Just Added...

Sports 4 Dough  ( http://sport4dough.com/ ) on the blogroll , decent read, covers a range of sports , worth a look...;-0

I was gonna start by saying...

Good morning on this bright and breezy morning , however its a tad more than breezy , veering quickly between still and very gusty! , not cold ( much ) , but at least its not raining for a bit .
had an amazing day yesterday , sometimes the smaller fields , exposed horses and less contrived races offer so much more value for traders , saturdays have been a graveyard for me of recent weeks, however the quieter days have been great...im sure there is a message  hidden in all that....?.
Got some tricky racing today , with the heavily ground dependant Muss' , the quirky Brighton and Kempers Poly , so all three offer something quite different in their respective challenges to seek profit.
For the blog , i am going to give you BRIGHTON.
The thing with Brighton is no real form can be carried in or out , the course is enigmatic , you can win by 10 lengths here and look like a superstar and go  to say York ( or anywhere ) next and run like a pig....so caution is always advised when punting here.

BRIGHTON

14:00
BACK - GO DUTCH - £200 @ 1.5 ( KEEP BET ) ( NAP ) - 1st @ 1.44 = Won £100
LAY - N/A
BETA BACK - TIDALS BABY - 2nd @ 3/1

14:30

BACK - NO LARKING - Unplaced
LAY - BIANCAROSA - £75 @ 7.6 ( KEEP BET ) - UNPLACED - NO BET ( UNMATCHED )
BETA BACK - ENCORE UN FOIS - 2ND @ 10.82 ( Lost in photo , hit 1.25 )

15:00

BACK - DRUMADOON - 3RD @ 3.8
LAY - SALESIANO - £75 @ 10 ( KEEP BET ) - Unplaced @ 10.82 = WON £75
BETA BACK - ROYAL DEFENCE - 1ST @ 4.50

15:30

BACK - COMMAND MARSHALL - refused to race -
LAY - OLIMAMU - £100 @ 5.7 ( LOTD ) - Unplaced = Won £100
BETA BACK - KING COLUMBO - 2nd @ 5.9 ( hit 1.12 , just beat on the line )

16:00

BACK - OLNEY LASS ( NB ) - £200 @ 1.41 ( PLACE MARKET ) - 1st @ 2.44 = WON £82
LAY - TIMPANIST - £75 @ BFSP - 2nd = Won £75
BETA BACK - INQUISITRESS - 3rd @ 9.53 ( Hit 2.12 in running )

16:30

BACK - FLAXEN LAKE - 3rd @ 4.7
LAY - MUCKY MOLLY - £75 @ 3.2 - 2nd ( again ) =Won £75
BETA BACK - BEST ONE - Unplaced @ 12.8 ( hit 3.0 in running )

17:00

BACK - IMAGINARY DIVA - non runner -
LAY - CAPE ROYAL - £75 @ BFSP - UNPLACED = WON £75
BETA BACK - HIGHLAND HARVEST - UNPLACED
______________________________________________________P n L = £507-00 Profit

A very tricky little day here and one in which i will be playing close attention to the markets and i will be getting quite heavily involved in running , lets just hope the blog can hold up today....;-o
______________________________________________________

Well imo today was not far off being perfect , not just for the race results themselves but all the race writes i did, as the races all panned out exactly as i thought, with probably my best result today was with SECRETARY OF STATE @ Listowel , To cut a long story short , i had  highlighted today on the pro site how this horse was overpriced and was a cast iron trade ( would probs win however has been beaten @ 1.01 three times already ) so the trade was the play among other things ,....today was just great , cya'll tmrw...;-)

Sorry ..

No real blog today as i have been busy all morning and with the early French racing...
so today i have no lays to offer you  , but i do have one what i consider a nailed on back bet , and its also going to be a blog bet , 14:30 Goodwood , BLANK CZECH - £500 @ 1.87 in the place market , has a great chance of winning after its last run behind stateos , a place looks a certainty!!...lump on!! , other than that i'll be back and more organised tmrw ;-)) ( however i am here all day , so if you want any particular advice , just ask! )

RESULT = Blank Czech = 2nd @ 5.28 ( hit 1.37 in running , caught in a pocket ) = WON £435

Afternoon one n all ...

Its Sat and its ST LEGER DAY ( uk and ire ) , just updating cards as we speak....be back in about 15-20 mins all updated.....
As time is once again at a premium i have decided to just run out the donny card for today , if you ( readers/followers cba requesting, then i cba applying myself )...so you will just have to get by with the latte version for today which is a shame as its a sumptuous days racing.....so here we go...

DONCASTER

14:05
BACK - ENTIFAADHA - £150 WIN @ 2.2 - UNPLACED = LOST £150
LAY - TRUMPET MAJOR - £70 @ 10.0 - 1st = LOST £630
BETA BACK - DADDY LONG LEGS - UNPLACED
*LOST £780...VERY BAD START...;-(

14:35

BACK - YORK GLORY - UNPLACED
LAY - WAFFLE - £50 @ BFSP - UNPLACED = WON £50 
BETA BACK - SWISS DREAM - UNPLACED

15:10 - ST LEGER -

BACK - MASKED MARVEL - 1ST @ 9.0
LAY - SEA MOON - £75 @ 2.92 - 3rd @ 2/1f  = WON £75
BETA BACK - BROWN PANTHER - 2ND @ 9.77

15:45

BACK - ETON FOREVER - 2nd @ 9/4
LAY - MAN OF ACTION - £75 @ BFSP - 1ST @ 9 = LOST £600 ( FUCK OFF )
BETA BACK - SOORAAH

16:15

BACK - DAFEEF - 2nd @ 7/2
LAY - DUFF - £50 @ BFSP - unplaced = won £50
BETA BACK - THE CHEKA - unplaced

16:50

BACK - ANJAZ - 1st @ 6.09
LAY - BURANO - £50 @ BFSP - 2nd @ 7/2 = won £50
BETA BACK - AMAZING STORM - unplaced

17:25

BACK - SWIFT ALHAARTH - 1st @ 3.55
LAY - PICTURE EDITOR - £50 @ BFSP - unplaced = won £50
BETA BACK - TEPMOKEA - unplaced

__________________________________________________P n L = £955-00 loss

There ya go , whatever ya do today , be good , be lucky and keep smiling ;-))
__________________________________________________

So mixed emotions from today , as personally i had a very productive day, came out nicely on top , speed ratings racked a load of winners today inc'  3 x winners and 2 x 2nds / 7 @ donny which imo is very good , but those two big big losses and i lost huge on them knocked me back a bit , i had to steam into a couple of favs to chase it back and layed the arse of fame and glory at evens so all in all quite happy, another one of those what if ? , if only ? , days!! ....those two losses also make the blog account look a little sadder today...but really!!, man o action!! , come the fuck on!!? , where did it pull that run from....and trumpet major...sigh , yet another hannon loss , i may have to rethink laying his at mo as he is red hot!! , the best bet for me today tho was a large dutch i had in the st leger and a small speculative punt on the forcast which paid £59-42 to the £1...and i had a few of those on it.!!!!i also rather angrily had a tilty large punt on swift alhaarth in the lucky last!! , so that has made me smile and ended the week banking a nice profit.
It all starts again tmrw , so if your about , cya then , tc , good luck and health!
_____________________________________________________

FRi @ Donny....

Morning all , as stated previously im going to start capping my bets and start applying a more professional approach to the account in general, the blog account is just over £7800 so the max lb will be £750 ( lay ) and £150 ( back ) , this will stay until the account reaches £10k....
OK , right , good , then off to Donny we go....

DONCASTER

13:25
BACK - REQUINTO - £100 @ 2.02 ( place market ) - 1st @ 4.9 = WON £102
LAY - BURWAAZ - £110 @ 7.6 - 2ND = WON £110
BETA BACK - MY PROPELLER - £25 @ 7.0 ( win ) and £40 @ 2.28 ( place market ) - Unplaced ( stumbled and pecked on leaving the stalls ) = Lost £65
Profit from race = £147


13:55

BACK - ETERNAL HEART - Unplaced ( tried to make all, weakened )
LAY - PRECISION BREAK - £75 @ 8.2 - Unplaced = Won £75
BETA BACK - HAWK MOUNTAIN - Unplaced ( bang there till final 1 and 1/2 f )

14:25

BACK - MOTRICE - 3rd @ 5.9
LAY - OPINION POLL - £75 @ 2.66 - 2nd = WON £75
BETA BACK - TACTICIAN - Unplaced

15:00

BACK - SAMITAR - 3rd @ 6.6
LAY - FALLEN FOR YOU - £100 @ 3.05 - 2nd = Won £100
BETA BACK - SEMAYYEL - Unplaced

15:35

BACK - EKTIHAAM - £150 @ 1.74 ( WIN ) - 1st = Won £111 ( easy )
LAY - MIZWAAJ - £75 @ 4.6 - 2nd = Won £75
BETA BACK - HOT SUGAR - Unplaced
Profit on Race = £186-00

16:10

BACK - GRISSOM - Unplaced
LAY - FATHSTA - £55 @ 7.8 - 3rd = Won £55
BETA BACK - BELOW ZERO - Unplaced

16:40

BACK - MASHAREF - 2ND @ 6.16
LAY - BEATEN UP - £100 @ 4.9  - 1st = LOST £390 ( BOOO!! )
BETA BACK - KENYAN CAT - Unplaced

_____________________________________________________

All in all , a tough day today , i think there could be some shocks...
_____________________________________________________

Total profit from today £173-00 , what a shame that beaten up beat me up , but that said, what a horse!!..worth following, these losses are only lent , and still ended up with a nice profit for the day ;-)

Morning all ..

Happy Friday everyone , a few changes today to the blog bets , the main one being that all lays will now not carry any liability bigger than 10% of its current size ( ongoing ) and win bets will be no larger than 5% .
i have after discussion been persuaded to take the account more seriously and stop over staking , i have taken this view onboard and will now treat it with a bit more respect , other than that , im just sat in bed watching some races as we have another big day at doncaster today....any body want a special race review??....if not then just a std card for donny it shall be.
bbl...

Yesterday...

was an unmitigated disaster , not just for the blog but me personally, had one to many shocker result , the biggest hit coming with cai shen , followed bu eureka....fuck me both hughes and both from the front!, tbh my mood the last few days hasnt helped, been rather melancholic of late and that has an effect on my trading / gambling and general outlook , i dont know why i swing up and down i just do , very odd and almost impossible to snap out of, but , i am just starting to see the light and have decided that today i will do a monster spread and hope for the best...lets see if we can get back in the black...??!!


** ALL of todays LAYS will be made 5 MINS before the start of the race , they will be for £500 , i will be trading £350 at 2 points higher on all bets, WHERE POSSIBLE AND TIME ALLOWING I WILL TRY AND SHOW THE PRICE HIGHS AND LOWS .

***For any new readers , a quick explanation on the selections , BACK bets are selected using my speed ratings system and calculates , sections and fractions that have been run over the race distance , when no speed ratings are usable , we switch to a breeding program .
Lay bets are selected using the same software but slightly tweaked , some may be 1.76 , some maybe 20.0 , all it tries to select is a horse that is figured that has the least chance of winning , the one spanner in the works for this is  , one of the biggest factors in determining a horses lay value is its price and this change dramatically during he day , and the ground , so the variables do make it rather interesting ( and expensive at times ).
The BETA backs are being trialled using a slightly different system , this is a value based program is designed for the value and ew seekers , this tries to find value , horses that could run well , could return to form or that are a viable challenge for any fav , there is so much info and data that goes into everything and some things cant be computed , thats where the human element comes in ( me ) , i watch just about every race in uk and ireland , i examine the race and take what i can from it , inc all the bumps , checks and challenges...then i apply my thoughts to the selections given and make a final decision on which way to go , i have on occasion over ridden the program and i have switched horses out , this has mainly been great although i did the other day miss out on a 120.00 bfsp winner due to me switching!! , so its swings and roundabouts....for me i would like less swing and more roundabout...lets see how we do today......***

****as of 14:51 gmt , ALL LAY bets are now a fixed £250 @ bfsp , the trading is proving hard to adjudicate on as i do so much in running trading , this will also be easier for booom to understand!****

DONCASTER

13-25
BACK - BESITO - UNPLACED
LAY - AMIS REUNIS - UNPLACED = WON £150 ( 4.2 - 440 )
BETA BACK - ELUSIVE FLAME - 1st @ 8.80

13-55

BACK - CHACHAMAIDEE - 3rd @ 3.51 ( 1.42 )
LAY - DEVER DREAM - ( 8.4 ) - 2nd = Won £150 ( 1.64 - 1000 )
BETA BACK - SETA - Unplaced

14-25

BACK - MEHDI - UNPLACED
LAY - BOGART - UNPLACED @ 2.86 = WON £150
BETA BACK - WHIMSICAL / MOON PEARL - UNPLACED

15-00

BACK - SET TO MUSIC - 2ND @ 3.59
LAY - SENSE OF PURPOSE - UNPLACED = WON £250
BETA BACK - MEEZNAH - 1ST @ 3.85

15-35

BACK - RAWAAFED - 3RD @ 4.03
LAY - ENKE - 2ND = WON £250
BETA BACK - PERENNIAL - 1ST @ 14.5

16-10

BACK - DIMENSION - UNPLACED
LAY - BARNET FAIR  - UNPLACED = WON £250
BETA BACK - FARLOW - UNPLACED

16-40

BACK - PRINCE OF JOHANNE - UNPLACED
LAY - SHARAAYEEN - 2ND = WON £250
BETA BACK - CLUB OCEANIC - 1ST @ 4.82

_______________________________________________P n L = £1450-00 PROFIT

EPSOM

14-15

BACK - APPOINTEE - 1st @ 4.5
LAY - REPRESENT - 2nd = won £150 ( 1.33 - 1000 )
BETA BACK - MURMUR - unplaced

14-45

BACK - FAMOUS POET
LAY - MONEY NEVER SLEEPS - UNPLACED  WON £150
BETA BACK - ZAEEM - 3RD @ 19.50

15-20

BACK - POYLE JUDY- UNPLACED
LAY - NUMERAL - UNPLACED = WON £250
BETA BACK - WHITBY JET- UNPLACED

15-55

BACK - PALAWI - UNPLACED
LAY - BOSTON BLUE - UNPLACED = WON £250
BETA BACK - MOHANAD - 2ND @ 19.05

16-30

BACK - GREEN EARTH - UNPLACED
LAY - GUILDED WARRIOR - UNPLACED = WON £250
BETA BACK - STONECRABSTOMOROW - 1ST @ 13.30

17-00

BACK - CEFFYL GWELL - UNPLACED
LAY - DELIBERATION - 1ST @ 3.0 = LOST £500
BETA BACK - RUTTERKIN - UNPLACED

________________________________________________P n L = £550-00 PROFIT


CHEPSTOW

14-05

BACK - NIGHT ANGEL - unplaced
LAY - DRESSED IN LACE - 1st = ( £500 @ 10.5 = lost £4750 , - back £350 @ 12.5 = £4025 = Lost £725-00
BETA BACK - DAUNT - 2nd @ 6.2

14-35

BACK - LADY PERCY - 3RD @ 8.4
LAY - SPECIAL BOY - Unplaced = won £150
BETA BACK - OUR PHYLI VERA - UNPLACED ( ran on for close 5th @ 28.18 )

15-10

BACK - MAP OF HEAVEN ( NAP ) ( TIME IS NOW 15-07, JUST PLACED £1000 WIN @ 1.46 , BLOG BET ) - 1ST = WON £460 ( EASY 12 LENGTHS )
LAY - AMAZING WIN - UNPLACED = WON £250
BETA BACK - CHEHERAZAD - 2ND @ 3.75

15-45

BACK - DANCING WELCOME
LAY - INDIAN DUMAANI - 3RD - NO BET DUE TO PRICE - 
BETA BACK - ZALANO

16-20

BACK - SHANNON SPREE - UNPLACED
LAY - FOX'S AMBERS - UNPLACED = WON £250
BETA BACK - ALWAYS ENDS WELL - 2ND @ 4.8

16-50

BACK - MR UDAGAWA - 1ST @ 9.08
LAY - GOLDEN HINDE - 3RD = WON £250
BETA BACK - ADVERTISE - 2ND @ 7.2

17-25

BACK - COLOURBEARER - 2ND @ 2.92
LAY - RIFELSSIONE  - UNPLACED = WON £250
BETA BACK - TWO TURTLE DOVES - 1ST @ 3.55

___________________________________________P n L = £275 PROFIT