards , unsure as to which im gonna blog as i have them all kinda ready.....gonna crack on and finish this...ttfn...

OK..OK..ive decided today to show NEWMARKET , it is a favourite of mine and i usually do well here but was tricky as i love Goodwood also ( may show 1 mor two if i have time )..same format , back , lay and beta back with All the LAYS being blog bets , any other bets outside will be shown as BB in ( ) , ok ..good , glad we are clear on that.

NEWMARKET


13:55
BACK - AMAZING STORM ( EW ) - 1st @ 3.57
LAY - ROYAL MAJESTIC - £75 @ BFSP - UNPLACED @ 15.34 = Won £75
BETA BACK - STORMING BERNARD - 2nd @ 6.6
** I kinda agree with the beta back selection here but only in the place market , looking at the sectionals and race speed figures , Storming Bernard is a good 2 seconds quicker and covers all fractions quicker than everything ( over 7f ) , i think that 2.06 ( top 3 paid ) for a place is absolutely huge and is a far better bet than a lot of jollies that run for that or less , imo u should have a good go at this and set yourself up for the day.**

14:30

BACK - JACOB CATS ( EW ) - UNPLACED
LAY - SAMITAR - £75 @ 2.2 - 2ND @ 2.3 = Won £75
BETA BACK - BALTY BOYS - 3rd @ 7.7
** Based on pure speed figures alone then Samitar has to be layed , yes it ran and won very well in the albany stakes and is a deserved favourite for this race and in all honesty probs should win ( with improvement ) , but two things that bug me with that form are ,
1) she was the oldest 2yr old in the race by far , that makes a big difference in the early season battles as they mature quicker and do have a physical advantage.
and..
2) the time of the race was poor , she didnt beat anything special and the race was very average for an albany.
So that said at even money ( currently 2.2 ) i would rather have the field ( even a poorish looking one like this ) running for me instead of just the one for the same payoff.
This is one of those races where the value comes into play , i know full well i am probably laying the winner but at the odds and in a race like this i have to lay the fav, good luck.

15:00

BACK - CHAPERELLIE ( EW ) - UNPLACED
LAY - POLICE FORCE £75 @ ( 2.5 , KEEP BET ) - 3rd @ 2.9 ( hit 1.26 ) = Won £75
BETA BACK - KAI - UNPLACED
** Poor maiden for newmarket and again , i am probably laying the winner , but again i have no choice  , there are just too many variables in this race with all the main players looking much of a muchness and it would be no surprise to see a big priced winner here , laying the fav is the only choice.**( winner elusive flame won @ 16.1 )

15:30

BACK - CAPONE - UNPLACED
LAY - MONSIEUR CHEVALIER £200 @ 3.65 ( LOTD ) - UNPLACED = WON £200
BETA BACK - SWISS DREAM - 1ST @ 6.6
** Only swiss dream and capone have run consistently to the same marke every time ( 1m11s ) which is far better than anything else , only Macs Power has run near to this but its best speed figures are from 2 yrs ago so cannot be considered as " in form " , i think MC is far too short and has done nothing to justify favouritism , i have made this my LOTD  as i think there are at least 4 quicker in this race and imo will be lucky to place .

16:00

BACK - MIDNIGHT OIL  - UNPLACED
LAY - COBBS QUAY - £200 @ 12.5 ( lotd nb )  - UNPLACED = WON £200
BETA BACK - NORTHSIDE PRINCE - UNPLACED
**Cobbs quay has no chance whatsoever , lay this for all you can afford!!( even at this price )

16:35

BACK - KIRTHILL - 2ND @ 9.8
LAY - DARE TO DANCE - £75 @ 3.65 - 1st @ 5.6 = LOST £198.75
BETA BACK - PARAMOUR - 4TH @ 12.75 ( top 4 paid )
**as it hit 5.9 pre race i actually traded my personal position out of this and attained a very nice green )**
17:10

BACK - FAIR PASSION ( EW )  - UNPLACED
LAY - BOUNCY BOUNCY - £200 @ BFSP ( SLOW HORSE ) - UNPLACED = WON £200
BETA BACK - LONG AWAITED  - 3rd @ 3.5

___________________________________________________

A couple from GOODWOOD......

14:15

BACK - DRUNKEN SAILOR - UNPLACED
LAY - MOTRICE - £75 @ BFSP - 1st @ 3.5 = LOST £187.50
BETA BACK - ETERNAL HEART - 2ND @ 5.91

14:50

BACK - LILLY'S ANGEL - UNPLACED
LAY - QUESTING - £75 @ BFSP - Unplaced = Won £75 ( 4.53 )
BETA BACK - REGAL REALM - 1st @ 3.13

15:20

BACK - POETS VOICE - UNPLACED
LAY - PREMIER LOCO - £150 @ 6.6 AND £150 @ 4.2 ( BOTH KEEP BETS ) - UNPLACED ( NEITHER BETS MATCHED )
BETA BACK - DUBWAI GOLD - 1st @ 3.95

And thats your lot for today , good luck with whatever ya do , im here all day if ya need any advice , you can add me on msn  and chat there if ya want , my msn is clintsmith443@msn.com , add me and chat me..lets make some money ;-)

_______________________________________________________________

Overall i would have to say that today has been not far off stellar!!! , and the beta backs chipped in with a few more winners , getting a lot of 1st/2nds and i may start doing a few placepots for fun , lotd was great and again the adjusting staking helped us with the winners being at the lower end of the staking spectrum , so today we finished with a profit of £513-75 , so again another really good,solid day...hope you all did well!!.







Friday, 26 August 2011

Afternoon..

Well firstly let me start by saying that yes i know the blog may look a bit different , that's because ive been messing around with the format and i didn't back up the original!! doh!! , i wanted to give this one a more professional look and feel , with more info on horses , courses and stats , but this appears a bridge too far!?.
i would be grateful if anyone had any ideas they could contribute or knows of any great sites where i can download some good templates, all the ones ive tried have been rubbish....
Concerning the blog and racing , we are in the midst of a very welcome purple patch and long may it continue , the beta backs are proving a useful tool to have , and that is the key , a betting armoury loaded with winning weapons , a single shot very rarely takes the prize , but a barrage usually sinks everything , so attacking the races with an armada of info , stats , betting platforms , skill and luck will result in a long term winning and profitable account.
this is my basic mindset for developing the Phoenix Pro System , its not about tipping a constant stream of winners ( which is impossible ) its about making a profit , a consistent profit , day in , day out, week in , week out , that's what separates the pro traders from the gamblers , gamblers get a great buzz from a good winning bet but also get very down when they lose , its like being bi-polar between 2-6pm every day , its not a great feeling , the best feeling is ending your day on a profit, sitting back , letting it all sink in and then just saying to yourself.." this is the life ".
in order to maximise any potential you may have you must first learn to control yourself , but being a gambler and having control is a bit like asking nielsen to attend pride and control himself.
i love horse racing , to me its a great sport and one i love to watch , i do myself like to have a flutter , go crazy and do shit i wouldnt normally do , but i have learnt over the years ( of endless mistakes and after spunking £1000's of pounds away ) to control these urges to a point , i have now mastered the greed part within me , and it has gone for good , i am quite adept at laying 2/3 or 4/5 horses a day making my money then walking away , however on the better racing days i really do want to be involved , ( thats the gambler coming out , nothing to do with greed , just the gambler ) so thats when i decided to start blogging and from each days profits i squirrel away a % to build up my " gamblers fund " , this war chest was and is for me to let loose and do the crazy shit i wanted to do with out it affecting my day to day living or expense account , this created the blog account , if it goes it goes , i can always rebuild , i can always save again and i think sometimes that is a primary factor in becoming a winning trader / gambler etc..its having the confidence to follow your work , back or lay your choices and to not worry about the outcome as it wont affect your income! , i think far to many people bet more than they can afford , they overstake , or bet with the gas money sticking it all onto a " dead cert " and then crying robbed when it gets beat @ 2/5.......!!
you HAVE to bet with money that is totally set aside from anything else, so that if it is lost it really doesnt matter as it was never there to begin with.

Today we are off to NEWMARKET , a good looking card with some tasty maidens and you cant beat a good looking maiden ;-@). ( all the lays are blog bets )


Newmarket


13:20
BACK - AMELIA MAY - unplaced
LAY - CANDYCAKES £150 @ BFSP ( LOTD / BLOG BET ) - Result = Unplaced = Won £150 ( 3.95 F )
BETA BACK - STAR OF BOMBAY - unplaced


13:50
BACK - SEE EMILY PLAY -unplaced **
LAY - SHOW FLOWER £150 @ BFSP  - Result = Unplaced = Won £150 ( 4/1 )
BETA BACK - SHADA - 3rd @ 11/4
** my first choice was lyric of light  ( first @ 6/1 ) but i talked myself out of it.;-(.


14:20
BACK - SALFORD ART - Unplaced
LAY - MIZBAH £150 @ BFSP- Result = Unplaced = Won £150 ( 9.83 )
BETA BACK - MOON TRIP - Unplaced


14:55

BACK - HEFNER
LAY - MOST IMPROVED **SEE UNDER ** - Result = 1st @ 1.8 = Lost £156
BETA BACK - TROIS VALEES
**INTERSTING RACE THIS, i have watched quite a few times and the fav Most Improved did run a tidy race first time out only to get done on the line by the fast finishing Kinglet ( bin suroor ) also completed in a very tidy time, however the race was set up for this imo , it raced in the front six all the way , had the run of the race throughout but did quicken up nicely when asked , however dwyer was working this from quite a way out and at the 2f pole appears to be giving some quite strong urgings , now there was indeed a fare bit of money for this on the day which could lead you to think that a win was expected but the field imo was weak with only the winner kinglet looking special ( or above average ) , he stalled badly and ran very green until eyeballed , i think @ 1.78 it HAS to be layed , but do i trade , imvho i think it really has a great chance of getting beat by a newcomer as the field is made up of potentially 85+ horses , and purely on a value basis you would have to be mental to back it at that.
my bet will be a lay of £200 @ 1.78, i think most improved could win and has an obvious chance but at the very prohibitive odds has to be taken on , however for the traders , myself included i also think the following trade is nailed on..£1000 @ 1.78 , with a back trade ( keep ) of £850 set @ 1.92 this will return either a profit of £2 or £150 , i think the trade is nailed on , you could extend the buy back to say 2.5 or indeed stagger it , the problem is , if it gets a good break and races front rank the price will only move once it has no chance or its chance has gone , so that is wasting money , if it gets a bad or tardy start then you will get an instant green.....things to consider.
** - hit 2.86 in running with a few thousand matched at 2.74 , easiest trade ever!!


15:30
BACK - MANIFESTATION - unplaced
LAY - REGAL PARK £75 @ BFSP  - Result = 3rd = Won £75 ( 11/2 )
BETA BACK - KAZBOW - non-runner


16:05
BACK - SAILORS CHANT-unplaced
LAY - TANAAMI £50 @ BFSP - 1st @ 4.4 = Lost = £170-00
BETA BACK - ARMOISE-unplaced


16:35
BACK - SEA SOLDIER- non-runner
LAY - MY FREEDOM £75 @ BFSP- Result = 2nd @ 6.6 = Won £75
BETA BACK - WHITE FROST- Result = 1st @ 4.88


Thats me for today so far , have a good day all...


Another sparkling day , and BETA BACKS again rounds the day off with a tidy winner @ 4.88, the only weak points were the two winning favourites that set us back slightly, but thankfully i had staked accordingly this time so this did little damage , made a very sweet £274-00 profit today , this is again very welcomed and very good , thank you and see you tmrw....

Thursday, 25 August 2011

Tinkering...

Yes i have been playing about with the style of the blog, feel like sprucing it up...looking for a good well layed out wordpress styled one , so may look slightly different and will change again , hopefully for the better, trial and error i think...

Afternoon all....

Today we trip over to lingers and look at whats on offer..... had a very interesting visit from the nephew of Nicky Henderson yesterday... )....hopefully some good will come of that , we'll see , but shall not hold my breath......
anyway lets look at Lingers...

Lingfield Park


14:00 


BACK - JOVIAL - 2nd @ 10/3
LAY - SAVARONOLA - £75 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - Result = unplaced @ 10/1 ( 16.5 ) = WON £75
BETA BACK - RECALCATANT - unplaced


14:30


BACK - SILKEN THOUGHTS - Result = 1st @ 3.4
LAY - KINGARRICK - £75 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - Result = Unplaced @ 8.6 = Won £75
BETA BACK - DESTINY OF DREAMS - Result = 2nd @ 11.0


15:00



BACK - ROYAL OPERA - Result = 1st @ 2.55
LAY - AVON RIVER - £150 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - Result = 2nd ( of four ) @ 1.85 = Won £150
BETA BACK - N/Q


15:30


BACK - CORRECT - unplaced
LAY - DARK AMBITION - £75 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - Result = 3rd @ 3.95 = WON £75
BETA BACK - COLOURFUL EVENT - unplaced


16:00



BACK - INTEGRITY - Result = 1st @ 5/6
LAY - CONFUSCIAS ELITE - £200 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET / LOTD ) - Result = 2nd = Won £200 ( 5/1 )
BETA BACK - TWELVE STRINGS  - unplaced


16:30


BACK - ZAIN POINT - unplaced
LAY - PRINCESS OF ORANGE - £75 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET )  - Result = 2nd @ 2.28 = Won £75
BETA BACK - DISHY GURU   - Result = 1st @ 9.13


THATS IT FOR TODAY , so much more to do , will be here all day if there any questions ;-) , setting up the pro backers site for the new membership site , there just are not enough hours in the day ;-(...


**Another fantastic day and another full house, 2 days now and no losing bets whatsoever...excellent!!...long may this reign!!..happy days...;-0)) , made a total profit today of £650-00

Wednesday, 24 August 2011

Today at Catterick...

Missing Spain and the heat so much right now..;-( , gonna have to go back real soon , love that life...;-)
anyway , moving on , im not there , im here and the racing week begins proper  , today i will be mostly concentrating on Catterick as Killarney is a split meeting tonight.

CATTERICK

14:20
BACK -   TOWBEE - Result = UNPLACED
LAY    -  GOWANHARRY - £150 @ 5.4 ( BLOG BET ) - Result = UNPLACED = WON £150
INTERESTING RUNNER - SUPERPLEX 
- Result = UNPLACED


14:50
BACK -  GREEN HOWARD - Result = 1ST @ 2.18
LAY    - CHEREZAD £100 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET )  - Result = UNPLACED = WON £100 ( 2.75 )
INTERESTING RUNNER - STRONG MAN  
- Result = 2ND @ 13.34


15:20
BACK -  DANCEINTOTHELIGHT - Result =  2ND @ 4/1
LAY    - SHORT SUPPLY £100 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - - Result = 3rd @ 9/2 = WON £100
INTERESTING RUNNER - DUBARA REEF 
- Result =  UNPLACED


15:50
BACK -  FAST SHOT - Result = 2ND @ 9/4
LAY    -  SQUIRES GATE - £200 @ BFSP ( LOTD ) ( BLOG BET ) - Result = UNPLACED @ 12/1 = WON £200 ( 12/1 )
INTERESTING RUNNER - RONINSKI 
- Result = 1ST @ 5/2


16:20
BACK -  LAST SOVEREIGN - Result =  UNPLACED
LAY    - MR WOLF £75 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - Result = UNPLACED = WON £75 ( 12/1 )
INTERESTING RUNNER - NORTH CENTRAL 
- Result = 2ND @ 7/2


16:50
BACK -  SILVER TIGRESS ( NAP ) - Result = UNPLACED 
LAY    - LADY INTRIGUE £75 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - Result = UNPLACED = WON £75 ( 16/1 )
INTERESTING RUNNER - AL FURAT 
- Result =  3RD @ 6/1


17:20
BACK -  MERCERS ROW - Result = UNPLACED 
LAY    - RED RIVER BOY £150 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET - Result = UNPLACED = WON £150
INTERESTING RUNNER - TYRANNOSAURUS REX 
- Result = UNPLACED 


a brilliant day with a very healthy £850-00 in profit , this is more like it ;-)

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