Monday, 9 January 2012

Evening/Night/Morning All....

Cant really sleep so ive trawling thru some cards and data and more boring shizzle drizzle , ive decided for tmrw i will have three races , all will be Silver rated or Gold and i will have 3 bets on these as i write i still havent decided what i will do but will know by the time i have finished....
Race 1

Wolverhampton 14:25 
Bet At Blue Square Apprentice Handicap
£2500.00 added, 4yo plus, 7f 32y, Class 6

..The horse in question is LASTKINGOFSCOTLAND , a horse that has had a busy year ( last calender ) and is a trier is running in this apprentice race with arguably the best rider , is running over his best trip and wasnt beaten far last time out , the make up of this race and the durge in opposition lead me to believe that this could and should see him back in the winners enclosure , he has yet to win here but has had 3 runs and come 3rd each time and in higher grade/better quality races i think this is a gift of an EW bet , will be very surprised if this doesnt place , imo KT will steer this home but he has to utilise the horses stamina as it likes to run on...1st @ 5.30 / 2.05

RACE 2

Wolverhampton 15:55 
Sponsor A Race By Calling 01902 390000 Handicap
£2500.00 added, 4yo plus, 1m 4f 50y, Class 6

..A race that interests me greatly even tho like the other for today they are outside of my maidens only remit ( my niche ) , the horse i will be backing here is NEAR GERMANY , an old stager yes but one in which a lot of ability is prevalent and not that many miles on the clock , last time out it ran over hurdles opened up at 14/1 was backed very heavily into 6/1( hasnt had a run for three years!! ) suggesting they expected a win that day and was 1 length clear in front when it fell at the last !! , so i think that maybe today they could be on a small recovery mission ( no hurdles to jump ) in a modest contest against minor opposition and with minor prize money on offer this will be a stable gamble im sure , this opened up at 7.2 ( £2 backed ) and is now trading at a decent looking 20.0 this looks very attractive and a trade option here also looks good...NON-RUNNER

RACE 3

Wolverhampton 16:55 
Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Maiden Stakes
£3500.00 added, 3yo only, 7f 32y, Class 5
Winner £2264 2nd £674 3rd £337 4th £168

...There are a couple of potential improvers in this race by the name of Henry Clay and Angel Gabrial , now these two could both improve and run good races and even possibly win however Henry Clay has been weakening in his races come the final 150yrds and looks vulnerable to anything with a finishing kick and Angel Gabrial ran well in its maiden but then only about 3 lengths covered the first 9 home and the form has not really been franked since so i will hold a waiting brief on that one, the one i am interested in here is DUBWAWI CHEETAH from the Fahey yard , Sheik Mohammed Bin Maktoum doesnt send many to the northern trainers and the ones he does warrant some respect , on breeding it looks like it could be a fair sort , i am guessing to a degree here as i would prefer to see it in the paddock before making my brief but i will stick my neck out and say this could run a good race and will have enough about her ( bay filly )  to give the main 2 something to worry about and at its current 6.8 looks the value call for ew, place or trading.- RESULT : Where do we start?? , FIRSTLY IT GOT BACKED INTO 4.0 pre off then hit a low of 2.78 , then drifted and then ran on , with henry clay winning and just outstaying mine into 2nd this will win a race or two thats for sure, oh so nearly today but cant complain, 2nd will do.- 2nd @ 11/4

BET CONCLUSION: Considering their prices and that my new year roll is quite in profit , i will be having A £25 EW PATENT ( £350 ) and a £150 LAY on GEORGEBERNARDSHAW ( UNPLACED ) in the 14:55 Wolverhampton ( to offset some of the cost ) , i will also be leaving in 3 x £100 in running lays @ 1.08.

I will be around most of the day should there be any updates, if anyone wants to discuss any races feel free to email me , have a great breakfast , ttfn ( G lets hope the waters dont break just yet ;-@@ )...

UPDATE:Potential returns ( est ) , if DUBWAI CHEETAH gets a place my main bet returns..

Calculated Amounts


Unit Stake
25.00
Number of Bets
14
Total Stake
350.00

Total Return
787.75
Total Profit
437.75

..and if it wins...


Unit Stake
25.00
Number of Bets
14
Total Stake
350.00

Total Return
2,866.75
Total Profit
2,516.75

....



So fingers crossed, but as all my lays have been great today is already fully expensed and nicely in profit....im starting to feel the lurve ;-)

BOOOOOOM ! ;-)

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