Friday, 23 September 2011

Morning All....

Gonna post up another NEWMARKET CARD....Just on with it now......;-)
...Right , well , it looks like another tough day and i will just try and do the best i can.....

NEWMARKET

13:15
BACK - RAKASA - Unplaced ( virtually pulled up from the stalls, ran no race )
LAY - MINIDRESS - £250 @ BFSP - Unplaced @ 6.6 = Won £250
BETA BACK - QUESTING - 2nd @ 6.76 ( ran a great race hit 1.07 in running )
**This race has attracted some very useful sorts and finding the winner is tough , however i do feel i have a profit enabling bet here which i am quite happy to say is " NAILED ON " , backing both RAKASA and Questioning in the place market @ 2.12 each pays  6.4% on stake , this is guaranteed FREE MONEY!!!! , i simply wont have it that one of these will not place , im fucking possible!! , my suggestion to you is forget about everything today , sell your house , sell your wife , sell your soul!!...and lump the fuck on!!!
Liquidity is an issue with these so just try and get what you can , i will be looking to nail £1000 on each ( Not a blog bet as i am unsure as to how much i will get matched ) , split stakes laying for an even match , but i may have to just drip feed it over a course of a couple of hours....**Questing 2nd , Gamble landed!!...;-)**

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13:50

BACK - DARK PROMISE - 1st @ 5.48
LAY - ELECTRA STAR - £250 @ BFSP - UNPLACED = WON £250
BETA BACK - SETA - 2nd @ 3.32 ( hit 1.55 )
**My speed ratings have these two well clear ( and it shows in the markets ) , electra star has some nice looking form figures but is just not very quick , certainly not in this grade with these types around and imo will not even place , that said most of this field are 1m 40+ sec's horses so i can imagine the finale being very closely fought with the winner streaking away...the battle will be for the places!.

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14:25

BACK - TAZAHUM - Unplaced
LAY - ( Place Lay ) - PREMIER LOCO @ 2.84 For  £250 - 2nd = Lost £460-00 ( only just ;-( )
BETA BACK - EMERALD COMMANDER - Unplaced
**Tough race and one that i think will be run at a real pace as there are few suspect stayers here , primarily Premier Loco , a great horse and a grand servant to the yard , however he is just below the level he has mostly been racing at , just below these and barely stays a true run 1m , he will look like hes bang there for 7f then weaken as he usually does so a place lay ( only top two ) seems the obvious call , the winner however is a different story , poets voice has too many questions to answer so has to be left out and Librano's best races have been over shorter so the form horses have risen to the top.
* never looked like getting placed at any stage until final 150 yrds ;-(

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15:00

BACK - LYRIC OF LIGHT - 1st @ 3.30
LAY - FALLEN FOR YOU - ( NO BLOG BET ) - Unplaced -
BETA BACK - FIRDAWS - 3rd @ 4.4
**A very tough race to split the top 4 ( albamara has to come into it ) , the selections here have been arrived upon solely using my speed ratings platform.

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15:35

BACK - CAYUGA - Unplaced
LAY - MR CHURCHILL - £250 @ 8.8 - Unplaced = Won £250
BETA BACK - ELLAAL - 2nd @ 6.16
**I know for a fact that Mr Churchill is no superstar and have layed accordingly , the winner is a complete pin sticker , follow breeding , the stable , the jockey whatever floats your boat....this is a guessing game!.

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16:10

BACK - MYPLACELATER - Unplaced
LAY - ( Place Lay ) SIRVINO - £250 @ 2.66 and ( Win Lay ) £350 @ 5.9 - Unplaced = WON £600
BETA BACK - MAHOOBA - 1st @ 4.1
**Awful race , however , Sirvino is no better than an average H'capper so it would be a major surprise if this bay gelding was anywhere near good enough in this company even if the rest are very much out of sorts....

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16:45

BACK - DOLPHIN ROCK - Unplaced
LAY - GALIANDO ( NO BLOG BET ) - Unplaced
BETA BACK - JEWELLED - Unplaced
**This race is a bookies benefit race.

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17:20

BACK - AMBALA - Unplaced
LAY - VITA LIKA ( NO BLOG BET ) - 1st @ 4.11
BETA BACK - FUJIN DANCER - placed
**What an awful race to have as the " getting out stakes "...sigh , if your down by a lot at this stage lump on and cross your fingers , if your only marginally down then dutch both and prey , if your up at this stage then run for the hills!!!....

_________________________________________________P n L = £890.00 
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