Tuesday, 31 January 2012

Early Bird...

The cold snap has started with Ludlow and Leicester off but Newcastle has been given the green light today.**
Catches the worm N all that , so here is tomorrows advanced selections.
We have 4 Niche Races to aim at and here they are....


Ludlow 16:40 
Wedding Receptions At Ludlow Standard Open NH Flat Race
£3000.00 added, 4-6yo, 1m 6f, Class 5

...This should be a 2 horse race between Just Sixty and NEW YEARS EVE with the latters form and experience i give that the nod , awaiting a reply re:Just Sixty if i hear anything of note i will update , for now i say this is a rock solid DUTCH.




Newcastle 16:20 
Sendrig Construction Standard Open NH Flat Race
£2100.00 added, 4-6yo, 2m, Class 6

...Outsider time here as i feel the Fav ( Bardeli ) is def worth taking on ( LAYING ) and the one i want to be on is the Jodami family member WOLF SHIELD which will be trading at large odds win and place , this has the breeding and pedigree to easily cause an upset and with a lay on the Fav i will happily use this on an EW on this.

RESULT : ( Pre race : Backed from 21.1 into 7.4 @ 16:19pm ) - **WOW , I BACKED ( EW ) this at all prices from 20 into bfsp ( 9.19 ) , got impeded on the rail when it went for a move and stayed on really well just going down by 1/2 length , big profit race for me with Bardelli coming 3rd , very happy, another BOOM!!.

Newcastle 4.20
 1st4 King Of The Wolds (IRE)9-1
 2nd9 Wolf Shield (IRE)13-2
 3rd1 Bardeli (IRE)6-4 F



Down Royal 16:05 
Dark Horse Cafe At Down Royal Flat Race
€7000.00 added, 4-7yo, 2m

...This should be another feather in the cap for the sparkling combo of Meade / Carberry with the well bred FICKLE FORTUNE ( NAP ) leading them all a merry dance , i will be lumping on the place if i can get the right price as well as the win.

RESULT : Absolutely hoses up after being hampered,bulked....great run, BOOM!!

Down Royal 4.05
 1st13 Fickle Fortune (IRE)8-11 F
 2nd7 Los Amigos (IRE)9-2
 3rd2 Jupitor (IRE)5-1



Kempton Park 16:50 
Free Entry For Betdaq Members Median Auction Maiden Stakes
£3500.00 added, 3-5yo, 5f, Class 5

...Wow even for the AW this is a truly dire race , with this mind i make this a dutch and straight fight between CATS EYES and **CHAUD LAPIN  ( Withdrawn not under orders ) , both should improve enough to be involved and it would be quite a surprise if one of these is not named the winner...

RESULT :** Pre race CATS EYES has been HAMMERED, if the market is a guide then this will win easy...
Total matched on this event: $1,037,577
Reduction Factor 60.9%
Betting summary - Volume: $848,026
Last price matched: 1.59
Projected Betfair Starting Price: 1.58
Result : BOOOOM!! , and thats another 3/3 winning races , happy days!!

 Kempton 4.50Full Result
 1st7 Cats Eyes1-2 F
 2nd5 Sannibel13-2



Late start for me today as ive spent the last couple of hours speaking with investors etc and mulling over a prospective move back to Australia....
On the racing front we have 3 very cold but quite competitive cards to choose from , the bets are thin today as i only have 2 niche races to look at but i will top that up with my nap of the day OPEN HEARTED, so here are todays 3 races...


Folkestone 13:50 
JJ Taxis Folkestone Novices' Hurdle
£4000.00 added, 4yo plus, 2m 6f 110y, Class 4

..This is the race that holds todays NAP which is OPEN HEARTED , i have been reliably informed that this will get the 2m6f trip no problem , its jumping wont be stretched as the dirge of opposition is such that it really should reach the last and win in a canter...

1Open Hearted11-13A TinklerN J Henderson54/6 f
21Likeable Rogue (IRE)11-6D A JacobP F Nicholls611/2
310Knight Flight10-13A ThorntonMiss A M Newton-Smith77/1



Taunton 16:40 
DBS/EBF Mares' Standard Open NH Flat Race (Qualifier)
£3500.00 added, 4-7yo, 2m 1f, Class 5

..A trickier race as there are a couple of stoutly bred sorts from the Henderson/Lavelle yards both of which should turn out to be fairly decent , however word for these is not strong , not strong enough to tip anyhow so i am going for GOWITHDFLO  , this bay mare is another Fleminsfirth prodigality and they are scoring quite well in the NH scene ( winner of yesterdays NHF race ) already has some rock solid form winning fto by 13L , will like the ground ( unknown quantity of a jockey ) and ticks most boxes , this is g'teed to stay and as such i will be having a MAX PLACE bet on this.


1The Wee Lass11-2Nick ScholfieldA J Whiting566/1
2¾Chilworth Screamer10-5T J O'BrienC Gordon428/1
3Gowithdflo (IRE)11-9Miss J C Williams (7)P G Murphy55/1



Southwell 15:00 
Bet Blue Square On Your Mobile Maiden Stakes
£3500.00 added, 3-4yo, 1m, Class 5

.. A very poor race and one that is very hard to get an exact angle on , with the opposition being so poor i am going with HENRY GEORGE , ran poor fto but as with most MJ runners should improve now stepped in distance and with an outing under its belt , looks the most likely to improve and being out of Zamindar one hopes its class will shine , i will be backing this in the win market and Place laying as cover as i think it will either win or do nothing...

19Dubai Sunshine (IRE)8-6Hayley TurnerM L W Bell37/2 f
273Cape Safari (IRE)8-1Martin LaneJ Tate39/2
3109Somerset Island (IRE)9-12A MullenM Smith450/1
43½Linroyale Boy (USA)9-12P McdonaldG A Swinbank44/1
512nkDewala8-1D Fox (3)M Appleby3100/1
68Swinger9-12Raul Da Silva (5)S Dixon422/1
75hdKing's Wharf (IRE)8-6L MorrisP D Evans37/1
844Zenaad (USA)8-6C CatlinS Durack36/1
967Burning Passion8-6James P SullivanM W Easterby333/1
101112Ruby Doo9-7Dane O'NeillA J Lidderdale480/1
111¾Henry George8-6J FanningM Johnston36/1

Boom!! , backed @ 7.78 and Place Laid @ 2.72 = Easy Money.

Fuck me its cold.....!! , right thats it for now , have a great day all , be back tmrw for some more banter with more time...Cheerio!!...


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