Friday, 16 September 2011

As warned ;-/

Everything is a little crazy just now and i have the dreaded " man flu " , took me 5 hours to complete todays cards , fucks sake , so its now 13-04 and i am running out of time to get everything done today.....Struggling to keep my thoughts straight...Today is a decent looking day for racing with 3 uk meetings and 1 from  Listowel ( where i have done tez at this week ) ......again today i will be offering out just a few bets to look at...

First race to look at is the 14-10 AYR , I feel there are just 5 to concentrate on here , star city , strictly silver , trail blaze , magic destiny and serene oasis .
i do think that it is absolutely nailed on that either Trail Blaze or Star City will get placed and @ 2.1 each for a place , £500 on each returns a £50 profit.
But i also think the current Fav Strictly Silver is only 3rd or 4th best at best so i will rec' a LAY on that.
I also think a very good value dutch can be had here , dutching backing the top 5 ( mentioned ) to stakes of £50/50/40/30/30 returns profits of £30/40/40/60/60 for a total outlay of £190 , i can also heartily rec' this.
*Red indicates strictly silver , leaving this out as it is a lay means bigger returns on the dutch.

I think for a gteed profit and some free money the value bets are  , the lay on STRICTLY SILVER ( £250 @ 4.4 blog bet ) , the dutch  and the place bets ( mentioned ).

BACK - STAR CITY - Unplaced
LAY - STRICTLY SILVER - £250 @ 4.4 - 1st = Lost £850-00
BETA - N/A ( cant show these currently )
Gteed Loser - Daddy Warbucks - LAY for £200 @ 12.5 ( keep bet ) - Unplaced = Won £200
*HAHAHA...Of course I CORRECTLY state 1st , 2nd and 3rd , but ofc i also lay the winner ( but personally i also traded for a big profit at 6.0 ) , the lay kinda fucked it all up tho...Strictly silver was pushed along from half way , run on , slowed then battled to nail it , bad start for the blog again , but good for me...

 Ayr 2.10
 1st9 Strictly Silver (IRE)5-2 F
 2nd10 Trail Blaze (IRE)7-2
 3rd13 Serene Oasis (IRE)13-2

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14:25 Lingfield - LAY - Talk of the North - £500 @ 2.48 ( will trade out £200 @ 2.92 and £100 @ 3.4 and £50 @ 4.5 )  - 2nd = Won £150
*Bad draw for starters , got run out of it over this trip fto and i dont think ( looking at him ) that this is anything special at all , at 2.48 has to be taken on.

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14-15 Listowel - BACK - BONNIE ACCLAMATION - £200 @ BFSP - 1st @ 1.88 = Won £176
*Carried a big weight to victory a  few days ago , the new 5lb penalty should not prevent the quick double up as he won with any amount in hand , the ground is the key to this horse.

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14-45 at AYR - LAY MITCHUM for as much as you can possibly find , check the sofa, raid the kids piggies , take out a remortgage!!...yes its 16.0 , but it has absolutely no chance whatsoever and i have layed this for 1/2 my entire bank roll ( only a mentalist would go for all, regardless )  , obv * you only stake what you can afford* - for the blog this will be £200 @ 16 - UNPLACED ( hit 6.6 in running ) = Won £200

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So many races , so little time , have a great day all ....


***Will be updating for 3 races around the 4 o clock mark....***
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* update * - 16:10 Lingfield - LAY- DARK ISLE - £250 @ BFSP - Unplaced @ 6.15 = Won £250
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**FINAL UPDATE ** Wolverhampton - 20:50 - LAY - ITSTHURSDAYALREADY - £200 @ BFSP - - Unplaced  = Won £200
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