Monday, 3 October 2011

Fortunately ....

For me anyway i swerved the beheading and decided to watch "drive" thinking that a high octane film would remove all thoughts of the prick above.....
However what i did not expect was a moody , well acted , superbly directed slow cooked almost film noir experience , very little content but so well made that it was great and well worth the watch , my only gripe  , and its not just with this film but with so many is why do they always short change us on the endings??....
Arsenal again tragically lost again at the weekend to the not so mighty Yids , we were poor again , weak at the back , short on ideas in the middle and slow up front...chamakh is the new bendtner , gervinho is just nothing , van persie wishes he was Bergkamp , walcott is just a runner , rosicky is now roshitty , arshavin more like arshole , per metsacker...per ballsacker , slow and ponderous....mid table oblivion beckons ( if we are lucky ) .
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I was going to go into a venomous rage today about so many things but my furnace has somewhat cooled for now , wont last long , every day this country does something to make my blood boil...

On the racing front , im quite pleased to see some flat shizzle today , although i had a fantastic weekend culminating in a massive treble at longchamp and a whole of bank lay on " so you think " ( advised ) , so all in all one is a very happy bunny ;-)

So today i think i will just post up the clip notes for Pontefract , a demanding course for 2yr olds with a steep rising finish...
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PONTEFRACT

14-10
BACK - CHERRY STREET - Bet Described below - 1st @ 4.7 = Won £344
LAY - HUMUNGOSAUR - No Lay - 3rd @ 2.32
EW - SIR GRAHAM WADE - 2nd @ 4.49
**Tough decision in the first as humungosaur has easily the best form on offer with its listed race 3rd ( in france ) however that was over 1m , this is 1m2f  with a steep climb to the line for a 2yr old this takes some getting and there is no way on gods earth i would ever back a horse in a maiden at odds on over this trip and especially here , that said i cant lay it either even tho every inch of me screaming to do so!! , i think the 1.44 for cherry street to be placed is a better bet than the 1.93 for humungosaur to win but even that is not particularly attractive , so do i have a nibble on sir graham wade? with the mighty sds on board ( one for AL then ) ? , no probably not, what i will be doing is this....
£500 @ 5.3 to win on cherry street with a lay set at 3.8 for £600 ( this returns £95 all bar £494 on CS ) with another lay set at 2.5 for £150 ( this now returns £320 or £344 ).....
***Won easy and stamina showed today.
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14-40

BACK - MINCE - 1st @ 3.55
LAY - ROYAL TRIX - £250 @ BFSP - Unplaced = Won £250
EW - SEE CLEARLY - 2nd @ 26.11
**As far as nurseries go this is quite a toughie with only a few looking likely to be sub 1m13s runners , my speed ratings have mince and although there is a fair amount of improvement expected i am not so sure , royal minx has been weakening badly over 5f so this stiff 6f will def not be for him , however see clearly for me is one horse that has winning form has looked like a battler and at decent odds is well worth a speculative punt.

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15-10

BACK - CRUISER - £250 @ 4.3 ( lay set @ 2.1 for £250 ) - Unplaced = Lost £250 ( unmatched )
LAY - DIVERTING - £250 @ 4.3 ( back bet set £125 @ 6.0 )  BFSP - 1st = LOST £200 ( All bets matched )
EW - CROWN COUNSEL - 3rd @ 6.2
**With diverting now 24lb higher than starting her winning sequence i feel it is only right and just that we take her on , and today should finally be cruisers day , never runs a bad race but has looked a bit of a dog at times , this stiff finish will suit and i feel this could be her day , crown counsel is worth noting as it has been running in quality races and holding her own , i expect a good run from this today.
**Cruiser run like i kinda expected , came stone last and is on the full dog list now.
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15-40

BACK - FIRE FIGHTER - £250 @ BFSP - 2nd = lost £250
LAY - COLOUR VISION - £500 @ 2.3 ( BACK BET £250 @ 3.25 ) - 1st = lost £97-50
EW - N/A
**This is effectively a 2 horse race , dan bouy will set off like a scalded cat take a 20 length lead then fade out like simply red , fire fighter has by a long way the best form and i can see some in running carnage...
**Poor ride ;-(
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16-10

BACK - NO POPPY - N/A -unp
LAY - POYLE JUDY - N/A -1st
EW - ORIENTALIST - N/A -unp
**I will be mainly leaving this race alone , i do think that no poppy should hose up here but all have squeaks and all are unreliable and inconsistent , time to get kettle on here...

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16-40

BACK - BIRDWATCHER - 1st @ 5.3
LAY - BOUGGATI - £250 @ 5.4 ( BACK SET £125 @ 7.2 ) - Unplaced = Won £125
EW - KODICIL - 3rd @ 5.7
**Very hard race to gauge, for me i would probably say the safest option here is a steady ew on Kodicil , the horse most likely to give his true running.

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17-10

BACK - MOONSCAPE - £500 @ 1.54 ( NAP ) -2nd = lost £500
LAY - N/A -
EW - STARSTUDDED - unplaced
**The getting out stakes and a maiden , not a great combo ! , however we have a nailed on banker bet for this in Moonscape , i will be mortally wounded and shocked if this does not hose up here.

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Have a great day all ;-)
___________________________________________PnL = £578-50 Loss
_
After such a brilliant start , the day fell away to nothing culminating in a loss , the first loss for nearly two weeks , today although uninspiring in quality is taylor made for my type of betting and i have done very well elsewhere so i have no problem with this , its just a pain that the blog account has had a little downturn , that said i havent updated the account for over a week and we are now well over the £10k markand we are well on target.
That said moonscape in the ( un ) lucky last was super shit and is a lay next time out regardless and it just re-enforces the appalling state of the stoute yard , but look at the pluses , ...
1.if you are a level stakes win backer ,  you would have made at least 7+ points profit with 3 good winners.
2.if you follow the EW only bets then you would have been rewarded with a return on 4/6 so again more profit ,.
3.the only real losses today were down to two losing fav lays which had to be layed and moonscape which was appalling.

I have been doing this for over 20 years and i never stop learning or tweaking or trying to improve and today is one of those days where you suck it up , learn , improve and come back stronger....

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