1st November

For this month im going to run a mini league on my selections , they will be judged at £10 EW  level stakes ( all lays to £20 ) to see which is performing the best , these will include the usual bet formats, obv the laybets are at a disadvantage as they lose big when a winner nips in an d only win at evens so i will have to hit some good streaks to make them competitive.

BACK  - + £26.70
VALUE - - £82
MULTI - - £69.60
MONEY - -£51.10
LAY - + £130
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Todays card will be at REDCAR.

12:40
BACK - SCRUPUL - Unplaced = lost £20
VALUE - CARDINAL WATERS - Unplaced = lost £20

MULTI - SHATTER - Unplaced = lost £20
MARKET MOVER - N/A -

LAYBET - STARBOARD - 1st @ 1.5 = Lost £10
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13:10

BACK - PERSONAL TOUCH - 1st @ 3.2  ( 1.1 ) = Won £23
VALUE - PETER ANDERS - 2nd @ 1.87 ( 1.1 ) = lost £19

MULTI - N/A -
MARKET MOVER - N/A -

LAYBET - BOND STYLE - Unplaced = WON £20
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13:40

BACK - KINGSWINSFORD - Unplaced = Lost £20
VALUE - ELSPETHS BOY - 1st @ 6.74 ( 1.96 ) = Won £57

MULTI - MASTER OF DANCE - 2nd @ 1.34 = Lost £16.60
MARKET MOVER - N/A -

LAYBET - FLYING PHOENIX - Unplaced = Won £20
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14:10

BACK - AD VALUE - 3rd @ 1.63 = Lost £13.70
VALUE - MISS MYSTERIOUS - Unplaced = lost £20

MULTI - ROSE OF SARRATT - 1st @ 5.22 ( 1.87 ) = Won £41.70
MARKET MOVER - N/A -

LAYBET - LABROC ( LOTD ) - unplaced = Won £20
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14:40

BACK - GREEN HOWARD - 1st @ 4.3 ( 1.7 ) = Won £40
VALUE - FENELLA FUDGE - Unplaced = Lost £20

MULTI - SABRATHA - Unplaced = Lost £20
MARKET MOVER - COMRADE BOND - 2nd @ 1.89 = Lost £11.10

LAYBET - MAVEN ( NB ) - Unplaced = Won £20
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15:10

BACK - TIGER WEBB ( NAP ) - 1st @ 5.8 ( 1.94 ) = Won £57.40
VALUE - SHABAK HOM - Unplaced = Lost £20

MULTI - YORKSTERS PRINCE - 2nd @ 1.53 = Lost £14.70
MARKET MOVER - N/A -

LAYBET - BOY THE BELL - Unplaced = Won £20
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15:40

BACK - MY MATE JAKE - Unplaced = Lost £20
VALUE - DEAN IARRACHT - Unplaced = Lost £20

MULTI - KODICIL - Unplaced = Lost £20
MARKET MOVER - MY MATE JAKE - Unplaced = Lost £20

LAYBET - THE GALLOPING SHOE - 3rd = Won £20
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16:10

BACK - WINNING DRAW - Unplaced = Lost £20
VALUE - MUCKY MOLLY - Unplaced = Lost £20

MULTI - GREENHEAD HIGH - Unplaced = Lost £20
MARKET MOVER - EL DECECY - Unplaced = Lost £20

LAYBET - INSOLENCEOFOFFICE - Unplaced = Won £20
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Have a great day all !.

Quick Pre Post..

Firstly i would like to congratulate myself on hitting 1st and 3rd in the Melbourne cup !!!!...( @ 8.62 & 12.19 ) , my first real foray into the world of globetrotting and i am very happy with th result, mathematically the fav had to be laid, that was a no brainer and a good bet it was , however the finish could not have been any closer!!, i actually thought at first it was a dead heat but Dunaden held on by a nose ( whisker more like ) with 50/1 uk shot red cadeaux running a fantastic race in 2nd...modun as expected didnt stay and was stone last..so a great morning all in all.

Quick note for AL 11 ,
Back bets - using my speed ratings these are the most logical and usually the fastest in form horses in their races , its not always about the speed but that is the over riding factor.

Value - these usually come 2nd in the ratings but will be one of two things , either so close to being a back bet they have to be in or are such good value that it would be folly to leave them out of the equation.

multi / extra - theses are selected if they fall within 3 points of the top two making it a close call and are usually a decent price , they dont often win but when they do its usually a nice price.

Market movers / money horse - these have no selection requirements , these are just horses that have had significant money punted into them thru the morning  , enough to move there price down by a certain amount that sets a trigger off , it can quite often pay to follow the money.

Morning All....

Hope everyone had a great weekend i certainly did , i know " team Phoenix " did with a level stakes profit of more than 80 points which was quite exceptional!.
The mighty Gooners won a brilliant game of poor defending against Chelsea on Sat which was a sporting highlight for me , but we have to ask...without RVP just how fucked would we be.....??? , scary times , if he gets injured who or where will the goals come from??.

The NEW investment packages all kick of today with 6 new fully invested members all putting in £2k to attain a guaranteed monthly payment of £600 each , thats around 1% g'teed per day on capital , no bank in the world can match or get near that and as all funds are protected its easy money for them , a nice little lift to their pensions or a mortgage payment whatever its for its a tax free £600 per month every month.

I am currently thinking about the designs for the new web site , it will be a fully interactive sports page with the blog attached , need ideas, i've hit a bit of a brick wall.....was hoping it would be done by now but looks like its gonna take a couple more months yet , but will wait till the ACHERON trading banks start as this will also have to be fully implemented.

On the racing front the great Melbourne Cup will soon be upon us and after much analysis i have concluded the following....

Back - lllo
Value - Lucas Crannach
Alt - Dunaden
Value Lay - Americain

Others to note would be , fox hunt , at first sight and glass harmonium.

Americain , regardless of its chances at 7/2 has to be taken on as there is no value implied or otherwise and with so many holding claims it would be folly to take it.

Modun for me does not fully stay this trip and will have to run the race of its career to figure.

Jukebox Jury is not the stables first string and may well be found wanting here, may struggle to dominate a top class field.

The field can be narrowed down to around 10 runners as quite a few are just not upto this , take out the top ten, then mark up their prices as if it was a 10 runner race then assert value...
For me this is how i see this great race panning out.


....A very tough race but i do feel there is an awful lot of deadwood in this renewal with so many untried at the trip , previously dissapointed or are just not in the sort of form you would expect.

Regarding todays racing i will be posting up the card for WOLVERHAMPTON.
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14:15 
BACK - LITTLE SUZI - 2nd @ 8.36
VALUE - EXCEEDANCE - 1st @ 2.25
MULTI EXTRA - CRAZY TOO - 3rd @ 3.86

RACE LAY - LAUNCH ON LINE - Unplaced = WIN

MONEY HORSE - EXCEEDANCE - 1st @ 2.25
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14:50

BACK - KICKAHEAD - Unplaced
VALUE - LOCUM - Unplaced
MULTI EXTRA - BUTE STREET - Unplaced

RACE LAY - BLACK ICEMAN - 3rd = WIN

MONEY HORSE - LOCUM  &  LAYLAS BOY - Unplaced
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15:20

BACK - PERSIDHA - Unplaced
VALUE - THE DANCING LORD - Unplaced
MULTI EXTRA - ADRANIAN - 1st @ 7.34

RACE LAY - ARTISTS CORNER - Unplaced = WIN

MONEY HORSE - LE KING BEAU  ( 2nd @ 4.28 ) & THE DANCING LORD - ( unplaced )
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15:55

BACK - ANDALIEB - 2nd @ 3.75
VALUE - HEY FIDDLE FIDDLE - Unplaced
MULTI EXTRA - TORTONI - 3rd @ 3.90

RACE LAY - JOHNNO - 1st @ 5.20

MONEY HORSE - NONE -
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16:30

BACK - PRINCESS GAIL ( EW NAP ) - 3rd @ 4.83
VALUE - SHELOVESTOBOUGIE - Unplaced
MULTI EXTRA - APPYJACK - Unplaced

RACE LAY - STARSTUDDED - Unplaced = Won

MONEY HORSE - PRINCESS GAIL - 3rd @ 4.83
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17:00

BACK - GRITSTONE - 1st @ 2.68
VALUE - ELIJAH PEPPER - 2nd @ 7.17
MULTI EXTRA - KIDLAT - Unplaced ( 4th @ 21.99 )

RACE LAY - LOCHANTANKS - Unplaced = Won

MONEY HORSE - VITZNAU - Unplaced
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17:30

BACK - GHUFFA - Unplaced
VALUE - WAAHEJ - 1st @ 6.65
MULTI EXTRA - IRISH JUGGER - Unplaced

RACE LAY - HIT THE SWITCH - Unplaced = Won

MONEY HORSE - WAAHEJ ( 1st @ 6.65 ) & SAINT THOMAS - unp
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Whatever you do , have a great day and be lucky..;-)
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so we managed to find 4 winners from 7 races and hit one sticky lay winner but still in good profit overall , another very satisfactory day..cya tmrw ;-)

Saturday Summary :

LAYBETS = 29 ( @ LEVEL $100 STAKES PER RACE ) = Potential return of $2900
Losing Laybets ( winner selected ) =  4/29 @ a cost of $1021

Laybets Profit = $1479
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Summary : 13 winners selected from 29 races = 45% strike rate
winning prices were :
1. 6.4
2. 11.58
3. 15.0
4. 1.33
5. 11.25
6. 7.38
7. 6.67
8. 2.10
9. 3.15
10. 17.00
11. 2.16
12. 2.42
13. 3.15
Best meeting was AYR with 5/7.
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Plus i also had 9 additional placed horses , giving me 1st or 2nd in 22/29 races.

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FRIDAY UPDATE..

Newmarket / Wetherby on the speed cards , first 5 races gives 4 winners..excellent start to the day ;-)!!.

Friday's Card..

Today we shall look at UTTOXETER , ...thats it today, not a lot to say today other than another great winning day yesterday and another interesting card at Newmarket today , I will say tho i was quietly impressed with the running of Popular recently ( Midday's half sister ) another very useful run in fact he ( CECIL ) almost had a big 20+ winner yesterday at lingers so its fair to say all of his are running quite well...anyway had a glorious sleep in this morning so better crack on...

UTTOXETER

14:00
BACK - PADDY THE HARE - Unplaced
VALUE - GALLOX BRIDGE - 1st @ 3.2
MULTI - N/A -

VALUE LAY - KINGS LODGE - 2nd @ 5.16
RACE LAY - HUNTERS LODGE - non runner -
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14:35

BACK - ROSEWIN - Unplaced
VALUE - OH KEE - Unplaced
MULTI - SET IN HER WAYS - Unplaced

VALUE LAY - KRISTALETTE - Unplaced
RACE LAY - N/A -
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15:10

BACK - CUSTODIAN - 3rd @ 21.15
VALUE - GOAT CASTLE - 2nd @ 6.2 ( hit 1.34...)
MULTI - CATAWOLLOW - Unplaced

VALUE LAY - DRUMLANG - Unplaced
RACE LAY - EBONY DIAMOND - Unplaced
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15:45

BACK - ULTRAVOX - 1st @ 3.18
VALUE - PENA DORADA - 2nd @ 5.14
MULTI - N/A -

VALUE LAY - N/A -
RACE LAY - SUPREME DE PAILLE - Unplaced
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16:20

BACK - GULF PUNCH - Unplaced
VALUE - LITTLE CARMELA - 2nd @ 13.57 ( hit 1.05 !!! )
MULTI - N/A -

VALUE LAY - BUSINESSMONEY JUDI - Unplaced
RACE LAY - N/A -
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16:55

BACK - KIKOS - UNPLACED
VALUE - MASTER SOMERVILLE - UNPLACED
MULTI - MISTER WISEMAN - 1ST @ 11.50

VALUE LAY - HUMBEL BEN - NON RUNNER -
RACE LAY - N/A -
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17:30

BACK - CASTLETOWN BRIDGE ( NAP ) - 2ND @ 4/5 ( BEATEN A NOSE )
VALUE - HANDSOME HARRY - UNPLACED
MULTI - N/A -

VALUE LAY - PEG LEG - UNPLACED
RACE LAY - N/A -
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Another cracking day all round ;-)...See ya'll on MONDAY, have a great weekend...

Thursday again...

Well i was very happy overall yesterday as all cards produced good profits and a plethora of winners and the new NH cards are working well , today will be a little different not in structure but in selections as the cards look overall quite thin today , but we can only try...

STRATFORD

14:20
BACK - PUMBOO - UNPLACED
VALUE - PETITO - 1ST @ 7.6
MULTI / PLACEPOT EXTRA - N/A -

VALUE LAY - N/A
RACE LAY - SABLAZO - UNPLACED
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14:50

BACK - MARC AURELE -  UNPLACED
VALUE - FOOLS WILDCAT -  UNPLACED
MULTI / PLACEPOT EXTRA - N/A -

VALUE LAY - ERDELI - 1ST @ 2.72
RACE LAY -
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15:20

BACK - RUNSHAN - 1ST @ 4.98
VALUE - POWER PACK JACK -  UNPLACED
MULTI / PLACEPOT EXTRA - PERSIAN RUN -  UNPLACED

VALUE LAY - INISHRUSH -  UNPLACED
RACE LAY - CORRICK BRIDGE - NON RUNNER -
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15:50

BACK - SHUIL ROYALE ( NAP ) -  UNPLACED ( hit 1.5 )
VALUE - HES OUR LAD - 2nd ( hit 1.14 )
MULTI / PLACEPOT EXTRA - N/A -

VALUE LAY - N/A -
RACE LAY - JOHNS SPIRIT - 1st @ 8.63
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16:20

BACK - SYBARITE ( NB ) - 2nd @ 1.87
VALUE - FIVE STAR WILSHAM - 1st @ 2.63
MULTI / PLACEPOT EXTRA - N/A -

VALUE LAY - N/A -
RACE LAY - IVE BEEN FRAMED - unplaced
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16:50

BACK - THEMILANHORSE - 3RD @ 4.07
VALUE - GOLDEN CALL - 2ND @ 3.08
MULTI / PLACEPOT EXTRA - BEVNOTT - UNPLACED

VALUE LAY - N/A -
RACE LAY - TOURS DES CHAMPS - 1ST @ 4.6
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17:20

BACK - REBEL FLAG -  UNPLACED
VALUE - ORION EXPRESS - 2nd @ 7.5
MULTI / PLACEPOT EXTRA - MISSION COMPLETE - 1st @ 5.5

VALUE LAY - LUCKY LUKEY - nr -
RACE LAY - SLEEP IN FIRST -  UNPLACED
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Another solid day, hitting the winners still , only today sadly enough there were a few that were laybets , so they will have dented a little, but great performances across the boards and very happy...