Wednesday, 20 June 2012

Royal Ascot - Day 2


ASCOT - DAY 2
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RACE 1
WIN - VALBCHEK -
EW - SENTARIL -
LONGSHOT - TELWAAR -
*To start Day 2 off we have a ridic tough Jersey stakes , a 7f charge with 26 runners...this really is Magic Pin time...,The three i like the most here are Firstly VALBCHEK who is on the horses to follow list , this has won both his two races to date in facile fashion and looks like a step up in trip is readily needed , well thought off  and good looking this athletic sort will rise to the top but will it start today? , Secondly i really quite like SENTARIL a highly regarded sort from the Haggas yard that has also won both his two starts with the greatest of ease , this will have no problem with being upped in grade or trip and could prove to be a bit special , and finally i like TELWAAR a strapping son of Haffad that won the European Free Hcap in great style before getting run of his legs in France and with Soumillon taking the ride i fancy this to go well at a decent price ( currently 40.0 but i think will go higher ).
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RACE 2

WIN - CHACHAMAIDEE -
EW - NAHRAIN -
LONGSHOT - EMOULOUS -
*Next up is a strong renewal of the Windsor Forest Stakes over 1m for the older generation and here we have a horse i like very much CHACHAMAIDEE who came 2nd in this race last year after looking the winner with just 1f to go and getting nailed late by Lolly for Dolly  and after an effortless victory fto this campaign i expect her to be ridden up with the pace and forge on a bit later so she cant get distracted, this is not say to say she is a shoo in mind as she faces some stiff competition most notably EMULOUS from D Weld ( IRE ) and NAHRAIN from the Varian stable with the latter winning 4 or her 5 races last term including the Prix de L'Opera and was also a superb 2nd in the Emirates Airline Breeders' Cup Filly And Mare Turf , so she has some rock solid form , this will be a very high quality race and one to saviour.
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RACE 3

WIN - CARLTON HOUSE -
EW - FARHH -
LONGSHOT - RELIABLE MAN -
*The Prince of Wales Stakes now and its over 1m2f and is again for the older generation and here we also have my LOTD in SO YOU THINK currently at 1.95 in a very lop sided market this has to be taken on..why??.. well firstly all the field can improve on what they have shown , they all have potential to run a big race, they all have past or current form to figure and the 2 times that SYT has run here at Ascot it has been beaten and both times it was long odds on , Yes if SYT runs to the very best of his ability and form he should win this but im fucked im taking 1.95 on a what if when there are so many other possibilities in the field , if it wins i will take it like Debbie from Dallas...all over the chin.
So what do i think can win well i will highlight 3 as usual that i personally feel have a chance against the hot fav , Firstly we have CARLTON HOUSE  the queens horse and last years Derby placer a horse that just doesnt quite stay 1m4f but does enjoy every bit of 1m2f which he showed when easily winning the Brigadier Gerard stakes at Sandown lto beating Sagramor and Hunters Light with great ease this could be his true trip and he could easily rule at this trip today will be a true test of his potential and he should show that hes up to it , Secondly , we have RELIABLE MAN who if he can recapture the form when winning the Prix Niel is not without a chance and Finally we have the Highly rated and unbeaten FARHH a horse with any amount of potential and improvement although this is a big jump in class , in all honesty an on song SYT wins but at odds on im happy to take this jolly on..good luck.
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RACE 4

WIN - BOOM AND BUST - 
EW - BONNIE BRAE - 
LONGSHOT - INVISIBLE MAN - 
*Now its the Royal Hunt Cup and its one of the most competitive 1m h'caps of the flat racing season and this is no different with the full 30 runners lining up i suggest you place a mask over your eyes , get someone to pass you a pin ( preferably a magic one ) and whoosh ..bang it down and see what happens!!....
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RACE 5

WIN - LADY PHIL -
EW - SATSUMA -
LONGSHOT - GRAPHIC GUEST -
*Next we have the Queen Mary Stakes a 5f dash for those imo just rated below the best but thats not to say these are poor , far from it in fact this looks a good renewal with quite a few nice sorts running as you would expect and with Baileys Jubilee disappointing last twice i will rather regrettably be over looking that...The quickest three i have on my speed ratings are LADY PHIL , SATUMA and GRAPHIC GUEST and i will be using my speed ratings as a guide in this race as i have no real personal views.
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RACE 6

WIN - ELECTRELANE -
EW - DEVOTION -
LONGSHOT - FALLS OF LORA -
*And finally in the " getting out " Stakes we have a 1m fillies listed hcap which is full of ifs buts and maybe's...oh my , what a way to finish the card...and again unfortunately i dont have any real view or perspective on this race so my selections will be mainly based on personal ratings .
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Monday, 18 June 2012

ROYAL ASCOT

Yes it is that time of year , for me its my second favourite meeting of the year ( behind Glorious Goodwood which i hold special due to memories ) and simply fantastic week of racing *Please be kind weather* where a host of big names will be on show , a selection of special 2 yr olds wanting to cement there names in the pantheon of greatness and seal there place at the head of the markets for next years classics , Millions of Pounds in Prize money and some very odd looking hats ;-)....yes yes yes Royal Ascot is everything that any true Flat racing lover could want for and more , obviously both Frankel and Black Caviar are the two biggest names on show and the double special already reported on them should be taken but everyday there will be something special on show even if we haven't seen it yet!!.....So to get ahead i am going to be previewing each days card 1 day ahead but the finalised version may suffer alterations if there are any non runners or dramatic alterations in the weather etc....So without further ado lets move on.....


**********************ROYAL ASCOT**************************


RACE 1
BACK - FRANKEL - ( NAP ) - 1st @ 1.12
EW - 
OUTSIDER - 
*Frankel WILL NOT LOSE simple!!....the only other horse fit to be along side him is Excelebration ( 2nd ) and he has thrashed this 5 or 6 times now including lto...this is FREE MONEY....lump on everything you can find!!.
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RACE 2

BACK - BATED BREATH - 2nd @ 6.38
EW - STONE OF FOLCA - 
OUTSIDER - SOLE POWER - 3rd @ 10.5
*Now we have the hugely competitive KINGS STAND STAKES a frenetic 5f sprint which is super interesting for a number of reasons , Firstly we have STONE OF FOLCA a horse that as a 2yr old held any amount of promise after running some great and quick races with his best effort probably being a nk 2nd to Zebedee in 0.58 which was a great run however he never really progressed from that and after winning his maiden at 1/8 he regressed which was disappointing but and this is a big but , he won lto in a eye watering 0.53 breaking just about every sprint record there is in the Epsom Investec Dash over 5f against a high quality field he was simply stunning and the time was just amazing , this was the sort of race and performance i always knew he had but was reluctant to show....im hoping and fingers crossed he has developed a new love for his art and finally understands what is required but as we all know with sprinters they by and large are not the most resolute nor consistent of beasts!! but with an early show of 38.0/50.0 i simply cannot resist and will some of this and will re-check the market again tmrw...but that price screams " go on i dare ya!!"....
Secondly we have BATED BREATH who is for me the class in this race and has swerved the Jubilee stakes for this as Roger thinks this is a more realistic option as they want wins and black type to enhance its breeding value but tbf it does also have some rock solid form in the locker and its lto win was completed in a very quick time indeed and this is probably the most likeliest winner although my one reservation is that personally i feel its better over 6f , i may be wrong or it may be equally as good over both  but i just feel at 5f its worth taking on.
Thirdly we have a sprinter who i love and i think is probably as good as a sprinter as we have seen anywhere for a good number of years and is also very consistent and that is SOLE POWER a NK 2nd behind Bated Breath lto and running on strongly this is sure to run another huge race and will be in my mixed bag of bets and i will personally be lumping the place as well...so many options and at 10.5 is just the right side of good...and Finally we have Ortensia the Aussie sprinter and a quick one at that as are most of there's , this should not be underestimated as they have proven time and again before  they know how to produce winning sprinters but at 6.4 is a LAY for me as i think the UK and Ireland have enough ammo to attack with.
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RACE 3

BACK - POWER - 
EW - COGITO - 
OUTSIDER - THE NILE - 
*Now we have the St James Palace stakes over 1m and a race that holds many a cognitive form line and the strongest is obviously through POWER which won the Irish 2000 guineas so well , this looks a very useful animal which travels well and can quicken and is proven and will take all the beating.
Against it i would probably say COGITO is a lively alternative ( 24.0 ) and is improving fast which he showed when beating Stipulate and Tales of Grimm lto a very tidy performance and one that merits the upmost respect.
The remainder are in the main full of pre season wonder horses, horses of hyperbole and ruined reputations namely , Born to Sea , Most Improved , Wrote and Hermival ( 1st ,2nd and 4th lol )none of which i can see improving enough to trouble the judge so maybe a outsider could be of interest to place or surprise and i would suggest either Foxtrot Romeo or The Nile both of whom could easily improve enough to get involved and have shown that they have trained on and will be ready for a race and a fight and at 16 & 18.5 are big enough for interest.
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RACE 4

BACK - SIR PRANCEALOT ( EW NAP ) - ( 4th )
EW - N/A - 
OUTSIDER - DAWN APPROACH - 1st @ 5.20
*Now its a typically tough and big field Coventry Stakes over 6f but a race that interests me greatly as it includes a 2yr old that imo is not only the best i have seen this year but probably the best i have seen in a good few years , yes that includes Frankel et al!!...the horse that is SIR PRANCEALOT is imo simply stunning , it moves with proper full blown class , can quicken , can drop in or out and has any amount of ability i feel you will today witness something a bit special.
I dont really want to discuss anything else but if i had to nominate a serious challenger i would probably say for saver reasons i would go with Dawn Approach who has shown a high level of consistency and has enough in the locker to make it interesting , but personally for me this race is all about Sir Prancealot.
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RACE 5

BACK - VEILED - 
EW - DARK RANGER - 
OUTSIDER - AL KHANWANEEJ - 2nd @ 10.5
*Now we settle into something more sedate haha and its the 2m4f marathon trip that is the Ascot Stakes and a race that has quite often chucked up a few surprise winners and big prices.
Last years winner VEILED  is the obvious place to start sent out by master NH trainer Nicky Henderson who is also a dab hand with his NHF runners and has had a fair bit of success on the flat and you can g'tee that this will be primed for a big run ( Spoke to Hendo JNR regarding this and they feel it can win again, it is fit and ready to go they will have no complaints ) so is high on my list of candidates.
The two against it i like are Dark Ranger and Al Khanwaneej who both look like decent stayers who are in fine form and will be up to getting this trip , interesting race but not one for the purists.
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RACE 6

BACK - LYRIC ACE - 
EW - PAY FREEZE - 
OUTSIDER - AJMANY - 
*Finally we end day 1 with the super sprint that is the Windsor Castle stakes a race for 2yr old only and LYRIC ACE is an outstanding horse to have running for you in the getting out stakes this simply has speed to burn moves very well and is all pace and is one i like very much....Hannon what a lucky man.
The interesting runner would be Ajmany a debutant from Cumani and Ridden by friend Fallon this must be showing something special at home to suggest that this is acceptable and could be anything at a price and Finally Pay Freeze who destroyed the field in his maiden and again is open to any amount of improvement...great Finale!! 
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So thats Day 1 covered and what a fantastic day it looks like....excited.com ;-))))...
A small mention to the Euro's where i feel a Spain V Croatia DRAW is nailed on , neither will want to commit as i believe they will both go through with a draw under the new h2h ruling goal difference wont make any difference ( i think ive got that right? )...so on that basis a draw looks nailed on and Italy to WIN looks a banker bet...so a DRAW/Italy WIN double looks the play to me.


Ok im off to get ready as im off out this afternoon as i have promised my friend Marc i would support him in his quest ..the quest of watching JAWS at the Cinema as he doesnt want to go alone omg i cannot believe i am going!!...the things i do for friendship!!....i will be getting in some light trading tonight however to add some ammo to my Ascot war chest so see ya later, if not have a great day and i look forward to seeing everyone tmrw , be happy, stay lucky, keep smiling and Michael....i hope Israel is treating you kindly buddy ;-))..ttfn x

Great Bet

Today Only at LABROKES they are offering an enhanced EVEN'S on a FRANKEL/ BLACK CAVIAR double which is generally 4/6 & 8/13 elsewhere this is tremendous value and should be smahed imo.

Sunday, 17 June 2012

Anon

STFU please.......ffs , yeah so i made a mistake , big deal!...now fuck off....

Saturday, 16 June 2012

Another Typical English Summer Morning...

Yes folks its raining again and its becoming quite tiresome ;-(( , ...Yesterday was another solid day and i even managed to hit a nice double early doors ( Posted on FB ) and that kinda kickstarted me day off as the ground conditions is making form hard to predict, We are however back at York today along with Sandown and two others and its Sandown i will be doing my race card for.
Other Sporting news..England won...yes incred i know but they did , they were and are in the main quite shit luckily Sweden were worse , Gerard  , Parker , Oxlade , Cole  are the only 4 from our team i would include in my own....omg i can not recall such a dire , bland , idea less , skill less England Team...awful , abs Awful...and painful to watch!.....and for fucks sake get rid of Ash Young...fucking lightweight prick!!....That said i have made an absolute packet Trading on the Euro's...this has easily been my most profitable foray into football trading....on two matches i have done very very well when they have been 2-0 up and trading at around 1.04-1.08 and mega layed in the hope the losing team can nick a goal back...and boom every time they have and the price insta jumps out to 1.3 ;-)..cue great profits...
Todays two matches should go the way of Poland and Russia although be wary with Russia as they have already qualified they may send out a weakened team....i will look more deeply later...and on to todays card at SANDOWN...

RACE 1
BACK - TAKEITFROMAPLACELADY - Unplaced ;-(
EW - N/A -
OUTSIDER - SPIRIT OF THE LAW - 2nd @ 8.6
*Takeitfromalady is a Place NAP.
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RACE 2

BACK - SAM SHARP -
EW - WEAPON OF CHOICE -
OUTSIDER - PRINCE OF SORRENTO -
*
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RACE 3

BACK - PEARL SECRET - ( NAP ) - 1st @ 1.34
EW - NA/ -
OUTSIDER - FREE ZONE - 2nd @ 5.6
*Pearl Secret is group class and has the times and ratings to back this up however on the best of its form Free Zone is only a 1/4L behind so Pearl Secret will have to improve again to win comfortably and that prevents me from re-mortgaging the house how ever i will still have a hefty lump on it with a small bit of cover on FZ " just in case "...the rest have no chance imo.....so maybe a RFC could pay more than the 1.3?...hmmm...
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RACE 4

BACK - CARDINAL - 1st @ 5.17
EW - JACK LUEY -
OUTSIDER - N/A -
*
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RACE 5

BACK - SHAMARL NIBRAS - 1st @ 3.75
EW - TARTIFILETTE - 2nd @ 2.86
OUTSIDER - N/A -
*
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RACE 6

BACK - MOONGLOW -
EW - RULE BOOK - 1st @ 6.12
OUTSIDER - CHECKPOINT -
*
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RACE 7

BACK - ROCKAFELLA -
EW - COTTON KING -
OUTSIDER - N/A -
*BOLIVIA is today's LOTD...has no chance what so ever....empty your wallets on this lay!!. - 1st @ 9/2...FML!!
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So there we are a fairly steady day with some deece racing , after this i will probs be chilling tmrw with my hangover and then look forward to a fantastic week of racing..good luck and ttfn x

Friday, 15 June 2012

York Racing Today...

Morning All hope your all well and happy!! ;-) , been a very busy and enjoyable last 8 days as i have been doing some 121 work and its been mental , fun , tragic and brilliant all at the same time and i really enjoyed the craic over the week , made my life eminently more enjoyable , hes gone to Israel for a week or so now and we shall resume upon his return until then we have a superb week of racing to look forward to with the fantastic Royal Ascot week shortly to be upon us where the likes of Black Caviar and of the Mega Mighty FRANKEL
yes the beast is back and will be ready to destroy more and all comers.....Bring it bitches!!, and i am also really looking forward to a 2 yr old whjo is imo the best i have seen in the last 20 years...and its a Hannon Horse that begins with the Letter P......
so we have so so much to look forward to i just hope for all the fans, race goers and supporters that the weather can at least stay dryish...Please Rain stay away.....!!.
So we move slowly into the weekend and with this we have some great racing especially a decent looking meet at my " Home " Track which is YORK and i feel a a Race card coming on as i am feeling the need to Smash some bookies ;-))...;c'mon lets get em!!

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                                                                 YORK
RACE 1
BACK - TOUGH LADY -
EW - FLYMAN - 1st @ 3.04
OUTSIDER - GREY DESTINY -
*A decent yet standard maiden for York to kick the card off and we have a handful with a varying level of form and experience with the strongest looking being Tough Lady who ran very well for the most part and only tiring up in the final few strides , she will appreciate the drop in trip ( from 6f to 5f ) and is bred to handle this ground ( currently soft ) and i think this is nailed on for a place and looks a very strong EW bet with the only other two that look interesting being Flyman and Grey Destiny.
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RACE 2

BACK - EASTERN DESTINY -
EW - BEAUFORT TWELVE -
OUTSIDER - N/A -
*Now we have a super tight H'cap in which the remaining 5 runners cannot be split with any certainty. The two i like the most are the rapidly improving Eastern Destiny and the Good Looking Beaufort Twelve as Valiant beat little in his maiden and the form of a lot of Newbury races often works out oddly and the other two imo having something to find.
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RACE 3

BACK - DEAUVILLE FLYER - 4th
EW - LORDOFTHEHOUSE - 5th
OUTSIDER - LOCAL HERO - 6th ...lol
*Race 3 and it doesnt get any easier with a long distance ( 1m6f ) Hcap with a lot of one time useful performers and disappointing sorts , there are three i am keen to be on here and they are Local Hero who is the only real potential improver , Deauville Flyer who is a C & D winner and dour stayer Lordofthehouse.
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RACE 4

BACK - FADETOINFINITY - ( EW & PLACE NAP ) - 1st @ 3.56
EW - N/A -
OUTSIDER - RECONSIDER BABY -
*And typically at York the pain continues with a big field Seller with a few decent looking beast on show , Seven Bore is a two time winner ( from two runs ) , Fadetoinfinity is starting to get to grips with the game , Vanessa has contentious form lines to over come and both Jamesbo's Girl and Reconsider Baby ( both out of Refuse to Bend ) looked promising on the dĂ©buts , a very tricky race with so many options and opinions.
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RACE 5

BACK - SOHRAAB - 3rd @ 7.73
EW - JUDGE N JURY - 1st @ 13.7
OUTSIDER - LE TOREADOR -
*A typically tough 5f dash for York and ultra competitive...could be time for the Magic Pin...( Le Toreador is one of our stable runners and is primed for a big run ).
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RACE 6

BACK - GREEN HOWARD - 3rd @ 6.4
EW - LORD AERYN -
OUTSIDER - CLOCKMAKER -
*Oh My........ridic tough finish !! ...will i still be in the Placepot?...3 very tentative selections...
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RACE 7

BACK - ARTISAN -
EW - POKFULHAM -
OUTSIDER - HYDRANT -
*APP RACE, NUFF SAID.
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Tbh i am now rapidly running out of time so that will have to do for today , looks a very tough card at York, Good Luck...ttfn x

Tuesday, 12 June 2012

Little Life Update...

Hi all , well ive been rather busy the last few days , Installing new doors, redecorating , and bought a new car...2.0 HDI ( Diesel ) and very chuffed i am too ;-) , played some more tennis today although i lost 8-6 0-6 4-6 i can take stock from the fact that the second set score is a noneity as i faffed around at 3-0 and starting trying out new shots and serves and practising some other stuff , overall tho the game was played at a very high tempo and our combined tennis is getting quite good, some of the shots were simply top class i just need the same level of consistency as Marc and its game on!!.
Also i am suffering with a light knee injury and a strained ankle which is making my movement difficult at times and its affecting my sprint but this should be expected with the amount we play , got another match on Thursday against Andrew Jaques who will improve for playing and should provide a good workout.
Today i had 3 max lays which were all NID then in the evening i had a mixed bag with 3 great hits but also laid two winners which hurt quite a bit a knocked me for 6 tbh, i did however claw a bit back then had a biggish Lay on Poland at 3.35 and Greened up when they hit 10.5 so that bought me nicely back into profitsville although im still a bit irked by my first eve result....laying a 11.5 winner hurts , today would have been great if not for that but the last four days have seen me win massive then lose massive straight after and has thus left me treading water...need to get cracked on with some profits now for the rest of the week as i am trying to build up a big war chest for Royal Ascot....thats gonna be so awesome and i will be posting a FULL Race card for every day!!..we will smash them bookies; -) , next full card will be on Sat so until then, stay safe, stay lucky and good health..ttfn x

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