Saturday, 7 January 2012

Happy Sat er day .../

Another late Post , tbf today was a mixture of oversleeping and business but hey ho....7 races for me today with the first coming up in just a few mins so i am going to quickly say before editing ..Lingfiled 12:10 JOSAM W/P ( 30/70% ).......( unplaced )

Right thats done now i can move onto the next 6, actually make that 5 as i have missed one of my feature races for today and as i type i am looking at Josam come in from the 4.7 i backed at to 4.2....Interesting , 4.7 is way too big i had this down at 3.2...anyway fingers crossed on the first race hopefully a place at least for a decent start and it appears that i missed a trick there as my flw selection ex oriente looks to have scooped in at a massive price with mine unplaced so not the start i had hoped for but nevermind interesting that the 2 MJ horses came 2nd and 3rd , done nothing , upped in trip staying on...typical MJ horse i had narrowed that 1st race down to three , the winner, Josam and cape safari...EX oriente @ 19.5 is a huge price for a gosden runner on the AW and tbf if you had read the full race card ( published ) it does actually say that its worth a nibble at big odds...but hey fuck it , lets move on...

Right my 5 Feature races for today are...
1.

Sandown Park 13:00 
32Red.com Mares' Hurdle (Listed)

..A 6 runner race in which only 5 have a chance however all five have a case to answer...Hmm , well lets start by saying mistree dancer has no chance what so ever so scratch that fucker...of the others..
1.ANIMATION
Ran well lto , has some fair form and is generally solid but on its lto run has to now give the strawberry one 26 lbs for around 6 lengths which is a ridic amount to over turn , i cannot see this happening....
2.KAFFIE
Won its last races  very easily and is on an upward curve , this horse is shaping with great promise and deserves the rise in class and for a class rise this is as easy as they come , will he be upto it? , thats the 64 million dollar question i will run its usual solid race and has the speed figures to suggest it should be bang there...interesting.
3.KELLS BELLE
This has been rather disappointing ( another word for shit ) this season as i know he likes this ( henderson ) and what else i also know that this 2m4f is not his trip , i tried calling him this morning to get an update on a few of his runners but without success but i did speak to Nicky JNR and he concurred , so i will looking to max lay this.
4.LOVE OF TARA.
Curious that a 10 yr old should be described as an improver however this absolutely destroyed the field lto and looked like a future star , if this was a 4 yr old id be salivating ..but its not , what it does have is bucket loads of ability but you just dont know if its a going day or not...so not are you only gambling on whether or not it can be arsed you are playing the race...currently 7.2 , if its in the mood it could be of great interest....
5.THE STRAWBERRY ONE
The most interesting here by a mile , absolutely destroyed field after field at the lower grades early this year and summer , came out after a break and went straight into the A game racing against the likes of Fingal Bay et al....and duly got his arse kicked , however now dropped back down in trip and class against a couple of disappointing types i would expect this to be in the money ....

CONCLUSION : A tricky race to nail down as there are so many questions to answer , so whats it to be DR SNIPES!!??......well my patients i prescribe to you A SILVER rated DUTCH on , KAFFIE ( 2.92 ) , THE STRAWBERRY ONE ( 6.2 )  and LOVE OF TARA ( 7.0 )  , £375 split returns either £198.55 , £213.75 or £142.50.


RESULT:FOR FUCKS SAKE......!! , BACKED KELLS BELLE both times this season and lost , leave it today and suddenly it finds a heart, the fucking twat!!!...sigh..usual Saturday bollocks, what is it bout me and Saturdays....?...might have this as a day off in future.....;-@@
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RACE 2....

Sandown Park 13:35 
32Red Poker Juvenile Hurdle

...Another small field but tight , very tight with exposed, improving and unknown horses!!..the main protagonists are ...
1.COLEBROOKE
Easily sets the standard here , the one to beat but is now looking exposed  , certainly not a graded racer and looks to me to be a future hcap project , will win again when dropped in class but is up against 2 potentially top class horses here from King and Henderson.
2.FIRE FIGHTER
Very interesting recruit to the winter game and one that i am quite keen on , been punted all morning long and is now joint fav , this has won at and over 2m for M Prescott on the flat and if he jumps ok will be a very tough nut to crack , IF the jumping is solid this is the one to beat.
3.SOLIWERY
A tasty french import for senor Henderson, these imports can quite often be useful are usually race fit  and are often under or over bet, now ive spoke to henderson jnr this morning and the word is that this is a nice sort that jumps well , gets the trip well and moves nicely but in all honesty they have no idea how good or bad it is this is one of those races that they would class as a fact finding mission and ive spoken to Ian Kellit my man in france to evaluate this form in more detail and the word is that the form is nothing and has stated the horse could be a dog and not one that excites him.

CONCLUSION:On the basis of my conversations this morning , the market and the race make up , im predicting a winning start for FIRE FIGHTER and make this a SILVER rated bet , but would also recommend the DUTCH on the top 2 as i simply cannot see anything else winning and at 2.42/2.86 offers enough value to get excited , this is a borderline gold/silver rated bet i would say that its just about a SILVER rated bet.

RESULT:
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RACE 3.

Wincanton 13:20 
Bathwick Tyres Novices' Hurdle
£5000.00 added, 4yo plus, 2m 6f, Class 4

...

Friday, 6 January 2012

TOO BUSY TODAY ..;=/

However i will give you 1 GOLD rated bet today and that is APPEALING in the 16:15 @ Wolverhampton.

RESULT : 1ST @ 1.51...Boom !!!

Thursday, 5 January 2012

Its a Tree Blowing Thursday...

Wow what a few days of weather incred , the wind has been mental with a few lashings of rain and its bitter cold...roll on spring!!.
Onto today's racing an uninspiring day tbh however i will be highlighting 7 races today all of which fall into my remit as its quite often the case on these poorer days i make my best profits for the week ;-)...

1.13:00 LUDLOW  - Jubilee Restaurant Juvenile Maiden Hurdle
£3500.00 added, 4yo only, 2m, Class 5
..The first horse to mention is Memorabilia a fair sort on the flat for M Johnston and another useful recruit that's gone into the Ferguson yard , ran well over hurdles 1st time only getting collared after it clattered thru the last fence but then on its 2nd run led them all a merry dance and looked every bit the winner for 1m6f then weakened very quickly and it is this main lack of stamina i find worrying and on that basis i will be taking this on today , but what with, well there are 5 that could potentially take him on and they are..
1.ALAYIR
A fair sort for J Oxx who has won over 1m4f and would be slightly the best of these on the flat although thats not saying much with the top rated being only around 80 but E Williams is a canny trainer and he rarely trains out and out rubbish there are a lot of " ifs " concerning a few of these in this race and the most obv if is " if they stay ", which applies to all 5 mentioned , if this stays i would expect it to be in the shake up but on past form it would be guessing a bit to say whether or not it can win , imo place at best.

2.CORSICAN BOY
This is an interesting runner formerly with R Charlton which won over 7f @ Kempton its overall profile is one that would suggest this switching of codes could be the making of him , was certainly only modest on flat with an undeserved rating of 77 but did look like a horse that would enjoy the change , i think this will certainly be in the mix come the business end.

3.NOVA SAM
This is what you may call the dark horse in the race , superbly bred and purchased by the dragon that is Peter Jones , this has been doing most of its racing in France and is very much the unexposed horse , the betting may tell its own story.

4.ORTHODOX LAD
Another low level Hcapper , watching this race does not give the impression that either jumping or any trips of 2m+ would be ideal , no lay or back with this a watching brief only.

5.FLYING PHOENIX
This has imo the best form on offer ( current ) was full of running at the end of its race and jumped well , looks a horse with some future but at wht level? , it was a fairly weakish race it ran in so not much can be said , personally i am expecting a strong race from this today.

CONCLUSION:A tricky race and one in which im not keen on the Fav ( although @ 4.0 its now 2nd fav ) ....whilst typing thinking 4.0 is tempting but you have to ask yourself why is a horse with this level of form such a big price and drifting? , i only have a BRONZE rated bet for this race and that bet is a PLACE only DUTCH on ALAYIR & FLYING PHOENIX @ 3.2/3.7 i think this is a good value bet and the one in which i feel offers the most value.

RESULT:Firstly a BOOM!! as Flying Phoenix came home a good third and secured me a tasty win , however the " shock " was the winner , not the horse but the price , MEMORABILIA won at an amazing price of 6.4 and also hit and got backed at 250.0 in running, one can only surmise that its last run where it weakened badly was an anomaly as it stayed on like a champion in this race...once again 250.0 in running , unbelievable!! , Corsican boy ran a great race fto only just succumbing by 1/2 length this will be winning races and the 3rd another 3 lengths back has a future, nova sam and orthodox lad both ran well and will improve.

Ludlow 1.00
 1st4 Memorabilia5-1
 2nd2 Corsican Boy11-4 F
 3rd9 Flying Phoenix8-1

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RACE 2.
LUDLOW 15:30 Ludlow Members Club Room Maiden Hurdle
£4000.00 added, 4yo plus, 2m 5f, Class 4
..An interesting race in which PERSIAN SNOW is hot hot fav on the back of a fair run its bumper and an unplaced effort behind graded class steps to freedom , but in a race that offers so much in the way of variables it is impossible to suggest that this is a back bet , it has shown nothing to suggest that its a 1.6 chance , so i think we will look elsewhere for some value.
Taking on the fav is just as tricky with such a dirge of opposition , my two main suggestions would be ZAHIRAH MOON and ENDOFDISCUSSION both would expected to trouble the fav the most but are they backable?, imo at the current prices i would say no and there is no place value.

CONCLUSION : The fav is far to short @ 1.6 and with either the opposition and / or the prices looking weak i offer no alternative , my bet in this race would be a BRONZE rated LAY on PERSIAN SNOW.

RESULT : Zahirah Moon wins and the Fav is UNPLACED...Boom, Boom..
Ludlow 3.30Full Result
 1st16 Zahirah Moon7-2
 2nd4 Changing The Guard20-1
 3rd6 Giveitachance (IRE)100-1

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RACE 3.
LUDLOW 16:00 200 Annual Membership Standard Open NH Flat Race
£3000.00 added, 4-6yo, 2m, Class 6
..This should all be about NEW YEARS EVE , the new Bloomfields recruit should be different class to the rest , costing £120,000 and with a pedigree which screams class i make this my NAP for today.

CONCLUSION: NEW YEARS EVE for me is a GOLD RATED bet £150 @ 1.7

RESULT = 1ST @ 8/13 = WON £105

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RACE 4.
LINGFIELD 13:50 Tandridge Maiden Hurdle
£3000.00 added, 4yo plus, 2m 110y, Class 5
..A race lacking in depth any real quality , this race should be settled by either ASHBRITTLE or Tindaro , with preference for the former and likely favourite , best of these on the flat , likes the soft ground, ran really well lto/fto and this looks an ideal opportunity for him to make his mark , if the fav fluffs his lines i would expect Tindaro to take advantage , the interesting horse here is Marcus Antonius a decent stayer on the flat, a thorough stayer that jumped dreadfully on its debut and if anything looked quite apathetic , at big odds it may well worth having an ew flutter  at 60.0 is worth  a dabble in the trade market.....remember only a couple of things need happen in this race and its bang there, at huge odds its worth  a look.

CONCLUSION: ASHBRITTLE is a SILVER RATED back bet , personally i will be having a nibble on ashbrittle and a trade on marcus antonius.

RESULT:BOOOM!!, ASHBRITTLE WINS!!, but even better was the trade on MARCUS ANTONIUS ( 3rd ) , backed @ 60.0 and layed @ 15.5 , 12.5 and 10.0 good race for me!.

Lingfield 1.50
 1st1 Ashbrittle4-5 F
 2nd3 Charm School9-4
 3rd5 Marcus Antonius25-1

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RACE 5.Sedgefield 12:40 
John Wade Earthworks & Demolition Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier)
£4000.00 added, 4yo plus, 2m 4f, Class 4
..This to me looks like a 2 horse race and i have to be honest i cannot believe that i can get 2.42 on JUDICIARY!! , This with ALL THAT REMAINS are imo the only 2 in this race.

CONCLUSION: This is a GOLD rated DUTCH on JUDICIARY & ALL THAT REMAINS @ 2.42 / 3.15 , great value for this.

RESULT: Well firstly a shock in this first race of the day with Alpha Victor winning @ 40.0! ,however as both of my 2 that i dutched both went low odds on in running ( 1.16 ) i traded out in running for a very nice profit , for those of you that back and dont have that ability im sorry , for everyone else...i hope you did trade out!
Sedgefield 12.40
 1st3 Alpha Victor (IRE)28-1
 2nd7 Saga De Tercey (FR)7-2
 3rd2 All That Remains (IRE)5-4 F

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RACE 6.Sedgefield 15:40 
digibet.com Standard Open NH Flat Race
£2200.00 added, 4-6yo, 2m 1f, Class 6
..a RACE DEVOID OF ANYTHING THAT CAN BRING ABOUT ANY REAL ENTHUSIASM, i would say the Greatrex runner , the likely fav is the most likely winner , but that is only based upon his ability with bumper runners and not the horses breeding plus the opposition looks dire , the only other that looks like it can win is WALKABOUT CREEK.

CONCLUSION: This is a race made for a Dutch and with this my bet here will a GOLD rated DUTCH with Walkabout Creek and Chain Reactor @ 2.7 and 3.9 , £75 on each.

RESULT: Boom Again!!!!...
Sedgefield 3.40
 1st1 Chain Reactor7-1
 2nd6 Walkabout Creek (IRE)8-11 

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RACE 7.Wolverhampton 16:40 
Enjoy The Punters Package Group Offer Median Auction Maiden Stakes
£2500.00 added, 3-5yo, 5f 216y, Class 6
..This race has a warm fav and likely winner in Marcus Augustus however i have had a " word " for a runner here and that is the Fahey Horse HENRY BEE.

CONCLUSION: Going against my own thoughts here and listening to the word , i will be having a SILVER rated EW bet here.

RESULT: BOOM!! that is great!!.3rd @ 6.32
 Wolverhampton 4.40Full Result
 1st8 Pettochside25-1
 2nd7 Marcus Augustus (IRE)4-5 F
 3rd6 Henry Bee9-2

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WOW ...what a day , 7 winning races from 7!!!...Ker fucking ching!!.....

Wednesday, 4 January 2012

Quirky Potatoes

Indeed lol , another fine day today with some lovely sand action and today we have 3 great races to look at.

Lets start with the races...

1.LINGFIELD 13:20 - £3500.00 added, 3-4yo, 7f, Class 5
A Trappy little race for 3 and 4 yr old maidens that will no doubt involve horses that have either under achieved , been hard to train or just plain poor.
Originally 8 runners we are now down to 6 after 2 withdrew so there could be fun to be had on the betfair EW market which still pays top 3.

1.FORCEFUL APPEAL
An interesting sort that has been racing in France although its last run was for the new stable and it was over 1m at this track and just beaten a short head after travelling very well i feel that if this form can be repeated this has every chance with certain place possibilities.

2.PRINCESS WILLOW
Has a couple of fair efforts in its history but its overall profile is very poor i would be shocked if this 53 rated beast could upset any of the placings.

3.QUEEN OF HEAVEN
A nice looking sort out of mr greeley who ran a shocker tbh fto over 6f , never really a factor and a well beaten 5th , this may do better with exp and over this longer trip but for me i think needs at least 1m+ , cant see it getting involved .

4.HENRY CLAY
A well bred sort from the " always trying " yard of Mark Johnston , ran ok fto over 1m @ Brighton but didnt do anything to suggest this is an obvious odds on choice and tbh i would never back an MJ runner @ odds on in a maiden and more so over this 7f , yes it does have a chance which can be described as obvious as most jolly's do but this is a no no for me.

5.ARCHINA
Ran as tho it really needed the race fto and Baldings horses do improve for a run ( as do most , but his strike rate with 2nd and 3rd runs is higher than ave ) but do i see this being an 80+ rated horse? , probably not , this is a hard one to decide upon as it could be open to any amount of improvement at a biggish price will wait to see if there is any late money for this.

6.SWEETEST FRIEND
This for me is easily the most intriguing horse in the line up , a very well bred sort ( holy Roman emperor ) and owned by the trainer i would suggest it may well need further to be seen at its best not gambled on yet also makes me think that today is not the day however a big run wouldnt surprise.

CONCLUSION: I dont like Henry Clay @ 1.8 and i would make this a BRONZE LAY , imo i think FORCEFUL APPEAL looks the most likely winner but his would only be a SILVER rated bet , my bet in this race is a SILVER rated PLACE ONLY DUTCH on QUEEN OF HEAVEN & ARCHINA @ 2.6 and 3.0 this is where i feel the value is and this is all about making profit not just finding winners, £150 on each.


Result:As predicted Henry Clay got outgunned and could only manage a poor second , the place backs were poor but in all honesty i traded out my place bets after Queen of Heaven drifted from 12.5 to 50.0!!...that was a signal to trade out , i ended up just having the lay on Henry Clay , but in all Honesty i cant work out why i didnt actually back the winner Forceful Appeal ?? , as i couldnt see anything else winning i didnt lose much i just didnt win as much as i should have , still a wins a win....

Lingfield 1.20
 1st1 Forceful Appeal (USA)7-4
 2nd4 Henry Clay8-13 F

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RACE 2.
14:50 LINGFIELD  £3500.00 added, 3yo plus, 5f, Class 5
..Another all age maiden that will throw up some tricky types.

This really is a 2 Horse race and will only concern Magilini and PALE ORCHID , the latter has easily the best form and unless Magilini can improve around 16lbs the 2nd berth looks like his.

CONCLUSION : PALE ORCHID is a confident GOLD rated bet £100 win

Result -1ST - PALE ORCHID @ 1.33 ( won £33 )

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Race 3.
16:00 KEMPTON £2500.00 added, 3yo only, 6f, Class 6
.A lower grade race than the other two however it would appear a lot stronger albeit with only the 6 runners


1.PRINCE GABRIEL
A likeable sort that ran a bit of a shocker fto slowly away and never in contention , was tenderly handled and it can be gteed that there is a whole lot more to come from this .

2.PROFIT AGAIN
A nice looking sort from the Balding yard that on breeding will need a stiffer test than this , that said the conundrum with maidens is just this , partly guessing , partly watching the markets , using your knowledge of racing to assume a horses role via breeding  and occasionally a few other variables , for me this wont be involved in the finish.

3.SAINT BONIFACE
Again another one that had a very ponderous start and a bit of a school for its first run , will improve but again not one im keen on.

4.BY INVITATION
This has a great chance , it has some rock solid form lto over 7f it was winning at the 6f pole , has Crowley in the saddle and is one i like very much here.

5.GEM OF WIZDOM
This would only interest me if there was a lot of money around for it as pfi cole has quite a poor record with all his horses fto and isnt in any real form at the mo.

6.LIKE THE NIGHT
This has easily the best form of any of these with a good looking 2nd lto over this trip at Wolverhampton and there have been winners from that race already giving the form a rock solid look , this looks easily the most likely winner.

CONCLUSION : This looks to be a straight form battle between By Invitation and LIKE THE NIGHT , with the latter holding the best chance however at the odds of both of these i like the DUTCH @ 2.7 and 3.5 , this is only a SILVER rated bet and as such the stakes will be slightly lower so just £60 on each.


RESULT:
 Kempton 4.00
 1st4 By Invitation (USA)4-6 F
 2nd6 Like The Night5-1


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Boom, Boom and Treble BOOM!!, cleaned up on all 3 races today , fantastic stuff, maybe this close concentration is the key, keep to my niche and let the rest go......long may it continue ;-))

Tuesday, 3 January 2012

Morning Fuckers....

Morning All , well let me say firstly that we will only be having the one race meeting today , this is in my view due to the high winds and lashing rain however The race course gave their official reason as " no working PA " , are they taking the piss ? , come on guys if your gonna cancel make the reason a good one!!.
So we have just the one race to concentrate on today , the 12:55 there are currently 7 runners with an odds on fav , will the race offer any value?..lets have a look...

1.ARRIVADERCI -
1M13S.86 - + 4 LENGTH - This is by and large a slowboat , with uninspiring times , a poor PAS rating and a style of running that offers nothing to suggest that this is a horse with a future, it has a few seconds to its name but was well beaten every time and never looked like winning , imo 6f is the minimum for this and may be better served when stepped upto 7f or even a mile .

2.DARCY MAY -
Offers nothing , breeding is poor , its fto run over 7f doesnt even qualify it for a rating , the only positive for this is the booked jockey , g gibbons but im afraid even he wont be able to conjure anything from this , it does make me wonder why they even bother training horses as shit as this? , maybe its getting some exp before going hurdling, but that is just a guess , but that said a friend of mine owns a horse called chester deelyte , this is trained by wainwright and is a complete dog and the slowest thing ive ever seen however it has won 3 equally wank races @ 33/1, 18/1 and 25/1...so if that can win anything can win!!

3.LA DANSE CHAMPETRE -
Oh My!!...worse than Darcy May....Nuff said!

4.BLAUGRANA -
This exceed and excel filly deserves to win this on breeding alone , fortunately this breeding is backed up by a decent fto run over 7f , ran with a lot of pace that day and at the 6f mark looked to have every chance ( this is a 6f maiden ) , ran with a lot of promise , looks sure to improve and coming from the in form Gosden yard looks to have a very obvious chance notwithstanding the excellent strike rate that Gosden has at the track.

5.DIAMOND FINESSE -
Thsi is not that far behind the likely fav ( above ) ran a fair race lto over 7f after showing up really well for 6f , running strong for 5f, and only just weakening out after the 6f pole again suggesting this trip will be right up its street is ok on breeding coming from the illustrious family of cadeaux generaux , this imo will certainly have a say in the outcome and if the fav fails this will surely be picking up the pieces.

6.MISS BLOOM -
Totally discount , pointless reviewing this piece of shit.

7.ROMANY SPIRIT -
This outside of the fav is the most interesting as coming from the trempilino family will likely be suited by the fibresand and 2 runs ago ran really well over this trip just getting pipped a sh and a nose in a decent time then lto was upped in class and put into a nursery ( 2yr old h'cap ) but ran shockingly @ well fancied 11/2 coming last after never being involved this is a bit of a conundrum , if it can reproduce its run for 2 runs back then it surely has every chance here of over turning the fav , but that is a big if as its first three runs it was sent off at 20/1 , 200/1 and 200/1 so was obv not that highly thought off however it has also since changed stables and is having its first run for the Ward yard, will the change work? , can Wardy work the oracle?....will it be in the mood for it?...many questions to answer.....

CONCLUSION : BLAUGRANA looks at this stage the most reliable option , its has fewer questions to answer and less to prove , in all honesty i think this can win without improving it only needs to be able to reproduce its fto effort to win imo , i think Diamond Finesse and romany spirit will give it a toe through the race but come the 5f marker the race will open up and i expect the FAV to show his true colours , not a selection that really requires great contemplation but the case for it is overwhelming., my bet is £100 win @ 1.74 ( Gold Bet )


Result : Booom!! , wages easily attained for today as it wins by a very easy 3 1/2 lengths , wish they all as easy as that! ( wins @ 1.51 )

 Southwell 12.55
 1st4 Blaugrana (IRE)4-9 F
 2nd1 Arrivaderci8-1

Monday, 2 January 2012

Good Morning All..,

Here we are , start of a new year with new adventures , today was  fairly decent start i actually thought i had the winner for a long way yesterday as Billy Merriot hit 1.04 in running!!! , but the real fun begins today and lets see how much roll we can attain, some key factors for now whilst following the elements ( bronze,silver and gold ) i will limit the nos of bets to 3 per day max ( for now ) with the stakes being at various levels but based  around a £1000 bank , i will produce a separate points result for all the win bets at intervals thru the year ( probably monthly ) .
So our " main " race today is the 13:20 @ Southwell.
This was a 7 now 6 runner event where only 4 have any chance of winning , the 4 protagonists are...

1.VEHEMENT -
This is in all honesty a bit of a slowboat , its been trying its luck over the sticks and has 1 run on the flat and that was over a mile , never really in contention and staying on at the end , as you would expect , i would more interested in this if it was over 2m as i just cannot see it having the pace for a well run 1m4f.

2.CHABADA -
A former HRAC inmate with obvious limited ability , but it is curious as to why the " DR " has purchased this outcast ? , and why he sent it to nick williams ? , its speed ratings put it clear 2nd best but it has never raced on the surface, if it acts on the fibresand it has every chance if coming on for the run.

3.EYEDORO -
Another from the " always trying " Mark Johnston production line , it has some fair form in the bag but its times and ratings are very poor for me this has a lot to do to get competitive as this has shown up well in most of its races only to dramatically weaken out , wont like a battle and cant quicken , other than its lto run , the 3 previous runs its had have resulted in him trading at 1.66 , 1.73 and 1.35 in running , so possibly a good trading point? , with the resolute Fanning onboard and @ 5.9 currently i would suggest its a fairly good bet for a trade , the stats say yes.( Traded at 1.3 and was unplaced )

4.BRAVESTOFTHEBRAVE -
A good looking sort out of Victoria Cross who was in turn out of Mark of Esteem , who was a very nice animal and his progeny dont mind the AW at all.
This ran a belter over CD last time out just being pipped by another MJ horse ( shieldmaiden ) this was his first start over 1m4f and had a poor start , was slowly away and was being pushed along after 3f , however it did quicken up after some galvanising and the front two pulled 8 lengths clear of the 3rd , only having gone down by a SH it was unlucky in the end , this is an obvious call .

CONCLUSION : I really do think that Bravestofthebrave is an absolute stand out here , has easily the best form , likes the trip , likes the ground , stable in form , tick tick tick....but im a bit perplexed as to why its still 2.1? , i would like to think its a standing dish , but my aim is to make profit and imo we have a GOLD STANDARD bet here and that bet is a dutch on both BRAVESTOFTHEBRAVE ( 2.1 ) and Chabada ( 3.5 ) , with my bet being £250 win on each , this returns a profit of either £23.75 or £356.25 , with their being so much on chabada i will also put an in running lay of £100 @ 2.42 , £50 @ 2.0 and £75 @ 1.42 , imo you can forget the rest , this is a 2 horse race , a gteed little earner.
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The 2nd race for today will be the 12:20 @ Ayr , where i expect SUPER DUTY to beat NUTS and BOLTS ( SILVER BET ) , And the 3rd and final race for today is the 12:55 @ Ayr where i like GUESS AGAIN  ( EW GOLD BET ), its quite a warm race and one in which the front three all look to have a solid chance , But on info i have received i have every reason to be gteed a  top run from the selection.
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BET SUMMARY:
1.GOLD DUTCH - BOOOM!! - CHABADA 1ST @ 4.5!!! ...WOW! ( fav WENT OFF AT 1.64 ) = WON £132.75
2.SILVER WIN - FELL at last when leading .....;-(
3.GOLD EW - 2nd @ 7.84 ( needs further, follow over further in same grade or lower )
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NOTE: Regarding the 13:20 @ Southwell , as stated Eyedoro had previously traded low odds on 3/4 runs , it did indeed trade at a very low 1.31 again before folding and running unplaced.

Sunday, 1 January 2012

Happy New Year

Afternoon and happy new year all , running a bit late at mo , had a groggy head then a keyboard malfunction, so for today i will keep this brief....Exeter 12:40 : EW- SILVER BET - BILLY MERRIOT - 

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