Wednesday, 23 March 2016
Winning Race Tips: 3:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (24th March) DOWNLO...
Winning Race Tips: 3:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (24th March) DOWNLO...: CLICK GRAPHIC TO SEE MORE 1—See Vermont may need this run to gain fitness also its two runs on this surface over six furlongs were both ...
Tuesday, 22 March 2016
Winning Race Tips: 3:40 Southwell Racing Tips (23rd March) DAILY PRIC...
Winning Race Tips: 3:40 Southwell Racing Tips (23rd March) DAILY PRIC...: Seven runners in this race and three of them are returning after a break and of those three ive marked both Cosmic Chatter and Casterbridg...
Thursday, 17 March 2016
Cheltenham DAY 4
In Brief ....
Race 1 : ZUBAYR -
Race 2: GREAT FIELD -
Race 3 : GANGSTER -
Race 4 : CUE CARD / DON POLI / DON COSSACK - ( pro bet dutch ) -
*If CUE CARD stays a well run 3m2f ( did win the Betfair Chase over 3m1f ) i think he can run them into the ground.
Race 5 : AUPCHARLIE -
Race 6 : SQUOUATEUR -
Race 7 : RAVENS TOWER -
My Best Bet today is :
An EW TRIXIE on
1. ZUBAYR -
2. GANGSTER -
3. AUPCHARLIE -
And you can have an EW Lucky 15 and include DON POLI -
RESULTS :
Race 1 : ZUBAYR -
Race 2: GREAT FIELD -
Race 3 : GANGSTER -
Race 4 : CUE CARD / DON POLI / DON COSSACK - ( pro bet dutch ) -
*If CUE CARD stays a well run 3m2f ( did win the Betfair Chase over 3m1f ) i think he can run them into the ground.
Race 5 : AUPCHARLIE -
Race 6 : SQUOUATEUR -
Race 7 : RAVENS TOWER -
My Best Bet today is :
An EW TRIXIE on
1. ZUBAYR -
2. GANGSTER -
3. AUPCHARLIE -
And you can have an EW Lucky 15 and include DON POLI -
RESULTS :
Tuesday, 15 March 2016
Cheltenham Day 2
AREA LEFT FOR SUMMARY OF DAY 1
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
DAY 2
RACE 1
WIN - YANWORTH -
EW - YORKHILL -
LONG - VIGIL -
The Baring Bingham is a race i like and many a star have come from this including of recent years Simonsig, The New One and Faugheen so this is certainly no back number race.
This year would appear no different as we have two genuine stars in the shape of Yorkhill and the massively impressive YANWORTH.
The Latter is my personal ( Sniper ) idea of the winner a horse with any amount of scope ( term generally used for a horse that still has improvement to offer and/or is building towards better things ) and this Alan King inmate looks to be a very special talent having Won three races ( from 3 ) this term and not yet been asked to move off the bridle, 11/10 is a tight price that offers nothing but the selection is offers rock solid confidence.
Not a " done deal " by any means as not only the equally impressive looking Yorkhill offers strong opposition but the field itself looks very useful with the likes of Yala Eneki , Vigil and O O Seven all looking to improve upon their already very impressive statistics but yet priced at 40/1 , 33/1 and 20/1 these are the Longbow selections and it will be interesting to see how the Skeltons get on with their runners as they have another two in this and im a big fan of the stable but have felt its been under a bit of a cloud of late so a few shards of light would offer welcome relief.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 2
SNIPER LONGBOW
WIN - MORE OF THAT - WIN - VYTA DU ROC -
EW - NO MORE HEROES - V EW - MORE OF THAT -
LONG - VYTA DU ROC - LONG - SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT -
The RSA is next and this is often a very competitive race aimed at those who failed to actually achieve their true targets and have therefore lowered their sights a bit..RSA or Neptune...
This does look another extremely tough renewal or maybe not tough unless your a tipster but rather just very very competitive.
MORE OF THAT is the current 2/1 Jolly and in a 3m Chase with just a few pounds separating the field ( most of whom arrive in excellent form ) and add in the bonus fact that this is a huge 9.6 on the Stat Lay scale i will gladly make this a MAX LAY.
Winner? what will win i hear you scream?.Well with the jolly out of the picture its a very open affair indeed.
No More Heroes is from the Combo/Team of last years victory and it a long with a great many others arrives bang in form but at 9/4 2nd Fav this offers absolutely nothing and if the market flip flops tmrw then it may well become a SL itself.
VYTA DU ROC at around 9/1 offers a smidge of value ( i had it down at 12/1 so no over enthused ) Stay the trip well, cruises into its races well , jumps very strongly and looks a genuine solid performer that quite frankly deserves some heavy black type and is gteed to run a big race for its punting partners and finally it would be churlish to write off the chances of SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT a horse arriving on the back of a very strongly accrued Hat Trick and for me is well worth his place in the field and an EW dutch on the last named pair is a solid looking bet using the winnings that will be earned by the Jolly blowing up ;-).
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 3
WIN -
EW -
LONG -
This is usually a ridiculous affair and this years renewal of the CORAL CUP doesn't disappoint with 26 runners racing in a mind boggling Hcap this really is one for the pinstickers or even Paula Chiltern who i would imagine would excel in a race like this ( Missed her on ATR last night chatting with chappers ).
There are three in this field which i shall nominate as decent EW punts and they will carry the colour of my Money.
1. LONG HOUSE HALL @ 14/1
2. BAOULET DELAROQUE @ 14/1
3. BARON ALCO @ 20/1
All three arrive in tip top form and im expecting a damn decent run for my money however this is the Coral Cup and anything can happen but with the last five winners ( from 6 ) returning at 9/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 and 14/1 i feel i have mine in just about the right range and i feel surprisingly confident of attaining a profitable outcome in this race.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE4
WIN - UN DE SCEAUX -
EW - SPRINTER SACRE -
LONG - SIRE DE GRUGY -
Next up is possibly the race of the day , THE QUEEN MOTHER CUP a race over 2m and this year we get to see a former superstar that had dimmed of late only to flicker once more and we are hoping the flicker is more than a last death defying gasp of its past brilliance and that it is more of a foundation to say i am only 10 and i have another 2 solid years left and its taking an age to regain fitness and confidence!! the horse in question is of course the one time uber brilliant SPRINTER SACRE.
The brilliance once displayed by SS would have made it almost unbackable for this or any other race as was the race in the main however the fortune reversal and the emergence of some stunning new challengers has allowed this today to be backed at an eye watering 5/1!!!.
The Fav is the brilliant Un De Sceaux and a deserved fav but at 8/11 i think that not only are they dis-respecting the remainder of the field but also the re-emergence in force of SS and there is no way at 8/11 this would have anything from me.
DODGING BULLETS is no back number either and at 14/1 looks a very interesting EW proposition or FAP, last years winner ran a wee bit flat fto this season but that is nothing new and you can gtee this will be cherry ripe for this and will run a big race indeed and also at 14/1 is SIRE DE GRUGY and i think an EW dutch on both is a very good sporting bet but as a purist i do think this lay between the old guard and the new king, Sprinter Sacre and Un De Sceaux and a WIN Dutch on those two looks an absolute dream of a Pro Punt and i will end up throwing the proverbial wheel Barrow at this.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 5
WIN - JOSIES ORDERS -
EW - BALTHAZAR KING -
LONG - QUANTITIVEEASING -
Next up its the Cross Country and this specialist race takes some understanding and i think Both BALTHAZAR KING and JOSIES ORDERS have gained a very good understanding and both look to hold extremely strong chances and at 3/1 and 6/1 offer enough for some financial investment.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 6
WIN - OUR THOMAS -
EW - FIX LE KAP -
LONG - VOIX DU REVE -
FRED WINTER time and with 22 closely matched runners i can see the trend of big double barrelled priced runners filling the spots.
Previous winners have been 16/1 , 20/1 and 40/1 ( couple of times ) so aim for the sky pick three or four slap em EW and hope your in luck.
1. OUR THOMAS 20/1
From the Easterby's who know what it takes to win one of these.
2. JALEO @ 14/1
A classy type with bags of flat pace and if the ground continues to dry out will be very hard to beat and pass on the searching uphill finish.
3. DUKE STREET @ 25/1
From the canny yard of Dr Newland this is still improving and is worth his place.
4. HARLEY REBEL @ 20/1
From a yard i really like with a very capable rider.
5. PILLARD @ 25/1
Anything with Dicky riding has to be feared.
My 5 against the field in what should be a very fun race to watch but shouldnt be one to invest too heavily in.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 7
WIN - NEW TO THIS TOWN -
EW - ONTHEWESTERNFRONT -
LONG - AUGUSTA KATE -
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Have a GREAT day , smile , keep the faith and bet within your limits.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
DAY 2
RACE 1
WIN - YANWORTH -
EW - YORKHILL -
LONG - VIGIL -
The Baring Bingham is a race i like and many a star have come from this including of recent years Simonsig, The New One and Faugheen so this is certainly no back number race.
This year would appear no different as we have two genuine stars in the shape of Yorkhill and the massively impressive YANWORTH.
The Latter is my personal ( Sniper ) idea of the winner a horse with any amount of scope ( term generally used for a horse that still has improvement to offer and/or is building towards better things ) and this Alan King inmate looks to be a very special talent having Won three races ( from 3 ) this term and not yet been asked to move off the bridle, 11/10 is a tight price that offers nothing but the selection is offers rock solid confidence.
Not a " done deal " by any means as not only the equally impressive looking Yorkhill offers strong opposition but the field itself looks very useful with the likes of Yala Eneki , Vigil and O O Seven all looking to improve upon their already very impressive statistics but yet priced at 40/1 , 33/1 and 20/1 these are the Longbow selections and it will be interesting to see how the Skeltons get on with their runners as they have another two in this and im a big fan of the stable but have felt its been under a bit of a cloud of late so a few shards of light would offer welcome relief.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 2
SNIPER LONGBOW
WIN - MORE OF THAT - WIN - VYTA DU ROC -
EW - NO MORE HEROES - V EW - MORE OF THAT -
LONG - VYTA DU ROC - LONG - SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT -
The RSA is next and this is often a very competitive race aimed at those who failed to actually achieve their true targets and have therefore lowered their sights a bit..RSA or Neptune...
This does look another extremely tough renewal or maybe not tough unless your a tipster but rather just very very competitive.
MORE OF THAT is the current 2/1 Jolly and in a 3m Chase with just a few pounds separating the field ( most of whom arrive in excellent form ) and add in the bonus fact that this is a huge 9.6 on the Stat Lay scale i will gladly make this a MAX LAY.
Winner? what will win i hear you scream?.Well with the jolly out of the picture its a very open affair indeed.
No More Heroes is from the Combo/Team of last years victory and it a long with a great many others arrives bang in form but at 9/4 2nd Fav this offers absolutely nothing and if the market flip flops tmrw then it may well become a SL itself.
VYTA DU ROC at around 9/1 offers a smidge of value ( i had it down at 12/1 so no over enthused ) Stay the trip well, cruises into its races well , jumps very strongly and looks a genuine solid performer that quite frankly deserves some heavy black type and is gteed to run a big race for its punting partners and finally it would be churlish to write off the chances of SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT a horse arriving on the back of a very strongly accrued Hat Trick and for me is well worth his place in the field and an EW dutch on the last named pair is a solid looking bet using the winnings that will be earned by the Jolly blowing up ;-).
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 3
WIN -
EW -
LONG -
This is usually a ridiculous affair and this years renewal of the CORAL CUP doesn't disappoint with 26 runners racing in a mind boggling Hcap this really is one for the pinstickers or even Paula Chiltern who i would imagine would excel in a race like this ( Missed her on ATR last night chatting with chappers ).
There are three in this field which i shall nominate as decent EW punts and they will carry the colour of my Money.
1. LONG HOUSE HALL @ 14/1
2. BAOULET DELAROQUE @ 14/1
3. BARON ALCO @ 20/1
All three arrive in tip top form and im expecting a damn decent run for my money however this is the Coral Cup and anything can happen but with the last five winners ( from 6 ) returning at 9/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 and 14/1 i feel i have mine in just about the right range and i feel surprisingly confident of attaining a profitable outcome in this race.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE4
WIN - UN DE SCEAUX -
EW - SPRINTER SACRE -
LONG - SIRE DE GRUGY -
Next up is possibly the race of the day , THE QUEEN MOTHER CUP a race over 2m and this year we get to see a former superstar that had dimmed of late only to flicker once more and we are hoping the flicker is more than a last death defying gasp of its past brilliance and that it is more of a foundation to say i am only 10 and i have another 2 solid years left and its taking an age to regain fitness and confidence!! the horse in question is of course the one time uber brilliant SPRINTER SACRE.
The brilliance once displayed by SS would have made it almost unbackable for this or any other race as was the race in the main however the fortune reversal and the emergence of some stunning new challengers has allowed this today to be backed at an eye watering 5/1!!!.
The Fav is the brilliant Un De Sceaux and a deserved fav but at 8/11 i think that not only are they dis-respecting the remainder of the field but also the re-emergence in force of SS and there is no way at 8/11 this would have anything from me.
DODGING BULLETS is no back number either and at 14/1 looks a very interesting EW proposition or FAP, last years winner ran a wee bit flat fto this season but that is nothing new and you can gtee this will be cherry ripe for this and will run a big race indeed and also at 14/1 is SIRE DE GRUGY and i think an EW dutch on both is a very good sporting bet but as a purist i do think this lay between the old guard and the new king, Sprinter Sacre and Un De Sceaux and a WIN Dutch on those two looks an absolute dream of a Pro Punt and i will end up throwing the proverbial wheel Barrow at this.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 5
WIN - JOSIES ORDERS -
EW - BALTHAZAR KING -
LONG - QUANTITIVEEASING -
Next up its the Cross Country and this specialist race takes some understanding and i think Both BALTHAZAR KING and JOSIES ORDERS have gained a very good understanding and both look to hold extremely strong chances and at 3/1 and 6/1 offer enough for some financial investment.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 6
WIN - OUR THOMAS -
EW - FIX LE KAP -
LONG - VOIX DU REVE -
FRED WINTER time and with 22 closely matched runners i can see the trend of big double barrelled priced runners filling the spots.
Previous winners have been 16/1 , 20/1 and 40/1 ( couple of times ) so aim for the sky pick three or four slap em EW and hope your in luck.
1. OUR THOMAS 20/1
From the Easterby's who know what it takes to win one of these.
2. JALEO @ 14/1
A classy type with bags of flat pace and if the ground continues to dry out will be very hard to beat and pass on the searching uphill finish.
3. DUKE STREET @ 25/1
From the canny yard of Dr Newland this is still improving and is worth his place.
4. HARLEY REBEL @ 20/1
From a yard i really like with a very capable rider.
5. PILLARD @ 25/1
Anything with Dicky riding has to be feared.
My 5 against the field in what should be a very fun race to watch but shouldnt be one to invest too heavily in.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
RACE 7
WIN - NEW TO THIS TOWN -
EW - ONTHEWESTERNFRONT -
LONG - AUGUSTA KATE -
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Have a GREAT day , smile , keep the faith and bet within your limits.
Monday, 14 March 2016
Cheltenham Day 1 Continued.....
RACE 2
No big summary here as there is no EW value with the fav scaring off all the opposition and i really see no point in taking on Douvan as its my opinion that this is the single greatest horse since Arkle and even at 1/2 its a cracking bet as i see no way this loses ( just like Annie Power i here you all say, well thats fucking racing is what i retort..suck it up or pack it in )....I will be having a big bet on this and including it in my accas with Thistlecrack among others.
DOUVAN to Win quite easy. - DOUVAN WINS very easy...a true class performer packed with power.
RACE 3
This is an insanely tricky handicap but BEG TO DIFFER could have The answers, much improved improving rapidly and bang in form is gteed to run a big race and with 4 or 5 places paid is well worth a sporting EW.
Longbow has had a good look at this and he has nominated UN TEMPS POUR TOUT and SPRING HEELED both should be a decent price and both are more than capable of running a solid fun race.
Best Bet: EW Tri-Dutch. UN TEMPS POUR TOUT Wins @ 11/1..BoooM ;-))
RACE 4
For me THE race of the day, the CHAMPION HURDLE and it looks wide open with at least 8 strong runners plus ANNIE POWER.
One of the best Mares EVER that also has lost only two races ever but both were at Cheltenham including the mares race last year when she would have pissed in had it not been for Walsh slipping out the side as they skipped over the last withe race already Won!!!!!...a race btw that cost me me so much more than cash alone......anyway thats a story for another day.
Can Annie beat the boys?...Lets look at the competition...
1.THE NEW ONE
A horse that should have won more than it has and was once rated by me as the best since sliced bread but has gone considerably off the boil, still travels well, still has class but is vulnerable to both peers and improvers alike and it would have to be 33/1 or better for me to get involved and then it would be just for fun as i dont expect it to place.
2.HARGAM
See above but with scope and is not the best finisher and as much as i like this horse it needs to be in a Grade 2 to get that winning thread back.
3.MY TENT OR YOURS
A beautiful runner from Hendo that has a 703 day holiday to overcome but i really dont think thats an issue and this will make them all work if fully wound.Worked well the other day at Sandown but could blow up massively its just possible to say and the price you are getting is based on historical data not current or relevant and its just a gamble with a blindfold could win but could blow up.
4.PEACE AND CO
Been hugely disappointing this term , has a wonderful cruising speed but has blown up on both occasions and cannot be trusted not to do it again however a return to form makes it hard to beat but thats a tricky call and not for me.
5.TOP NOTCH
Another superstar from Hendo that has massively under performed this year and i really cant see this winning but i can see all Hendo runners cruising well but i havnt seen anything to suggest a sustained run is forthcoming.
6.NICHOLAS CANYON / SEMPRE MEDICI / IDENTITY THIEF
All three have very similar profiles and all have similar chances any or all can get involved but i have a feeling its place bombing for these only.
Best EW BET is probably CAMPING GROUND
So looking through this i simply dont see anything good enough to beat Annie however at 2/1 and racing against much stronger competition than expected in a race in which Mares have only ever triumphed 3 times racing over an inadequate trip spells danger danger danger and i simple cannot advise a bet on it, Will probably win but not for me but is worth sticking in the odd acca.
Best Bet : EW bets on Hargam , The New One and Peace n Co with a WIN on Annie Power.
Annie Power WINS Very Easily ;-)
RACE 5
Next up as we have the MARES HURDLE and another race with another Mullins hot pot in the shape of VROUM VROUM MAG and this imo will simply demolish what looks like a field of average handicappers this will be one of the biggest shocks of the festival if this loses...Nailed on Double with Douvan and decent treble with Annie but also have another treble with Thistlecrack
WIN BET: VROUM VROUM MAG ( nap ) - WINS - 1st @ 1.90 ;-)...5 from 5...BooM
RACE 6
Katie Walsh and Nina Carberry..whatever they ride back EW.
RESULT:MEASUREMYDREAMS ridden by Katie is 3rd..so the PP is Won at £10 so i get 10 times the payout...whatever it is its been agreat day.!!
RACE 7
KATGARY and DOUBLE SHUFFLE in the finale and both EW obviously...
RESULT :
No big summary here as there is no EW value with the fav scaring off all the opposition and i really see no point in taking on Douvan as its my opinion that this is the single greatest horse since Arkle and even at 1/2 its a cracking bet as i see no way this loses ( just like Annie Power i here you all say, well thats fucking racing is what i retort..suck it up or pack it in )....I will be having a big bet on this and including it in my accas with Thistlecrack among others.
DOUVAN to Win quite easy. - DOUVAN WINS very easy...a true class performer packed with power.
RACE 3
This is an insanely tricky handicap but BEG TO DIFFER could have The answers, much improved improving rapidly and bang in form is gteed to run a big race and with 4 or 5 places paid is well worth a sporting EW.
Longbow has had a good look at this and he has nominated UN TEMPS POUR TOUT and SPRING HEELED both should be a decent price and both are more than capable of running a solid fun race.
Best Bet: EW Tri-Dutch. UN TEMPS POUR TOUT Wins @ 11/1..BoooM ;-))
RACE 4
For me THE race of the day, the CHAMPION HURDLE and it looks wide open with at least 8 strong runners plus ANNIE POWER.
One of the best Mares EVER that also has lost only two races ever but both were at Cheltenham including the mares race last year when she would have pissed in had it not been for Walsh slipping out the side as they skipped over the last withe race already Won!!!!!...a race btw that cost me me so much more than cash alone......anyway thats a story for another day.
Can Annie beat the boys?...Lets look at the competition...
1.THE NEW ONE
A horse that should have won more than it has and was once rated by me as the best since sliced bread but has gone considerably off the boil, still travels well, still has class but is vulnerable to both peers and improvers alike and it would have to be 33/1 or better for me to get involved and then it would be just for fun as i dont expect it to place.
2.HARGAM
See above but with scope and is not the best finisher and as much as i like this horse it needs to be in a Grade 2 to get that winning thread back.
3.MY TENT OR YOURS
A beautiful runner from Hendo that has a 703 day holiday to overcome but i really dont think thats an issue and this will make them all work if fully wound.Worked well the other day at Sandown but could blow up massively its just possible to say and the price you are getting is based on historical data not current or relevant and its just a gamble with a blindfold could win but could blow up.
4.PEACE AND CO
Been hugely disappointing this term , has a wonderful cruising speed but has blown up on both occasions and cannot be trusted not to do it again however a return to form makes it hard to beat but thats a tricky call and not for me.
5.TOP NOTCH
Another superstar from Hendo that has massively under performed this year and i really cant see this winning but i can see all Hendo runners cruising well but i havnt seen anything to suggest a sustained run is forthcoming.
6.NICHOLAS CANYON / SEMPRE MEDICI / IDENTITY THIEF
All three have very similar profiles and all have similar chances any or all can get involved but i have a feeling its place bombing for these only.
Best EW BET is probably CAMPING GROUND
So looking through this i simply dont see anything good enough to beat Annie however at 2/1 and racing against much stronger competition than expected in a race in which Mares have only ever triumphed 3 times racing over an inadequate trip spells danger danger danger and i simple cannot advise a bet on it, Will probably win but not for me but is worth sticking in the odd acca.
Best Bet : EW bets on Hargam , The New One and Peace n Co with a WIN on Annie Power.
Annie Power WINS Very Easily ;-)
RACE 5
Next up as we have the MARES HURDLE and another race with another Mullins hot pot in the shape of VROUM VROUM MAG and this imo will simply demolish what looks like a field of average handicappers this will be one of the biggest shocks of the festival if this loses...Nailed on Double with Douvan and decent treble with Annie but also have another treble with Thistlecrack
WIN BET: VROUM VROUM MAG ( nap ) - WINS - 1st @ 1.90 ;-)...5 from 5...BooM
RACE 6
Katie Walsh and Nina Carberry..whatever they ride back EW.
RESULT:MEASUREMYDREAMS ridden by Katie is 3rd..so the PP is Won at £10 so i get 10 times the payout...whatever it is its been agreat day.!!
RACE 7
KATGARY and DOUBLE SHUFFLE in the finale and both EW obviously...
RESULT :
Its that time off year again , the magnificent CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL.
Aintree's festival is good , Punchestown is big , Galways is interesting but this is THE Festival of festivals and we have a good bank of solid looking banker bets in some good races with a very open feel to some with movement and defections causing some ante post mayhem.
DAY 1
RACE 1
An explosive start to the days affair and a very heavy betting race.
MIN the season long Ante Post darling trading at an incredible Even Money just a month ago has now drifted to a more realistic 9/4 however even that looks a shade skinny to me.
This race has for the last three years been dominated by Mullins who has quite frankly dominated everywhere as he built up a powerhouse stable that had no peers and even the mighty Gigginstown took a back seat.
BUT...prior to his mini race revival the 12 years leading upto this saw a double figure priced winner every year and since Kinsman Won at 50/1 we have had winners at 40/1 multiple times at 25/1 , 20/1 and loads at between 10/1-16/1 so for me the winner of this race is usually a slow burner, a one season wonder? but a horse primed to race for all his corn right now with no thought for this becoming a repeat affair.
So i am going to leave the mighty Min a horse of undeniable scope out of my equations.
Who will i look to to get me off to an exciting start, who can lead the way?.
Of course my old friend Hendo, Nicky has two very powerful runners and impossible to split candidates in this, ALTIOR who is all speed and fancy looks and BUVEUR D'AIR who is all muscle and Power and its the latter i fancy here with the withering cheltenham hill able to catch many a smooth traveler out.
Not much splits the pair in the market at 4/1 and 11/2 respectively and a dutch on these two is for me the best bet (Sniper ).
Longbow however as his stock takes them all on as he loves a longshot to fire at and Cheltenham is fair game for having a go and he has a couple of EW heroes to aim at.
Longbow is having an EW Dutch on the Skelton duo , both currently priced at 40/1 these two fine looking sorts seem to have a lot of improvement required to figure however this is the race to improve in and i wouldn't try n put anyone off a Longbow selection...master Archer...will he be master Tipster??!!.
My Formcaster predicts
WIN - MIN - 2nd @ 15/8
LONG - BELLSHILL -
Best EW Bet - ALTIOR - 1st @ 4/1
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Results and analysis to follow.....BooooooM as The SNIPER takes the first Scalp with a well judged Dutch hitting both 1st @ 4/1 and 3rd @ 10/1...Lovely start ;-)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Thursday, 3 March 2016
What did you Miss?
Southwell
Kestrel Call is an out n out SL however the mid range to this market is very weak and for that reason even at 1.98 i am leaving this alone. - Unplaced @ 4/5F
ANCIENT CROSS at 5.5 is a massive SL ( anything over 9.4 qualifies as huge or massive ) and this HAS to be Layed ( or traded , whatever floats ones boat ). - Unplaced @ 6/1 2ndF
Claude Greenwood is currently on the margins..just about sneaks in as an out n out SL however i would probably just trade this at 4.2 rather than Lay unless the market straightens up significantly.
Captain Revelation is another borderline although the current 4.50 makes little appeal as i would ideally want or expect 4.2 or slightly lower knowing that if it goes in the 3's then the market will become unbalanced for the wrong reasons.
LUDLOW
ZANSTRA is a strong SL here at 8.6 but its always a nerve jangler taking on Dicky Johnson riding an in form horse but then i dont bet horses i bet against the market and the force is strong with this one.- Unplaced @ 15/8F
Hollywoodien is another strong looking runner that comes in at 8.2 on the SL scale ( bit like the scoville scale but without the chillies ).- Unplaced at 5/2F
Nexius follows that and is another but this is slightly higher at 9.1 and at 3.10 makes lots of appeal in what will be an attritional race. - Unplaced @ 7/2F
Aptrix is on the margins as this 7.2 selection is another with a very poor mid range and is best watched for now unless the market turns dramatically for us.
This will do you today, have a taste see how it feels and what you think and let me know how you got on, ( Results Later )
TTFN ;-)
BooooooooooooooooooM 4 From 4 ;-)
Kestrel Call is an out n out SL however the mid range to this market is very weak and for that reason even at 1.98 i am leaving this alone. - Unplaced @ 4/5F
ANCIENT CROSS at 5.5 is a massive SL ( anything over 9.4 qualifies as huge or massive ) and this HAS to be Layed ( or traded , whatever floats ones boat ). - Unplaced @ 6/1 2ndF
Claude Greenwood is currently on the margins..just about sneaks in as an out n out SL however i would probably just trade this at 4.2 rather than Lay unless the market straightens up significantly.
Captain Revelation is another borderline although the current 4.50 makes little appeal as i would ideally want or expect 4.2 or slightly lower knowing that if it goes in the 3's then the market will become unbalanced for the wrong reasons.
LUDLOW
ZANSTRA is a strong SL here at 8.6 but its always a nerve jangler taking on Dicky Johnson riding an in form horse but then i dont bet horses i bet against the market and the force is strong with this one.- Unplaced @ 15/8F
Hollywoodien is another strong looking runner that comes in at 8.2 on the SL scale ( bit like the scoville scale but without the chillies ).- Unplaced at 5/2F
Nexius follows that and is another but this is slightly higher at 9.1 and at 3.10 makes lots of appeal in what will be an attritional race. - Unplaced @ 7/2F
Aptrix is on the margins as this 7.2 selection is another with a very poor mid range and is best watched for now unless the market turns dramatically for us.
This will do you today, have a taste see how it feels and what you think and let me know how you got on, ( Results Later )
TTFN ;-)
BooooooooooooooooooM 4 From 4 ;-)
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