Thursday, 27 February 2014

Morning Campers ;-)

Still not much happening  as the weather although better still has yet to fully shift away and the form book this season in the NH game holds absolutely no water whatsoever ..... so it has had the knock on effect of making me very unmotivated in general whilst i just trade away for upkeep and try and update my AW records....and i have to admit even the Cheltenham Festival this year is exciting me very little , its seems a case of blurgh blurgh and more blurgh...i really cant wait for the Flat season to kick off proper.

I have on many occasion stated my dislike of Southwell and its unique surface however i do feel that now i have had to time to study the races from season and built up a micro data base and i fancy trying to take on the Favs today.....but before i continue with todays card i have to take me new Puppy to the Vets for round Nos 2 of its Jabs ;-((...if  im not back in time then i will look to start posting a " Beat the Fav " card on Saturday...Take it easy folks..

Wednesday, 19 February 2014

Typical Example..


Quite often i have ( and im pretty sure you all have ) had a selection or a fancy for a race and priced it up and when the price was in your opinion good , you jump in....only to see it suddenly drift....a lot of folk " bottle it " at this point and try to jump off thinking the market is always right however quite often is the case in these open affairs it means nothing...and today i really fancied VOLITO as it was carrying good CD form, was in form and well in on a feather weight plus it had Jack Garrity's 7lb allowance giving it a huge chance and this morning i thought i will have £50 if it hits i jumped on at 5.1...only to see it drift to i jumped in again as this was now brilliant value....and then it goes on to win comfortably at an astonishing 6.73 !!!....Message to take from this....dont let the market put you off , once a decision has been made stick by it....its a long term winner....

Just out of Interest...

Did anyone follow the Golf advice  on the last post ??...because we hit the 2nd ( day 1 leader and never out of the top 5 )  @ 13.0 for a good EW and an easy trade but we also had a return on Arron Braddley @ 81.0 who was 2nd after day 1 and another bobbing around the top 6 day 2 and 3 and traded a good deal shorter in the it worth me posting any more golf ?? you guys follow the golf ?...feed back please...

Monday, 10 February 2014

Some Golf Fun >>

AT+T National Tips: Five each-way bets for the Pebble Beach Pro-Am Joe is following last week's win with a play on Aaron Baddeley Joe is following last week's win with a play on Aaron Baddeley View market The BB golf team hit big profits last time out with Joe Dyer finding 40/1 winner Stephen Gallacher at the Dubai Desert Classic, and Paul Krishnamurty landing a 66/1 place thanks to Romain Wattel. Can we follow up with more winners? Joe is following last week's win with a play on Aaron Baddeley
Here are the guys' selections for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am...

Joe Dyer: Back Aaron Baddeley @ 81.0 Backing a man with proven course form landed me a 40-1 winner last week and I see no reason to desert the tactic this time round, especially not when selection Aaron Baddeley shows such a strong love for this week's event. In three years at the AT&T since missing the cut in 2010, Baddeley has not finished worse than 12th (2013), with a best placing of fourth the year before, having finished sixth in 2011. The Australian, who has three wins on the PGA Tour, has never shown much love for last week's Waste Management Phoenix Open so 48th in Arizona is not a concern. In fact, it's how he likes to prepare for one of his favourite events with a highest finish of 37th before those good runs in the AT&T. At 80-1 I think Baddeley is a very fair price and a decent each-way bet.

Dan Geraghty: Back Jimmy Walker @ 26.0 With two wins to his name already this season and three top 10s in his last three AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro AM starts, I'm willing to forgive Jimmy Walker a surprising missed cut last time out (his first of the season) at Torrey Pines. Walker has been in the form of his life, and if his game remains as consistent as it did last season, the big-hitting American has a great opportunity to make his first Ryder Cup team. Now that he's tasted PGA Tour victory, there's every reason to suggest he can go on and win more.

Paul Krishnamurty: Back Dustin Johnson @ 13.0 In some respects, Dustin Johnson is the ideal player for betting purposes. In various regular events, where his prodigious power off the tee offers no meaningful advantage, he is easy to oppose with confidence and very rarely even contends. Yet in others that do favour his power game, Dustin is one of the most reliable contenders around. Eight PGA Tour victories before the age of 30, most recently in the elite WGC-HSBC Champions Trophy on his final 2013 start, is a record that almost anybody would envy and his very best golf has come at Pebble Beach. I'm expecting a bold bid towards a third win in this event and find it hard to imagine him being far away.

Mike Norman: Back Jason Day @ 13.0 I feel I really need to put forward a strong case for backing a 12/1 shot in such a large field so the first point to note is that this week's renewal of the AT&T hardly sets the pulse racing; I'm pretty confident that it will be contested by in-form, or proven course form players come Sunday night. Day definitely falls into both categories having won the individual part of the World Cup of Golf at the end of 2013, finishing second at Torrey Pines last time out, and recording two top-six finishes in this event in his last four attempts. In fact the Australian should be brimming with confidence after failing to finish outside of the top 15 in his last seven worldwide starts. Expect the cream to rise as the tournament progresses, and expect Day to be the crème de la crème.

Steve Rawlings: Back Patrick Reed @ 36.0 With two wins in his last ten starts, Patrick Reed is going places fast but should we be at all surprised? In 2012, he qualified for a PGA Tour event a remarkable six times via the ultra-competitive Monday qualification system and he's earned his card the hard way. He gained his first win at the Wyndham Championship in August with his wife Justine on the bag. Now expecting their first child, Justine is taking a break from caddying and her brother, Kessier Karain, has picked up the role. The transition has been seamless and three weeks ago, Reed won for the second time at the Humana Challenge. I've been a huge fan for ages and I still think there's more to come. He was 7th on debut 12 months ago and he could easily improve on that this time around.

2014 will be the Year of the newcomer and the Year for the Aussies as im expecting them ( top 6 Aussies ) to win a few this year between them.

Saturday, 1 February 2014


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