Thursday, 18 December 2014

Thursday Best Bets...

Hi All ,
           Not a lot been happening this week nut it is Thursday which means we are another day nearer the weekend ;-) , i thought as im here with a few minutes of spare time on my hand i would post up what i consider to be the days best bets...if any....EW's or Win....and you can compare these against your own selections for thought...

SOUTHWELL >

1. Danseur Noble would be my EW selection here as Tates runners are often over priced and under bet yet he gets some nice sorts but is it worth a bet....only if i was at the track...otherwise for the " Pro " punter this race offers little. - 1st @ 4.74

2. Pat Mustard is the obvious choice in this very weak Claimer but is again a No Bet for me.- Unplaced ( Although this was a good win for me as it was a PPL race and both ran unplaced at 1.47 & 1.63 )

3. Mini Skirt and Laika will have this between themselves as the remainder look very poor and a dutch is a possibility but at 1.23 offers little to get me enthused however it does look nailed on and i may well end up getting involved. - These were predictably 1st n 2nd ;-).

4. Generous Dream is the only one that arrives here with any real semblance of form and its last run was over this CD and was only beaten a Head so the current 4.90 looks a very strong EW bet and i have to get involved with this W/P %...traded down to 2.26 but was never going to be winning this...another poor showing..;(..c'mon lets have another winner please..

5. Red Primo has only had 3 runs on the fibresand and has won all three with other runs elsewhere a great deal poorer so this surface must bring out the best in him and at 15.0 looks an outstanding EW bet in a race which in earnest requires a Magic Pin and this is as good a bet as you will find here as does appeal to me for the use of in Acca'a etc...Did nothing im afraid but my Friend Alan Winter nailed the winner @ 10.0 so it was good for the group ;-)..WD Alan.

6. Incomparable has been raised in the weights for winning over CD recently but is still well within its winning range and is good for another couple of pounds and with the claimer negating some this has to be worth as punt to follow up in a closely knit sprint and the current 11.0 looks very appealing for EW bets. - Another Fail although another group friend and compatriot E.R.I.C got the 2nd @ 22.60 which was a decent bet and a good effort.

7. Jacobs Son looks the likeliest winner in an unappealing finale. - 2nd @ 3.75 but comfortably beaten.

Best Bets : EW Trixie / Patent etc on 4,5 & 6 with more speculative punts arising on the Dutch on 3 and a double on Pats Mustard and Jacobs Son.

TOWCESTER >

1. Dont like the Alan King Fav in this as its all ifs n buts but the 3.55 is too high to lay anything in the 2's and i will  jump in with a lay however the bet here for me is a speculative but well thought out Fap Dutch on Wish in a Well and Too Much Too Soon who are both in their 20's and both have it in them to get involved in this for contrasting reasons in a race with little strength in depth. - The Alan King Fav was indeed beaten at 2.98 however to offset that win my fap dutch failed lol as the best i could get was..wait for it....yes you guessed it..4th...haha

2. Mudita Moment in a poor but tight contest.- Well beaten in a trite and contrional race won for the 2nd time today by the rank outsider...

3. Kincora Fort was beaten lto by a smart novice and the 3rd who was a further 6L back bloted up recently suggesting this form is smart and considering the winner is now rated 120 this has a good few pounds clear of its rivals and i will be very surprised ( and disappointed for EPDS Racing ) if this cannot win here..NAP. > Very Very disappointing effort as it struggled to even place after travelling well and trading for most at 1.41 it then just emptied...poor showing and disappointing for Tracey at EPDS.

4. Royaume Bleu and Somerby both at around 15/1 look the most likely to give their running and a FAP Dutch looks a very good bet here and i will be getting involved in this as it looks strong in a race which hosts so many disappointing types...this could be a good earner. > in fact this was a very nice loss lol as both ran miserably...;((

5. Comical Red EW in a poor race with poor runners. > Faller

6. Vinnies Little Lamb & Wicklewood looks an outstanding FAP DUTCH with both having the potential to be placed or better. > YAY as Wicklewood WINS @ 10.40 ;-))

7. Presenting Lisa looks a strong bet in the finale as this former PTP Winner looks to hold all the aces, loves the ground , loves the trip is by Presenting so will be bred for the job at hand and is trained by the in form A King whop can do little wrong at the minute..NB bet. - 1st @ 2.02

Best Bets : Win Singles and Double on Kincora Fort / Presenting Lisa and some EW Doubles n Trebles on races 1,4 and 6.

EXETER >

1. Nitrogen is a very interesting runner as big things were expected until it got injured and has had a subsequent almost 3 year lay off but its been backed iin from 5.70 into 2.56 suggesting the cat has been let out of the bag and its obviously due a big run however it will have to run in the low 120's to beat Winter Walk for me Nitrogen is a Lay at 2.60 ( ish ) but its really just a race to watch....Nitrogen can only manage 2nd so the Lay was good but in truth it actually ran quite well and i feel this may be worth following as it only weakened from the last and couldnt maintain its charge to the line as Brandon Hill kept on.

2. Shammick Boy looks a good EW bet at 7.0 now running in this race ( 5th last year ) 13lb lower than his last effort and arrives in decent enough form. - BooM 1st @ 5.03 ( Early price looking good )

And thats it as i have now run out of time...Have a good day all ( results to follow each post ) .

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