Wednesday, 19 October 2011

Morning...

Still full of flu today, blocked nose, sniffles etc , bloody thing wont budge!!..
Getting a bit fed up with it but must soldier on....as you know ive already highlighted 1 lay today that must be absolutely smashed in , but what else , well rather than using pas to highlight low odds / high value lays im returning to the flw laying platform , and that is to just get back to laying losers , fuck the value ! , i just need to get back to profit and start being more consistent .

So i am going to hammer some lays today , try and find some VALUE bets ( ew ) and see if there are any Bankers ( NAPS ) knocking about , with all the maidens about its fair to say that today could prove to be quite tricky.....

However what will be different is ONLY the laybets will form part of the on going 365 challenge , i am going to start a new bank for my back bets / ew's and betting advice to give Acheron members some day to day action and can see a brief pnl every day , for now this bank will be £10k and will come from my Australian wallet ( so is actually $AUSD , but for me working it all out in £ is easier , any questions ??..no fine then lets move on as im running out of tissues....

Back Bets :

1. Newmarket - 13:30 - DIALA ( place market @ 1.41 ) - £300 - 1st @ 2.66 = Won £123
*I will not have it that any horse that runs Lyric of Light ( group winner ) to 3/4 of a length cannot place in a race like this , not overly strong depthwise with the other experienced horses ( fulney not inc ) being moderate at best , this is nap material, i actually feel like lumping on big style......hmmm , have to have a line drawn somewhere tho!.

2.Newmarket - 14:00 - ELLAAL ( 1st ) and OPERA FLUTE in a dutch ( pays 2/1 - even money on stake ) - £250 each ( outlay £500 ) - 3.55 and 4.9 - 1st - ELLAAL @ 3.75 = Profit of £437-50
* Both of these have very decent form, both from in form yards and both will run great races , this looks another shoo in bet.

3. Newmarket - 16:10 - Secrecy - £200 @ 2.55 - 2nd = lost £250
* Not a nap bet , but one i feel still needs to be included.

4. Navan - 14:05 - The Munster Maori and Kateeva ( dutched in the place market ) - £500 each @ 2.5 - Both Unplaced , fucking astonishing , im absolutely gutted with this result as i thought it was fucking naile to the wall!..hmph! = Lost £1000

5. Navan - 14:35 Thomas Gainsborough and Frontier £200 each @ bfsp and 2 x place lays @ £200 @ 1.50 and 1.50 ( both keep bets ) - Frontier - 1st @ 5.74 and TG 3rd = Profit of £570
--- (- 2.42% )
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LAYBETS ( BLOG BETS )

1. Newmarket - 16:10 - Inler - £250 @ 12.5 ( part taken and keep bet ) - 1st @ 11/1 = lost £2875
* No fucking chance , whatsoever, going to hammer this in running!.

2. Newmarket - 16:45 - Haffed Handsome - £500 @ 2.78 ( buy back £250 @ 3.65 ) - 3rd @ 2/1f = won £250
* Far too short for a horse that has shown only very limited promise ( could win but has to be laid/trade at price ) .

3. Newmarket - 17:20 - POETIC LORD - £500 @ bfsp - Unplaced @ 6.6 = Won £500
* This will not win FACT , LAY IT for all you can!!.

4.Worcester - 15:50 Chilbury Hill - £250 @ bfsp - 1st @ 9.0 = lost £2000

5. Worcester - 16:55 - Quel Bruere - £250 @ bfsp - 2nd @ 3/1 = Won £250

6. Fontwell - 16:30 - Lady Karabaya - £250 @ 13.0 - 3rd = won £250

7. Navan - : 15:05 - Custom Cut - £250 @ 12.5 - unplaced = won £250

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VALUE ( EW ) BETS - 

1.Navan - 14:05 - The Munster maori and Kateeva @ 8.8 and 9.4 offer superb value. - both unplaced.

2.Kempton - 18:50 - Sky Diamond @ 11.0
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***Jesus Christ!!!!! , 2 HUGE WINNERS HAMMER MY LAYBETS, fucking lost £4875 on 2 bets.fucks sake!! , lay all the short price value favs yesterday..they win , switch to flw and lay against data using flw and ...they win..what the fuck is going on?? , cant remember the last time i had a run like this ? , this is just getting plain fucking stupid!! , cant go back to the drawing board as im using the same system that has served me so well the last couple of years...so i will just have to carry on and hopefully this dismal run of hitting winners ( on the laybets ) will cease , fuck me , finding more winners with my lays than i am with my back bets!!...i know i shall just start backing all my fucking laybets..!!..then they will all lose..oh ffs..what a cunting nightmare , as they say...things can only get better!!.....
I have absolutely no idea where the big turn around in form come from for either horse , inler is an utter utter dog , i would have backed it to never win again , yet in it goes , and chilbury hill had tons to find with the front three and on a set of strict form lines had no chance yet that wins cosy..cant blame the time of year , its just one of those crazy things..the laybets for the account will now be restricted to 1 a day until further notice...the 365 account took a beating today , gonna take a couple of weeks to get this back i think , or i may just go crazy with it and start laying to sums i really shouldnt, go chasing if ya like...fucking sat here stunned...oh well there is always tmrw...

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