Friday, 17 June 2011

Royal Ascot Day 4

At First Glance at the beginning of the week today was for me the most promising day as i felt i had an angle into every race bar the last ( where my lucky pin gets called into action ) , but doing as well as yesterday or even bettering it will take a herculean effort and tbh i dont expect it to happen .
The sort of performance i like is a profit from every  race either thru arbs , trades etc , getting my lay in every race right and then popping up with 1/2 winners to boost the day...Yesterday was a freak Day , was hitting the target with everything and to some degree i just didnt take advantage quite enough imo , but once i had made my money for the day i eased right up and chilled , but hey ho...
So moving forward to today ..

Ascot 14:30 
A Nice start , a 6f 2yr old Race where the whole field can be classed as potential improver's, most have some very smart form already and winning form at that.
The two quickest ( proven ) here are TEOLANE and SAJWAH , by a good bit not far behind is luv u too , the problem here is luv u too and Teolane both like to make the running and Sajwah likes to race up with the pace...will they cut each others throats?..Hmm...
The others that have run over this trip will have to step up greatly on what they have shown so the challenge or winner may well come from one of the 5f speedsters.
For me tho its between Teolane and Sajwah , not a lot to split these , Teolane may well run like her arse is on fire and try to make all , however Sajwah looks like a real class act in the making , and very Marginally i am siding with her...but may well end up dutching the pair if there is sufficient Value...
Introbil is the lay for me , a lot of K Ryans horses will get punted of the boards as he is red hot at mo , however this is not imo one of his superstars in waiting and its winning time has it a few lengths to find with the leading two.
Evens on the race , Lay was good , Back bets were poor, sajwah got beat fair and Teolane missed break and ran no sort of race.

Ascot 2.30
 1st10 Samitar16-1
 2nd4 Inetrobil (IRE)17-2
 3rd3 Illaunglass (IRE)10-1
Ascot 15:05
The King George V Stakes over 1m4f for 3yr olds ( too shit for derby , and too slow for a guineas, and trainer feels this is better value than sending em to france )!.
And Personally ( afetr all its my blog and im allowed to go personal ) this is all about WORLD DOMINATION , this monster of a horse utterly destroyed some decent types in its maiden win , and i mean destroyed!!.However still looking a bit green next ( and last ) time out it could only manage a average 4th behind Carlton House ( 2nd in DERBY ) , Seville ( well thought of o'brien in mate ) and Pisco Sour ( Won a nice race yesterday ) , so the form isnt that bad , on its first run over 11f it was pulling a train over the line then over 10f lto it seemed to weaken at the business end when the pace got tasty?!, so i am undecided , my heart desperately wants World Domination to win , however my head has doubts.
That said @ 8.6 i have to have a go i simply cannot not have a go at that price.
What else? , Genius Beast may well be the best of the rest and Nathaniel is not far behind.
And @ 4 , 9 and 11 there is def value for a decent dutch.
Cannot have Mijharr so that is the Lay for me.
Glens Diamond should run a good race and i wouldnt put anyone off backing this EW.
But for me ( no stats or data , just love ) its all about WORLD DOMINATION...
But i will be tying my bets together for a profit...( hopefully )
*Ended up Dutching World domination , Genuis Beast and NATHANIEL and LAYED MIHJARR to cover every bet.

Ascot 3.05
 1st10 Nathaniel (IRE)11-4 F
 2nd3 Fiorente (IRE)9-1
 3rd1 Alexander Pope (IRE)12-1

Ascot 15:45
Now its time for the Coronation Stakes ,3yr old only over a mile....Failed the Guineas test, please sign up...
I think TOGETHER is nailed on for a place , that is a corker of a bet , will it win , maybe , maybe not , i wthink probs not , i see it coming third after going short in running and looking like the winner then failing..
so what will win..
1.Joviality - All about potential with this
2.Maqqasid - Perpetually Frustrating
3.Memory - Can def win IF returning to its 2yr old form or proving that its fto run was a blip.
4.Love Me - Best Outsider by a long way.
A few of the others have squeaks and shouts but not enough for me to be interested....mind you i liked Julienas earlier this week and missed that due to ( fucking laziness imo ) not giving it the required thought after initially marking it up.
Not an entirely straight forward race and its not easy to nail a particular horse down as there are so many questions to answer , for me the 2.62 in the place market on TOGETHER may well look massive after the race and thats  the bet for me.
Lay in this race is Thyskens Theory.
Won on my lay ...But lost it all on the back bet, very dissapointed with the ride on Together , too much to do , shud have been up with the pace...running on at one pace for 4th....Fuck, Evens on Race.

 Ascot 3.45
 1st6 Immortal Verse (IRE)8-1
 2nd11 Nova Hawk9-2
 3rd1 Barefoot Lady (IRE)16-1

Ascot 16:25 
A nice lil' Hcap to get stuck into and this is full of underachievers ( like much of the card ) and exposed / spent forces , for me THE bet here is to DUTCH W/P both Green Destiny and SHAMALI....@ 2.96 and 16.5 , i really like these two here and with the gap in  prices it allows a lot of room to manoeuvre, both trained by the in form W Haggis , Son in law on GD and The Champion ( R Moore ) on Shamali so Jockeys are fine.
Circumvent is a Lay for me in the Place market.
Circumvent was unplaced which was nice , however neither of my selections ran any sort of race...another evens blank race...

Ascot 4.25
 1st16 Beachfire12-1
 2nd11 Lost In The Moment (IRE)8-1
 3rd14 Waydownsouth (IRE)20-1

Ascot 17:00 
A Tricky 2 miler now , i like Eternal Heart , Halifax and Hawaafez , with no real distance form to look at , you have to get a guide from pedigree and previous runnings , Eternal Heart was initially entered into yesterdays King George V stakes but opted for this in the end , i think thats a kinda tip in itself
Hawaafez ( Nayef Filly )  has bundles of Stamina in her pedigree and Halifax looked every bit a class stayer last time out , so for different reasons i fancy all 3, will look at dutching as cant really split at the moment, however if pushed i would say EH is just slightly ahead, but its so minimal that i will wait nearer the time and decide on what  trades to make.Although they are 8.2 , 8.8 and 34.0 so i may back a little now and see if i can get some movement for a pre race green up.
Regent Street is the LAY for me here.
Regent Street is unplaced ..Yippee..However 5 mins before the off i changed my mind ( fatal mistake ) and MAX layed Namibian...which then won @ took quite a loss on that one..Gutted!

Ascot 17:35 
To finish the day off we have the impossible to solve Buckingham Palace  Stakes , a 25 runner 7f Hcap!!
Get the blindfold on and the Pin out!!.
I like OUR JONATHON here ew obv , and Docofthebay , but its a ridic hard race so small stakes only.

Enjoy ur day, GL and ;-) smile .


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