Tuesday, 3 January 2012

Morning Fuckers....

Morning All , well let me say firstly that we will only be having the one race meeting today , this is in my view due to the high winds and lashing rain however The race course gave their official reason as " no working PA " , are they taking the piss ? , come on guys if your gonna cancel make the reason a good one!!.
So we have just the one race to concentrate on today , the 12:55 there are currently 7 runners with an odds on fav , will the race offer any value?..lets have a look...

1.ARRIVADERCI -
1M13S.86 - + 4 LENGTH - This is by and large a slowboat , with uninspiring times , a poor PAS rating and a style of running that offers nothing to suggest that this is a horse with a future, it has a few seconds to its name but was well beaten every time and never looked like winning , imo 6f is the minimum for this and may be better served when stepped upto 7f or even a mile .

2.DARCY MAY -
Offers nothing , breeding is poor , its fto run over 7f doesnt even qualify it for a rating , the only positive for this is the booked jockey , g gibbons but im afraid even he wont be able to conjure anything from this , it does make me wonder why they even bother training horses as shit as this? , maybe its getting some exp before going hurdling, but that is just a guess , but that said a friend of mine owns a horse called chester deelyte , this is trained by wainwright and is a complete dog and the slowest thing ive ever seen however it has won 3 equally wank races @ 33/1, 18/1 and 25/1...so if that can win anything can win!!

3.LA DANSE CHAMPETRE -
Oh My!!...worse than Darcy May....Nuff said!

4.BLAUGRANA -
This exceed and excel filly deserves to win this on breeding alone , fortunately this breeding is backed up by a decent fto run over 7f , ran with a lot of pace that day and at the 6f mark looked to have every chance ( this is a 6f maiden ) , ran with a lot of promise , looks sure to improve and coming from the in form Gosden yard looks to have a very obvious chance notwithstanding the excellent strike rate that Gosden has at the track.

5.DIAMOND FINESSE -
Thsi is not that far behind the likely fav ( above ) ran a fair race lto over 7f after showing up really well for 6f , running strong for 5f, and only just weakening out after the 6f pole again suggesting this trip will be right up its street is ok on breeding coming from the illustrious family of cadeaux generaux , this imo will certainly have a say in the outcome and if the fav fails this will surely be picking up the pieces.

6.MISS BLOOM -
Totally discount , pointless reviewing this piece of shit.

7.ROMANY SPIRIT -
This outside of the fav is the most interesting as coming from the trempilino family will likely be suited by the fibresand and 2 runs ago ran really well over this trip just getting pipped a sh and a nose in a decent time then lto was upped in class and put into a nursery ( 2yr old h'cap ) but ran shockingly @ well fancied 11/2 coming last after never being involved this is a bit of a conundrum , if it can reproduce its run for 2 runs back then it surely has every chance here of over turning the fav , but that is a big if as its first three runs it was sent off at 20/1 , 200/1 and 200/1 so was obv not that highly thought off however it has also since changed stables and is having its first run for the Ward yard, will the change work? , can Wardy work the oracle?....will it be in the mood for it?...many questions to answer.....

CONCLUSION : BLAUGRANA looks at this stage the most reliable option , its has fewer questions to answer and less to prove , in all honesty i think this can win without improving it only needs to be able to reproduce its fto effort to win imo , i think Diamond Finesse and romany spirit will give it a toe through the race but come the 5f marker the race will open up and i expect the FAV to show his true colours , not a selection that really requires great contemplation but the case for it is overwhelming., my bet is £100 win @ 1.74 ( Gold Bet )


Result : Booom!! , wages easily attained for today as it wins by a very easy 3 1/2 lengths , wish they all as easy as that! ( wins @ 1.51 )

 Southwell 12.55
 1st4 Blaugrana (IRE)4-9 F
 2nd1 Arrivaderci8-1

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