Wednesday, 14 September 2011

The Sun is shining...

But for how long??....right blog time , and frankly im getting a bit miffed with the losses , they are becoming too frequent and obv i cant show the shadow trades or behind the scenes stuff that prevents me from getting hit , however blind followers will be giving it all et al....
Was thinking about ramping the stakes if i take a hit however i still feel its more prudent not to get hit in the first place , that said , its impossible to prevent the freakier results from appearing , ....
ideas ideas im always tinkering , but i do like the feel and layout of the current platform and its one that i have developed and have started using on the pro site, however on the std one a day roll ( blog ) i still feel something is missing , i will up the stakes to max liability £1000 on both win and laybets , however i am going to start being more selective.....i will still give the system picks however i will use my judgement on what or where stakes are applied....and the amounts...
FOOTBALL , yes the champions league proper kicked off last night with 8 matches firstly i am not a football pro , however i do know enough and that coupled with my maths and trading skills enabled me to place 4 bets yesterday and all four went green which was excellent , i also ( after giving some statistical thought ) had a " fun bet " , i marked all 8 matches down for a draw and did them in a multiple for trebles , 4 matches were draws , the bet cost £112 , returns were £350 so i think that can be considered a result ( total luck tho tbh ) , its just that so often the opening group are draws i thought fuck it...a couple of years back i do remember all 8 games being draws and thinking then every year im gonna do this just for shits and giggles....ya never know!!....
This is however how i see tonights games going..

8 Selections Chosen
1Ajax v Lyon (Backing  Ajax @ 2.23)
2Benfica v Man Utd (Backing  Man Utd @ 2.06)
3Dinamo Zagreb v Real Madrid (Backing  The Draw @ 5.99)
4FC Basel v Otelul Galati (Backing  FC Basel @ 1.53)
5Inter v Trabzonspor (Backing  Inter @ 1.4)
6Lille v CSKA Moscow (Backing  The Draw @ 3.77)
7Man City v Napoli (Backing  Man City @ 1.36)
8Villarreal v B Munich (Backing  The Draw @ 3.36)

..Quite a lot of the unknown about tonights matches , with new teams , unexpected teams and weak teams that pull off the odd miracle....
Best bets...
BACK - AJAX TO BEAT LYON
VALUE - REAL MADRID TO DRAW IN RUSSIA AGAINST DINAMO
TRADE - MAN CITY @ 1.36 WITH A VIEW TO TRADING @ 1.49 , No early goal and the price will move quick with low liabilities.
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Also when placing your chosen bets its always always best to check all available prices and check other exchanges to make sure your getting max value from your bet , i give you this example

Win Only Market

Odds Converter
  
Current Odds bets
Back (Bet for)Your
Odds
Your
Stake
Your
Profit
No

£240.00
You are betting FOR No to win.
Lay (Bet against)Backer's
Odds
Backer's
Stake

Yes

£196.80
You are betting AGAINST Yes to win.
As you can clearly see if you staked the above £200 to win ( both teams to score in man utd match  ) your winnings would be £240 , however if you placed the same bet by laying yes ( technically saying no also ) in order to win the same £240 you need only stake £196.80 , saving yourself £3.20 ( enough for a pint ;-) ) , it always pays to check.....

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