Wednesday, 17 June 2015

Royal Ascot ~ Day 2 ~

ROYAL ASCOT ~ DAY 2 ~

Well we have started the week off well enough with 3 Winners from the opening 6 Races and at decent odds so we are well in front so far but can this be continued??..time will tell but im running hot and feeling good ;).

RACE 1 : 
Jersey Stakes (Group 3) is a cracking start for Day 2 and this is imo a better race than the St James Palace Stakes and i would have much rather seen Gleneagles take his chance here in a proper race.
This is a BRILLIANT race for the punter as they have Ivawood installed as a ridic 2.78 Fav and then its 11.5 the field!!!!...get your dutching hats on because you could start the day off  with an amazing profit because they have already made this a 101% book which means the punter just cant lose ( Value wise because there will be more winners than losers unless the zero on the roulette table comes in ~~ the Fav ) So FORGET all about the fav ( unless your laying it ) as its looking tricky beating comfortably in both Guineas coming 3rd and not looking that quick so the drop in trip is not gteed to have a winning effect.
SIR ISAAC NEWTON is one i really really like and is on my secretly sent " hotlist " of horses to follow and back from AoB and this is expected to hugely improve and run like the class animal they all think he is and at 12.50 looks a very decent betting proposition.
FADHAYYIL has is another with any amount of scope and improvement to come and could easily outrun his price of 12.50 if you look at his runs behind Lucida.
Finally i think we should side with BOSSY GUEST who has every chance of turning past form around under these race conditions and at around 11.0 is almost 4 times the price of a horse he should beat now getting lumps of weight.

RESULT : 
                                       ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 2 : 
Queen Mary Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) is usually a very well contested race and this year is no different with a massive 23 runners lining up to their chance and the fillies at this time of year can be rather unpredictable.
EASTON ANGEL has to go on the short list after two very creditable victories ( from just the two runs ) while RAH RAHwon the Lily Agnes stakes and is another two from and sneaks into the reckoning however the form of the LA is much like the Brocklesby in the form of it being near to worthless so lets hope we see a revival.
SHADEN who won for us recently ( only run to date ) looks very useful as she was slowly away but devoured the ground up when she hit her stride and won quite comfortably in the end and could end up being a serious black type.
In a tough race like this i think its folly not to take a fourth choice to try and cover some bases and with it i shall be nominating RING OF TRUTH who would be a great winner for the Queen herself and this Hannon runner arrives with every conceivable chance having  won very very cheekily lto and looks a sure fire improver.


RESULT : 
                                       ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 3 : 
Duke Of Cambridge Stakes (Formerly Windsor Forest Stakes) (Fillies' Group 2) (Str) is a very strange to read as its just full of horses that have either failed to reach the heights expected not trained on or just been rather poor of late yet any and all have the required latent ability to win on their day.
RIZEENA looks a cracking bet at 9.20 to win for the third time on a track she loves having already won the Queen Mary in 2013 and Last Years Coronation Stakes and back racing on ground she loves and the 5lb she gets from Integral (rather she has 5lb more to carry this year ) unless this filly is totally shot to bits it will be a complete shock if she cant place and just rather disappointing if she cant turn some form around and show those abject performances of late were reasoned.
Integral will be a major player tho make no doubt about that and will be on the premises throughout and shouldnt be under estimated along with Bragging who just didnt stay last time and is back over her ideal trip and will be in the mix with the remainder easily dismissed as i have nothing positive to say about any of them.

RESULT : 
                                       ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 4 : 
Prince Of Wales's Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) is a race i just love as it brings the best wanna be stayers up against the confirmed stayers but with a pace element and often attracts a great turn out and is usually won by something pretty damn good with past winners featuring Bosra Sham , Dubai Millennium , Byword , Ouija Board , So You Think and The Fugue with many others so there is a level of expectation that comes with this race..to achieve..to excel and most do.
This year has attracted a raft of entries from overseas and the form is almost an impossible task to work out but we will try and couple into this the fact a few are coming here on the back of long breaks with really decent form makes it a nightmare.
THE GREY GATSBY has the best form on offer historically by some way with Wins in The French Derby , the Irish Champion Stakes and the Dante but has appeared a bit flat this term and im worried he is suffering a boil over and may need an extended break and i cant even work out if the 7/1 is a value bet as i feel a bit lost with him.
FREE EAGLE has raced at an incredible level for a horse with such little experience and light racing and Weld is a master at bringing these along and you have to think this has at least 6-8lb of improvement in him and he can bring that to the table then he will be very hard to beat as i dont see any of these running to around 130 now or ever.
GAILO CHOP tho doesnt look like a ready made winner and probably wont but at 12/1 i will have a go anyway as he has improved enough to make him a level weights winner with Free Eagle based on historic form and isnt far away from being the equal of these and with a decent run could easily get into the mix or better and in such an open race with so many variables im happier taking a price about one that is highly likely to run its true race rather than hope for something to happen.

RESULT : 
                                       ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 5 : 
The Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) is just one of the most bonkers races ever with 30 runners lining up i suggest you find a bookie that does EW 10 places lol as this is a mine field.
So im looking to Longbow to provide me with the answers >
The draw is sure to play a big part in this again. Winners have come from both sides of the track in recent years but it appears it's a disadvantage to be drawn in the centre of the course, which is a worry for supporters of the fancied Speculative Bid and Gm Hopkins. Spark Plug, who beat Gm Hopkins at Newbury after finishing second to Ayaar in the Spring Cup on the same course, could also have a better starting position. The latter will have the far rail to help in the closing stages and could go well, however, while Bancnuanaheireann has stall 33 which delivered the winners in 2012 and 2014. Last year's winner Field Of Dream is drawn on the opposite side this time and has a lengthy absence to overcome. Lincoln was only beaten half-a-length by Speculative Bid in the Victoria Cup over 7f here last month and could reverse the form. But the eye-catcher in that race was sixth Bronze Angel, who met trouble in-running. The dual Cambridgeshire winner loves these cavalry charges and claimer Louis Steward has been on board for his last two victories. He may well prove the best of those drawn low but we like the look of TEMPTRESS near the foot of the weights. She was always travelling best when making a winning reappearance here and is two from two over the course and distance. James Doyle teams up again with old boss Roger Charlton and the filly shouldn't be far away as she still looks to be on a decent mark.


RESULT : 
                                       ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 6 : 
The Finale and its the Sandringham Handicap (Fillies' Listed) (Str) a horrible 17 runner Hcap to have as your getting out...blurgh!!.
I am only really interested in the top 5 in the betting although im struggling to separate them so just look at the picture and dutch one two or all of them but im convinced thats the winners list.

RESULT : 
                                       ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Its a much tougher looking day so we can only hope but its still another awesome days racing.

Tuesday, 16 June 2015

Royal Ascot

Day 1 with its 6 races gave us three very nice Winners including the winner of the last two and all were decent 7/1+ prices so a very decent start to the week with both Gleneagles and Solow looking rather good..Can we keep it up as we move into Day 2 ??..Check Punters Pal and find out. ;)...Good Luck and happy punting.

Friday, 12 June 2015

Friday, 5 June 2015

HCE TIPPING COMP

Saturday Tipping competition (1PM Deadline)
It's the start of a new month and welcome return of our tip comp fiesta. Well, it could be if you get your maracas out, slapping your thigh to the rhythm of I Calypso. What a battle we had in May. Who needs pistols at dawn. Davidson pummeled Winter to take the spoils and £160 prize money. Delight & damnation in equal measure. Both proving ample ability along with their merry men [one girl]. It's reason for all you half-glass empty brigade to smash the piggy bank, put the shekels in the gas meter and find your £10 pro entry. Just think how disappointed you will be when you win the competition and a pro contestant takes the cash. I'm not going to keep banging my drum. Who will win this month? If only we knew! It could be you. Come join the fun and show the world you are a bloody good gambler. 1PM Deadline (no late entries else I'll scream). Please make payment via Paypal button on HCE.


                                        
 Click Me and JOIN !!!

Monday, 1 June 2015

Punters Pal

Hi there everyone 
                             Just a quick note to let you all know ALL tips , selections , advice and race cards will now be going up on the Punters Pal Page , if you want the address then message, facebook or email me and that way all the shit bots n crawlers wont invade..ttfn x

Wednesday, 27 May 2015

Brigadier Gerard Stakes

Morning Campers , 
                             Hi de Hi,Ho de Ho its off to Sandown we must go...yes Thursday evening is BG time at Sandown and its a yearly passage of rites for me as it holds many a fond memory including one of my biggest ever wins on a horse during my more formative years on Chatoyant in 1994 ( 21 years ago now...jeez where does the time go ?? ) and has been won by greats such as Bosra Sham ( When Cecil was in the midst of his " Legend " era ) but Cecil who won this 3 times in a 4 year spell never won it again and i would say the man most likely to take the most wins mantle will be Stouts who has won it three times in the last 10 years with Workforce , Carlton House and Notnowcato and has won it prior to this spell with Insatiable and Pilsudski so its obviously a race he wants to win so anything he sends will have to be well respected.

In truth this usually a good looking card from top to bottom so i will give some dues to the supporting races with my main focus on the Brigadier itself.

The day starts off with a steady away 1m2f Hcap for the older brigade and with 13 runners this promises to be a spirited betting heat in a race littered with what can only be assumed as a field of NH types,lowly rated and unreliable so if any horse gets a considerable amount of attention in the market then it should be noted.
DERULO and HALLINGHAM are the only two i can see running to their correct marks and as such will be my two against the field in what is both uninspiring and hard to call obviously i am having to work from my own tissue just now so im hopeful of a decent dutch price.

RESULT : 

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st (3)InterconnectionE F Vaughan49-4 p1L Morris10/1
Tracked leader, led 2f out, soon ridden, kept on well under pressure final furlong
2nd (12)1Derulo (IRE)D R C Elsworth49-7R L Moore3/1f
Mid-division, headway on outside over 2f out, ridden to challenge over 1f out, kept on same pace, held inside final furlong

Next up its a nice Listed event for the 2 yr olds over 5f and on paper this looks a really warm renewal with every runner having some chance and all coming into this in some sort of form.
Hannon has won this race an incredible 5 times in the last 8 years which is an amazing record and its plain to see he wants this trophy on his mantelpiece so anything he runs goes straight onto the shortlist and he has sent out some very smart types to win this including Sir Prancealot , Tiggy Wiggy , Presto Vento and Signs and its almost impossible not to have his King of Rocks as the shoo in Fav however this Hannon runner in its two runs to date just doesnt look a 5f horse , fto all his best work was being done at the end ( 5f ) and then when upped to 6f he stayed on very smartly to win but only took the lead at the 5f pole and i think his power lay upon his stamina and not speed and this could even be a 7f type or early season miler candidate so at shortish odds im going to leave this alone as i think one or two of the speedballs here will have his number although he may turn out to be the best long term project.
Strands of Time has a slow time rating ( from me as are all stats n ratings ) , Tawdheef is another that could be better over a true 6f however breeding suggests that this could be perfect so goes on the unknown list, Silver Wings doesnt look group class and although decent enough i dont think good enough to trouble some of these comments which also apply to Handytalk.

So we are left with 4 and at the cut off stage i will let go of Buratino ( i feel like an X-Factor judge lol ) and we are down to three , 

1. AREEN
2. CASE KEY
3. STEADY PACE

And i must admit i am having trouble splitting these as i have them very closely matched however AREEN was to make his debut in a hot looking 4 runner event at York so must be rated very highly at home and he readily beat these including a Hannon 7/4f Dheban by 4L and he ran green but looked potentially top class and im going to say this is the winner for me however i will wait until i can get some prices to really decide on my line of attack.

RESULT :WOW WOW WOW How fucking impressive was the Hannon trained winner KING OF ROCKS...just awesome...a complete demolition job.

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st (3)King Of RooksR Hannon29-0R Hughes11/4
Quickly away, made all on rail and always travelling well, quickened right away final furlong, impressive
2nd (4)5Buratino (IRE)M Johnston29-0W Buick10/1
Held up in touch, pushed along halfway, headway on outer 2f out, soon bumped, chased leaders over 1f out, ridden and stayed on into 2nd final 100 yards, no chance with impresssive winner
3rd (6)1Steady PaceS bin Suroor29-0James Doyle7/4f
Chased leaders but trapped wide, pushed along halfway, went 2nd over 1f out, soon ridden, no chance with impressive winner final furlong, lost 2nd final 100 yards
4th (7)Handytalk (IRE)B R Millman29-0T E Durcan33/1
Slowly into stride, soon in touch, ridden and not quicken over 1f out, plugged on in 4th inside final furlong
5th (5)Silver Wings (IRE)P D Evans29-0J F Egan20/1
Chased winner, pushed along halfway, ridden and lost 2nd over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong
6th (9)s.hAreen (IRE)K A Ryan29-0J P Spencer7/1
Distracted by rival and swerved badly left after start, took keen hold and held up in rear on rail, not clear run and switched left over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong but not recover

Race 3 is the Henry the 2nd Stakes over 2m and a few of these have reputations to re-build and most have not quite produced what they had promised and the word on Forgotten Voice is that he is well in himself and has been going well at home however they have only been really working him over 7f so its hard to say if he can be an effective stayer once again and i will hold off until i have seen some sparkle for myself but i will go with VENT DE FORCE and FOREVER NOW as my two against the field as these both seem consistent and reliable and will be the most likely to run to form and arrive in decent nick but i will only dutch these if i can get at least 4.6 on each in a tough looking heat with High Jinx thrown into the place pot pool.

RESULT : 

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st (1)Vent De ForceH Morrison49-0R Hughes6/4f

Now its time for the evenings " Big " Event the BRIGADIER GERARD STAKES a race over 1m2f and worth £40k to the winner this C1 Group 3 Event is a noteworthy piece of black type and as discussed has been won by some impressive types previously,this year sees a small field of 6 but its as good a 6 runner race as you are ever likely to find.
It would be a major shock if Niceofyoutotellme should win as this imo has at least 20lb to find and is rubbed off straight away which leaves 5 and the remainder are very closely matched indeed with only a cig paper separating them
Tryster has been very impressive on the AW notching up a rake of wins and being rather cosy about most suggesting there is a lot more to come but racing against these on turf will produce a host of new challenges and until he has shown himself capable against the likes of these he must be watched only.

Tullius is a very nice horse but is generally unproven over this distance ( mainly races at 1m ) and in at this level it would require a huge leap of faith to think he can jump in swim against the tide and is left out of the equation until i have seen evidence he will truly stay at race pace.
Western Hymn is a definite danger and will be included in my bets somewhere as this 2 time CD winner ( Classic Trial & Gordon Richard Stakes ) runs this track superbly and lto beat a horse i really like ( Postponed ) and i think if back to his best will take some beating...a horse that has under delivered in a short career ...its time he stepped up.
Eagle Top is a horse with a lot of promise but im not convinced of his attitude and will need to see more before i can make a concerted opinion but remains on the long list.
That leaves just ARAB SPRING who for me is the winner hailing from the Stoute yard this impressive beast reminds me so much of Glass Harmonium and Harbinger and the way it won the John Porter last time seen made me sit up and think..wow this animal is a horse on a massive upward curve and its a shame he is now 5 because im sure he could have been something very special but there must have been undocumented issues in training that have caused this to run a very light campaign to date however he is making up for lost time now and having won 5 of his last 6 races this will take all the beating , loves the ground , loves the trip and is good for at least another 12lb rise in the weights that is nailed on and he ( Ryan Moore ) may try and make all as there is no definitive pace in the race and he will have to be tactically cute as both Eagle Top and Tryster like to arrive deep off the pace and will be looking to swoop late on.

RESULT :

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st (3)Western HymnJ H M Gosden49-3James Doyle11/4
2nd (1)hdArab Spring (IRE)Sir Michael Stoute59-3R L Moore9/4f

20:15 ( nap ) 1st @ 4.33

20:45 Another Teofilo Winner ??

Good Luck and Enjoy.

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