Monday, 27 February 2012

3 Fair Maidens....

Indeed today is monday and its back to the weekly shizzle and drizzle so i will keep within my own base range today and look to play my Niche Races only and we have 3 to look at today...

RACE 1

Wolverhampton 15:30 
Great Offers At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Maiden Stakes
£3500.00 added, 3yo plus, 5f 216y, Class 5

..This all revolves around DERIVATIVES , will it throw its dummy out yet again? , finds nothing in a finish and no heart for battle , has been beaten as a 1/8F and gives no signs for lump encouragement but what will beat it? in a very moderate field again you would have to say its the winner , however during the course of the morning it has drifted from 1.99 > 2.66 ( With the Tinkler owned / Hannon trained Mon Amie Jolie being backed in from 6.6 into 3.45 ) which is alarming but also a brilliant opp for a BTL as this will 100% trade shorter so my advice here is not worry about the winning or losing of this race and Lump on the 2.5+ and trade out at 2.0 , 1.5 and 1.08.
1stMon Ami Jolie (USA)EvsfavFull Result  
2ndGoing French (IRE)50/1
3rdDerivatives (IRE)6/4
3rdRing For Baileys33/1


RACE 2

Wolverhampton 17:00 
Ringside Conference Suite - 700 Theatre Style Maiden Stakes
£3500.00 added, 3yo only, 1m 1f 103y, Class 5

..Another race with a short priced Fav and that is Lionrock but thankfully here we have at least 3 solid ( on paper ) looking newcomers from powerful or progressive yards and for me this Lionrock has to be LAID!.
What will win ? , well thats a degree tougher as 3 or 4 look likely and to a degree its a guessing game i would personally have an EW on BENBECULA.
Weighed In:1stOgaritmo9/4jfFull Result  
2ndRuacana5/2

RACE 3

Wolverhampton 17:30 
Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Median Auction Maiden Stakes
£3500.00 added, 3-4yo, 1m 141y, Class 5

..This looks to me to be a straight fight between Kudooz and Duke of Clarence so a DUTCH on the two is the advice here.
Pos.Dr.Dist.HorseWtJockeyTrainerAgeSP
13Bint Alzain (IRE)8-2L MorrisG A Butler311/4
 
22Duke Of Clarence (IRE)8-7K T O'NeillR Hannon310/11 f
 
36nkKudoz8-7J P FahyC G Cox39/2
 


LAY

 LAY - Man Utd to win the Premiership , currently showing 1.05 - 1.11 this is a free bet imo , a bet to nothing with such a low liability its worth going overboard on , they are currently level with City on Games yet behind on both GD and Points ( 2 ) and look the most likely to falter if they get beset with any injuries , they will only need to lose 1 or possibly 2 games and its all over and you can Visit Tradesville Tennessee ;-)

15:30 Wolverhampton


Derivatives....Max Lay - has been beaten at Long Odds On last 3 times scoots clear trades at 1.0whatever and then finds Nil and gets done by some random long shot ( last three to beat it were 25/1 , 8/1 and 12/1 ) currently trading now at 2.04 which is low im tempted to lay now but i am going for an in running Lay of 1.32 , why not BTL ? , i have a feeling the layers may have cottoned onto this horse and if it doesnt look likely to win they will just shove it out and you will end up dumping your dough , although tbf the most likely outcome will be that it again travels brilliantly for 4f , kicks on...and finds Nothing.

OR - MAX BET - Looking thru this field , where else is the winner going to come from? , the unraced Andrew Tinkler owned Mon Amie Jolie? , an unraced 4yr from Hannon is quite rare However the owner does have a bit of influence.

Ring of Baileys could be Interesting coming from Kyllachy and related to a few winners , you have the MJ trained Hurriya , could easily improve enough to win or will come stone last....its a guessing game with his , and a middle order filled with 4 or 5 that have run and generally been tugged but should improve , will any of these run to a solid 65+ which will be good enough to take this?...

Conclusion : Looking back thru all its form and every race its quite clear that this horse finds nil at the business end of his races , and i will take him on in the hope that 1 or 2 will be running on at the end ..Lay ( but at the 1.3 in running )

Sunday, 26 February 2012

New Banned Paddy Power Advert -- Chav Tranquilizer

SUNDAY MAX EW BET

17:25 - Towcester

Tony McCoy Spoiling a Sunday for two rides , one of which looks weak ( Award Winner ) so one must presume hes hanging around all day just to ride The Trevor Hemmings owned Kris Kin Gelding - TELL ME Y - Usually the market is the most informative guide to some of these races , but i feel the fact that AP is waiting all day for 1 serious ride tells its own story and at 3.75 is a solid Value Bet.


RESULT : 

Saturday, 25 February 2012

Sat Results

***************************BOOM**************************

Sat Feb 25th

Kempton ( * indicates selection only , NOT gold )

14:00 UNE ARTISTE - PLACE - Unplaced

14:30 HUNT BALL - PLACE - 1st

15:05 * PLANET OF SOUND - EW - 3rd

15:40 GRUMETI - ( MEGA NAP ) - MR - 1st @ 1.51
*Now with Keys being a Non Runner , this will surely only have to complete to win and the current 1.52 looks huge , may well trade higher in running but i have down at 1.3-1.35 , will travel strongly , solid enough jumper although slithered on landing and eventually fell on 2nd run , but its beating and run with Pearl Swan and Hollow Tree is impressive form and i simply cannot see this being beaten , if you are putting a large wad on then i wud suggest as cover place laying it at around 1.1 or slightly less as it will only lose if it falls.

16:10*MINELLA CLASS - Unplaced

16:45 ASHBRITTLE - ( LOTD ) - 2nd -Boom!

17:15 *VIRGINIA ASH - LAY - 1st @ 2.92

**********************************************
Chepstow

13:30 *WESTERN HIGH - PLACE - Unplaced

14:05 *WINGS OF ICARUS - PLACE - Unplaced

14:40 TEAFORTHREE ( NAP ) - MR - 1st

15:10 DIRTY DEAL - PLACE - 2nd

15:45*RILEYEV - PLACE - Unplaced

16:20*ACTION IMPACT - PLACE - Unplaced

16:55*LADY WILLA - PLACE - 1st

17:30 THE MAD ROBERTSON - PLACE - 3rd

************************************************
Boooms Today as 6 GOLD bets advised with Winning including the Mega Nap...and with Just Man City needed ( in Footie Tab ) to Win for that Mega Treble..Today has been a superb day!!..Hope you all did well!

Friday, 24 February 2012

Boom!!

Great way to round the week off 4/4 on my multi and a Kerching Kerching sound reverbirates around!!...To all my non members , Have a great weekend, be lucky and GL, to everyone else..cya tmrw for some great racing, great race cards and some solid looking GOLD bets...

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