Saturday, 6 December 2014

Late Saturday Post...

Morning Dingbats , 
                          Bit late today and slightly short on time as i got a bit pissed last night on the back of a few in the arvo wi me boys at Spoons'.....so did struggle to get up lol..but here i am....there will be no card today but i will take on the 4 highest rated races today and see if i can grab you lovely lot a winner or two....

RACE 1 > .

Betfred TV Fillies' Juvenile Hurdle (Listed) 

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This is the type of race i usually take on because i make good money on these and NYANZA  ( NAP ) can get me off to a winning start as this daughter of Dai Jin although green looks a nice prospect and this got beat lto by one of todays rivals Announcement but today is 7lb better off for that 1L and given the manner of the defeat i would fully expect the King inmate to secure a tidy victory as Announcement is more of a gutsy battler than anything else and i will expect to see Hannah s Magic become the strongest rival.
Current Price > 2.72 which i feel is good and is above the 2.25 i had it on so to me is a value bet without being value ( if that makes sense ) and i make this a solid WIN bet.

RESULT : 1st at 2.39 ...BoooM
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RACE 2 > .

Madinat Jumeirah Dubai December Handicap Hurdle (Listed)

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This looks quite a tight race however on a card where Hendo is sending out a host of runners and a few from JPM ( His Snake Eyes Won as the 6/4F ) i think he will lose this  even being double handed as LEVITHAN comes here on the back of a nice fto Win beating Sweet Deal ( lines up again today ) and although slightly worse off Leviathan Won by a heavily eased down 3L and this has an awful lot more to offer and i would be very surprised if the superiority isn't confirmed.
Current Price > 7.8 which i feel personally is outstanding and im going to make this my EW NAP for today , imo this is a cracking bet.

RESULT : Unplaced > Ran really well from the front until just after 2 out when he collapsed in a heap and virtually stopped..so a disappointing run and one to put a line thru...
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RACE 3 > .

888sport Tingle Creek Chase (Grade 1)

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Now we have possibly the days biggest race ( in terms of stature ) and this has been very well supported with 10 classy runners and not a lot to split them i have a feeling this will be a cracker and one to savour but what will win ?? well in truth its all margins and it really is a bit too tight to call as Hinterland has been a bit disappointing and has not yet fulfilled the expected potential which we was led to believe he had and must be on the watch list for now , Gods Own , Dodging Bullets and Balder Sucess are 3 cracking horses and once again i expect little to separate them as they will all be out to cut each other up and it will all boil down to a jumping error , a hamper or something similar in order to lose it , Somersby is a fav of mine and is well upto winning this and ran well fto showing himself in great heart and back over its ideal trip i think this will make them all go a bit however i am going to row in with OSCAR WHISKY as i am prepared to give this another chance now running back over its perfect and strongest trip ( not a prolific winner at 2m but travels very strong for this and will be well suited to it imo ) on ground it likes and its own form is enough to put it right in the firing line.
Current Price > 6.80 , This is about right if anything its on the right side of being a very good EW bet and in a very open affair its as good a bet as anything else on offer.

RESULT :Fell early on...oh dear..but the general write up was pretty much spot on imo.
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RACE 4 > .

Betfred Grand Sefton Handicap Chase (National Course)

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Todays final race is a right Doozy as we have a 16 runner Hcap chase over the National course and it will be an attritional affair , Rolling Aces and Dolatulo are the class animals , Rebel Rebellion who won it last year is primed for another big run racing from just 5lb higher and Bob Ford is a very interesting runner from Becky Curtis , Champion Court could run a big race at tasty odds and Hunt Ball has class but is probably still too high in the weights ...i think the winner will come from this convoluted list so you pays yer money and you take your chance....i think BOB FORD is the best EW bet at around 16/1 and for the WIN i think DOLATULO could be in quite light and may have that extra bit of class required....Good Luck All.

RESULT : And we round off the day with Nada as neither Bob Ford or Dolatulo could manage a blow as the best we had was Rolling Aces in 4th...as the in form Pipe Yard take it with old hand Poole Master @ 44/1
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Have Fun ALL , cya next week....

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