Saturday, 18 June 2011

Ascot

Another typically tough day , however i do have a couple running for me today, and i do have my NAP at this meeting , so am expecting a bumper pay day today!!...

Ascot 14:30 
A 7f race for two year olds , tough and you have to remember that the going could deteriorate dramatically through the day and this would have an adverse effect on all ratings...
Two i like here are Fort Bastion and FALLS OF LORA ( 6.0 and 7.4 ) , the Fav @ 2.96 here has to be taken on , in this ground , over an untried surface , in this field , ..its an insta Lay for me.
Both Forts of bastion and FoL have some decent form, will like the trip and ground and have a lot going for them today, the only downside is that FoL has the inept Akmed onboard..sigh , that makes him about seven stone worse off at the weights ;-(.
Im hoping the horse wont need riding and will just carry him home, if not FoB will...will be Dutching these 2 Win and Place and LAYING MAYBE.
What a wank start...FFS, Maybe is Class and i just didnt think it would be that good , won very well holding off Fort Bastion , FoL was awful , run no race.

Ascot 2.30
 1st15 Maybe (IRE)5-2 F
 2nd3 Fort Bastion (IRE)9-2
 3rd16 Self Centred18-1


Ascot 15:05 
The Hardwicke stakes , a nice race for me as i have had the winner here for last 3 years and made a mint last year on Harbinger ;-).
This year is slightly harder although i will say from the outset i will be laying the odds on o'brien fav here, thats my first bet , i will be having a little nibble on the Barzalona Ridden PASSION FOR GOLD 14.5 EW , this offers endless amounts more profitability , its place only price of 3.2 is a much better bet than looking  at this fav....yes i know its red hot...blah blah , but this needs to be taken on , never  raced over the trip with a few decent stayers against it , the bookies are thinking fame and glory and running for cover.....Lay it @ 1.71 as the liabilities  are so so low , and if your scared trade out , as it will 100% trade higher either before the race or in running....
Oh Dear...The ryan moore bandwagon rolls on....Another losing bet , the ew bet was dire and the winner ( the fav ) won well...i think the ground has caused all this mass improvement...

Ascot 3.05
 1st2 Await The Dawn (USA)4-6 F
 2nd6 Harris Tweed12-1
 3rd5 Drunken Sailor (IRE)9-1


Ascot 15:45 
A really tough sprint and a few meet up from a few days ago,and the field is riddled with so many form lines that it is almost impossible to fathom as sprinters by and large are a very untrustworthy sort....
For me , and this is personal opinion only , for which this blog is based around , i like Elzaam and HOORAY , both will like any cut in the ground , both have a touch of class, both can run over 6f/7f and they both have bags of pace and can quicken , so thats me sorted.
The springer here could be Bewitched , likes the course , likes the ground and has some rock solid form...i may have  a saver on this.
Bet will probably be a EW dutch on these two ( maybe 3 , will check the margins ).
Will be Laying Star Witness.
Lay was good, bets were shit....The ascot card is suffering,,Hoof it better win!!

Ascot 16:25 
NAP TIME!!, get out the spare change, empty yer piggy bank and tip the sofa , to back WIN or EW ( EW for me ) HOOF IT!!..7.8..Potentially a group horse running in a hcap....Kieron loves this horse and so do i , LUMP ON!!.
what a load of cock....Ascot please fuck off now, your ruining my week......

Ascot 17:00
Now its a very tough to solve 1m4f Hcap and a mighty competitive renewal.
Modun looks very progressive and could easily be different gravy to these , however @ 7/2 offers no value in this race ( although the betfair 5.2 is starting to look nice...hmm.. ).
Better things are expected from Taqleed and Blissful Moment will reverse recent form with rock a doodle do however i do like SHARAYEEN , but its jockey...zomg...Big negative!!
A riddle for sure , and you get EVEN money backing them 4 to win , which i think is an outstanding bet at current prices , so thats what im going to do.
And there is no easing up of the pain at Ascot....

Ascot 17:35 
A typically tough finale and all im gonna say is NOT TILL MONDAY ( EW ) at 17.5 you will get a decent run for your money , has fallon on and has won his last two starts over 2m....
Obv unplaced, Ascot worst card in months, lays were generally ok , but back bets were shit....Ascot today = LOSS
Its been a brilliant meeting with some great racing , have a great day all ....now off for some lunch and to de ice freezer before it all kicks off ;-)...

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