Friday, 17 January 2014

Happy Friday ;-)

Morning Readers ,
                          Yesterday went well with the advised bet ( LAY ) being a great success however you would have had to back ( lay ) it in running to get the right price ( hit 2.30 ir ) as it got comprehensively beaten ( and flipped favoritism ) however the EW on Huff n Puff fell a bit flat as this looked good in the main , traveling well until about 2 out and then the pace quickened again and this simply had nothing more to offer staying on at the one pace for a just touched off for 4th 5th , ok fto run and hopefully with the experience and fitness advantage can improve , and the Hobbs and Williams yard did gain multiple wins elsewhere so remain in very good form.

Whats on today ?..well i have already stated yesterday that Chepstow is off so that leaves us with just Lingers and Muss' and Lingers is an AW flat meeting...so we have just Muss' to look at...

Not forgetting we also have late afternoon & early evening racing at Wolvo and Donkeydalk.....neither of which excites me greatly...

Things of note : There should be a well done mention for Harry Bentley currently riding in Qatar for Al Jani who went thru the card on Tues with 6/6...outstanding riding and a great shame the general media didnt pick up on it...and over at Meydan the Boys in Blue ( Goldolphin ) are dominant and have all their string in tip top shape and i think this year could see a massive revival after the doping and poor general form of last term...

So....onto today....well there is just one race that barely falls within my punting parameter and its a Mare's Novice hurdle...not a great race in all honesty and not one that excites me...

Racecard

#FormHorseAWgtTrainerJockeyORNapsOdds
14210-15 711-6N G RichardsD F O'Regan
2
 7/4
28-114 611-0D McCain JnrJ M Maguire
1
 6/1
36 511-0M W EasterbyMr H A A Bannister (7) 100/1
42323-6 611-0D O'MearaA P McCoy
1
 9/1
510-226 711-0Miss Lucinda V RussellK Renwick110 15/2
614 611-0D SkeltonHarry Skelton
1
 15/8
723 410-3M TodhunterHarry Challoner (5)109 15/2
8 410-3A CrookJ Kington (3) 50/1

Betting

..as you can see yourselves the race is split in two halves with 5 that can race n win and the remainder have no chance..The 5 with experience are closely matched and can all run to around the same mark and have nothing in hand .

For me the bet here is probably an EW on MORNING WITH IVAN currently 13.5 ( Betfair ) and in receipt of plenty of allowances , its overall form to date is nothing special and my overall impression is that this filly needs a bit further however she was only beaten a short head ( on good or better ground ) on her first attempt and then was beaten for toe coming 2nd next out..well beaten in fairness that day but that was a fairly decent race and i feel with a tad of improvement this can certainly get into the mix and a place is a definite possibility with the win not out of the question....GL.

RESULT : Fair 2nd @ 12.0 ( 3.41 ) for a nice profit ;-)

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1stCloudante (IRE)D McCain Jnr611-0J M Maguire10/1
Made all, shaken up and clear from 3 out, kept on well opened 8/1
2ndMorning With Ivan (IRE)M Todhunter410-3Harry Challoner (5)8/1
Tracked leaders in 3rd, took keen hold, chased winner from 4th, kept on and no impression
3rd6Maison De Ville (GER)D O'Meara611-0A P McCoy8/1
Held up mid-division and keen, ridden and headway before 2 out to take 3rd, one pace

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