Thurs and Friday - Royal Ascot

Afternoon Folks..

Well its been a spectacular as yesterday i lumped on just one horse ORDER  of ST GEORGE and today i lumped solely on QUIET REFLECTION and both Won @ 10/11 & 7/4 so thats a nice double boom for me ;-))...so in total ive had 4 Naps this week with 3 Winners @ 13/2 , 10/11 and 7/4 and this is ably backed up bu no less than 11 other winners over the 3 days..or 2 and a half if being literal so i say thats good going.

Order of St George was a gimme at the odds and Karl Burke wouldn't hear of defeat for Quiet Reflection so two obvious max bets  just a shame Shinny was a big disappointment.

Rest of today well i quite fancy a run from Girling at decent odds in the finale but its all about tmrw now....

EXOSPHERE looks an outstanding prospect and will be in the money for sure , Sir Issac Newton will be a big double figured price now and i simply have to spunk some loose change away EW on that.

Would be nice to See FRANKKUS run a decent race as i rate him better than his half brother and at around 8/1 running for MJ looks to have more than a sporting chance.

I will be on THE TIN MAN EW as always with all bets in combs in available as this has an outstanding chance win and place chance and i very much doubt if this will not run into the money however Twilight Son should be had as a saver as this is another very useful sprinter.

I think Spring Loaded has earned his place at the table and at 20/1 looks to be another real sporting ew punt..tricky race but worth a small invest.

Sandro Bottecelli in the Finale should give punters some fun for the money...

The Saturday NAP is an EW on the very exciting EXOSPHERE.

Good Luck and happy punting.

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Frankkus ran 5th after weakening in the final 1f beaten less than 3L and only 1L behind his brother so a fair run with more to come and still on my tracker list.

BOOOOM as finally Sir Issac Newton lives upto some of the hype by Winning the Wolfreton at an excellent 7/1 !!!...outstanding price and a very tidy win.

Not a Boom...as all the good work is undone on Exsophere who was unplaced at a very tiny 6/4 a price that saved me money as i put less on because of the price..sounds crazy ight..but thats value betting...none the less it was a very disappointing run.

The Tin Man ran a shocker to come down the field however Henry Candy's charge won so i made some profit.

Ascot Royal Day 2 - Galileo is Gold -

Day 2 of the Royal meeting and its all down here from now as the win from Galileo's Gold was magnificent and set me up perfectly for a no lose situation this week with a decent profit locked in.

RACE 1
The JERSEY STAKES , a race for those that cant really stay a decent mile and those not really upto Class 1.

I think Thikriyaat could be amazing as it has a profile of greatness however im concerned its not been out yet so i will be staying with old friend GIFTED MASTER as i look to nail in some EW profits.
This is a decent horse a very decent sprinter but a horse versatile enough to win over 1m last season so the step from 6 to 7 will be no problem and i think 8/1 or better is a bet worth having.

RACE 2
The QUEEN MARY and this is a total crapfest however i think the best bet for me here is to Marry Medley.

That said i do think the Wesley Ward runner LADY AUREALIA could be rather special based on a lto dirt win when she cantered in by 8L.

RACE 3
The Duke of Cambridge Stakes is next and its a 1m race for fillies.
USHERETTE is good enough for me , will love the going the trip and is a proven graded runner but is a shitty price at around 2/1....but if i can squiggle some 5/2 i will get involved.

RACE 4
PRINCE OF WALES STAKES

A SHIN HIKARI will simply piss this on all known form and any amount of figures and data ruined a solid field in the soft in France lto i really like this raider...NAP and wallet emptying time.

RACE 5
The Royal Cunt Hup

A race for the needy and greedy....But if i had to have a go it would be on a big spread dutch on the Boys in Blue as there runners look different class to these work a day handicappers and class should prevail.

RACE 6
The Sandringham as a finale....what a painful day.....a PERSUASIVE gets my EW vote here in a tough race at the end of a tough day.

Best Bet is just to smash A SON HIKARI , fuck the rest off and goto the pub .....

Good Luck and enjoy.

Royal Fucking Ascot

Howdy Folks..

Its another great week in equine calendar as we move into June and its Royal Ascot a incredible week of blue blood investment on show and hopefully some classic races although im becoming less and less a flat aficionado as my love for NH grows however the odd week like this does spike my interest.

All this in / out Brexit/Remain bollocks has me bubbling for a mammoth Friday rant so watch this space!!!...


Back to racing...

Its Ascot a course for fucking halfwits and self satisfying self fellating cock ends and the odd nice hat.
A course that i fucking despise and a course much like newbury where form is not worth a brown finger and the week is to be taken in the spirit of horse racing and the wallet bulging bookies.

However its the Royal course and its a week to get all the fucking toff racing out of the way in one fell swoop..so enjoy Quentin et al coz you can fuck off after this.

So..who really wants to follow a very pious me at a course i hate in conditions that make it harder than normal in a year where little inspires...only the foolhardy and my friends thats who...so fingers crossed i can nail a winner or two for my cock sucking pals who have gone down on a 4 day jolly ( the wankers ).

RACE 1 
The Queen Anne Stakes over 1m for 4yo+ and it looks a decent field this to be honest.
Kodi Bear should be a lot better now with a spin under his belt and that is also the same for Amazing Maria both of whom i like as EW longshots but my money will very loyally be staying on BELARDO who i have already gained a very sweet profit on this term and i think there is more to come but this wont be easy by any means and he will need to be on top of his game as there are others who want to turn tables and break historic data records like Esoterique and Mondaliste plus the hidden danger of Tepin.

****Ran 2nd @ 9/2 and hit 1.50 in the run but a nice EW start for me as i got on at 13/2.

RACE 2
The Coventry and a ball acher with 19 runners and for pre pubescent 2yos what a fucking nightmare for punters.
Aiden V Joseph , Wesley V the Weather , Last time out winners V the field......

This is a tricky race however MOKARRIS has for me some very smart times and if coming on for that last run it will take a very good horse to beat him because looking through the big field you notice an awful lot of dead wood with form figures that flatter more than impress.Carvaggio @ 2/1 is a MAX LAY.

****Mokarris did absolutely fuck all here racing up the middle with little cover and sulked whilst the Fav was very very impressive and looks a seriously good horse but still a win as i traded my Lay off when it hit 5.4...;)

RACE 3
Next up its the King Stand a 5f super sprint but with 21 runners this is truly insane.
MECCAS ANGEL is a true super star in the sprinting ranks and for me is the winner but im not really interested in the 15/8 on offer so will look elsewhere for a sporting punt.
MUTHMIR is a horse ive always liked however it has always really let me down and owes me some payback.
Muthmir who has Won the Skybet Dash and a King George Stakes whilst also coming third in this very race among other lesser wins including a decent place in France and if Moofy is in the groove he will will have every chance of running into a place or better and at 16/1 is jsut the right side of Value and for me is a very decent EW bet.

****Muthmir was a Non Runner so nothing here for me either way although Meccas Angel ran a shocker.

RACE 4
Now we have for me one of my favourite races not only of the week but the whole year...im simply love the ST JAMES PALACE STAKES over 1m and always gets a good winner...from the days of Warning and Zilzal to Frankel have i always loved this.

Awtaad looks nice and got the run of the race at the Curragh and wont be so lucky here, The Ghurka looks very useful however the French form is weak so that leaves only one other option ( as this is a 3 runner race for me ) and that is GALILEO GOLD ( NAP ) and at 13/2 is one of the best EW bets you will ever come across as i believe this is nailed on for a place and has every chance of winning....13/2 for a UK Guineas winner that was caught in a pocket in the Irish version and generally suffered a poor ride and this class animal will show his colours here today and the stronger the pace the better for a horse considered as a possible Derby Fav....13/2....Lump the fuck on EW.


*****GALILEO GOLD 1st - Ran a cracker with a super ride from Frankie...left the other two Guineas winners in his wake although i think wit a better ride The Ghurka will be closer next time..fucking Moore is useless...

RACE 5
This Ascot Stakes race over 2m4f leaves me a bit cold to be honest and im struggling to gather any fucking interest whatsoever.
I think Silver Concorde will have a good Go whilst Willie Mullins will be keen to add to his flat tally not forgetting Gallizi however im sticking with me old chum Henderson and his NO HERETIC who last seen Won the Chester Cup and will be fully primed for a tilt here and will be fitter for that run and the 14/1 looks a decent enough price.

**Held up by Spencer for a late run but weakened before being produced...unplaced

RACE 6
The Finale is the Windsor Castle Stakes for 2 yos over 5f and has been a race that ive never done more than fuck all in.
TOMILLY from the yet to really fire stable of Hannon is the one for me at 10/1 in a race that only your gut instinct can be followed.

****This stable is in disarray and Hannon Snr will be coming out of retirement if this continues as the older dominate force of Hannon is now quickly turning into a stable of mediocrity and disappointment.


Best bets for me is £50 EW doubles and trebles on all selections through the card although im tempted to just cut the risk and have an EW Heinz or Canadian....GALILEO GOLD is an outstanding bet and is truly worth emptying every penny out of every account and sticking it on in the place market.....


Good Luck fuckers...enjoy a cracking Day 1.

Saturday Double

Easton Angel & Cauis Marcius

£100 EW double.

Result : 
1st @ 2/1 & 2nd @ 4/9 ( wdr4 ) = £33.60 Loss

Some Sunday Lunch Money...

Well...

Yesterday was overall a flat day for me as i looked to take on the obvious and expected and the obvious and expected performed.

Performance of the day goes to the incredible POSTPONED a horse that has improved so much i firmly believe this is THE best 1m4f horse currently in Europe and a win at RA will be followed by a route to the Arc and if in the same heart will win no question ( been clipped from 8/1 to 4/1 ).

And as much as i " thought " this would win i still went against it with Simple Verse who needs a much stiffer test of stamina and only woke up in the final 1f and i think another tilt at the St Leger is on the cards and a wee ante post may be in order.

The rest of my day went pretty much the same with US Army Ranger getting a very poor ride from Moore and denied a Derby victory whilst Catargo did absolutely nothing.

Over at Donny the Godolphin charge Dubai Destiny ran a super race as looks as good as i was led to think.Run into 3rd or rather was hampered, checked and squeezed out of 2nd and any chance of winning by the winner and eventual 2nd , this was sat on the inside swinging away and tanking until the 2f pole then they all made a move and this just cruised up the inside and then at the 1f pole really got to work like a proper horse, the winner ran a solid race and got the jump but was tiring and this girl was full of running at the end at 7f or even 1m will not be an issue at the back of this race the winner swerved into the rail checking my runner whilst the third switched two wide to pip it for 2nd as Dubai nearly lost itss legs such was the commotion....THIS IS A NAILED ON FUTURE WINNER!!!.

Back to area of expertise the NH i ventured into a couple of small bets on the seasons first Juvenile Hurdle and i had a £50 win on the Easterby charge that failed to stay ( in fact it was classed as a non finisher ) and i also had £25 EW on Rajapour as this as explained was the only stout staying bred type in the race and this ran a cracker and almost capitalizing on a last fence blunder by the eventual winner going down by a short head at 31.58 ( 25/1 ) and 6.2 a place so did ok there but if this can learn to settle and jump cleaner then it could have a bright future as it was full of gusto at the end and there was  16L gap back to the third suggesting these two are decent enough to nab a few summer wins with a view to a promising 2017 winter campaign.

So today , well we have two decent bets in RAINY CITY and MENORAH.

Rainy City has taken an age to sort his shit out but looks a very decent type now and i expect this to be capable of rattling off four or five wins through the summer then take a break and come back in November whilst Menorah is a perpetual Group 1 or graded runner that although advancing in years is still a very decent performer and this is a sizeable drop in class and lets not forget lto he beat the very useful Valsuer Lido which is a ton better than any other form available and i will be very surprised if this doesnt piss in.

RESULTS:

RAINY CITY - 1st @ 4/11

MENORAH - 2nd @ 11/10 ( Gave winner 2 stone )

1 X £100 DOUBLE = Loss....Booo...always tomorrow...

Derby Day

Good Morning World

Well here it is the creme de le creme ( or so they say ) of the flat calendar, the Investec DERBY a race  over 1m4f for the boys ( Minding won a rather turgid looking Oaks yesterday for the girls ) and we have last years winning trainer in with another decent shout and the usual shotgun approach from AoB in what looks like a very open Derby.

I will also cast my eye over the remainder of the card and throw in a couple of extra NH races which appeal ( Namely my specialty Novice Hurdles ).

So lets take a peek at today's action.

EPSOM Derby Day.

14:00
We start off with a decent looking stakes race over 1m2f with a decent 15 runners ( so often never quite the 16 you need for 4 places in traditionally betting ).

CARTAGO looks a decent EW punt in the first a horse that is still improving and learning and comes in here in good heart having been touched off by a derby hopeful lto after being squeezed for room when wanting to make a run, there are a hatful of others to consider here including the 300k Stoute runner Poets Word ,Dark Devil and the improving Banish however at 5/1 i feel that Cartago is an EW bet to nothing and is one i would def have in some EW accas.

RESULT:
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14:35
Next up is the Princess Elizabeth Stakes over 1m for the Fillies and this C1 has attracted a disappointing field.
Just the 7 runners and i see no point in going against SAYANNA ( NAP ).
With the highest official rating on show at 103 Sayanna can afford to even run a little below par and still win as i rate this myself at 116 with further scope for improvement as we got no where near the bottom of this one yet although its a slight concern that a filly with such obvious ability has so far swerved all nationality of Guineas and is running a short time before Royal Ascot...bad planning or just a bully? either way it cannot be over looked today.

RESULT:
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15:10
The CORONATION CUP next over 1m4f for all ages and in truth this could be a bit of a humdinger as we have at least 3 very top class sorts involved propped up with two others who could if things drop right get involved.

lets look at the three main protagonists and from where imo the winner will be found.

FOUND - A very classy Galileo filly who will be up there and will def be involved in the finish however since winning a G3 over an extended trip she has since shown on 4 separate occasions that at 1m2f she lacks any sort of finish she kinda stays on remorselessly rather than having any real kick and is very vulnerable to anything with any sort of finish or a proper stayer and for me i think 3rd is the best this will manage.

POSTPONED - This is without doubt the most improved in the race and in all honesty the likeliest winner having rattled up a tremendous four timer including a lto destruction of Duramente in the Sheema Classic which added further Gloss to an exhilarating performance when winning the King George from Eagle Top and Romsdal however it must also be noted that both Eagle Top and Romsdal are perpetual under performers who routinely sulk in a race and as good as that form looks to be its a glorified hcap which was further illustrated when winning the Prix Foy beating the likes of Spiritjim who has done fuck all since so in a decent race with a fav that for me is still just a high quality handicapper that is priced at 10/11 i will look elsewhere and in truth for the layers i think this is a knocking laybet at odds on or even money as you have some great horses running for you.

SIMPLE VERSE - This for me looks to be the winner or at least imo is the best bet at 5/1 as a place looks nailed on and an EW double with Cartago looks very tasty indeed ( Ev/Ev the place..not to be sniffed at ).
A proper stayer that will not be wanting should the Varian pacemaker make this a proper gallop a filly that has shown bags of class when winning the champion stakes and has run 2nd in various top quality events including the likes of the St Leger , quite Simply i think that Even money FAP for this is a million times better bet than Even money on Postponed to win.

RESULT:
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15:45
The DASH is exactly what it states on the tin a flying 5f and with 18 runners this is deliciously wide open.
With so many in the race having bits of form against each other and most of them taking it in turns to win i think a chance should be taken on MALJAA to prove he has that bit of class that stands him apart and at a top priced 9/1 offers extremely good value.
I didnt like his fto run this season but you can always slightly forgive a seasonal effort and if fitter add more in tuned has every chance on form but he will have to improve and step up now on ground he should relish.

RESULT :
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16:30
The DERBY.

A race that over the years has produced some heroic winners and some true world beaters in the shape of Sea the Stars , Galileo and Reference Point but has generally produced not much more than one season wonders as they want the coin from breeding and a few duds in between like High Rise, Oath and Pour Moi.

This years renewal looks wide open in truth with any number having a genuine chance as this years crop a true superstar which isnt to say that we wont get one but we have nothing that has really shone in a stable for all moderation and a season full of whatevers.

Cloth of Stars has been well backed this morning however having only beaten a combined 9 runners in its last 2 races and with the form on offer dubious at best i am not interested in this tied 3rd favourite.
Us Army Ranger won well enough at Chester in the trial but was pretty much flat out and im not sure he will have such an easy passage through in this and will get outstayed but not outbattled if this si still fighting at the 1f pole it will take a good un to beat him but i also feel this race will be won before that so a place at best.

WINGS OF DESIRE does tick all the boxes for me.Proven stayer who will like the conditions and another who won his trial in taking fashion over a trip ( 1m2f ) that many thought actually too short so to win going away was impressive and of course Gosden knows how to ready a winner for this having trained last years victor.
Currently top priced 6/1 ( Stan James ) this looks another top drawer EW Bet and looks ready made to complete a nice EW Trixie for me.

Algometer and Across the Stars at 33/1 and 40/1 look very decent long shots for those wanting some ew fun and with SKYBET paying out on the top 5 at 1/5 odds this is well worth a risk taking on as either could easily run into a place past beaten and tired horses to sneek some place money and this is a bet i would advise.

RESULT :
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17:15
To round off the Place Pot card we have a crazy looking 17 runner hcap over 1m4f.....what a fucking nightmare!!!!!.
Polarisation is very interesting now with Godolphin ( formerly with M Johnston ) and this is one of those best watched as it could win by 10L or blow up 2f out.

Whinging Willie will i am sure be thereabouts along with Senrima and Green Light however im going to have both DURETTO & BARWICK in my pp as i feel both have it in them to get involved with realistic chances of winning and failing that to get placed ( 3 in fact as i will include Polarisation in the pp ).

RESULT :
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Best Bet is an " All stakes returned " Win on the NAP and use the money to pay for a decent EW Trixie on Cartago, Simple Verse and Wings of Desire and include Maljaa in a EW 4 fold ( not bothered about the win as all placed returns a very decent sum ).
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ELSEWHERE.........

1355 Doncaster - DUBAI ELEGANCE -
I am reliably informed this is very serious filly and the yard are excited to see this run and Doyle is there to oversee its debut leaving Buick to mop up at Epsom and the 5/2 looks a very nice price to start.

1440 Hexham - Bobbys Babe & Rajpour

The first Juvenile of the year and its tricky....very tricky however 6f All the way maiden winner Bobbys Babe could easily have enough to fend these off in a poor looking race but its a leap of faith going from 6f to 2m...will he stay..fuck knows thats why ive also included 28/1 shot Rajaapour because its the only one with with known staying prowess in the  pedigree ( by Dalakhani )...in truth this really isnt a bettng race but it lets me know where i am regarding reviewing and lets me interpret my own thoughts.

1830 Curragh - SIR ISSAC NEWTON -
Beaten at long odds on lto this is another quirky bastard from AoB however with several big engagements planned in at RA this WILL have to this or quite simply retire from racing.

A million miles better on hyperbole and at times in racing has looked effortlessly classy but has failed to live upto the hype so its show up or fuck off time for SIN and the 13/8 looks almost too good to be true as i had it at 1/2!!!!!


And that concludes my thoughts for today...good luck and enjoy.