Wednesday 31 August 2011

Another day , another....


Winning day hopefully , still a bit gutted by the end of race collapse yesterday , the last race at every meeting resulted in a winner...took over £1100 out of my satchel!! , upto that point it had been a superb day...sigh!! , spoze i should be used to the swings by now , start of a new bank week so lets start with a really big winning day please!!...
Today we will be looking at Folkstone and Bath plus a couple from Hereford , i may actually work that little bit more tonight and do the evening cards...

Lets start....

FOLKSTONE

14:20
BACK - EDGEWARE ROAD - UNPLACED
LAY - LINKS DRIVE LADY - £250 @ 11.5 ( MAX LAY , LOTD ) - 2ND = WON £250 ( Hit 1.35 in running and i thought oh noes!! , here we go again , but thankfully , the fallon drive was good!! ).
BETA BACKS - SPIRIT OF OAKDALE - UNPLACED

14:50

BACK - COURTLAND KING - 2nd @ 2.66
LAY - GUAVA - £75 @ 5.3  - UNPLACED = WON £75
BETA BACKS - RED HEARTS - 1st @ 10.7

15:20

BACK - PASSING STRANGER - 1st @ 1.22 ( only after a close photo , traded at 1.35 in photo )
LAY - NONE - TRADE THE FAV ( LAY AT 1.23 AND SET TRADE AT 1.41 ) ( hit 1.88 )
BETA BACKS - DUALITE - Unplaced

15:50

BACK - GO NANI GO - 2nd @ 5.5
LAY - OSIRIS WAY - £200 @ 7.8  - UNPLACED = Won £200
BETA BACKS - MAGICAL SPEEDFIT  - UNPLACED

16:20

BACK - DR FINLAY - 2nd @ 15/8
LAY - PIZZETI - £150 @ 11.5 - Unplaced = Won £150
BETA BACKS - RED CURRENT - 1st @ 6/1

16:50

BACK - PROTARAS - 1st @ 11/4
LAY - FIGARO - £100 @ 5.2 - Unplaced @ 3/1 = Won £100
BETA BACKS - MAHAYOGIN - UNPLACED

_____________________________________ P n L = £775-00 Profit

_____________________________________________

BATH

14:30

BACK - BOLD CROSS - 2ND @ 6.8
LAY - MISTER FANTASTIC - £150 @ BFSP - UNPLACED = WON £150
BETA BACKS - DREAM OF FORTUNE - UNPLACED

15:00

BACK - HOLDEN EAGLE - UNPLACED
LAY - ROSE AURORA - £75 @ 4.4 - Withdrawn not under orders - Horse Bolted ( H Turner suffered broken ankle )
BETA BACKS - DRAWBACK - 3rd @ 21.1 ( traded @ 2.22 )

15:30

BACK - SHOUT FOR JOY  - UNPLACED
LAY - NIGHT ANGEL - £150 @ 7.2 - 2nd = Won £150
BETA BACKS - KEY ADDITION  - UNPLACED

16:00

BACK - DUBAWI GIRL - 2nd @ 1.73
LAY - LEVANTERA - £250 @ 11.5 - 3rd = WON £250
BETA BACKS - ONLY YOU MAGGIE - UNPLACED

16:30

BACK - DREAMS OF GLORY - UNPLACED
LAY - CATALINAS DIAMOND - £200 @ BFSP - UNPLACED = Won £200
BETA BACKS - BLUE DEER - UNPLACED

17:00

BACK - EMIRATESDOTCOM - UNPLACED
LAY - WOODEN KING - £200 @ BFSP - 3rd @ 6/1 = Won £200
BETA BACKS - SERMONS MOUNT - 2nd @ 5/1

17:30

BACK - RIDGEWAY SAPPHIRE - UNPLACED
LAY - WHEATFIELD - £50 @ BFSP - 3rd @ 11/1 = Won £50
BETA BACKS - FLAXON LAKE - UNPLACED


_____________________________________ P n L = £1000-00 Profit

_____________________________________________

That'll do for now , got a lot to do , so for now bb ttfn ;-)

_____________________________________________

A brilliant day at last making a total of  £1775-00 Profit , and very welcome it is too , a few more days like this and we'll be right back to where we was and will be able to make that push towards the first major obstacle , the £10k mark!!.
On the BACK bets , Beta didnt do so well at bath however at Folkstone it picked up two good priced winners @ 10.7 and 7.2 so you would have made a good profit there and would have made a small profit blindly backing both meetings!! , so still in great form which is good , obv not a blip and could be the real deal??? , my speed rating were a bit off today producing just two short priced winners and 5 placed horses ( beta back also had 2 placed horses inc' 1 @ 21.0 ) , but overall still very good.....
Has anyone been following either the Beta Backs or the raings tips? , if so what are your figures? ...right off for a bit now , cya all tmrw....

Tuesday 30 August 2011

So far today...

With just about 2 races left for me to trade i was ready to write up thats its been a mega impressive day , however spice bar and boston blue won their lucky last and took over £800 out of my profits!!...fucking shame that, was almost a faultless day after a rocky start , i have to say tho , wow on the backs side , how many winners got tipped up today??...abs incred , very good punting and some great trading made today , still quite nicely up for the day on the blog ( for now ) , and very pleased with the way everything has gone, restored my embattled confidence a bit......will update later with finals.., for now tho ttfn....and look forward to seeing you tmrw ;-)

Sigh.....

This is me after i finally looked at my P n L for the day...

What a day yesterday was....fucking ridic , i feel like just selecting all my lays today and backing them in massive trebles and acca's!! , yesterday tho tbf was as freaky a day as you will ever experience, once a year type of day , but one thankfully can be recovered , and my friends the recovery starts today , going to be covering all three of the day meetings..
This should read , no single trade was to blame for yesterdays collapse!





So lets crack on todays racing....

RIPON

14:00
BACK - JANETS PEARL - 1st @ 1/3
LAY - EN FUEGO - £75 @ BFSP - UNPLACED = WON £75
BETA BACK - YORKSTERS PRINCE - 2ND @ 11/1

14:30

BACK - ELUSIVE BONUS - 1st  @ 11/2
LAY - RED SHADOW - £125 @ BFSP - 2nd @ 5/1 = WON £125
BETA BACK - ECONOMIC CRISIS ( APT ) - 3RD @ 28/1 ( 38.55 )

15:00

BACK -TELL DAD - 1ST @ 3.15
LAY - BLUE SHOES - £75 @ BFSP - 2nd @ 2.98 = WON £75
BETA BACK - ALMOND BRANCHES - UNPLACED
*Bet Status: The following bets were successfully matched
Current Odds bets

Lay
Backer's
Odds
Backer's
Stake
Your
Liability
Blue Shoes 2.98  £75.00 £148.50
Ref: 16121513262 Bet placed: 15:01 30-Aug-11

15:35

BACK - PONTY ACCLAIM - 1st @ 3.25
LAY - KOOL HENRY - £75 @ BFSP - 2ND @ 3/1 = WON £75
BETA BACK - QUITE A THING - UNPLACED

16:10

BACK - KING OF THE CELTS  - UNPLACED
LAY - PLEASANT DAY - £75 @ BFSP  - UNPLACED = WON £75
BETA BACK - EPERNAY  - UNPLACED

16:45

BACK - HOT ROD MAMA - 1ST @ 4.80
LAY - GLOBAL - £75 @ BFSP - UNPLACED = WON £75
BETA BACK - JUPITER FIDIUS - 3RD @ 8.47 ( HIT 1.37 in running )

17:15

BACK - SIMPLE JIM  - UNPLACED
LAY - SPICE BAR - £75 @ BFSP - 1ST @ 5.58 = LOST £345
BETA BACK - TERENZIUM - UNPLACED

___________________________________________

EPSOM

14:10

BACK - PRODUCER - 1ST @ 4/5
LAY - ERMYN FLYER - £125 @ BFSP - 3RD @ 10/1 = WON £125
BETA BACK - LADY GIBRALTER - UNPLACED

14:40

BACK - ANOTHER TRY  - UNPLACED
LAY - CLEAR PRAISE - £75 @ BFSP  - UNPLACED = WON £75
BETA BACK - GENTLE LORD - 3RD @ 11/4

15:15

BACK - ALBAMARA - 1st @ 1.66
LAY - TALLEVU - £75 @ 11 ( KEEP BET ) - Unplaced = WON £3.17 ( LoL , thats all that got matched! )
BETA BACK - DYNAMIC DUO - 2nd @ 3.9

15:50

BACK - DANCING STORM - UNPLACED
LAY - THE BELLS O PEOVER - £100 @ BFSP - 3rd @ 4.48 = WON £100
BETA BACK - FILUN - UNPLACED

16:20

BACK - KONSTANTIN - 1ST @ 2/1 ( 3.08 )
LAY - SONGSMITH - £150 @ BFSP ( LOTD )  - UNPLACED = WON £150
BETA BACK - SILVERWARE  - UNPLACED

16:55

BACK - HIGHLIFE DANCER - 1ST @ 6.09
LAY - POTENTIALE - £75 @ BFSP - UNPLACED = WON £75
BETA BACK - MIRACLE PLAY - UNPLACED

_________________________________________________

GOODWOOD

14:20

BACK - AMBER SILK - UNPLACED
LAY - SWINGLAND - £175 @ BFSP - 1ST @ 3/1F = LOST £560
BETA BACK - SPECIFIC - UNPLACED

14:50

BACK - FREE VERSE - UNPLACED
LAY - THE NOBLE ORD - £200 @ BFSP ( LOTD NB )  - UNPLACED = WON £200
BETA BACK - MAHKAMA - 2ND @ 3/1

15:25

BACK - DOUGHTWYLIE - 2nd @ 1.93
LAY - RED LAGO - £75 @ BFSP - UNPLACED = WON £75
BETA BACK - LATE TELEGRAPH - 1st @ 7.44**
** I BACKED THIS @ 9.2 ;-)))
16:00

BACK - UNCLE FRED - UNPLACED
LAY - COMPTON BLUE - £100 @ BFSP - UNPLACED @ 5.97 = WON £100
BETA BACK - PATS LEGACY - 1ST @ 3.29

16:30

BACK - AYE AYE DIGBY  - UNPLACED
LAY - KINGS N DREAMS - £75 @ BFSP  - UNPLACED = WON £75
BETA BACK - PERFECT PASTIME - 2ND @ 5/1 ( 7.05 )

17:05

BACK - TRANSFER- UNPLACED
LAY - BOSTON BLUE - £75 @ BFSP - 1ST @ 3.77 = LOST £207
BETA BACK - MUSTAJED - 2ND @ 6/1

____________________________________________________________

SOUTHWELL

16:40

BACK - SCROOBY DOO - 3RD @ 4.39
LAY - THREE SUGARS - £100 @ BFSP - 1st @ 2.46 ( traded out @ 10.0 for a nice profit ) = blog LOSS = £146
BETA BACK - BOGEY HOLE - UNPLACED

17:10

BACK - HEARTS AND MINDS  - UNPLACED
LAY - CLONE DEVIL - £75 @ BFSP  - UNPLACED = WON £75
BETA BACK - FLYING PICKETS - 2ND @ 14.5 ( HIT 1.17 IN RUNNING )

17:40

BACK - AMPLEFORTH - 3RD @ 3.9
LAY - CRYSTAL ETOILLE £75 @ BFSP - UNPLACED = WON £75
BETA BACK - INDIAN MIST - UNPLACED

18:10

BACK - MAY CONTAIN NUTS - UNPLACED
LAY - ALL MY HEART - £75 @ BFSP - 1st @ 3.35 = lost £176.25
BETA BACK - NATIVE COLONY - UNPLACED

_______________________________________________

And that rounds up proceedings for today , hopefully things will greatly improve from yesterday and we can start the slow climb back into the winners enclosure , £4k to make up , gonna take some doing but i have every faith that my multi systems wont let me down and yesterday was just a blip!!...good luck everyone with whatever you do!!.

________________________________________________

Overall today made a profit of £193-92...very disappointing end to an otherwise excellent day.;-(





















Monday 29 August 2011

OMFG...

What an incredibly bad day , financially i have taken a hammering today , but results wise i have mixed emotions as beta back has again for the 5th consecutive day has shown a profit in cluding winners at every meeting  ( inc: 1 @ 19.5 ) , my own selections have produced quite a few tidy winners , however my lays today have produced a freaky amount of winners and seconds and today was a very nervy trading day , now on a lot of these i did trade personally and greened up on nearly all , however there were still a couple today that i hammered and got well shot...here are some quick stats from today...

20 races advised on
produced a total of 12 winners ( from 20 ) , however , 6 of those were advised LAYS , so took quite a kicking with them.

Back bets - 20 points outlay - ( 7.53 @ ripon ) , ( 1.78 @ chepstow ) = 9.31 = 10.69 point LOSS

Beta Back Bets - 20 point outlay - ( 3.5 @ ripon ) , ( 6.4 @ epsom ) ( 19.5 epsom ) , ( 4.4 @ chepstow ) = 13.7 profit

Combined back profit of 2.99

Lays produced 6 losing bets @ 6.6 , 6.6 , 8.4 , 5.5 , 10.5 and 5.2 resulting in a day LOSS of £4125
( - £175 @ ripon ) , ( - £2325 @ epsom ) and ( - £1625 @ chepstow )  , so today has been my biggest single loss day since Cheltenham 2009 , obv the stakes may now have to be lowered until the bank has been rebuilt..overall a frustrating day and ultimately a losing day , such a shame after enjoying such a purple patch...

Fuck me...

what a wank start to the day , 2 races and two big priced winners layed!! , things had better pick up and quick...already over £2.5k down!!

And i am now also going to.....

give you a QUICK  look @ RIPON ;-)) , HAPPY HOLIDAY !

RIPON

14:25
BACK - KOALITION - UNPLACED
LAY - LOOK HERES LADY ( LOTD NB ) - £200 @ 7.8 - 2nd = WON £200
BETA BACK - BELLECHANCE - UNPLACED

15:00
BACK - LANDAMAN  - UNPLACED
LAY - ALBERT BRIDGE - £150 @ 5.5  - UNPLACED = WON £150
BETA BACK - QUADRANT  - UNPLACED

15:35
BACK - CITY OF THE KINGS - UNPLACED
LAY - DOLPHIN ROCK - £150 @ BFSP - 2nd @ 7/1F = WON £150
BETA BACK - MASTER OF ARTS - UNPLACED

16:10
BACK - REDACT -UNPLACED
LAY - GERFALCON - £150 @ BFSP - 1st = LOST £675-00
BETA BACK - GOLD CITY - 2ND @ 11/2

16:45
BACK - ANOTHER CITIZEN - UNPLACED
LAY - BAY OF FIRES - £150 @ 4.5 ( KEEP BET )  - UNPLACED = WON £not matched
BETA BACK - ELUSIVE PRINCE - Result = 1st @ 3.5

17:20
BACK - SANGAR - Result = 1st @ 7.53
LAY - FREE ART - £150 @ 5.2 ( KEEP BET ) - UNPLACED = WON £not matched
BETA BACK - PIVOT BRIDGE -UNPLACED

Thats it , 3 meetings for ya today, happy punting and good luck..its gonna be a busy un!!!!
_____________________________________________________________________





Bank Holiday Monday...

Its the last of the year so enjoy , really you should all be out with your family or out in the pub about now!! , unlike me  , working ( shirking ) , but everyone else is out at work so i may as well......
Quick passage about yesterdays game...8-2 , eight fucking two , Arsene Wegner , please sort your shit out , buy some new players now , we are too weak , too young , too inexperienced and in certain areas , very ordinary , our defending yesterday was a joke !! ( as the scoreline quite clearly shows ) , this season is going to be one long struggle.....;-(
As per on a bank holiday there is a plethora of racing , unfortunately most of it is shite , i am only going to be concentrating on the flat today and will decide shortly which and what to post...?! ( as know one commented )...
Hmmm..where to go?...
Epsom it is....
** Today i will be making a concious effort to trade my position wherever possible pre race , this may not get updated till literally at the off ( when a lot of change happens ) , so you will just have to watch out for all the updates as the happen..i will also look to be trading these for smaller profits but green books ( or at least to minimise any potential losses ) in running , i will advise ad hoc **

EPSOM


14:00
BACK - GULF OF ALASKA - UNPLACED
LAY - STATEOS - £200 @ 10.5 ( LOTD ) -1st = LOST £1900-00 (OUCH, that hurts!! )
BETA BACKS - ASHBINA ( EW ) - 3rd @ 7/1

14:30
BACK - MON VISAGE - 3RD @ 5.04
LAY - BLUE DEER - £100 @ 4.7 - RESULT = 2ND @ 3.8 = WON £100
BETA BACKS - CELTIC SIXPENCE - RESULT = 1ST @ 6.4

15:05
BACK - CRIMEA  - UNPLACED
LAY - MOORHOUSE LAD - £150 @ 12.5 - RESULT = 2ND = WON £150
BETA BACKS - SOHRAB - 3RD @ 4/1

15:40
BACK - SPRING OF FAME  - UNPLACED
LAY - RESURGE - £75 @ 8.4 - UNPLACED = WON £75
BETA BACKS - MEASURING TIME - 2ND @ 13/2

16:15
BACK - MAYBE I WONT **  - UNPLACED
LAY - MEGALALA - £150 @ 6.8 - 3rd = won £150
BETA BACKS - IF I WERE A BOY **  - UNPLACED
** This has been highlighted as a massive place dutch banker bet ,  ( miw  £500 , iiwab £350 ) returns at least £100 profit and is in the opinion of the pas generator a nailed on dutch , one of these will surely be placed??...

16:50
BACK - TENBY LADY - unplaced
LAY - WIGGY SMITH - £150 @ 11.5 ( KEEP BET ) - Unplaced ( unmatched )
BETA BACKS - CELESTIAL GIRL - Result = 1st @ 19.5

17:25
BACK - GREEN EARTH  - unplaced
LAY - ORIENTALIST - £200 @ 5.5 - 1st = lost £900
BETA BACKS - DANEHILL DANTE  - unplaced

_________________________________________________________

Thats epsom covered....what next ...hmmm....( thinks long and hard )....
_________________________________________________________

OK , lets do CHEPSTOW  as well.....

14:05
BACK - MADAME ISSHE
LAY - TWO TURTLE DOVES - £100 @ 8.4 - RESULT = 1ST = LOST £740-00 ( WOW First two races result in two big priced winners!! , absolutely calamatious start , its gonna be a tough day!!)
BETA BACKS - COLOURBEARER - 2nd @ 3/1


14:40
BACK - EMMA JEAN - UNPLACED
LAY - FIRST REBELLION - £150 @ 6.6 - 1ST @ 5.9 = LOST £840.00 ( FUCK ME!! )
BETA BACKS - LADY CAPRICE - UNPLACED

15:15
BACK - KID SUITOR - RESULT = 1ST @ 1.78
LAY - HYPERLINK - £75 @ 4.5 ( KEEP BET ) - RESULT = 2ND = WON £75 ( HIT 1.31 )
BETA BACKS - WAYNE MANOR  - UNPLACED

15:50
BACK - ROEDEAN - 3rd @ 6/4
LAY - LITTLE DUTCH GIRL - £75 @ 6.6 ( KEEP BET )  - 1ST = Lost £420.00
BETA BACKS - FLEUR DE LA VIE  - UNPLACED

16:25
BACK - OMNIPOTENT  - UNPLACED
LAY - LOCHANTANKS - £150 @ 5.5 - 2nd = won £150
BETA BACKS - ASHKALARA - RESULT = 1ST @ 4.4

17:00
BACK - KATMAI RIVER  - UNPLACED
LAY - ROYAL BOX - £75 @ 6.6 ( KEEP BET )  - UNPLACED = WON £75
BETA BACK - ABACIST  - UNPLACED

17:35
BACK - DOCTOR HILARY - 3rd @ 20/1
LAY - POYLE TO DREAM - £150 @ 4.5 ( KEEP BET ) AND £75 @ 7.0  - UNPLACED = WON £
BETA BACK - DANCING WELCOME  - UNPLACED

____________________________________________________________
WELL THAT LOOKS A TOUGH MEETING WITH SOME VERY UNTRUSTWORTHY HORSES IN ATTENDANCE...
____________________________________________________________








Who is the viewer from Habana?

I have noticed over the last few days we have two more regulars , 1 from Dublin and 1 from Havana , come and say Hi , Dont be Shy ;-)

Sunday 28 August 2011

its my birfday,..its my birfday.......

And here i am . what a sad sack lol , its my birthday and i have spent the morning reviewing races , and this afternoon i will be mainly trading....sigh what a life ;-) , hopefully tho i shall get out for a couple of sherbets later and maybe take go for a Chinese...nos 69 always looks appealing ;-**.
Had another storming day yesterday so the run continues and i see no reason for it to change , i think at long last we have found a stable base to work from and won that satisfies all my urgings , which for me is a key factor , also very pleased with the winners that the Beta Backs has been finding , overall results and roi is extremely high just at the minute , and it has a snowball effect , as i have made more in the last 7 days than i have in the 50 days prior...so obv fucking about with the bets, stakes, dutches earlier patently didnt work...
My team ARSENAL take on the mighty Man Utd today @ Old Trafford and tbh i think we will get stuffed either 2-0 or 3-1 , things do not look rosy in the Emirates garden , we will get hammered in the champions league and i think we will struggle to make top 6 this year so im not gonna hold my breath waiting for a trophy any time soon , what i will be doing however is at 80 mins in every arsenal game or ( if ) they go 2-0 ahead i will be laying them ( should be 1.01 - 1.12 ) , doing this last year would have reaped huge rewards and this year looks no different.
Onto the racing , for a sunday ( because of the bank holiday ) its a decent day and there is a very good card at the Curragh this aft' which holds the Moyglare stud stakes...where Maybe ( 1st ) is expected to win..however.....

For the blog today we will be mainly looking at Goodwood.....

so here goes..

GOODWOOD

14:10
BACK - ONELADYOWNER - Result = 1st @ 6.2
LAY - TAGULA NIGHT - £150 @ 13.5 - Result = Unplaced = Won £150
BETA BACK - QUASI CONGAREE  - Result = Unplaced 

14:45
BACK - POTENTIALE - Result = Unplaced 
LAY - BYRD IN THE HAND - £150 @ BFSP - Result = 2nd = Won £150
BETA BACK - LOYALISTE - Result = 1st @ 8.58

15:20

BACK - THE CHEKA  - Result = Unplaced
LAY - HOORAY* - £200 @ 4.4 ( LOTD ) - Result = Unplaced = Won £200
BETA BACK - JAQUELINE QUEST - Result = 2nd @ 13.0 ( beaten in a photo , on the nod! )
**Trip and ground against him today , he only bares gets this and a fast run race will see him have his legs taken off in the ground , insta lay **.

15:55

BACK - ELLIE IN THE PINK  - Result = 1st @ 3.61
LAY - XCLAIM - £75 @ BFSP  - Result = Unplaced = Won £75
BETA BACK - DIAMOND RUN   - Result = Unplaced

16:30

BACK - ZAMINA  - Result = 1st @ 2.83
LAY - LOCH FLEET - £75 @ BFSP - Result = Unplaced = Won £75
BETA BACK - LADY ELSIE - Result = 2nd @ 3.42

17:05

BACK - SEAMUS SHINDIG  - Result = 3rd @ 4.0
LAY - MEMPHIS MAN - £150 @ BFSP  - Result = 2nd = Won £150
BETA BACK - EVEN BOLDER - Result = Unplaced

______________________________________________________
Thats it for now i may update with some clues for the Curragh....., whatever you do today, smile and be happy ;-)
______________________________________________________

Another FANTASTIC day , with a combined 4 winners from 6 races , 6 / 6 winning laybets and 8 tickets collected on the placepot , again im extremely happy with the way its all going at the minute and hope that this is the winning thread i have been for so long searching..., bank holiday tmrw , everyones out tmrw bar me ;-( ,  a day at the races it is then!! , if anyone has a preference for which card is put up tmrw, comment , the first one to comment will be the one i use , so till tmrw , stay well , fit and healthy , get some beers and chill....see ya all tmrw ( oh and dont mention the football ffs! )...
Total profits for today are £800-00





Saturday 27 August 2011

Happy Sat morning folks...

Well it is morning in my world , and yes mr fox i will/have added your blog and good morning to you , as im short on time again today, my daily diatribe will have to take a back seat whilst i finish off my cards , unsure as to which im gonna blog as i have them all kinda ready.....gonna crack on and finish this...ttfn...

OK..OK..ive decided today to show NEWMARKET , it is a favourite of mine and i usually do well here but was tricky as i love Goodwood also ( may show 1 mor two if i have time )..same format , back , lay and beta back with All the LAYS being blog bets , any other bets outside will be shown as BB in ( ) , ok ..good , glad we are clear on that.

NEWMARKET


13:55
BACK - AMAZING STORM ( EW ) - 1st @ 3.57
LAY - ROYAL MAJESTIC - £75 @ BFSP - UNPLACED @ 15.34 = Won £75
BETA BACK - STORMING BERNARD - 2nd @ 6.6
** I kinda agree with the beta back selection here but only in the place market , looking at the sectionals and race speed figures , Storming Bernard is a good 2 seconds quicker and covers all fractions quicker than everything ( over 7f ) , i think that 2.06 ( top 3 paid ) for a place is absolutely huge and is a far better bet than a lot of jollies that run for that or less , imo u should have a good go at this and set yourself up for the day.**

14:30

BACK - JACOB CATS ( EW ) - UNPLACED
LAY - SAMITAR - £75 @ 2.2 - 2ND @ 2.3 = Won £75
BETA BACK - BALTY BOYS - 3rd @ 7.7
** Based on pure speed figures alone then Samitar has to be layed , yes it ran and won very well in the albany stakes and is a deserved favourite for this race and in all honesty probs should win ( with improvement ) , but two things that bug me with that form are ,
1) she was the oldest 2yr old in the race by far , that makes a big difference in the early season battles as they mature quicker and do have a physical advantage.
and..
2) the time of the race was poor , she didnt beat anything special and the race was very average for an albany.
So that said at even money ( currently 2.2 ) i would rather have the field ( even a poorish looking one like this ) running for me instead of just the one for the same payoff.
This is one of those races where the value comes into play , i know full well i am probably laying the winner but at the odds and in a race like this i have to lay the fav, good luck.

15:00

BACK - CHAPERELLIE ( EW ) - UNPLACED
LAY - POLICE FORCE £75 @ ( 2.5 , KEEP BET ) - 3rd @ 2.9 ( hit 1.26 ) = Won £75
BETA BACK - KAI - UNPLACED
** Poor maiden for newmarket and again , i am probably laying the winner , but again i have no choice  , there are just too many variables in this race with all the main players looking much of a muchness and it would be no surprise to see a big priced winner here , laying the fav is the only choice.**( winner elusive flame won @ 16.1 )

15:30

BACK - CAPONE - UNPLACED
LAY - MONSIEUR CHEVALIER £200 @ 3.65 ( LOTD ) - UNPLACED = WON £200
BETA BACK - SWISS DREAM - 1ST @ 6.6
** Only swiss dream and capone have run consistently to the same marke every time ( 1m11s ) which is far better than anything else , only Macs Power has run near to this but its best speed figures are from 2 yrs ago so cannot be considered as " in form " , i think MC is far too short and has done nothing to justify favouritism , i have made this my LOTD  as i think there are at least 4 quicker in this race and imo will be lucky to place .

16:00

BACK - MIDNIGHT OIL  - UNPLACED
LAY - COBBS QUAY - £200 @ 12.5 ( lotd nb )  - UNPLACED = WON £200
BETA BACK - NORTHSIDE PRINCE - UNPLACED
**Cobbs quay has no chance whatsoever , lay this for all you can afford!!( even at this price )

16:35

BACK - KIRTHILL - 2ND @ 9.8
LAY - DARE TO DANCE - £75 @ 3.65 - 1st @ 5.6 = LOST £198.75
BETA BACK - PARAMOUR - 4TH @ 12.75 ( top 4 paid )
**as it hit 5.9 pre race i actually traded my personal position out of this and attained a very nice green )**
17:10

BACK - FAIR PASSION ( EW )  - UNPLACED
LAY - BOUNCY BOUNCY - £200 @ BFSP ( SLOW HORSE ) - UNPLACED = WON £200
BETA BACK - LONG AWAITED  - 3rd @ 3.5

___________________________________________________

A couple from GOODWOOD......

14:15

BACK - DRUNKEN SAILOR - UNPLACED
LAY - MOTRICE - £75 @ BFSP - 1st @ 3.5 = LOST £187.50
BETA BACK - ETERNAL HEART - 2ND @ 5.91

14:50

BACK - LILLY'S ANGEL - UNPLACED
LAY - QUESTING - £75 @ BFSP - Unplaced = Won £75 ( 4.53 )
BETA BACK - REGAL REALM - 1st @ 3.13

15:20

BACK - POETS VOICE - UNPLACED
LAY - PREMIER LOCO - £150 @ 6.6 AND £150 @ 4.2 ( BOTH KEEP BETS ) - UNPLACED ( NEITHER BETS MATCHED )
BETA BACK - DUBWAI GOLD - 1st @ 3.95

And thats your lot for today , good luck with whatever ya do , im here all day if ya need any advice , you can add me on msn  and chat there if ya want , my msn is clintsmith443@msn.com , add me and chat me..lets make some money ;-)

_______________________________________________________________

Overall i would have to say that today has been not far off stellar!!! , and the beta backs chipped in with a few more winners , getting a lot of 1st/2nds and i may start doing a few placepots for fun , lotd was great and again the adjusting staking helped us with the winners being at the lower end of the staking spectrum , so today we finished with a profit of £513-75 , so again another really good,solid day...hope you all did well!!.







Friday 26 August 2011

Afternoon..

Well firstly let me start by saying that yes i know the blog may look a bit different , that's because ive been messing around with the format and i didn't back up the original!! doh!! , i wanted to give this one a more professional look and feel , with more info on horses , courses and stats , but this appears a bridge too far!?.
i would be grateful if anyone had any ideas they could contribute or knows of any great sites where i can download some good templates, all the ones ive tried have been rubbish....
Concerning the blog and racing , we are in the midst of a very welcome purple patch and long may it continue , the beta backs are proving a useful tool to have , and that is the key , a betting armoury loaded with winning weapons , a single shot very rarely takes the prize , but a barrage usually sinks everything , so attacking the races with an armada of info , stats , betting platforms , skill and luck will result in a long term winning and profitable account.
this is my basic mindset for developing the Phoenix Pro System , its not about tipping a constant stream of winners ( which is impossible ) its about making a profit , a consistent profit , day in , day out, week in , week out , that's what separates the pro traders from the gamblers , gamblers get a great buzz from a good winning bet but also get very down when they lose , its like being bi-polar between 2-6pm every day , its not a great feeling , the best feeling is ending your day on a profit, sitting back , letting it all sink in and then just saying to yourself.." this is the life ".
in order to maximise any potential you may have you must first learn to control yourself , but being a gambler and having control is a bit like asking nielsen to attend pride and control himself.
i love horse racing , to me its a great sport and one i love to watch , i do myself like to have a flutter , go crazy and do shit i wouldnt normally do , but i have learnt over the years ( of endless mistakes and after spunking £1000's of pounds away ) to control these urges to a point , i have now mastered the greed part within me , and it has gone for good , i am quite adept at laying 2/3 or 4/5 horses a day making my money then walking away , however on the better racing days i really do want to be involved , ( thats the gambler coming out , nothing to do with greed , just the gambler ) so thats when i decided to start blogging and from each days profits i squirrel away a % to build up my " gamblers fund " , this war chest was and is for me to let loose and do the crazy shit i wanted to do with out it affecting my day to day living or expense account , this created the blog account , if it goes it goes , i can always rebuild , i can always save again and i think sometimes that is a primary factor in becoming a winning trader / gambler etc..its having the confidence to follow your work , back or lay your choices and to not worry about the outcome as it wont affect your income! , i think far to many people bet more than they can afford , they overstake , or bet with the gas money sticking it all onto a " dead cert " and then crying robbed when it gets beat @ 2/5.......!!
you HAVE to bet with money that is totally set aside from anything else, so that if it is lost it really doesnt matter as it was never there to begin with.

Today we are off to NEWMARKET , a good looking card with some tasty maidens and you cant beat a good looking maiden ;-@). ( all the lays are blog bets )


Newmarket


13:20
BACK - AMELIA MAY - unplaced
LAY - CANDYCAKES £150 @ BFSP ( LOTD / BLOG BET ) - Result = Unplaced = Won £150 ( 3.95 F )
BETA BACK - STAR OF BOMBAY - unplaced


13:50
BACK - SEE EMILY PLAY -unplaced **
LAY - SHOW FLOWER £150 @ BFSP  - Result = Unplaced = Won £150 ( 4/1 )
BETA BACK - SHADA - 3rd @ 11/4
** my first choice was lyric of light  ( first @ 6/1 ) but i talked myself out of it.;-(.


14:20
BACK - SALFORD ART - Unplaced
LAY - MIZBAH £150 @ BFSP- Result = Unplaced = Won £150 ( 9.83 )
BETA BACK - MOON TRIP - Unplaced


14:55

BACK - HEFNER
LAY - MOST IMPROVED **SEE UNDER ** - Result = 1st @ 1.8 = Lost £156
BETA BACK - TROIS VALEES
**INTERSTING RACE THIS, i have watched quite a few times and the fav Most Improved did run a tidy race first time out only to get done on the line by the fast finishing Kinglet ( bin suroor ) also completed in a very tidy time, however the race was set up for this imo , it raced in the front six all the way , had the run of the race throughout but did quicken up nicely when asked , however dwyer was working this from quite a way out and at the 2f pole appears to be giving some quite strong urgings , now there was indeed a fare bit of money for this on the day which could lead you to think that a win was expected but the field imo was weak with only the winner kinglet looking special ( or above average ) , he stalled badly and ran very green until eyeballed , i think @ 1.78 it HAS to be layed , but do i trade , imvho i think it really has a great chance of getting beat by a newcomer as the field is made up of potentially 85+ horses , and purely on a value basis you would have to be mental to back it at that.
my bet will be a lay of £200 @ 1.78, i think most improved could win and has an obvious chance but at the very prohibitive odds has to be taken on , however for the traders , myself included i also think the following trade is nailed on..£1000 @ 1.78 , with a back trade ( keep ) of £850 set @ 1.92 this will return either a profit of £2 or £150 , i think the trade is nailed on , you could extend the buy back to say 2.5 or indeed stagger it , the problem is , if it gets a good break and races front rank the price will only move once it has no chance or its chance has gone , so that is wasting money , if it gets a bad or tardy start then you will get an instant green.....things to consider.
** - hit 2.86 in running with a few thousand matched at 2.74 , easiest trade ever!!


15:30
BACK - MANIFESTATION - unplaced
LAY - REGAL PARK £75 @ BFSP  - Result = 3rd = Won £75 ( 11/2 )
BETA BACK - KAZBOW - non-runner


16:05
BACK - SAILORS CHANT-unplaced
LAY - TANAAMI £50 @ BFSP - 1st @ 4.4 = Lost = £170-00
BETA BACK - ARMOISE-unplaced


16:35
BACK - SEA SOLDIER- non-runner
LAY - MY FREEDOM £75 @ BFSP- Result = 2nd @ 6.6 = Won £75
BETA BACK - WHITE FROST- Result = 1st @ 4.88


Thats me for today so far , have a good day all...


Another sparkling day , and BETA BACKS again rounds the day off with a tidy winner @ 4.88, the only weak points were the two winning favourites that set us back slightly, but thankfully i had staked accordingly this time so this did little damage , made a very sweet £274-00 profit today , this is again very welcomed and very good , thank you and see you tmrw....

Thursday 25 August 2011

Tinkering...

Yes i have been playing about with the style of the blog, feel like sprucing it up...looking for a good well layed out wordpress styled one , so may look slightly different and will change again , hopefully for the better, trial and error i think...

Afternoon all....

Today we trip over to lingers and look at whats on offer..... had a very interesting visit from the nephew of Nicky Henderson yesterday... )....hopefully some good will come of that , we'll see , but shall not hold my breath......
anyway lets look at Lingers...

Lingfield Park


14:00 


BACK - JOVIAL - 2nd @ 10/3
LAY - SAVARONOLA - £75 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - Result = unplaced @ 10/1 ( 16.5 ) = WON £75
BETA BACK - RECALCATANT - unplaced


14:30


BACK - SILKEN THOUGHTS - Result = 1st @ 3.4
LAY - KINGARRICK - £75 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - Result = Unplaced @ 8.6 = Won £75
BETA BACK - DESTINY OF DREAMS - Result = 2nd @ 11.0


15:00



BACK - ROYAL OPERA - Result = 1st @ 2.55
LAY - AVON RIVER - £150 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - Result = 2nd ( of four ) @ 1.85 = Won £150
BETA BACK - N/Q


15:30


BACK - CORRECT - unplaced
LAY - DARK AMBITION - £75 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - Result = 3rd @ 3.95 = WON £75
BETA BACK - COLOURFUL EVENT - unplaced


16:00



BACK - INTEGRITY - Result = 1st @ 5/6
LAY - CONFUSCIAS ELITE - £200 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET / LOTD ) - Result = 2nd = Won £200 ( 5/1 )
BETA BACK - TWELVE STRINGS  - unplaced


16:30


BACK - ZAIN POINT - unplaced
LAY - PRINCESS OF ORANGE - £75 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET )  - Result = 2nd @ 2.28 = Won £75
BETA BACK - DISHY GURU   - Result = 1st @ 9.13


THATS IT FOR TODAY , so much more to do , will be here all day if there any questions ;-) , setting up the pro backers site for the new membership site , there just are not enough hours in the day ;-(...


**Another fantastic day and another full house, 2 days now and no losing bets whatsoever...excellent!!...long may this reign!!..happy days...;-0)) , made a total profit today of £650-00

Wednesday 24 August 2011

Today at Catterick...

Missing Spain and the heat so much right now..;-( , gonna have to go back real soon , love that life...;-)
anyway , moving on , im not there , im here and the racing week begins proper  , today i will be mostly concentrating on Catterick as Killarney is a split meeting tonight.

CATTERICK

14:20
BACK -   TOWBEE - Result = UNPLACED
LAY    -  GOWANHARRY - £150 @ 5.4 ( BLOG BET ) - Result = UNPLACED = WON £150
INTERESTING RUNNER - SUPERPLEX 
- Result = UNPLACED


14:50
BACK -  GREEN HOWARD - Result = 1ST @ 2.18
LAY    - CHEREZAD £100 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET )  - Result = UNPLACED = WON £100 ( 2.75 )
INTERESTING RUNNER - STRONG MAN  
- Result = 2ND @ 13.34


15:20
BACK -  DANCEINTOTHELIGHT - Result =  2ND @ 4/1
LAY    - SHORT SUPPLY £100 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - - Result = 3rd @ 9/2 = WON £100
INTERESTING RUNNER - DUBARA REEF 
- Result =  UNPLACED


15:50
BACK -  FAST SHOT - Result = 2ND @ 9/4
LAY    -  SQUIRES GATE - £200 @ BFSP ( LOTD ) ( BLOG BET ) - Result = UNPLACED @ 12/1 = WON £200 ( 12/1 )
INTERESTING RUNNER - RONINSKI 
- Result = 1ST @ 5/2


16:20
BACK -  LAST SOVEREIGN - Result =  UNPLACED
LAY    - MR WOLF £75 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - Result = UNPLACED = WON £75 ( 12/1 )
INTERESTING RUNNER - NORTH CENTRAL 
- Result = 2ND @ 7/2


16:50
BACK -  SILVER TIGRESS ( NAP ) - Result = UNPLACED 
LAY    - LADY INTRIGUE £75 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - Result = UNPLACED = WON £75 ( 16/1 )
INTERESTING RUNNER - AL FURAT 
- Result =  3RD @ 6/1


17:20
BACK -  MERCERS ROW - Result = UNPLACED 
LAY    - RED RIVER BOY £150 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET - Result = UNPLACED = WON £150
INTERESTING RUNNER - TYRANNOSAURUS REX 
- Result = UNPLACED 


a brilliant day with a very healthy £850-00 in profit , this is more like it ;-)

Tuesday 23 August 2011

DOES KNOW ONE KNOW HOW YO USE A KEYBOARD ??..

GETS VERY LONELY AT TIMES...TALKING TO MYSELF...;-(

This evening @ Killarney




Not done owt today as the racing is pish , tbh sun/mon and tues will always for me be very light betting days however im really enjoying my Irish racing so i will always be available for the Irish flat ( not jumps ) , so i will lay down a few blog bets for this evening...

the three to look at in every race are the runners here from stack , harrington and weld as they have very high strike rates here and wachman is one to lay ( 0/10 )...

17-10
BACK - GORDON LORD BYRON                         - RESULT = 3RD @ 12/1
LAY    - CHARPOY £150 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - RESULT = 1ST @ 9/4F ( BFSP @ 3.35 ) = LOST £352.50
INTERESTING RUNNER - RING THEM BELLS - RESULT = UNPLACED

17-40

BACK - BETROTHED - RESULT = UNPLACED
LAY    - ANDERIEGO £100 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET ) - RESULT = UNPLACED = WON £100 ( 8.26 )
INTERESTING RUNNER - WORDS OF WISDOM - RESULT = 1ST @ 7/2 ( 4.7 )
**D Weld had the winner in this race, which i almost plumped for , @ 6/1 , so the stats hold up.
18-10

BACK - SECRETARY OF STATE - RESULT = 2ND @ 6/4
LAY    - MONEY SPIDER £200 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET - LOTD- RESULT = UNPLACED @ 2/1 = WON £200
INTERESTING RUNNER - VEGAS ROCKS - RESULT = UNPLACED

18-40

BACK - STUNNING VIEW - RESULT = UNPLACED
LAY    - WILD WIND £200 @ BFSP ( BLOG BET )  - RESULT = 1ST @ 3.44 = LOST £480
INTERESTING RUNNER - ROYAL BLUE STAR  - RESULT = UNPLACED

Hope u have a good day and an enjoyable evening , want any advice on any race in particular then just drop us a line...ttfn..

** the " interesting runners " are in fact beta backs...

Hmmm...Not a great first half.....lets see what 2nd half brings....??

19:10

BACK -  LANDSDOWNE  - RESULT = UNPLACED
LAY    -  JEANGEORGES £100 @ BFSP and £200 @ 4.5 ( KEEP BET ) and £200 @ 3.2 ( KEEP BET ) - RESULT = 3RD @ 7/1 = WON £500 ( ALL MATCHED , HIT 3.15 IN RUNNING )
INTERESTING RUNNER - BLUE EYED MISS  - RESULT = UNPLACED

19:40

BACK -  WHY BUT WHY - RESULT = UNPLACED
LAY    -  DART QUEEN - £250 @ 5.2 ( KEEP BET ) - RESULT = UNPLACED = WON £0 ( unmatched )
INTERESTING RUNNER - KASTANIA - RESULT = UNPLACED

20:10

BACK -  MOJITA - RESULT = 1ST @ 11/2 ( 6.4 )
LAY    -  LIVIAS WAKE £150 @ BFSP - 2ND @ 11/1 = WON £150
INTERESTING RUNNER - SPECIFICATION - RESULT = UNPLACED

Hopefully the 2nd half can be slightly more fruitful than the 1st half...ttfn..;-)





Monday 22 August 2011

Miserable Monday...

Todays blog bets are...

Hamilton  14:30 Burnwynd Boy - LAY - £250 @ BFSP - UNPLACED @ 6.26 = WON £250

Hamilton  15:00 REINE DU FROID - LAY - £125 @ BFSP** Bet caped due to ridic price**
Instead now having £100 win on Sonko @ 2.76
** just backed again for £800 @ 2.82 , with a keep lay set @ 2.32 for £1000...
- Result = Sonko 2nd = WON £200 ( traded originally £100 stake / incorporated it into trade bet , Sonko was beaten after hitting the magical 1.01!!!! )

Hamilton 15:30 ARTISAN - LAY - £250 @ BFSP  - UNPLACED @ 4.7 = WON £250

_________________________________________________

No beta backs today, very short on time, cya all tmrw for more fun and games....;-))

** So an unspectacular day , but a day that rewarded us with a very healthy £650 in profits , maybe i should just keep it simple all the time ;-)

Sunday 21 August 2011

Some Beta backs to chew on....

ok i did find ten mins to post these....
For today ALL BETS ARE £25 EW to be settled @ BFSP. ( all place bets settled at 6/4 - 2.5 )

beta backs ....

Folkstone... profit of £9-25

RACE

1.STANS DEELYTE - 2nd @ 5.8 ( 1.98 ) = Lost £0.50
2.CROWN RIDGE - 1st @ 4.65 ( 1.59 ) = Won £104.75
3.ASHBINA - 3rd @ 28.0 ( 6.06 ) = Won £105 ( £130 - £25 win stake )
4.LUTINE CHARLIE - UNPLACED = lost £50
5.RUM KING  - UNPLACED = lost £50
6.ENTRANCE  - UNPLACED = lost £50
7.LOVE OVER GOLD  - UNPLACED = lost £50

NEWTON ABBOT... profit of £338-00

RACE

1.SI BIEN - UNPLACED = lost £50
2.GAN ON - 1st @ 5.84 ( 2.32 ) = Won £153.00
3.STEWARTS HOUSE - 1st @ 9.88 ( 2.59 ) = Won £252.50
4.SKIPPERS LAD - 1st @ 4.61 ( 2.61 ) = Won £132.50
5.GOODNIGHT ALFIE  - UNPLACED = lost £50
6.JUST THE JOB  - UNPLACED = lost £50
7.ZAGREB EXPRESS  - UNPLACED = lost £50

BALLINROBE ...Lost £188.75





RACE

1.DONNACHS CHANT - UNPLACED = lost £50
2.GARYOWEN OSCAR  - UNPLACED = lost £50
3.SHAKE THE BUCKET - UNPLACED = lost £50
4.TOP OF THE HEAD  - UNPLACED = lost £50
5.SCHLEM - 2nd @ 7/2 ( 4.90 )/ ( 2.45 ) = Won £11.50
6.CARRLEONI - 2nd @ 7/2 ( 5.19  / ( 1.97 ) = Lost £0.75 
7.YOUR BUSY - 2nd @ 6/1 ( 9.86 ) / ( 2.02 ) = Won £0.50


Overall made a steady profit of £158-50

Quiet Sunday...

After quite a mental day yesterday that incorporated some very low lows and some very high highs its back to the grind today.....
Todays Blog bets will all be at Folkstone , mostly the racing today is shizzle....

Folkstone

14-10 - Picura - lay - £250 @ 7.6 ( keep bet ) and £75 @ bfsp - Result = UNPLACED ( HIT 6.0 ) = WON £325
an absolute dog , even in this field of shit it has no chance.

14-40 - Diddums - lay - £250 @ 5.5 - Result = UNPLACED = Won £250
3,4 or 5 for me...nimps.

15-10 - Viola de gamba - lay - £125 @ 13.5 - Result = 2nd = Won £125
not a chance!!
and.......Ziefhd - lay - £200 @ 2.76  - Result = 1st = Lost £352
Rubbish fav , has to be taken on.

15-40 - Bennelong - lay - £250 @ 6.4 ( keep bet )  - Result = 2nd = Won £62 ( only part matched )
eeee awwww ;-)

16-10 - Dream number - lay - £250 lay @ 6.6 ( keep bet ) and £75 @ bfsp
.....- Result = UNPLACED = Won £325 ( hit 2.12 in running )

no beta backs today....its a Sunday....

obv as you can see i chan ged my mind regarding the beta backs ( just for fun ) but quite happy with the return to profit making £735 today.....

Saturday 20 August 2011

GET IN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

HAPPY DAYS ARE BACK AGAIN ;-))) , Thank you Frankie xxx

Back to Normality..

Today i will firstly post my 4 main blog bets today ( max lb £1500 ) , then i shall post under a card for york ( advice only )..and then further down i will post up some experimental selections , devised a new bit of software for backers , this is very much a beta version but has been producing some interesting returns , from 24 selections yesterday it gave 4 winners , not very good you may say , how ever they were at 16/1 , 9/1 , 11/1 and 4/1 , so a very good points return or level pound stake profit.......so lets see what it gives today....
some great racing about today , York and Curragh being my fav tracks ( for today )...

MY BLOG BETS

1. - York 14-00 - Lay - DONCASTER ROVER - £125 @ 7.8 - 1st = Lost £850-00
2. - Curragh 14-40 - Lay - Lady Rochford - £100 @ bfsp - unplaced = won £100
3. - Sandown - 14-15 - Lay - Fallen Idol - £125 @ bfsp - 1st = Lost £1025-00
4  - Chester 14-25 - Lay - Nine before Ten - £100 @ 4.2 ( keep bet ) - unplaced ( hit 2.5 ) = won £100

BLOG P n L today = £1675-00 LOSS ( terrible )
**Terrible start to the day....oh dear...looks like an evening card is beckoning , the day bets are done, will try and claw some back tonight....**
** Jesus.....now i am in trouble , lost quite a lot on those first two , both on the blog and personally...what a fucking nightmare.......**
_______________________________________________________________________________

York Card
( quick revised version 1.02 )

14:00
For me there are just three to concentrate on here , DAFEEF who has been layed out for this on his belated return , W.Haggas has a good record in this race and the horse is sure to fit and primed up and must carry a big chance and @ 6.8 is certainly worth a nibble however the jockey does temper some enthusiasm.
The second horse i like here is REGAL PARADE who loves the 7f here and generally prefers 7f full stop however this season thus far has been raced at 6f with minor success ( only placed efforts ) so now back at a track and trip with ground he loves it would be no surprise to see him rout these.
Finally KING TOURUS ,  this lovely bay colt is also returning after a big lay off , but hails from the very consistent hannon yard with the usually reliable hughes in the saddle if this can reproduce its form from the Veuve Clicquot Vintage Stakes (group 2) then it would have every chance.

1stDoncaster Rover (USA)5/1jfFull Result  
2ndMajestic Myles (IRE)7/1
3rdLechevalier Choisi (IRE)33/1


14:30
A very hard race to fathom out , with so many having a chance and with so many form strings its a nightmare compounded by the fact that most haven't tried the trip!
However Thubian is 10.5 and imo is far too short and i think its chances of winning are very slim to say the least , so i would make this a good lay in this race for some easy money , even at that price imo its free money , on the win side , i would very speculatively look at Communicator and Apache ( good luck ).

1stParlour Games9/1Full Result  
2ndWhiplash Willie10/1
3rdApache (IRE)17/2
4thArdlui (IRE)10/1

15:05
For me this is all about OPINION POLL , i simply cannot see this losing and @ 4.3 i think is outstanding value in a race ( he won this last year ) where most are untried over trip , unsure on ground and have been very inconsistent , and the 1.75 for a place is massive!!....i must urge everyone to have a go on this , win/place/ew whatever this for me is the bet of the day.
win or lose it has to be backed for a repeat win, my advice would be £150 win and £250 place.
RESULT = OPINION POLL 1ST @ 4.9  ( GET IN !!! )

1stOpinion Poll (IRE)3/1favFull Result  
2ndDuncan4/1
3rdBergo (GER)20/1




15:40
Saptapadi will not win...right thats out the way, so what will?? , Lost in the Moment holds very strong claims along with foxhunt and TACTICIAN , with the latter just preferred , but this is a very close affair and i wouldnt go overboard on any.

Weighed In:1stMoyenne Corniche25/1Full Result  
2ndTactician9/1
3rdInvestissement25/1
4thModun (IRE)7/1




16:15
Again there are 3 i like here for vastly different reasons , Firstly the form horse EXCELETTE  , B Smart likes this race and his charge holds very strong claims and @ 5.6 is a fantastic EW bet.
Secondly my propeller , if this can get the run of the race and dominate like he did at pontefract then he will not be caught , but im still unsure as to wether or not that was a fluke result , and finally at a big price ,  church music , this was quite the talking horse before it bolted up in a maiden but has subsequently failed , for me i will give it one last chance ew at a big price.
for betting purposes i cannot split so i will have a little ew dutch on the three....although Excelette is an outstanding stand alone ew bet.
- 1st and 3rd , so quite a decent result , excelette 3rd so happy with that...

Weighed In:1stMy Propeller (IRE)4/1Full Result  
2ndLast Bid14/1
3rdExcelette (IRE)6/1



16:50
Risky Art has to be a lay..surely , never raced beyond the minimum i simply wont have it that it will be good enough to win , free money time imo....
the winner however looks again to be decidedly trickier to find , for me if i was backing in this i would go for CRIUS , obv favs chance  but quite simply the rest really dont look anything special , small stakes win on crius for me. ( possibly wolfgang in the place market at 3.1 )
- 1st and 2nd...but wrong way round , risky art wins and costs me a few quid , steps up massively in trip and gets it on the line..;-(

17:20
I really think MARINE COMMANDO is coming back to form , won me a fortune last year when winning the windsor castle stakes , has been woeful since but his last time out 3rd after a bad start and the low weight now convince me he is ready and @ 12.0 im more than ready to risk a hefty ew on this with a little saver on york glory.
- York Glory wins , i make a very small profit on the race.


________________________________________________________________________________

Now the BETA BACKS....
Dont laugh if they all fail , this is a work in progress.....
**Point to note , all prices that are 9/2 ( 5.0 ) and higher will enforce a EW bet , for the purpose of this we will use a fictional £20 win / £10 ew staking structure for stats only.

1.-  YORK 1400 - DREAM EATER - unplaced
2.-  YORK 1430 - ARDLUI- 4th @ 12.0
3.-  YORK 1505 - OPINION POLL - 1st @ 4.9 ***
4.-  YORK 1540 - MOUNT ATHOS - unplaced
5.-  NEWT 1350 - KISSING CLARA - unplaced
6.-  NEWT 1420 - BE ASHORED - 3rd - 11/4
7.-  NEWT 1450 - KYLENOE FAIRY - unplaced
8-   NEWT 1525 - TAMARILLO GROVE - unplaced
9.-  NEWT 1600 - WAIT NO MORE - 2nd @ 15/8
10.-CURRAGH 1410 - UNANIMOUS - unplaced
11.-CURRAGH 1440 - BIBLE BLACK - 3rd @ 4.0
12.-CURRAGH 1550 - REDOUBTABLE - unplaced
13.-CURRAGH 1625 - ASTROLOGY - 3rd @ 6.10
14.-CURRAGH 1700 - NOBLE FOUR - unplaced
15.-SANDOWN 1415 - CHAIN LIGHTNING - unplaced
16.-SANDOWN 1445 - TRUMPET MAJOR - unplaced
17.-SANDOWN 1520 - LAY TIME - unplaced ( 4th )
18.-SANDOWN 1555 - LIVING IT LARGE - unplaced ( 4th )
19.-SANDOWN 1630 - PEARL BLUE - 1st @ 4.18 ***
20.-SANDOWN 1705 - PRIDE AND JOY - 1st @ 4.88 ***
21.- CHESTER 1425 - JAMESWAY - 3rd @ 5.1
22.- CHESTER 1500 - FINBAR - unplaced
23.- CHESTER 1535 - LUV U FOREVER - unplaced
24.- CHESTER 1610 - ILE DE RE - unplaced ( 4th )
25.- CHESTER 1645 - MR DAVID - unplaced
26.- CHESTER  1715 - FRENCH HOLLOW - 1st @ 9/2 ( 6.4 ) ***
27.- CHESTER  1745 - TAMAREEN - 2nd @ 8.4
28.- NEWT 1635 - PATRIXBOURNE - unplaced
29.- NEWT 1710 - DEANS GRANGE - 2nd @ 5.6
30.- CURRAGH 1730 - SOLAR VERDE - unplaced

LOL , right thats quite mental and tbh im not expecting anything other 30 losers so this is really should be just a watching brief , a work in progress ,  i may in fact lay them all haha...( they will win then ;-( )..

good luck today one and all...

4 winners and 5 placed with a couple to update...interesting to see what final figures will be...hmmm..

________________________________________________________________________

Total staked £600
Total returns = £150 on the places ( all treated as tho 2.5 / 6/4 ) and on the win bets..
only french hollow was an ew bet , so we get £15 for the place part and £54 for the win , the others were all £20 win stakes = £220 ,..
Total from all returns = £439
so following today would have resulted in a very rough £161 loss.....


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