Monday, 10 October 2011

Its pissing down and cold....

What a surprise , its " golf " day tmrw and i hate it in the cold and the rain so a 110 beckons!!!! , had a fairly decent weekend , found a couple of winners in the lays which marred a great record , but overall did well and was solid sent the results off for verification this morning so awaiting but provisionally it looks very pleasing.
Over the next few weeks the ground will be changing on a daily basis so expect to see some quirky results come in and the form book out of the window as a lot of form between mar - july can be discounted now tricky times...
Today we will  going to Salisbury ....

SALISBURY

13:50
BACK - GIFTED DANCER - Unplaced
LAY - MILLIBAR - £250 @ BFSP - 3rd = Won £250
EW - ELBOW BEACH - Unplaced
**Gifted dancer on all known form is the obv place to start its form without improvement should be good enough to take this low key affair however i do like the look of elbow beach who was bang there and looking to win lto only to find a heap of trouble in the last furlong , with a clear run and a modicum of improvement i fail to see how this cannot place.

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14:20

BACK - NO COMPROMISE - 2nd @ 3.2 ( hit 1.01 ) !!!
LAY - INTRANSIGENT - £250 @ BFSP - Unplaced = Won £250
EW - SERENE OASIS - Unplaced
**Last chance here for serene oasis , imo she needs a better test of stamina but this is a weakish race and she may be able to dominate , no compromise was a unliked 50/1 rag fto but from a bad draw ran well into 3rd and i can see this being heavily involved in the finish.

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14:50

BACK - BLONDE - Unplaced ( 5.04 , hit 2.4 ir, hit 1.4 in running for the place )
LAY - WYE VALLEY - N/A  - Unplaced
EW - DREAMS OF FIRE - Unplaced ( 4.85 , hit 3.65 )
**Tough maiden and an uninspired selection with blonde , its hannon , its hughes , its a 2 yr old..get it in!!..they are on fire so why leave it out , dreams of fire is from the kris kin family tree and their juvies have won at this trip at this age so for me at the current odds of 5.2+ i think the best bet here is a dutch on the two , thats decent value.
**hughesy pulling up a non winner again.....
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15:25

BACK - THAWABEL -
LAY - OPERETTIST - £250 @ BFSP - ( LOTD ) - 1st @ 4.04 = Lost £800
EW - BRIEF CHAT -
**Again a tough race to call , as most maidens are , but i do think that operettist is a complete dog and is worth a major lay or place lay even @ 1.98 cant do much damage , but hughesy is known for tugging a horse if it cant win , i will also nominate these two as value calls for a dutch  @ 17.0 and 34.0 i think there is some room for trading at least , small stakes but worth a flutter.

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16:00

BACK - ANNES ROCKET -
LAY - CALDERMUD - £250 @ BFSP - 1st @ 9.67 = Lost £2,200
EW - DOCTOR HILARY -
**.....oh well , i spoze a day like this was due....

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16:30

BACK - ECLIPTIC - £500** @ BFSP - NAP ( have place laid it for £500 @ 1.42 , keep bet ) - 1st @ 2.56 = Won £570
LAY - INLER - £250 @ BFSP - Unplaced = Won £250
EW - POLAR ANNIE - Unplaced
**Frankie Dettori is at Salisbury today on orders and to solely to ride this Ecliptic , its form is head and shoulders above the rest , the big worry is the lay off , if and its a big if , its fit , ready and has retained its ability it will hose up  or be last , would they keep a broken horse in the yard , probably not , would frankie be called over to ride it? , probably not, so all things given i think its a shoo in , but as we well know, there is no such thing as a cert in racing ( the only winner is the taxman )...
** was amended from £250
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17:00

BACK - ROCKYS REBEL - Unplaced
LAY - SPANISH PRIDE - £250 @ BFSP - Unplaced = Won £250
EW - MINIS DESTINATION - Unplaced
**I like laying favourites that are there purely on speculation that they will show some improvement over a new trip etc etc...on what its actually done its not worth feeding to the dogs...

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17:30

BACK - SPICE FAIR -  3rd @ 9.4
LAY - BILLY BUTTONS - unplaced
EW - MISS TOPSY TURVY - Unplaced ( hit 1.6 ir and 1.03 in the place )
**Tough finale but a value finale , my bet here will be just a decent sized ew on miss topsy turvy.

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Very up and down day , hit 2 bad winners from the lays which knocked us a bit, made a late rally and didnt do too much damage in the end, back for more and back to normal tmrw...keep smiling everyone!!
Lost £1430-00 today.

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