Thursday, 20 October 2011

Morning ( aitchoo )....sniffle...

Still full of this cold , worlds longest imo!!well well , surveying the train wreck that is the last few days blog bets i noticed quite a few parameter differences between the bets on the blog and the bets i advise on , ie: outside of the blog the world is quite rosy , the racecards have all been good or great , the members have still made their respective profits every day and my own wage machine rolls on , however my attempts to spin my " spare " £5k into £250k has led me to making decisions that i wouldnt normally.
Also in my quest to assist you guys , show , teach and interpret different betting styles has led me up a path im not usually on , this i feel has also shown in some of the latest results and in order to show these i feel im posting to many bets instead of just the iron bets , but so much changes through the day regarding WoM , punts ,  and ground lead me to amending a lot of bets and trade a lot out during the day , i cannot show these quick enough on the blog otherwise people will just start shouting " aftertimer " , cheat etc ,..you ( me ) cant just go round changing the bets to show them winning all the time, that would be just plain stupid so i have to show and keep it regardless , unless i can post an hour before, which is ok sometimes but not normally available.
So where do we go from here? , well today i am going to lower the stakes and adjust accordingly , the 365 challenge stays on but will not traded with the same level of abandonment , and the nos of bets will be less.

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Todays bets :

1. Brighton 15:05 - LAY - Breaking the Bank £150 @ bfsp - Unplaced = Won £150

2. Brighton - 15:35 - EW - Methayel - ( £75 / £150 w/p ) - 1st @ 4.3 ( 1.85 ) - = Won £247.50 / £127.50
= Total Won £375.00
3. Brighton - 16:05 - EW - Guava - ( £75 / £150 w/p ) - 3rd @ 9.64 ( 2.84 ) = Won £201 ( £276 )

4. Brighton - 16:30 - Win - Siouxperhero - £200 - 2nd = Lost £200

5.Ludlow - 15:15 - Win - Lava Lamp ( nap )- £200 - 2nd = Lost £200

6. Ludlow - 15:45 - Lay - Apache Dawn - £200 ( lotd ) - Unplaced = Won £200

_________________________________________________P n L = £526 profit

These will be my  " 6 of the best " for today , although tbh there are quite a few runners i found interesting and it could be quite a profitable day today , good things expected , i am feeling very calm and chilled out , have a clear concise head on , 2 x ew's , 2 x win and 2 x lay bets , so a very steady blog day , thanks for the comments and emails guys/gals , all much appreciated , have a great day, lets get back to winning ways!.
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Carlisle Card ( this card has been produced using FLW , with addendums acknowledged due to time of year , this an experimental card and should not be followed, selections are not advised , this is a trial card )

CARLISLE

13:50
BACK - SIVOLA DE SIVOLA - 1st @ 2.14
VALUE - MAJORKA KING - 3rd @ 9.75
PLACEPOT / MULTI EXTRA -  BOUND FOR GLORY - 2nd @ 11.0
VALUE LAY - NONE -
RACE LAY - SENDIYIM - unplaced
__________________________________________________________

14:20

BACK - CAPE DUTCH - 1st @ 3.97
VALUE - WESTERN LODGE - 2nd @ 25.54
PLACEPOT / MULTI EXTRA -  ALL FOR CASH - Unplaced
VALUE LAY - TOPAZE COLLANGES - Unplaced
RACE LAY - BALLYQUIN QUEEN - Unplaced
__________________________________________________________

14:55
BACK - DO IT FOR DALKEY - 1st @ 7.76
VALUE - GAVROCHE GAUGAIN - Unplaced
PLACEPOT / MULTI EXTRA -  BROUSSE EN FEUX - Unplaced
VALUE LAY - BANOGE - 2nd
RACE LAY - STORM SURGE - Unplaced
__________________________________________________________

15:25
BACK - RING BO REE - Unplaced
VALUE - BEE CEE PEE M - Unplaced
PLACEPOT / MULTI EXTRA - SMOKEY GEORGE - Unplaced
VALUE LAY - AMIR PASHA - Unplaced
RACE LAY - BENMADIGAN - Unplaced
__________________________________________________________

15:55
BACK - JAUNTY JOURNEY - Unplaced
VALUE - DOUBLE DEFAULT - Unplaced
PLACEPOT / MULTI EXTRA -  ARKROSE - Unplaced
VALUE LAY - VAMIZI - 2nd 
RACE LAY - SOUBRIQUET - Unplaced
__________________________________________________________

16:30
BACK - BENBENS - Unplaced
VALUE - CREDIT SWAP - Unplaced
PLACEPOT / MULTI EXTRA -  THE STARBOARD BOW - Unplaced
VALUE LAY - CIRCUS CLOWN - 2nd
RACE LAY - DANCEINTOTHELIGHT - 3rd
__________________________________________________________

17:00
BACK - AIKMAN - 3rd @ 2.34
VALUE - OUR MICK - Unplaced
PLACEPOT / MULTI EXTRA -  GOING WRONG - Unplaced
VALUE LAY - FRASCATI PARK - 1st @ 5.38
RACE LAY - BOLD SIR BRIAN - 2nd @ 4.74
__________________________________________________________

17:30
BACK - BURY PARADE - 2nd @ 13.0
VALUE - LUCIA BAY - Unplaced
PLACEPOT / MULTI EXTRA -  CROWNING JEWEL - 1st @ 11.01
VALUE LAY - WILLOWS SAVIOUR - 3rd @ 5/4
RACE LAY - AN CAPELL MOR - Unplaced
__________________________________________________________

This card has been produced to get the full jumps season into gear , a few things have been tweaked and the new speed ratings have been implemented i need to see how the new card runs a few times before running them out to my members...lets see how we get on today....;-)
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ANY views on todays card ? , layout ? , results?..let me know , i like the feedback , imo  i thought it was a great success , 16 laybets  and just 1 winner found @ 5.38 = great profits , back bets had 3/8 inc a 7.76 winner and the multi extra had a nice 11.01 winner , making it 4/8 ( 50% ) thru selections, i dont think thats too bad for first go...


**After race day analysis :  Back to profit today , a very good solid performance , the two win bets both lost but everything else won ( both win bet hits 1.2 in running , so good trade options ) , and as of 16:45 the experimental Carlisle card has proven to be very good.

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