Thursday, 26 February 2015

The Simon Cooper Card ;-)

Image result for Sheffield weds on tour WAWAW WAWAW ;-))...My good friend from Sheffield " Cooperman " is off to Donny tmrw and i did say i would try and rustle up a card for him so here we are....and can i give him some profit ??....well the card does look promising at first glance so fingers crossed.

                                                         DONCASTER

RACE 1
WIN - NEFYN BAY
EW - TARA MAC - 
LONG - ONE COOL BOY - 

SUMMARY - We start the day off with a nice n steady Hcap Hurdle with a nice 13 runners which is decent for punting as it should give a true book %.
This race has a massive 2 stone weight difference from top to bottom which does bring a few rags into it.
NEFYN BAY started off its winning run over CD and his last run and win by 7l was a reasonably easy win which took little doing and with the claimer riding he is racing effectively off the same mark and i think this will take all the beating here today.
Of the others for EW fun then Tara Mac can be considered as its now back over its ideal trip and One Cool Boy but in reality if Nefyn Bay races to the same level as its lto run then it should win this quite comfortably.

RESULT / NOTES - 

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RACE 2
WIN - PROMENCO - 
EW - HURRICANES GIRL - 
LONG - HANNA'S PRINCESS - 

SUMMARY - Poor looking Novice hurdle up next and it could end up a battle between the famous Sports personalities as Harry Redknapp and Phil Tufnell both have runners with a chance or two.
For me tho i quite like the look of the ride for Davy Russell who has come over specifically to take the two rides for Charlie Longsdon today and his PROMENCO is well worth a market check, this did little on its debut this term in a mares only NHF race but is bred for jumping and has a very stout pedigree so i would expect to see a much improved run now upped in trip and with some obstacles to get over and hopefully will be a decent enough price come the morning to get involved EW.
Hanna's Princess and Hurricanes Girl will probably give her most to do in an uninspiring race.

RESULT / NOTES - 

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RACE 3
WIN - HUNTERS HOOF ( NAP ) - 
EW - N/A
LONG - N/A

SUMMARY - Next up its a small field Conditional Riders Hurdle and i will be mighty SHOCKED if HUNTERS HOOF doesnt destroy these good n proper , this has been off a while as he is what one might call " hard to train " however the yard are convinced this could make up into a very smart type and this was best displayed when winning fto ( both 2nd and 3rd have won since with the 3rd notching a hat-trick ) and it beat its much better fancied stable mate and possibly Cheltenham bound 139 rated Days Of Heaven which given the context of this race is outstanding form and puts him theoretically 20lb clear...PLUS...Hendo has won this race for two of the last three years ( Fourth Estate and Sign of a Victory ) which further lends credence to this being todays NAP.

RESULT / NOTES - 

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RACE 4
WIN - VIVACCIO - 
EW - PURE OXYGEN
LONG - N/A

SUMMARY - This is another tepid small field and its a chase this time and we have a red hot fav in the shape of Vivaccio however im going to take it with PURE OXYGEN a winner in points and not thrown about when thrown in the deep end on its debut this could be anything and is very unexposed and at an attractive price is worth having a go with as i feel the fav could be vulnerable however it must be said this is a very weak race and the remainder look a very poor bunch.

RESULT / NOTES - 

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RACE 5
WIN - FULL DAY - 
EW -  SCOTSBROOK LEGEND - 
LONG - THANKYOUVERYMUCH

SUMMARY - A mares Hurdle next and another poor turnout and this really should be a battle between the well in FULL DAY and the more experienced SCOTSBROOK LEGEND and i fancy a dutch on the two is the best play here with the markets in our favour at around 4/1 & 9/1.

RESULT / NOTES - 

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RACE 6
WIN - CRAZY JACK - 
EW - QUICUYO - 
LONG - N/A - 

SUMMARY - And the dross rolls on with yet another pissy bookie favouoring 7 runner Chase and this is wide open as any could win or have the ability to make a charge for victory.
CRAZY JACK and QUICUYO are my two against the field in a race that has to be dutched. The aforementioned both will be involved in the finish and tick the best number of boxes and for me is the only logical thing to do in a poor race which the bookies will love.

RESULT / NOTES - 

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RACE 7
WIN - FIRE TOWER - 
EW - ROLL ON RUBY - 
LONG - DOLLY DIAMOND - 

SUMMARY - What a fucking wank race to end your day on...its an awful shit filled shit pot that should be entertained if you are desperate , pissed or desperately pissed.....Have a great day pal...GOOD LUCK.

RESULT / NOTES - 

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Tuesday, 24 February 2015

Just One bet for today....

One runner that really does interest me today is RAIN WIND AND FIRE by a Colt that was a leading fancy for the Kentucky Derby ( injury in training prior to race ended career ) but had previously ran 6 times ( winning at 2 & 3 over both 8f & 9f ) with a 2nd and 4 Wins this is a superbly bred all american type that should love all the available AW surfaces also being related to Califante ( same ownership ~ Breeders ) who had won over 6f at 2....This could easily be a different type of beast to those you usually see here...however it is a Maiden , its still unraced an until we see it run its all a guessing game...but purely from a breeding standpoint this is a proper horse and one that is worth a go.( currently 3.10 ) (~ Post Authorised as Genuine ~ )

RESULT : 1st @ 3.17

Saturday, 14 February 2015

Quick Haydock Update ....

Morning / Afternoon fuckers...
I didn't really have as much time as i would have liked yesterday as i was pushed for time and tired and then spent the evening Winning @ Poker ;-).....which was nice as i managed to win a pot in which i was only a 3%  chance...My K/J " ALL IN " against the mighty AA...and the flop of 9/5/2 did me no favours at all...however a J on the turn gave me hope and brought me upto 11.6% ;-)....then a magical King exploded onto the river and Dan was crushed.....but in truth the whole night was full of ridic hands coming from behind to win as my very good friend Paul Stephenson will testify as he was on the end of an insane amount of Bad Beats...

So moving back on track and taking a look at Haydock today i will discuss in brief my thoughts on the tracks major races ( lets not forget IRVING who is at Wincanton today and looks nailed on )......

So HAYDOCK....what do you have ??...
In the first race we see the brilliant ( prospect ) that is TOP NOTCH a horse that has looked rather excellent thus far having Won both times seen out this season having beat Maxie 10L fto then 25L on the second outing would suggest he is rapidly improving and the two second placed runners from their respective race were rated 131 and 138 leaving me with an impression that he is already a horse worth around 142p ( Official RPR 144 ) and with much more to offer i would expect him to dispatch todays rivals with the minimum of fuss even if he didnt already have at least 20lb in hand ( more like 30+ )....This will WIN...but at shit odds but there are a few shorties around today worth clumping together for trebles or more... - Result - 1st ( v v easy ) @ 1.15

Next up its the RENDLESHAM hurdle over 3m and the " class " here is by far and away AT FISHERS CROSS but this has to be one of the most annoying horses in training and reminds me very much of the much loved Cab On Target ( always facing upto Morley Street ) so much ability but prone to jumping errors , travelling on and off the bridle in his races and tanking out when least expected this wonderfully frustrating type always always seems to find one or two too good on the day and even being around 20lb clear on official ratings its easy to think that this scenario will play out again....so for me this is a " no bet " race because if the real AFC turns up this is a no contest but if he doesnt then anything else can win and even laying at evens is a poor bet...watch and enjoy and i just hope AFC can return to winning ways...- Result - At Fishers Cross was a WELL BEATEN 3rd and there is no where for to go now..finished imo....Closing Ceremony wins well for Emma Lavelle.

Third race is a Grand National Trial and i dont have a lot to say here but i have been informed by a few shrewdies that GAS LINE BOY is well worth a decent EW punt as you can forget his failure at Chepstow as he has run shit there just about on every visit..currently 10/1 this is well worth a few quid EW. RESULT - 4th....However...i Backed it at 12.9 and traded out at 2.0 ( hit 1.88 ) so made a very nice profit ;-))

Moving on we now have a Pertemps Qualifier over 3m ( Hurdles ) and its interesting that AP rides AQALLM while his long time backer JP has two runners both seemingly with chances...hmm...and i think on that basis alone you can muster an argument that this is another decent looking EW bet at around 6/1 although Buddy Bolero is interesting now back over hurdles at 14/1 and Vincente at 10/1 who was going real well in the lead until falling 4 out lto in a chase race.....so i think the bet here is a three way EW dutch with a combo RFC for giggles in a tough looking race that could prove fruitful at low end stakes. -RESULT - 3rd @ 4.67

Next up we have the Albert Bartlett " Prestige " another 3m Hurdle and this looks a tight affair but im going to stick with FLETCHERS FLYER and if Aqallm wins the earlier race then im going to double my stake....i may have some in the run cover on Ballagh...but will decide as i go...Result - 2nd...

In the Finale TEAFORTHREE has to win to earn his right to race in the Foxhunters at the Cheltfest and after scoring so easily just over a week ago i see no reason why this cannot run another sound race and take this and his place on NH and RPR he has the proverbial ton in hand and should win with ease...the size of my bet here will be determined by the way that my day has panned out...i may be chasing or i may throttle off..we will see...either way its getting some..


Have a great day TTFN...



Friday, 13 February 2015

Happy Weekend ;-)

Yeah i know its still Friday but its the weekend post so its a " Happy Weekend "...or is it ?...well its been a turbulent week for many a reason for me as my personal life has been knocked sideways...again....but hopefully this time is the last time...but then again who really knows what the future holds....

So on a quiet week with little or no betting for again a variety of reasons i look forward to the weekend with a renewed vigor and huge amount of interest and excitement and to celebrate this we will have a 10 race card incorporating the full 7 races from ASCOT and a select 3 races from HAYDOCK on what looks to be a cracking looking weekend of racing.

So without further ado lets crack on with Ascot....

RACE 1 : 

WIN : TEA FOR TWO - 2nd @ 4/9
EW : N/A -
LONG : N/A -

SUMMARY : We start the day off with a poorly turned out £20k Novice hurdle and it has just the 4 runners and i simply dont see how bar a fall ( which is unlikely ) how on earth this can possibly lose and that horse is TEA FOR TWO who hosed up lto in the Lanzarote ( form has been heavily franked ) by 16L.....bar an act of god this is a Frankel sized Certainty.

RESULTS / NOTES : imo this was just a very poor ride from Lizzie Kelly....fucking bullshit start to the day...

                           ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 2 : 

WIN : VIRAK - ( NAP DOUBLE ) -
EW :  DEPUTY DAN -
LONG : N/A

SUMMARY : Next up is yet another disappointingly small field and yet another with just the 4 runners and its the Grade 2 Reynoldstown Chase worth over £30k.
In truth this is just a 3 runner race as Phone Home looks hopelessly outclassed and would appear to hold no chance what so ever however the other three are very closely matched and i think it may be decided on the day by those that make the least amount of mistakes.
Deputy Dan has promised much yet delivered little for a horse that has so much talent and until he starts to shine a lot brighter will continually be over looked in these better class events even if the numbers are small and he has also shown himself subject to a number of errors which would prove costly on the day.
Ainsi Fideles rattled up a sequence in the summer in low grade small field events beating very little and has it all to prove today and i think he will find VIRAK a tough nut to crack , Virak holds Deputy Dan on Autumn form and should be a few lb better and its my opinion that he will win this quite comfortably given a stress free round of jumping although well beaten lto that was by one of the up n coming superstars of the NH game in the shape of Coneygree and the price will be short but a Double with Tea For Two in the first looks a nailed on bet imo and has to be placed.

RESULTS / NOTES : Thankfully i had some saver cover here to get a bit back with trading...but ultimately this was a very lack luster run from Virak..


                           ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 3 : 

WIN : CAROLES DESTRIER - 1st @ 2.32
EW : SHANGANI -
LONG : CLONDAW KNIGHT - 2nd @ 4.70

SUMMARY : Next up its a £45k Listed Hcap Chase and with an eye watering 7 runners...oh heavens?!..whats a man to do ;-)...seriously i know Cheltfest is just round the corner but just 15 runners in the first 3 races for £100 in Prizemoney...what is wrong with these fuck sticks??!!...
Anyway..lets not get dragged down in all that shiz and lets focus on the race at hand...
This race sees a huge variance in the weight which is coupled with an apparent gulf in class and most here are unreliable at best so for me im going to row in with CAROLES DESTRIER as this is most likely to give its true running over a trip considered to be its best and with Big Bazzer riding this will be given every opportunity.

RESULTS / NOTES :

                           ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 4 : 

WIN : MINELLAS PRESENT -
EW : MINSTRELS GALLERY -
LONG : PADGE - 2nd @ 7.33

SUMMARY : 7  Runner Hcap Hurdle now and its another Bookies Benefit race.
None of the field arrive here with any decent form on show and again most are inconsistent at best and i think a speculative choice can be MINELLAS PRESENT who just tanked out on the run in lto but that was over 2f further and with Ruby Walsh doing the steering today i think its fair to say this will be given an astute ride and will make a late charge to see the others off plus i feel the price may be on the juicy side.

RESULTS / NOTES : The two Minstrels both ran appallingly and it was my initial selection the JP runner that won...

                           ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 5 : 

WIN : BALDER SUCCESS -1st @ 5.63
EW : PITT ZIG - Fell ( Was going n jumped well till this )
LONG : N/A -

SUMMARY : Next up is todays big race and its the Betfair ASCOT CHASE a Grade 1 over 2m5f and again its a relatively small field with just the 6 runners competing for over £100k in prizemoney.
PITT ZIG is a horse i like a lot and although this will be its first attempt outside of novice company i see no reason why it should run anything but a solid race , its on the up for sure and has beaten some useful sorts along the way however Balder Success will be a bit tougher than anything hes yet faced and i do feel that this will be a straight up duel between the two as Ballycasey has been misfiring of late but can take a hand on her best form whilst Theater Guide will be outclassed and outpaced and the remainder have a mountain to climb.

RESULTS / NOTES :

                           ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 6 : 

WIN : OTAGO TRAIL -
EW : VINNIE RED -
LONG : SIRABAD -

SUMMARY : Small field Novice Hurdle now and there is little to discuss here , OTAGO TRAIL has won both starts to date with consummate ease and will make a very bold bid for the Hat Trick and should be backed to win.

RESULTS / NOTES : Nothing for me here but no bet so no damage and PP was dead...Going to get stuck into my NAP now...

                           ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 7 : 

WIN : JOE FARRELL - ( NAP )
EW : BIG CHIEF BENNY -
LONG : ALWAYS LION -

SUMMARY : In the finale we have a very very strong looking NHF race over 2m.
JOE FARRELL has to rate a max bet and a NAP bet on form alone as his lto 2nd has been massively franked as the winner that day has since gone on and won the Listed Bumper at Warwick and that is super form and a run to that level or beyond sees him bang in the mix.

RESULTS / NOTES :

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Haydock to follow....Maybe...

Monday, 9 February 2015

Some Great Shots from the Pro-Am..

There Ya Go >>>>

So as i kinda almost expected the dip into Sunday Irish Racing was a Joke....form is a joke and then they just go round in a circle sharing winners out between each other....
Its the same on the flat although in truth AoB does win with his more professed types but even then 2nd and 3rd strings win their fare share its just a joke and that will certainly be my last look at anything Irish unless she is double D and not wearing any panties ;-).

So its back to reality and a dull average Monday awaits...but surely there must be at least one bet worth having ??...well let me see now.....

A half decent punt is a Double on the Favs in the first two races at Plumpton as both look very strong in weak fields whilst TRYSTER looks good at Wolverhampton and this can be doubled with WINTER QUEEN ( Possible 4 fold also looks a fare bet in truth ) and you can cover the cost of these bets by Laying Telegraph in the finale.

Enjoy your week and see you at the Weekend.

RESULTS :

1  2nd
2. 2nd
3. 1st
4. 2nd

LAY
1.

                            ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Sunday, 8 February 2015

Late Orish Post...

Morning All , 
                       I wont profess to be any type of  " expert " on Irish Racing as i feel its rather bent , however there are some lovely sorts out today with an awful lot of prize money about so i shall cast an eye over it and give my view and possible bets on the races that matter.

1315 : This is a lovely looking race with some really useful types on show and most come into this holding some smart form and a couple with reputations to rebuild.
Kalkir beat nothing on its debut but enhanced its trall reputation non the less however at 4/7 it was rather surprisingly beaten by Fiscal Focus nto who was himself  33/1 but Fiscal Focus won so easy its hard to right it off as a fluke even if it was a life time best performance the fact is Kalkir was undone and undone with ease and cant be trusted at this level...just yet.
VERCINGTORIX does look however an entirely straighter proposition , smooth travelling , slick jumping and all ground loving winning machine and this Elliot inmate could prove to be very very useful indeed and is a horse i like a lot . Cantered home for an easy win at Limerick in a race ready time and with a performance that offers so much more....it will take a very smart run to beat this today and i like the 3.15 on offer as i had it in as 6/4F....good bet and an almost impossible to beat Dutch with Kalkir. - Disappointing run from Vercingtorix as that ran Unplaced however i had done the dutch with Kalkir and was thinking ..easy money this Kalkir is going to hose up....lol...yeah rather predictably that also folded to get beat by its stablemate Petite Parisienne....both Mullins runners lol...yeah i still think its all a big fiddle lol...haha..oh well...more money for me to lose later as i go a chasing  ;-)

1415 : An absolute crackerjack of a race in which none of the field can be safely ruled out this is probably as tough a race as you will find anywhere at anytime.
SEMPRE MEDICI tho' is one i simply cannot get away from at 12/1 as this looks way over priced. Put into context if Jollyann was in this race he would probably be vying for favoritism as this only lost out in the battle to the line after a blunder at the last and eventually going down by 4L but that was a smart run and he had a 139 rated horse stuffed to bits behind and with Jollyann being rated 149 now you would think that a run to the high 140's is nailed on..maybe even better and that outs him bang there , Jollyann himself was only just beaten by Garde le Victoire lto in a tough battle to the line finish that also saw the much vaunted Bristol De Mei ( 149 ) beaten fair n square and a further 9L back in 3rd which only adds strength to the form of Sempre Medici ...the 12/1 is a gift and is fact the best looking EW bet you will find this year ( to date )...if it loses just wipe your chin and move on...but at the price you simply cant afford to miss it. ( EW NAP ) .- Weakened in the straight and thrashed..fucking joke...

1445 : Tough looking Grade 1 Chase now with a lot of familiar names in play.
However tough it looks on paper its hard to get away from VALSEUR LIDO who holds a few on form from the Drinmore and looks a proper world beater and star in the making , jumps for fun and has a wonderful engine and as good as some of the opposition are i simply cant see this getting beat ( NAP ) . - 2nd  and beaten by a horse that lto it pissed all over by 8L hard held...bent as fuck and this is my last foray into Irish racing...

1515 : I don't have a view on this myself but have received a word for CAPTAIN CARLETON so may have a little EW on this or maybe stick it with a couple of others for a fun EW acca. - Placed ( 4th ) @ 17.70 but i did trade out at 2.20 for a decent profit so at least i have a bit back...

1550 :  The HENNESSY GOLD CUP >  ON HIS OWN & BOSTON BOB in a dutch looks the safest bet here in a race that could see many leave recent form behind however on current form these two are the only ones worth looking at ( strong looking dutch @ 4.5 and 5.50 ).- Both ran shit...why am i even the remotest surprised....( I still made a profit on it thru trading and the pic is one of several to show you...its just not the point !! ).


POTTERS POINT should be winning the finale at short odds to round off a good day.- And even this gets stuffed at 1.53...LOL LOL LOL...

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