Tennis Update..

Yes my update not Nadal's lol , Had a rather crappy day in the office to go with a rather swingy day yesterday ( sry Mike ) and rounded the day off by blast a quick 3 setter out with Marc...Played pretty well tbh and im starting to get a few more alternative returns in , LOST 3-6 3-6 as Marc played very well again and serving strong , im not far behind but far enough..one day son..one day!!...but in all honesty i couldnt really concentrate that well as my mind was still racing with thoughts and angst over some poor decision making by me today...you never stop learning and continually evolve..The blog has been quiet this week due to my Intensive 121 trading with mr X and as im enjoying the banter and newly found friendship this will probably remain so until we get a big meeting in like royal Ascot etc..A lot of my personal thoughts, tips and Info selections have been getting Posted up on our " secret " Facebook page, feel free to add me and join in as there are some tips and advice being posted by other members.
George Moorey if your reading this i hope your well mate and have recovered from the nasty incident in the car...Tmrw Day racing is rather flat but tmrw night will be mental as we have 3 good meetings and the England game ;-)...so until later ttfn x

Morning All ;-)

Been busy this week thus far doing some active 121 trading and offering help , assistance and advice to a friend  
and its been very rewarding and many ways certainly makes my " working week " much more enjoyable and if anything actually gives me a greater focus , results thus far ( most of ) have been posted up and make good reading , looking forward to another solid day , will probably be back with a full race card for tmrw , if anyone would like a specific card posting , please ask , i will post the first one requested , have a great day all , c ya tmrw ;-)

Tennis Pains...

Back from another arduous session with Marc and was all set for a fantastic 5 set thriller Win with the scores at 6-4 , 1-6 ,  6-3 , 3-6 , 5-5 i had to retire after 3 hours as my stomach was cramping so bad i couldnt serve, move or breath properly ...very disappointing end to one of the best games ive even been involved in , Marc was superb and his usual consistent self and i was blowing hot and cold mixing brilliant with bafoonary in the same games....will take a rest now for a few days and rest my weary body and recuperate , wp Marc.
Trading today will be done all on the fly....and its now time for work ttfn...

Chantilly 15:15 Prix Du Jockey Club (Group 1)

Good Afternoon all , todays preview of the French Derby comes courtesy of my man in France IDK , who himself is a Trainer/Breeder and friend to many most notably Raymond Tooth , Guy Reed and Malcom Denmark , with a wealth of Knowledge, Experience and skill and with more contacts than the CIA it always pays to listen to my French Mole ( who funnily enough used to live in a small Village in Selby called Barlby many moons ago ).
Firstly he rates KESAMPOUR very highly and expects this to get placed at the minimum , a solid stayer with distance winning form from a good draw that won its trial in good fashion with a cosy head to spare over Albion , he also likes Top Trip a wonderful looking Dubai Destination colt that has some very tidy form and is well deserved of his place in this exalted line up and finally Saint Baudolino a speedily bred Pivotal colt that has winning form over both course and distance and should be in the mix up at the end.
So there you have it albeit rather briefly your 3 against the field , good luck if your playing today.

Also on that card in the 16:00 is a very interesting match up between Aitken and Dunaden and on the rain softened ground should be a good race.

Elsewhere today we have 2 rather staid looking NH cards and a so so meeting from Nottingham where only the maidens interest me as it is often used as a good testing ground and the most interesting newcomer today has to be ALHEBAYEB a rare 2 yr old for Hannon from Owner Hamden al Maktoum costing £170,000 and being from Dark Angel is bound to have pace a plenty and with only Clean Blow to beat should easily be good enough to blow these away , and the other Maiden features a Galileo Filly that ran no race and was effectively pulled up fto , off for 3/4 of a year , this would have strengthened and grown up and i should imagine a vastly better run will be due to day this horse is DALKOVA from the mega owner that is Nigel Tinkler and trained by the maestro Hannon at 10.0 its worth an EW punt of anyones money.

Over in NH world in the first at Uttoxeter MISS EXHIBITIONIST would have surely won had she not hit the last ( going down by 4L ) a first win beckons and it could well be today 3.8 is a fair price although too short for a proper EW bet could be played as a single or an EW treble with the 2 Hannon runners.

Thats it for this damp , wet and Miserable Sunday , small trading today ( already bagged a few quid on the tennis ) then getting ready for a good ol' BH weekend mega sesh with me bestio Sledge!....tmrw, weather permitting im playing tennis against Andrew Jaques and then if hes upto it Sledge...so could be a tiring ol day , a probs a nice day off for me , charge my batts up before having some 121 with MB...a grand ol week beckons...ttfn x

**UPDATES - MISS EXHIBITIONIST - 3RD @ 4.40
                      - ALHEBAYEB                 - 1ST @ 1.50
      ** French Derby 3 v The field resulted in a 2nd , 4th and a 5th , not a bad result although the winner was a freakish 617.00 on Betfair lol...

EPSOM DERBY

Yes its that time already...wow!!..how time flies by , it feels like only 5mins ago i was hurraring and heralding the start of the new flat season and already its June.....where does it all go?!.
So we move onto today and a grandiose day it is , its DERBY DAY , the richest race to be run in the UK and we have the lowest priced fav for probably 50 years ( not sure on exact date but im thinking around the 50's ) and currently 1.67 , i will be taking this on for sure!.for me although it has " winner " written all over it it is also one of the best lays of the year...exciting times.
Only Nabbed 3 winners on yesterday card but it was enough to secure another profit wielding day and the lays were thankfully very good a tiny tweak and it all comes together...can we do as good today?? , for a start of i will be " out of the office " till around 14:30 as im playing Tennis against Sledge this afternoon , so i will be taking a very leisurely approach to the trading today this is also in part to the fact that i am now smashing it as much as i can Mon-Fri and looking at having the weekends off...People may say " your crazy , thats the busiest part of the week "...Busy doesnt bother me tho , i can make as much money on a shitty Monday as i can on a 10 card Bank Holiday...its all relative as i work to a target and that can be met on a single card and i want to restore some semblance of structure to my life by treating my working week as just that and not being locked away in my office for 12 hours a day , 7 days a week...i think the new way is the best way , the week ends are my playtime...
Ok then as its Derby day it would be Folly not to produce a card for today , so here goes....

**************************EPSOM*****************************

RACE 1
BACK - WROTHAM HEATH - 1st @ 6.60
EW - OPEN WATER -
OUTSIDER - FENNELL BAY -
*A brilliantly tough start to the day with a 1m2f  Hcap where we see quite a large gap in weights but not ability from top to bottom , the whole field is made up of Improvers , potential and winners with a dash of class sprinkled on most so as you can imagine this is going to be very tough nailing some profit from this....Let me start with WROTHAM HEATH a horse bred in the purple and looked to have the world at his feet but has been slightly disappointing  thus far but i do feel his stamina was stretched lto and he showed he doesnt stay 1mf , this drop back to 1m2f will be ideal as he was tanking at this point in his last race and has to be given another chance with the Cecil team starting to fire out the winners and at 8.8 looks very tasty indeed and will be my main EW bet in this.
Nailing anything else is proving rather difficult but i do feel with some race fitness tucked away Open Water could well for the delightful Hayley Turner along with the nicely treated Fennell Bay.
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RACE 2
BACK - EUXTON HALL -
EW - HEAVY METAL - 2nd @ 4.20
OUTSIDER - LIBER - 3rd @ 6.42
*Now its the turn of the 2yr olds to shine and we have a small field ( 7 runners remain ) 6f stakes race but one that is super tight and none can be confidently ruled out , the three selections have been selected on the speed ratings i have issued for this race , analysis not required , there will be nothing in this.
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RACE 3
BACK - ST NICHOLAS ABBEY - 1st @ 1.92
EW - RED CADEAUX - 2nd @ 11.50
OUTSIDER - MASKED MARVEL - ( 3rd @ 10.50 )
*Coronation Cup time and will St Nick get another great losing ride , probs not as the Irish racing Mafia cant control this and this will be a true run race and in all honesty St Nick should win this as easily as he likes , that said i am a fan od Red Cadeaux , Masked Marvel is not without ability as he showed when winning last years St Leger and Beaten Up from Cumani should improve on his opening run at Meydan...Will i be taking the 1.64 on St Nicholas Abbey.....Not a chance!!!....THE BET in this race for me is a PLACE DUTCH on Red Cadeaux and Masked Marvel at 3.5 & 4.4 , ok its only paying top 2 , or rather 1 spot as St Nick is expected to win but you have 2 runners trying to beat beaten up and i like my chances , i think this is a great bet.
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RACE 4 ( pays top 4 )
BACK - CATFISH - 3rd @ 9.77
EW - TAAJUB - 4th @ 50.0
OUTSIDER - CAPTAIN DUNNE -
*And it just doesnt get any easier as we now have the " DASH " over the 5f and its a big field which only a PIN will help you find the winner....
This again is a race where i look to my core speed ratings and the selections i will be having have been selected on the adjusted ratings i have issued.
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RACE 5 *Epsom Downs 16:00 

Investec Derby (Group 1)

£1325000.00 added, 3yo only, 1m 4f 10y, Class 1*
BACK - CAMELOT - 1st @  1.87
EW - THOUGHT WORTHY - ( 4th @ 22.81 )
OUTSIDER - MAIN SEQUENCE - 2nd @ 13.53
*Now its time for the BIG one the Derby and this all revolves around Camelot who in essence is the winner and has been backed accordingly however 1.67 for a horse that has yet to prove it actually stays is mighty short and i will like the Oaks Yesterday be looking to take it on Lets look at the runners...

1.CAMELOT - Likely winner that carries a big reputation after being super hyped through the winter , won the 2000 Guineas a shade cosily after a lot of people thought he had left it too late!....he does look like the sort that would enjoy the step up but to what degree? , Breeding says yes but i just cannot have it at those odds....Lay for me at this price and take it on the chin if as expected it wins...

2.THOUGHT WORTHY - This is my Idea of the winner , Beat a brilliant Yardstick in Noble Mission over 1m2f and wasnt for stopping which can be backed up thru breeding as his half brother is St Leger winner Lucarno , this will get every yard of the trip , will handle the course , likes the ground and has Buick riding who as he showed yesterday knows how to ride Epsom as well as anybody and at 23.0 is an outstanding EW selection against the fav.

3.BONFIRE - Another hyped " super " horse but this did go some way to justifying the black type and the plethora of printed words when winning the Dante and is another that should be bang there for most although i am still hesitant as to whether or not this truly stays , i feel this will probably be 4th or 5th.

4.ASTROLOGY - Another from the AOB conveyor belt of class and this won its trial the DEE stakes by 11 lengths but beat little of note although i really liked the way it run and i do feel this will stay but will have to go under the banner of " Dark Horse " as i just dont know what to make of it just now and will write off some parts of form , could ? run a big race but for now this will hold only a watching brief.

5.RUGGED CROSS - Was behind Thought Worthy lto and i see no reason at all for any form reversals , thats not to say this couldnt do a " Terimon " and sneak a place at huge odds.... just highly unlikely.

6.MINIMISE RISK - Slightly out of his depth here and will not turn the form of his running behind Mickdaam , no hoper for me.

7.MICKDAAM - This is a horse i love to bits and it has run some great races but i do feel it is exposed enough now to suggest this wont be winning today but i would not be surprised to see this battle its way into 3rd.....

8.MAIN SEQUENCE - Was just a lowly Hcapper last year but has improved massively over the last year and this step up to the big leagues is well in order and won cosily enough lto to suggest there is a lot more to come from this , could easily make the frame , could possibly win , i wouldnt be surprised.

9.CAVALEIRO - Sorry Hayley but this has no chance at all....


CONCLUSION: Camelot is the likely winner based on hype and betting but i will gladly be taking this on and i will be doing so with THOUGHT WORTHY & MAIN SEQUENCE EW , i will also be laying the fav  and happy to take the loss shud it win.
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RACE 6 ( Pays top 4 )
BACK - COMMUNICATOR - 4th @ 5.30
EW - QUIZ MISTRESS -
OUTSIDER - LAYLINE -
* Very much after the lord mayors show we have another 1m4f Hcap with a variety of shudda cudda wuddas on show and i will not tolerate anything here that has yet to win over the distance which somewhat narrows the field right down...we now have just 9 runners that interest me for this , now i only want horses that have already run this season...that gets rid of another 4 leaving just 5 now....the two bottom weights i dont feel will quite good enough so we have a natural selection of three....
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RACE 7 ( Pays top 4 )
BACK - SWISS CROSS - 4th @ 29.69
EW - PISCEAN -
OUTSIDER - LUI REI - 1st @ 11.27
*And finally a 6f Cavalry Charge as the getting out stakes....no analysis here just using my Magic Pin...
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2 From our Tracker List

We have 2 Runners tmrw from our Tracker List and i will REC' a MAX EW DOUBLE , Plus singles ( or include in your own bets ) , both are better than there grade and both will run big races.
1.CLAYTON ( Clayton ) 2nd @ 9.80 ( just beaten )
2.MINCE ( Mince  )

Its the OAKS ;-)

Yes Indeed now the Classics are in full Swing with the Oaks today and the DERBY tomorrow , exciting times indeed and i feel im just hitting some form again at the right time as the Cards for both days look very competitive as you would expect.
Yesterday was a sparkling day on the back bet front with 2 placed and 4 winners including the finale at 10.0 which made for a very good day although tbh afternoon drinking ( i had a couple yesterday with an old friend ) really doesnt agree with me and i ended up with a mid/late afternoon hangover which made it harder work than i would have liked as everything seems an effort when your not 100%.
The country has at some stage been swathed in some well needed rain so all courses should be carrying a bit of juice which should make for proper and true racing conditions ( yay! ).
Nice to see the great Usain Bolt storming back to form and clocking the fastest time this year over 100m , he looks nailed on take the 100m crown at the Olympics and probably the 200m as well which takes better advantage of his giant stride.
Right back to todays racing and i will obviously be concentrating on Epsom and i think as its a special couple of days we heading into a full card is in order.

*****************************EPSOM OAKS****************************

RACE 1 
BACK - JOVIALITY - 2nd @ 6.88
EW - CLINICAL - 1st @ 8.99
OUTSIDER - BOASTFUL -
*A typically tough start with a 1m Class 1 Charge and the field is very strong , only 8 runners but not one can be entirely ruled out and form of both the straight and lateral types are abound.
Barefoot Lady left its fto 4th form behind when running better next time behind Izzi Top but that was over 1m2f and back over this 1m i feel she will again be found out.Laytime looked very progressive last year and went up 24 lbs in the process and will have to prove A) Shes has trained on, B)Shes fit and ready and C) She is upto racing in this better class fulltime...so still too many questions to answer maybe i feel.
Clinical was 3rd in this race last year and would have been well prepared for this by Sir Mark and is probably the best EW option with JOVIALITY looking like the winner albeit not without questions to answer but does look the sort that will come on with age and is not without ability.
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RACE 2
BACK - GATEWOOD - 1ST @ 3.70
EW - RESURGE -
OUTSIDER - PIVOTMAN -
*Tough looking Hcap next over 1m2f but there is an improver in this field that does interest me greatly and that is GATEWOOD who could easily improve past all of these, lightly raced and on the up this son of mega breeder Galileo will be very hard to beat in this and looks nailed on for a place.
Resurge is also worth great consideration having won this race last year on top of 2 other CD wins so obviously likes it here , and the only other one to cause my eyebrows to raise is Pivotman.
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RACE 3
BACK - WORTHADD ( NAP ) - ( 3rd ) Unplaced ( hit 1.18 )
EW - n/a
OUTSIDER - n/a
*Now its the Diomed stakes and a race full of What , If's and Maybe's....
I cannot make any semblance of a case for any of the runners here bar WORTHADD as they are all either out of form , unreliable , too old or rubbish where as Worthadd did at least win a group 3 in Germany lto and did it well so comes here in fine form and should be just good enough to nose in front.
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RACE 4
BACK - BOOGIE SHOES -
EW - PRINCE JOCK -
OUTSIDER - NORSE BLUES -
*Now we have arguably the toughest race of the day a 1m 17 runner ( paying top 4 ) Hcap with the top half split by not much more than a fag paper!...But i do like BOOGIE SHOES quite a lot and is also one from my tracker list and i do expect a big run from this today.
Prince Jock should also run well with Fallon and a low weight and i also like Norse Blues who is a previous course winner.
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RACE 5 Epsom Downs 16:05 

Investec Oaks (Fillies' Group 1)

£350000.00 added, 3yo only, 1m 4f 10y, Class 1

BACK - KAILANI -
EW - COCQUET -
OUTSIDER - TWIRL -
*A brilliant renewal of this excellent classic and this will be the first " proper " classic this season , full of proper race horses with full form and class.
The three Principals , The Fugue , Maybe and Vow are each superb and i cannot split them so i will take a more hopeful approach and look to take them on with 3 from the field...but which ones?...
Firstly Cocquet @ 28.0 is worth a look having won well over 1m2f lto and showed a good battling heart then we have Twirl who at 60.0 looks desperately in need of this step up in trip and seems to take ages to get fully wound up this could run a big race at a mega price and finally Kailani @ 11.5 which won well and rather easily fto and as the arabs are now finding some form i expect this to come on in leaps and bounds.
*Please note i do expect one of the market 3 to win and am only advising these to " play " against the favs.
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RACE 6
BACK - PRODUCER - 1st @ 3.26
EW - JUSTINEO - ( 3rd @ 4.30 )
OUTSIDER - BALTY BOYS - 2nd @ 4.20
*Now we step down to a more sedate small field C1 7f race where again none can be safely ruled out and this could be all about taking the % call, a good stat for this race is that the Fav has won 6 of the last 10 runnings how ever...the top three are 3.85, 3.85 and 4.0 so that really doesnt help...but what i will be doing is a massive dutch on these three at these prices....this looks like free money.
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RACE 7
BACK - FAMOUS POET -
EW - FIRE SHIP -
OUTSIDER - SHOLAAN -
*And Finally a tricky little Hcap as the getting out stakes and what a puzzle this looks, Fire Ship looks likely to be involved as this runs a genuine race and is a model of consistency , Famous Poet could be the class along with Sholaan and then there is the rapidly improving Laffan that has to give Famous Poet 10lb for a 41/2L beating last time out.....Very Interesting , FIRE SHIP in its last 5 races ( from a total of just 6 ) has won 2 and been 2nd 3 times beaten just a short head , 1.25L and a neck so all very close and i think i will be having some of the 10.5 EW money and lumping the place , Good Luck.
**Hahaha from the four i liked here the one i left out ( Laffan ) won at 9.76 ;-P
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