Saturday, 11 June 2011

For Boom Storm..

"I'm wondering your opinion on these races:
13:55 Sand, 14:15 Chest, 14:45 Chest.."

Good Afternoon Boom , lets take a look...

Sandown Park 13:55 
An interesting Hcap with a good number of solid in form horses running over a very odd to work out trip 1m1f.....
No speed Ratings for this race and with so many that will either excel or fail its a tough one for sure.
It is interesting that so many top jockeys have elected to go to Sandown today suggesting that these are the priorities.
First thing is i would discount totally Memorabilia in a race as fierce as this and only having any decent form on Polytrack..Its a big no no, however i wouldnt lay it as i dont trust M Johnston.
Harry Luck is interesting as Dane o Neil is here riding this rather than go to York to ride Seal Rock ( big run expected ) take away its last run and it would have a massive shout as it won nicely over 1m , running away at the end...i do think it will stay and i do expect a big run.
Voodoo Prince only won a maiden and is all the rage due to its Mother (Ouija Board ) , there is no way i would back this at 3.85 , that is very poor value.
Tullius @ 12.0 is of great interest as it beat Charles Camoin last time out and that form line is rock solid.
The only other one to consider here is England Rules who will improve  again for the step up in trip.

Summary: Personally i cant have the first two in the betting as i just think they  are too short, offer no value and still have it all top prove , i would and will DUTCH the following three at decent prices ( small outlay, good return ) ,
1.Tullius 12.0 -  2nd - Just touched off last 10 yrds!!! , traded  at 1.38!!!! 
2.Harry Luck 17.0
3.England Rules 8.8
All 3 can be dutched EW for a Profit.
Result = Nice Profit ;-)

Race Nos 2.
Chester 14:15 
A small field H'cap where i Will have a MAX LAY on Bollin Dolly and i will also be having a decent Punt on TWEEDLEDRUM as i think this has an outstanding chance of getting its hat trick today.
Analysis: Tweedledrum run on into 3rd after only getting going in the last furlong , gets the trip no problem, unsure as to the going tho?? , Bollin Dolly was unplaced, Profit attained ;-)

Race 3.
Chester 14:45
A Hideously difficult Maiden to sort out....Oh my lol ,The bet here is a MAX bet in the PLACE market on SHERE KHAN, if it runs like it did lto it places, if it improves again it wins..easy.
@ 2.02 the Place i am happy to take this all day long.
Result- Never better than 4th, Just not good enough , no excuses , will lay next time  , ranbk outsider , unraced wins...that says it all.

Good Luck Mate.


Copy Halt