New Tab >>

We have a New Tab for the AW season, this will highlight jockeys to follow, breeding patterns to look out for and who is Hot n Cold...gonna be a long cold winter...lets stay Hot ;-~)..

Winter Sand Stormers >>

Yes it is that time, the season of the WSS..the AW speed balls and Sand Lovers.
                           

I have been quiet over recent weeks as i have struggled to garner much enthusiasm for the weekly fare and have been focusing my energies elsewhere but i am now looking to start a few sections a week based around our Winter flat runners as ofc as some of our wonderful NH cards ( cracking Open Meeting coming up at the weekend at Cheltenham ).

Today we turn to LINGFIELD , a straight forward track where class can come to the fore as it lacks the quirks or Wolverhampton or Kempton and a good front runner can do well here.

There are obv some jockeys who excel on the AW like the previously mentioned A Kirby and SDS but Luke Morris can navigate round quite well along with Martin Harley and these four are all worthy of consideration in every race.

So lets take a peek at Lingers....

Race order...

1. Lastkingofscotland has to be of interest now as this has dropped fully 18lbs since May and it will win eventually but its a case of catching it right and this is probably a " follow off a cliff " type...not for me but GL if your on.
Tee it up Tommo looks a likely improving type however its recent form figures forget to mention the fact that the horse that beat this was only rated 53 and behind was just 59 and carrying a core rating of 60 into even this lowly affair still leaves it with quite a bit to find with a lot of these even those racing below their form and at 2.24 i would say this is a fair shout for LOTD.

The winner imo will come from the top group of four which include Mishrif , Bloodsweatandtears , Dear Maurice and Santadelacruze.

Mishrif i think prefers Kempton but does have SDS riding , Bloodsweatandtears is probably still about 5lbs too high , Dear Maurice cannot be trusted but a price of 32/1 tells you that so my Value call here would be SANTADELACRUZE with Kirby riding , consistent and at about the right weight , Just touched off by a Head and a Nose lto at Kempton over this trip i think it will get every assistance from the saddle and should run a decent race and at 5.8 looks a cracking EW bet or an Outstanding FAP.

RESULT : Got the call right from the winning Quartet just backed the wrong one, however my big LAY on Tee up Tommo got me in profit. ( Result reversed in the Stewards room )
>

Full Result

Pos	Dist	Horse	Trainer	Age	Weight	Jockey	SP
1st (7)	nse	9 Tee It Up Tommo (IRE)	M Wigham	4	9-2	Jim Crowley	5/4f
Towards rear, headway 2f out, not clear run from over 1f out until switched right inside final furlong, ran on strongly, just failed (awarded first)
2nd (6)		2 Bloodsweatandtears	W J Knight	5	9-7	Andrea Atzeni	10/1
In rear, headway on outer entering final 2f out, edged left and stayed on to lead final strides (placed second) opened 12/1
3rd (9)	nk	11 One Last Dream	R J Hodges	4	8-13 b	David Probert	33/1
Led 6f out, ridden 3 lengths clear 2f out, headed final strides
4th (2)	hd	1 Mishrif (USA)	J R Jenkins	7	9-7 v	S De Sousa	12/1
Keen led 2f, ridden and every chance inside final furlong, stayed on opened 14/1
4th (8)	d.h	4 Santadelacruze	G L Moore	4	9-5 b	A Kirby	4/1
Mid-division, ridden and headway 2f out, effort approaching final furlong, stayed on towards finish opened 9/2

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Comment or Msg me if you want any others covering for Lingers >>

Lest We Forget.....

Congrats A.P.McCoy !!! > Legend.

4000 Winners...WOW what a feat, simply superb and a jockey on the top of his game...brilliant ride to secure the moment and fittingly for his currently retained connections...Brilliant, Sportsman, Jockey and Person...simply superb.

Sunday CERT ;->

RESULT = Fell .....was trading at 1.03 from the 2nd last and just walked straight thru the final fence and Choc couldnt hold on....was looking to be a very very easy win....but  as we know in NH ..anything can happen.....;-(

Happy Satdee ;-)

                                                            


Morning one n All ,
                            Well what a crackerjack of a day we have , Newmarket Maidens of the highest caliber  , NH racing from the top draw with most of the big yards firing out some big guns including former King George Winner and perpetual under achiever Long Run plus we have a couple of super races at Wetherby although its very disappointing that At Fishers Cross has got a cut leg and has been withdrawn today...that is one serious horse and i was very much looking forward to seeing that run.
Some good news tho , Nick Schofield , a Jockey imo of the very top drawer and one whom i always have the utmost faith in being a very good horseman has now taken the 2nd jocks role at P Nicholls which will ensure some very good rides, more winners and a higher profile which is well deserved , if i had any horses in training in the NH scene then he would be my jockey of choice followed by Aiden Coleman and then Barry Geraghty....yes i know , i can hear you all shout.." wheres Mccoy or Ruby " ?....they are both world class but this is simply a choice made by me and im sure given the same choice we would all pick slightly differently.
Finally i have yet to mention either Ayr or Ascot which both look excellent today and both stage some very decent races with Ascot looking to be the most prestigious holding a variety of Group races  (  Class 1's ) as well as other graded  ( Group 3's ) as support...some very nice runners on show and a full , varied and interesting days racing lay ahead.

And lets not forget we have a strong looking UK/IRE turnout for Day 2 of the Breeders Cup tonight at Santa Anita ( i did well there yesterday ) so ..where does one start to look??...what shall i do ?...its been a tough choice but im going to stick my neck out and take a look at ASCOT >>>

                                                                    ASCOT

RACE 1

WIN - OURMANMASSINI -
EW - SEDGEMOOR EXPRESS - 4th @ 11.0 ( Paid Top 4 )
LONG - AGINCOURT REEF -

SUMMARY :Letemgo sprang a surprise at Wincanton last month but this looks a lot tougher off a 5lb higher mark. Sedgemoor Express unseated his rider in that race but went on to finish second to the well-treated Makari over 2m at Ludlow. Hand On Bach is capable of winning races but Ballybach has a long absence to overcome and Kalmbeforethestorm invariably finds at least one too good. OURMANMASSINI has top weight and is still a maiden but definitely has ability and it would be no surprise to see him go close in a race that may not be as competitive as the numbers suggest.

RESULT :

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RACE 2

WIN - IVORS KING - 1ST @ 7.80 ( BooooooooM )
EW - THUNDERSTORM -
LONG - PERSIAN SNOW - 3rd @ 9.86

SUMMARY : This is interesting in as much that Thunderstorm is very highly rated by the trainer and connections yet stable and retained jockey R Johnson has opted to ride the proven chaser Persian Snow ?...hmm..curious , however i feel they both have it to prove and against IVORS KING ( HCE TIP SEL ) they will have to be at there very best as Ivors King is not without ability and this was shown 2 runs ago when smashing an odds on Paul Nicholls runner by 5L this did run a bit lethargically last time but this CD winner will be far more at home here and im expecting a big run.


RESULT :

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RACE 3

WIN - FAIRY RATH -
EW - ULK DU LIN -
LONG - NOTARFBAD -

SUMMARY : This looks as tough as any race today, a 2m1f Hcap Chase.....not a great betting platform tbh as so many come into these big events with outstanding chances and none are actually outstanding....
Last Years Winner Gus Macrae has to come into the reckoning racing off a 1lb lower mark but that is due to the lack of any real recent form and he will have to be at his peak to best some of these today.
FAIRY RATH is one i really like and with BG taking the reigns this only inspires greater confidence, This is also a CD winner and a winner over 20f so stays with pace and can race on any ground having been placed on soft, heavy and good ) and having won its last two this has to have a big chance of placing or better and at 8.2 or better looks a good , solid EW bet.
In all honesty tho there are a host of potential winners here with Drumshambo ( 1st @ 21.0 )  , Ulk Du Lin , King Edmund and Notafrbad all looking good, this should be a cracking race.

RESULT :

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RACE 4

WIN - COURT MINSTREL -
EW - GIBB RIVER -
LONG - DILDAR - 3rd @ 13.0

SUMMARY : It doesnt get any easier now with a decent field for this 2m Listed event over hurdles and the first horse i can discount is Get Me Out of Here as i see no way this can give almost 2 Stone to some of these...no chance..thrashed out of sight in true grade 1 races and won well in lesser events giving this a rating it doesnt really deserve and probably cant win from ( like Hunt Ball ) this is a slight drop in class but it is still not good enough although its chances would be a lot stronger if off even weights.
I have been reliably informed that BIG things are expected from GIBB RIVER this term , out for almost a Year and a Half having suffered injuries and training setbacks this is well liked in the yard and they rate it top class and this is backed up by the jockey bookings , i will be following my man on the spot with the advice and having a go EW.
Chris Pea Green ( 2nd @ 9.46 ) is a very nice and on a going day is upto matching anything on offer here ( proven form ) and is worth noting , Pine Creek ( 1st @ 6.69 )is a typical Ferguson runner, looks the dogs bollocks until it races against anything half decent and is then found out but if  improvement has been forthcoming then this has a very live chance.
And we have the likes of Rayvin Black , Jumps Road and Court Minstrel giving this a tough look , packed with future winners today will be all about fitness today..nothing else as so many are closely matched.

RESULT :

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RACE 5

WIN - SAME DIFFERENCE -
EW -  TRIOLO D'ALENE - 2nd @ 8.34
LONG - OPENING BATSMEN -

SUMMARY : Now its the turn of the days Big race, the blah blah Gold Cup , a 16 runner Hcap Chase and this looks uber competitive..
Last year's winner Roberto Goldback has to carry a stone more this time around, though is actually only a pound higher in the ratings. But he was a long way behind Wyck Hill in a later run over track and also had a rear view of On Trend and Opening Batsman in respective runs at Sandown and Kempton. Triolo D'Alene will be popular as he was a winner in this grade last season while Bouggler won a Listed handicap at Market Rasen, though is 10lb higher now. Twirling Magnet and Al Co are others with recent winning form and Quinz could be well handicapped. Buddy Bolero and Merry King are open to further improvement this winter but so is SAME DIFFERENCE. Quite highly tried in his first season over fences, his form ties in closely with a number of these but he was still improving in the spring and could go very close here if reproducing his second to Quentin Collonges in the bet365 Gold Cup at Sandown in April.

RESULT :

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RACE 6

WIN - BEACHFIRE - ( NAP ) - 2nd @ 3.40
EW -  NO NO MAC-
LONG - N/A -

SUMMARY : This closer was Won last year by the Uber talented My Tent or Yours and although i dont feel there is anything quite like that i dom feel we have a solid NAP in BEACHFIRE , a Course winner on the Flat and a Distance winner over hurdles this was rated 107 on the flat and was in a lot of group 1's and listed events racing against some serious black type and if this can reproduce the best of its form then this is a done deal , just weakened towards the end of its last race over 2m4 ( only beaten less than 2L ) this has the required pace to kill these between the hurdles and has shown he can jump , this could easily prove to be different gravy long term and i think it will be a minor shock if this gets turned over today.

RESULT :

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Usual EW / Combi Multis and Placepot plus a good ol Lump on the Fav , Good Luck today all.
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Notes and Results :

Santa Anita ~ BC SPECIAL ~

Morning mofo's ;-) ,



Well the weekend starts here and what a good looking weekend we have in store with some crack European horses running in the Breeders Cup Festival  and i will highlight a few from today plus the NH scene really starts to pick up as a few od the early season Graded races take place and the trials for the big Nov races take place as the yards try and get runs into their sorts before deciding on the seasons targets and we have the AW in full flow  ( which was superb yesterday although having a listed card will be rare )...regarding the AW my advice is this Evans and Botti need following and Luke Morris and A Kirby are the specialist AW jocks and will nearly always get you a win or two..

We Start of with some very interesting maidens at HQ ( Newmarket ) on an extended 8 race card along with the opening fixtures of the good looking 2 day Wetherby Meeting..so we have plenty to chew on but today and for now i will just take a peak at a few of the races From Santa Anita.

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (Grade 1)

..A cracking race in prospect with a $572k winners purse that involves a few from UK and Ire.
1. GIOVANI BOLDINI

2. OUTSTRIP

3. WILSHIRE BOULEVARD

4. SHAMSHON

Firstly Wilshire Boulevard looks like its been put in as a Pace Maker for Giovani Boldini but does carry some rather decent form of his own into this if not better but GB was very impressive when winning a Listed event at Dundalk lto by 5L and never off the bridle however the level of competition is considerably more fierce here so reading to much into that maybe foolish.

Shamson and Outstrip both have a few pounds to find plus they have to show that they can handle the trip and the surface so with so many questions to answer i would say that all 4 have too much to do and i cant see any of them winning .

Well from across the Pond which beast has the best chance? , well there are three i like and all are decent prices..Firstly i like BOBBYS KITTEN @ 5/1 a proven stayer and a winner from just 3 starts over this trip and with a good draw and if allowed to set his own pace will take some catching.

Along with this i also like at a price both AOTEAROA CD winner and POKER PLAYER which has won twice at the trip ( from 2 starts ) and looks an exciting prospect and is another with a good draw and priced at 20/1 and 12/1 these look good for a dutch Win or Fap.

RESULT :

Full Result

Pos	Dist	Horse	Trainer	Age	Weight	Jockey	SP
1st (4)		4 Outstrip	C Appleby	2	8-10	Mike Smith	6/1
2nd (2)	½	2 Giovanni Boldini (USA)	A P O'Brien	2	8-10	R L Moore	3/1
3rd (5)	1¼	5 Bobby's Kitten (USA)	Chad Brown	2	8-10	Javier Castellano	9/4f

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Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (Grade 1)

..Another dirt race and another $572 winners purse is up for grabs and rather disappointingly we have no representation here so my only thoughts are thus..the draw will stop the fav VERRAZANO and @ 4.4 this for me is a cast iron LAY.

RESULT :

Full Result

Pos	Dist	Horse	Trainer	Age	Weight	Jockey	SP
1st (12)		12 Goldencents (USA)	Doug O'Neill	3	8-11	Rafael Bejarano	5/1
2nd (2)		2 Golden Ticket (USA)	Kenneth McPeek	4	9-0	Joel Rosario	8/1
3rd (4)		4 Brujo De Olleros (BRZ)	Richard Mettee	5	9-0	Alan Garcia	7/1
4th (10)		10 Verrazano (USA)	Todd Pletcher	3	8-11	John Velazquez	11/4f

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Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (Grade 1)

..This is a strong looking renewal and another $572k race and this time we do have some runners , two in fact in the shape of AL THAKIRA and CHRISELLIAM and both are very decent sorts that arrive on the back of strong form and both look very good.
Now i do really like both here but i do feel that Chrisellium has the strongest chance form wise ( imo ) and its running style would seem well suited to both the nature of these races , the pace and the track and i think this has a very strong chance.
One other i should mention is VORDA which arrives from France and is another with a very good chance after smashing 2 good runners in the Cheverley Park but it has to prove it stays but for me ultmiately i feel the two UK runners are well worth a dutch here.
Kitten Kaboodle and Clenor look the best of the two home breds and the two USA 'Dolphins are worth a second glance.

RESULT : BooooM as CHRISELLIUM WINS @ 7.6 ;-)
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Now this is both Bizarre and stupid imo...The Distaff has a field of just 6 but carries Prize money of around $1.7 Million with $30k  being paid for 6th....So why the fuck no UK trainers are sticking one or two in is just beyond me!!...getting sixth alone would make the trip a profitable one and anything better is a bonus...just crazy..shame on you UK and Ire trainers.!!.

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And that rounds up our interest from DAY 1 with all the really big action coming tmrw...lets see just how important the draw is tonight before we lump on tmrw...Some cracking racing for tmrw and a return to the old school race cards will be tyhe call imo..GL and TTFN x