Friday, 30 August 2013

Friday Extra >>>

Morning All ,
Well what can we say about the week gone by......and thats about it..yup nothing , been a very dull week however that hasnt stopped us at Team PUK from having a solid winning week as i have been focusing mainly on my members this week and the focus and concentration has paid dividends as we was rewarded with several days of consistent profits and looking to keep it going as we move onwards and upwards.
The weeks racing was on the whole very low key with more n more NH race meets creeping into the schedule as Autumn tries to creep in ;(..summer just goes too quick....but we do have a nice weekend of racing and this is kick started with three very decent looking cards on show today and i will be running through the Chester Card to see whats what , Chester itself is a quirky track which doesnt suit all and the draw can play a big part here.

So lets take a Gander thru some of the Chester card today....

RACE 1 :
A nice little maiden to start off with with quite a few well bred sorts and a wee bit of form however this is a tough track for maidens and any greenness will destroy any chance.
I have heard some very strong words for Mountain Lion however the ground may prove a tad on the soft side for this to be seen at its best and Yenhaab may prove best of the newcomers but it is the thrice raced BOW CREEK that is the one to beat , this comes here with a full rating of 83 and on the back of a really good 3rd in the Convivial at York and that form alone will make him very hard to beat and its not a secret that Franny Norton rides this track as well or better than anyone else and this simply has to be involved in the finish but the 2.0 is short enough  perhaps too short and doesnt make much of a betting proposition in either win or place markets.
Mukaynis and Rasameel are both entitled to improve from their debut runs and the former looked the stronger running over this trip at Yarmouth and was doing all its best work at the end running on for 3rd and i would say at the odds a dutch fap is probably a better bet.

RESULT :

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st (2)Bow Creek (IRE)M Johnston29-0F Norton5/6f
Made all, ridden clear with 2nd over 1f out, ran on £2000-£2000 £500-£500 £400-£400
2nd (7)Mukaynis (IRE)Lady Cecil29-0T P Queally8/1
Tracked winner, ridden over 3f out, clear with winner over 1f out, kept on one pace
3rd (8)HaayilJ H M Gosden29-0R Havlin16/1
In touch, ridden over 2f out, edged left and not clear run approaching final furlong, kept on final furlong, nearest finish
4th (3)½Yenhaab (IRE)W J Haggas29-0J P Spencer7/1
Tracked leaders, ridden over 2f out, kept on same pace final furlong
___________________________________________

RACE 2 :
Another maiden but a tougher race this time as its for the 3 yr olds + ( only 3 yr olds tho in this ) and there is a lot of form on offer and quite a bit of decent form making this a very tough race to call.
Conserve comes into this on the back of two 2nd place finishes and a rating of 76 but i think firstly the rating is a bit generous as i have it at 67 and the form is only moderate at best and i cant see this winning.
SNOW POWDER is a good candidate for the win on the back of a couple of nice runs and lto was pushed wide and never had a true run and chased the winner home nicely and with natural improvement this could be good enough.
Evermore has shown enough to suggest it will be winning sooner rather than later and along with Sharareh , Vicksburg and Annawi will all be involved from the 2 pole , this will be a decent race and the front two should be followed.

RESULT :

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st (4)11 VicksburgA M Balding39-0Martin Dwyer13/2
opened 7/1
2nd (9)Empress AdelaideW J Haggas39-0J P Spencer14/1
3rd (8)AnnawiH Candy39-0Dane O'Neill8/1
opened 9/1
4th (5)¾10 Snow Powder (IRE)J H M Gosden39-0R Havlin4/1
opened 7/2 touched 3/1
5th (7)½Conserve (IRE)Lady Cecil39-0T P Queally11/4f
opened 7/2

_____________________________________________

RACE 3 :
Nice mid size Hcap now over 7f  and with a strange weight differential i would say the top section are quite poorly treated given the race conditions and will do well to win here.
Verse of Love looks interesting at the bottom and is a consistent sort entitled to EW claims being  C & D winner and having Queally back riding for Evans.
King of Eden , Snowy Bay and RUSTY ROCKET are all also entitled to respect in a open looking event and at big odds its worth chancing 2 or 3  in a WIN Dutch.

RESULT :

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st (6)Laffan (IRE)T D Easterby49-5S De Sousa7/1
opened 8/1 £2400-£300
2nd (2)Sir ReginaldR A Fahey59-5Lee Topliss11/2
opened 7/1
3rd (7)½Chosen Character (IRE)Tom Dascombe59-13 vtNatasha Eaton (5)18/1
opened 14/1 touched 20/1

_______________________________________________

And i think that will do for today...time is an element i have in short supply so ttfn x >>...


Fahey's Weekend Runners

Richard Fahey: Ladys bids to be First

Richard Fahey has news of his weekend runners and new recruits to the yard from Doncaster this week.

  • Ladys First (left): Bids to go one better (Sal Smithson: www.richardfahey.com)
/ 2
Ladys First ): Bids to go one better 
I was very pleased with Supplicant's victory at Ripon on Monday. The step up to six furlongs and decent ground really helped him and at the moment we look to be heading towards the Mill Reef at Newbury.It's been a good few days for the team with plenty of winners, long may it continue!
It's been a busy week with the Premier Sales at Doncaster. We bought 15 but as always it was very tough to get all the horses you want. We just can't compete at the moment for the box-office top lots, but we did get some lovely horses and it's very exciting.
We'll soon be in the middle of the sales season and we'll continue to look to add to the string. You need people to buy them though - several at Doncaster were bought on spec so need owners, but it's a great time of the year.
Moving on to Saturday and I have to say El Viento has been a little disappointing. I feel he's capable of winning races off his current mark but we stick the visor back on for the Minstrell Recruitment Handicap at Chester and George Chaloner takes 5lb off his back. He has a decent draw but needs to bounce back to his best after a disappointing run last time. He is in good order at home though.
We run two in the Crabbie's Alcoholic Ginger Beer HandicapAlejandro's form got a real boost the other day while it was great to get Brae Hill's head back in front last time - albeit in a claimer. Both have good draws and could run well but on current form you'd have to say Alejandro was my best chance in a competitive race.
Ladys First returns to Sandown for the Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Atalanta Stakes in which she was second last year. We've given her a good break after a very flat run on her last start and at her very best she'd have a chance. There are some improving fillies in there and it's a tough race but I'd be hopeful of a place - and she definitely deserves to win a race like this.
I really didn't expect Nemushka to get in the Betfred TV Levy Board Handicap, it was something of a tongue-in-cheek entry, but she's got in in there. I'm delighted she has too as she'd have a chance getting weight from the fillies at the top of the handicap. She has a nice draw and it wouldn't surprise me at all if she ran a very big race.
The Betfred Nursery is a difficult race to get an angle on in terms of form. There are so many unexposed horses in there. Miaplacidus is a horse who will get better with age but has had a good break since her last race. She's hardly thrown in here but is improving and I hope she has a chance of hitting the frame.
Back to Chester and hand on heart I have to say Mfiftythreedotcom has been disappointing. The owner comes from the city and was keen to run in the British Stallion Studs E.B.F. Maiden Stakes. It's a tough maiden and my fellow is up against it, especially as his draw is far from ideal.
Layla's Oasis hasn't been with us for long but has been quite busy. She's got to step up on what she's shown so far in the Controlled Solutions Handicap but at least she has a decent draw. That said I wouldn't be surprised to see her run a half-decent race but I'm just a little worried about her temperament.
We're backing Nashville up quite quickly in the Golden Square Warrington Handicap after he trotted up at Catterick. We weren't surprised he won there and the handicapper is likely to put him up by more than 6lb so Marwan was keen to come here. It's a better race than his last one but he's drawn very well and must have a big chance.
Over at Beverley Idle Warrior runs in the Betfred Hat-Trick Heaven Maiden Stakes. He's a horse who has always worked well and ran okay on debut but was very disappointing next time. On form there's a couple in here he will struggle to beat and his draw isn't great, but I hope he runs well.
Hand on heart, I have to say Bahamamay has been frustrating. He works like an 80-plus horse at home but isn't running like one on the track. That said he'd have half a chance in the Stars Of The Future Apprentice Handicap. Eireann Cagney is a good young jockey who deserves more chances and I'm delighted to be able to put him on one with a squeak here.

Wednesday, 28 August 2013

Tuesday, 27 August 2013

Tapestry

Tapestry added to Moyglare picture

  • Aidan O'Brien has supplemented Tapestry for the Moyglare Stud Stakes at the Curragh on Sunday.
Tapestry (left): Added to Curragh line-up by O'Brien
Tapestry (left): Added to Curragh line-up by O'Brien
The daughter of Galileo struck over the course and distance in the Group Two Debutante Stakes earlier this month to take her 100% record to two.
She was added to the field for the Group One at a cost of €22,500.
O'Brien left in four others - Bluebell, Minorette, Perhaps and Wonderfully - as 13 fillies were confirmed.
Lambourn trainer Charlie Hills is set to run Kiyoshi, who was last seen winning the Albany Stakes in convincing fashion at Royal Ascot.
Hills said: "She's going to run there. We are very happy with her and looking forward to running her over seven furlongs.
"It's a galloping track and should suit her."
There is a second British possible in the shape of the Clive Brittain-trained Rizeena.
She won the Queen Mary Stakes at the Royal meeting and was third to No Nay Never in the Prix Morny on her latest start.
Jim Bolger still has three entries - Craic Agus Spraoi, Peony Fairy and Prudent Approach.
Dermot Weld is double-handed with Afternoon Sunlight and Carla Bianca, while John Murphy's Touch Of Snow completes the list.
Paddy Power have opened betting on the contest and make Kiyoshi their 13/8 market-leader with Tapestry next best at 3/1.

Friday, 23 August 2013

Hey You...

From Mountain View...either drop in say Hi or Jog on ya stalking is becoming ridonkyaless now...and i know its the Home of Google ??..so is the Corporate Mafia spying ?...anyway...Friday's Summary : ...Absolutely Fantastic!!!...Backing the Firmers at Ffos Las resulted in 5 winning bets from 5 with winners at 23.40 , 12.50 , 8.0 and i also had a " Fun " £2 on Joe Sugden which then Won at an amazing 365.00 for a very unexpected bonus and the Stat Lays hit 6 from 6....the only truly fucking annoying thing was the PPL..had 6 races , selected the final one as the top rated race and watched the first five all become winning bets ..then sat and watched in agony as the 6th race become the only losing selection on the day...Fucked off i was i tell thee!!....GGrr,,,Sods Law...i have posted plenty on here about the great performances of PPL and the brilliant results however i will also say this..August has been a fucking Nightmare!!..at least £800 Down...and no sign of any sudden upswing as just about everything has gone against us!!....Roll on Sept...( Good Job im about £15 Thousand in profit from it )......

The Ew selections i posted up for York on Friday performed with great credit but the day pretty much panned out as i expected...with a few shocks and surprises as it looked that type of day and those of you that read the blog properly will know i did say that following York CD winners regardless of their current form always pays off and it transpired that i was i correct as JWALA won the Nunthorpe at 106.00 and this wasnt the first course specialist to be winning over the last couple of days..and the Stables that do well here..often do well and the Ryan and O'Meara yards have both been in sparkling form ( often saving their best for here )....and we head into the final day , pockets loaded and hopes high and try to tackle the Ebor...

                                                         YORK DAY 4

RACE 1 
WIN - SIRIUS PROSPECT - 1st @ 3.82
EW - REX IMPERATOR - 2nd @ 3.25
LONG - LIGHTNING CLOUD -

SUMMARY : A nice little Listed race to break us in for this final day and over 7f you will see a few familiar faces popping up but only Sirius Prospect is a CD Winner but its the two 3 yr olds that look to be a class apart in this , Firstly we have the highly tried Cristopho Columbo who is easily good enough to take down an event like this if in the right mood but i still feel GLORY AWAITS is the one, equally as classy as runs behind Dawn Approach , Montiridge and Trading Leather have shown this deserves a decent win and is good enough to carry these on all recent form he gets the weight allowance due to his age yet is highest rated and gets pound for pound pull, this is an outstanding EW bet.

BET NOTES : ( Only General advice tho, as im subject to change as i try to work dutches into all my Bet choices ) : MAX EW on Glory Awaits.- NON RUNNER ( As well as Cristofo Columbo ) - 
RESULT :

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st (3)Sirius Prospect (USA)D K Ivory59-0 hR Winston5/2
Held up behind in touch, switched outside and headway over 2f out, challenged 1f out, soon ridden, edged left and led well inside final furlong, held on £1250-£500(x2)
2nd (8)nkRex ImperatorW J Haggas49-0 pN Callan9/4f
Took keen hold, soon tracked leader, led over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, headed narrowly well inside final furlong, kept on, held when not much room towards finish
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 2
WIN - DEBDEBDEB -
EW - GREAT HALL - NON RUNNER ( Fav Placed for PP )
LONG - HAWK HIGH -

SUMMARY : The Melrose and 16 runners line up for what is considered the Ebor consolation prize racing over 1m6f this is one tricky puzzle....Havana Cooler must be on the shortlist as it looks like its been laid out for this and Cumani is still in decent form this won a decent Hcap over 1m4f and was running but will the 10lb rise be too much??.
DEBDEBDEB is one i like very much , progressive and aggressive this is a multi trip winner on most normal ground types and will def be involved come the finish.
Great Hall and Hawk High also have solid chances in what looks one of the toughest races this week if not the toughest to call.

BET NOTES : Small Dutch on the trio..not a race to get too financially involved in..but should be great to watch.
RESULT :

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st (16)Dark Crusader (IRE)A J Martin38-13F M Berry8/1
Held up in rear, smooth headway over 2f out, driven over 1f out, ridden to lead inside final furlong, kept on £4000-£500 £1600-£200
2nd (13)Dashing StarD R C Elsworth39-4 hL P Keniry16/1
Raced wide early, led and clear with one other, headed after 4f, tracked leader, ridden and every chance over 2f out, kept on to chase winner inside final furlong, held towards finish opened 14/1
3rd (10)nkHavana Cooler (IRE)L M Cumani39-2R L Moore11/4f
In touch main group, headway towards stands side 3f out, ridden and every chance over 1f out, one pace when wandered inside final furlong, 3rd and held towards finish £3500-£1000 £2800-£800 £1100-£400(x5)
4th (2)13 Divergence (IRE)M L W Bell38-6Louis Steward (7)16/1
With leader and clear, led after 4f, ridden inside final 2f, soon pressed, headed inside final furlong, kept on same pace opened 14/1
5th (7)½12 DebdebdebA M Balding38-8David Probert8/1
Mid-division, ridden to chase leaders 1f out, kept on same pace under pressure final furlong, never on terms
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 3
WIN - ASTAIRE - 1st @ 6.70
EW - WILSHIRE BOULEVARD -  2nd @ 5.50
LONG - MY CATCH -

SUMMARY : The Gimcrack , a great race yet a smallish turnout however this is packed with class and shud be a corker and on form alone not much separates these however we have to examine a few factors firstly i dont think Saayer will win with a penalty, Parbold was doing all his best work at the death lto and that was over 7f so although a CD winner i think he is a miler in waiting and......well im kinda stuck here...gonna sleep on this and continue in the morning.....**Right its not quite the following day but it is 2207pm and ive had time to mull...Now i dont think Cable Bay will be as effective on the softer ground and i dont think Justice Day is good enough so that rules 4 out leaving ASTAIRE , WILSHIRE BOULEVARD & MY CATCH and as the three are all currently 5.8 or higher i am going to just the three as there is very little to split them.

BET NOTES : 3 way Dutch.
RESULT :

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st (5)Astaire (IRE)K A Ryan28-12N Callan5/1
With leaders, led narrowly over 3f out, ridden over 1f out, held on gamely final furlong opened 11/2 £1650-£300 £5000-£1000
2nd (6)nkWilshire Boulevard (IRE)A P O'Brien28-12R L Moore4/1
Behind, slightly outpaced 3f out, switched right over 2f out, headway under pressure over 1f out, ridden and kept on inside final furlong, closed on winner and went 2nd near finish, just held opened 5/1
3rd (3)nkParbold (IRE)R A Fahey28-12T Hamilton11/4f
With leader, driven over 2f out, ridden and effort over 1f out, kept on under pressure inside final furlong, held when lost 2nd near finish opened 3/1 £6000-£2000 £4500-£1500 £900-£300(x2) £1200-£400 £1100-£400(x3)
4th (4)½Cable Bay (IRE)C Hills28-12R Kingscote11/2
Tracked leaders, ridden over 1f out, kept on under pressure inside final furlong, not reach leaders opened 9/2 £1650-£300 £36000-£8000
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 4
WIN - TED VEALE - 4th @ 6.20
EW - HANOVERIAN BARON -
LONG - TIGER CLIFF / SUN CENTRAL - 1ST @ 7.06 / Non Runner

SUMMARY : THE EBOR and the pinnacle of the weeks mini festival at York and the Days biggest race, run over 1m6f this is a very tough race to win and it does quite often go to one at a big price.
Ted Veale comes into the race on the back of a couple of wins and does carry a penalty but this has been the subject of quite a large gamble and connections had a very tidy pick up on Friday at Newmarket with Quick Jack and at 9.8 is worth considering as a saver at the minimum.
I have also received a tip for this and itis also my selection HANOVERIAN BARON @ a far more enjoyable 44.0+ this was pulled from a race on thurs as soon as they knew they could sneak here on bottom weight, it is in form and its form figures although not flattering only tell half the tale and im convinced im gonna get a big run from this.
Tiger Cliff and Sun Central will also have a say in the outcome and shouldnt be under estimated.

BET NOTES : EW on Hanoverian Baron for me , nothing crazy but a decent bet with a trade at 1/4 bfsp.
RESULT :

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st (18)11 Tiger Cliff (IRE)Lady Cecil49-0T P Queally5/1
Mid-division, driven over 2f out, ridden to chase leaders over 1f out, ran on well inside final furlong, led near finish £2200-£400
2nd (22)½10 Genzy (FR)Ian Williams59-0R Kingscote11/1
Held up in touch, challenged over 2f out, ridden to lead 1f out, kept on under pressure inside final furlong, edged left and headed near finish opened 10/1 £2000-£200
3rd (1)1Number TheoryJ R Holt59-9S Sanders16/1
Tracked leader, led 2f out, soon ridden, headed 1f out, kept on under pressure inside final furlong, 3rd and held towards finish
4th (17)116 Ted Veale (IRE)A J Martin68-13F M Berry9/2f
Awkwardly away, behind, headway over 2f out, soon outpaced, ridden and stayed on to take 4th well inside final furlong, never reached leaders £5000-£1000 £2500-£500 £2000-£400
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 5
WIN - EXCELS BEAUTY - 3rd
EW - OUTER SPACE - Non Runner ( Fav 2nd and a Place for PP )
LONG - HOT STREAK - 1st @ 4.54

SUMMARY : Now we have a 5f Sprint for 2 yr olds ( Cootey territory ) 8 runners and most have a decent shout here so some luck maybe required.
EXCELS BEAUTY is def the one they have beat , rock solid form locked away , consistent and straight forward this has speed to burn and a rating of 100 if true and fair and it will take a superb performance to lower his colours.
The two that could cause most problems both have around 16lb to find in core improvement and around 8-10lb on adjusted but both Hot Streak and Outer Space could easily improve enough to win.

BET NOTES : Will wait until the market forms proper tmrw but im thinking just an EW on Excels Beauty.
RESULT :

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st (5)Hot Streak (IRE)K A Ryan29-0J P Spencer3/1
Slowly into stride, soon tracked leaders, headway when hung left inside final 2f, ridden to challenge when edged right 1f out, led inside final furlong, stayed on well on stands side rail final 100 yards opened 10/3 £1750-£500 £1400-£400 £3333-£1000
2nd (6)Mecca's Angel (IRE)M Dods28-9P Mulrennan2/1f
Raced keenly, with leaders, ridden and effort over 1f out, stayed on to chase winner inside final furlong, just held on for 2nd opened 9/4 £4500-£2000 £1800-£800 £1125-£500 £900-£400
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 6
WIN - ROCKALONG -
EW - SENNOCKIAN STAR - 2nd @ 4.60
LONG - CHARLES CAMOIN -

SUMMARY : Now its just a standard 1m2f Hcap..Mark Johnston runs a couple of three-year-olds in this with Joe Fanning riding the ultra-consistent Sennockian Star. But four-year-olds have generally held sway in the contest in recent years and ROCKALONG can continue the trend. Luca Cumani's charge handled the step up to 1m2f at Newmarket last time and today's easier going is in his favour. Strictly Silver is no stranger to carrying big weights and is aiming to follow up a recent victory at HQ while Charles Camoin popped up at a big price on his reappearance at Ascot and should strip fitter here. Spirit Of The Law is another recent winner and Ruscello is usually thereabouts, though wouldn't want the ground any softer. Sam Sharp won over 1m1f here in June and also deserves a mention, though is high enough in the weights now.

BET NOTES : Dutch.
RESULT :
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
PlacePot LANDED 8 Lines ( £2.00 ) = x 2 PP Payout > £ = £

" Hanoverian Baron's owner, Paul Moulton, is thrilled and surprised the eight-year-old made the cut for the race.
He said: "We declared him for Friday because we thought he had a 10% chance of getting in the Ebor, but by some miracle he got in. He likes York and seems to have run all his best races there.
"He's eight now and is off nearly a career-high mark so we're not expecting any miracles, but if he was in the mix that would be great.
"He nearly won the Jorvik Stakes for the second time earlier this season when he was just touched off by one of Mr Stoute's horses (Sir John Hawkwood), but the young boy (Michael Murphy) got a good tune out of him so he rides him again. There's so much money on offer we had to run once he got in."

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