Good Morning one n All , some good quality racing today and a good day for being a bookie me thinks , the early signs are that its looking a tough ol day out there , so today i will be doing 2 race cards for your displeasure ( well its getting towards the end of the month , the members are all well up and a bit of sharesie is only fair ;-) ) , so i will be doing NEWMARKET AND 1 other , what shall be the second one?? , you tell me , is there a meeting you would like covering? , if so you have 40 mins to tell me.....
Can anyone tell me the horse above?......todays main race is a clue?....
NEWMARKET
14:05
BACK - WROTE - 3rd ( unplaced ) ( 5.92/3.2 )
LAY - TENTH STAR - NO BLOG LAY - 2nd ( well beaten )
BETA BACK - FARHAAN - Unplaced ( travelled well , hit 1.6 , flattened out )
**WoW , what a tricky start , on my speed ratings only 1/10th of a second splits both wrote and farhaan , and as they are the only horses that have proven themselves over the trip they get their respective nominations , i just cannot see tenth star getting involved but it would not surprise me if it did , yes there is a lot of contradiction there , this is a very tricky race , however like yesterday i feel i have found a profit enabling bet and yes its the same scenario as one from yesterday , PLACE BACK both Farhaan and Wrote @ 2.2 and 2.32 for a 14% or 29.2% profit on stake ( ie: £100 returns either £114 or £129.20 ) this in my opinion ( imo ) is absolutely nailed on i will not have it that one of these will not be getting either 1st or 2nd , that would shock me , so i am going to drip feed £500 on both and hopefully make a nice little bit to start the day off , i cant have this as a blog bet as im unsure exactly how much will get taken , but this is the idea.....if you can , then lump on!.
*So all the profits from yesterdays monster nailed on gteed free money bet have been spunked away on this one and a bit more , at the 2f pole i was looking at 1st and 2nd , but daddy long legs carried on, ran on and ran well , farhaan had nothing more to give and wrote just got caught in the final strides for 2nd to come in 3rd....personally , quite a disappointing start to the day.
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14:35
BACK - BEST TERMS - £250 @ 2.3 - Unplaced ( ran a shocker )
LAY - SHUMOOS - NO BLOG LAY - Unplaced
BETA BACK - LIGHTNING PEARL - 1st @ 3.2
**Tough race again and i know all the dogs are barking for Best Terms , but it is ( on my speed ratings ) only fractionally ahead of Shumoos and is 1/2 sec behind Lightning Pearl , now it has ( best terms ) some very smart and progressive form and certainly looks the one to beat and looking through the field im struggling to find reasons to lay it or even bet against it , i think shumoos although a decent filly is far too inconsistent to have in this race ( i do have a soft spot for it ) and lightning pearl seems to suffer a bit at the 4f pole against best terms a rallying , running on effort will not be good enough , so i will after great consideration say that the 2.3 on best terms is great value and should be snapped up.
*Lost - £250
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15:10
BACK - ALANZA - unplaced
LAY - SAPHRESA - £250 @ 3.2 - 1st ( won easily ) - Lost £550
BETA BACK - TIMEPIECE - unplaced
**A cracking renewal of the Sun Chariot and the multi winning saphresa once again takes her slot as defending champion and is the obv favourite , however its speed figures since its last win have it very much on the downgrade ( not saying hes suddenly a bad horse ) and i only have it down as 4th , yes 4th ( im not going mad ) best , Alanza is the only horse in this field with unknown amounts of improvement and timepiece is easily the most likely to run to form , at 3.2 i think the fav is well worth taking on , if it does win , so be it , but i dont think it will.
*why o why do i do so shit on saturdays!!...
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15:50
BACK - ALBAQAA - £50 ew @ bfsp - unplaced
LAY - MAN OF ACTION - £200 @ 10.5 - unplaced = won £200
BETA BACK - MAQARAAT - £50 ew @ bfsp - unplaced
**Typically mental running of the cambridgeshire , i will be having 2 x fun ew bets just to be involved with my lay covering the stakes , man of action won last time but is a dog and owes me...just play and enjoy this one....( although i will be gutted if questioning wins as that was involved in a dream from yesterday...dont ask! )...won £0 on race....
**Betfair API HAS GONE OFF and ruined my day , although currently up by a good bit, the rest of the day will all have to be done manually , betfair...what a set of arseholes...!!
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16:25
BACK - PIMPERNEL - 1st @ 3.83
LAY - HAWFINCH - £250 @ BFSP - unplaced = won £250
BETA BACK - RESPONSIVE £250 @ 2.64 ( Place Market ) - unplaced = lost £250
** On the ratings there is virtually nothing splitting the top 5 here , incredibly close , Pimpernel is a tentative selection , however Responsive interests me greatly as R Hannon ( his boss ) has 2 runners here yet Hughes ( responsive jockey ) has chosen / been asked / ?? to ride , this i find fascinating as he hasnt ridden her before yet elects to now when both the hannon runners have a higher speed rating...?? , so im gonna have a play in the place market with this one.
won on race = £0
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17:00
BACK - BONNIE BRAE - Unplaced
LAY - CITRUS STAR - £250 @ BFSP - Unplaced = Won £250
BETA BACK - GOLDEN DELICIOUS - Unplaced
**A very tough h'cap with mostly out of form , too much weight , running wrong trip ..so i the speed selections have had to be altered here as i am looking for only recent relevant form and these two came out tops in their respective groups...citrus star?? , why is this so short? , i wouldnt make this fav in a seller let alone a tough 7f hcap!!
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17:35
BACK - ANATOLIN - 1st @ 2.52 ( get in!!! )
LAY - BORUG - £250 @ BFSP - unplaced = won £250
BETA BACK - TMAAM - 2nd @ 3.07
**A Great race to have as the getting out stakes , if i am down here i will be having a massive bet on Anatolin as it won very nicely over 1m2f last time and looks to be upto easily getting this 1m4f trip , Tmaam won its maiden over 1m4f however was getting reminders from the 1m pole and looked a hard ride , the others are outclassed and not good enough , borug would have a squeak if he ran right upto his very best , however hes been so out of form lately i just cant see it , for me the fav Anatolin is a cracking bet.
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Also just done this 4 fold football acca ;-)..
| 1 | Chelsea v Swansea (Backing Chelsea @ 1.19) |
| 2 | Liverpool v Wolves (Backing Liverpool @ 1.36) |
| 3 | Wigan v Tottenham (Backing Tottenham @ 1.8) |
| 4 | Stoke v Man Utd (Backing Man Utd @ 1.61) Pays 4.75....pretty good value imo.. |
ready to rock and roll p.k.
ReplyDeleteyes mate , i have my big betting boots on today..all set up for some great trading ;-))
ReplyDeleteyou punting anywhere else today PK?....
ReplyDeleteive just done some " fun double, trebles and 4 fold " EW , with Balady , royales charter , wrote and bay of fires ;-)
ReplyDeletebit of word navan 3 55 no 1 was 12 took 7 not confident and 5 30 no 11 was 4 got 3s a bit more hopeful that one p.k.
ReplyDeleteResults so far on my ew doubles/trebles/acca...( first 4 races )
ReplyDelete1. - 2nd @ 6.84
2. - 1st @ 5.32
will have a look later and speak to my man in ireland ;-'0
ReplyDeleteShocking run from best terms...something amiss there..was beaten 3f out...
ReplyDeletedickdoughtywhilie has just made me a very happy chappy ;-)....woo hoo!
ReplyDeletemy football acca @ odds of 4.76 has won me a good bit today , traded out for 1.67 so made a very tasty profit on that....;-)
ReplyDeletepimp.eases the pain a little for me p.k.
ReplyDeletebetfairs api has gone down and totally fucked my trading up , every sat they have some problem or another, its getting beyond a joke now.....glad pimp won 4 ya , been a day of wrong decisions mainly at newmarket , but i have been doing very well elsewhere ( although thats a cold comfort for you ).....hope it picks up for you today mate...im just feeling very pissed off at the mo with betfair!!...
ReplyDeleteNah they sold up , the top guys ( eric black et al ) all took there millions and from a high of £15-56 last year their shares have dipped to £5-50 on the back of a torrent of complaints , the only problem i have with betdaq is sustainable liquidity , although i am close to maybe sharing mybets / stakes out 50/50 in the interim , i def need a plan b , always relying on a single source is an obv problem.
ReplyDeleteyour right tho they have no concept of customer service, none what so ever , the whole set up is a shambles , the single worst case i have ever had with them was 2 years ago and it was on their poker site, playing in a £5/£10 cash game ( 6 seater ) with £4200 in front of me , i was dealt 10/10 , ( this is roughly how it went , the outcome is 100% ) , i bet out for £75 , was called 3 times , no raises.
flop was 10/AH/KS....
CHECK , CHECK AND I bet out £350 , i get a call , and a re-raise to £700 , it goes fold , fold , i call and call...
River Card is 10...
Happy fucking days i have quads..., the guy to my left ( the re-raiser ) bets £1500 i think and think..then just shove my lot and im all in , so i have my whole £4200 in front of me in the middle , the next guy folds and the re-raiser calls ( he had £5k ++ ) ,......at this stage the window shuts and the whole pack of cards screensaver starts..i check my internet connection and its fine , i try and log into betfair with no success , its down , it stays down for 2 hours , i checked my statement and i was still on the amount i started with , they just returned fees and all games cancelled and refunded , i spoke to maddog a week orf so later to ask him what he had as it was an £11k pot , he said he had a straight and was drawing for a straight fluch , i toild him i had quads ..he laughed and just said..thank fuck it went down then!!....so there ya go betfair cost me £11k winning pot..and they have never improved...they just say they cant gtee quality...such a load of bollocks!!
good finish to a sticky and frustrating day, nicely up and off to get some well deserved beers...cya tmrw ;-)
ReplyDeletefucking hell thought i had a bad time no its not right i wouldnt like to have to much in my acc.there with the way them shares are performing some guy walked latley the last of the old brigade the lot could go tits up antolin eased a bit more pain cheers,not like them pair in navan.p.k.
ReplyDeletei think we shud do a good curragh card for tmrw ;-)
ReplyDelete