Wednesday, 17 June 2015

Royal Ascot ~ Day 2 ~


Well we have started the week off well enough with 3 Winners from the opening 6 Races and at decent odds so we are well in front so far but can this be continued??..time will tell but im running hot and feeling good ;).

RACE 1 : 
Jersey Stakes (Group 3) is a cracking start for Day 2 and this is imo a better race than the St James Palace Stakes and i would have much rather seen Gleneagles take his chance here in a proper race.
This is a BRILLIANT race for the punter as they have Ivawood installed as a ridic 2.78 Fav and then its 11.5 the field!!!!...get your dutching hats on because you could start the day off  with an amazing profit because they have already made this a 101% book which means the punter just cant lose ( Value wise because there will be more winners than losers unless the zero on the roulette table comes in ~~ the Fav ) So FORGET all about the fav ( unless your laying it ) as its looking tricky beating comfortably in both Guineas coming 3rd and not looking that quick so the drop in trip is not gteed to have a winning effect.
SIR ISAAC NEWTON is one i really really like and is on my secretly sent " hotlist " of horses to follow and back from AoB and this is expected to hugely improve and run like the class animal they all think he is and at 12.50 looks a very decent betting proposition.
FADHAYYIL has is another with any amount of scope and improvement to come and could easily outrun his price of 12.50 if you look at his runs behind Lucida.
Finally i think we should side with BOSSY GUEST who has every chance of turning past form around under these race conditions and at around 11.0 is almost 4 times the price of a horse he should beat now getting lumps of weight.

RACE 2 : 
Queen Mary Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) is usually a very well contested race and this year is no different with a massive 23 runners lining up to their chance and the fillies at this time of year can be rather unpredictable.
EASTON ANGEL has to go on the short list after two very creditable victories ( from just the two runs ) while RAH RAHwon the Lily Agnes stakes and is another two from and sneaks into the reckoning however the form of the LA is much like the Brocklesby in the form of it being near to worthless so lets hope we see a revival.
SHADEN who won for us recently ( only run to date ) looks very useful as she was slowly away but devoured the ground up when she hit her stride and won quite comfortably in the end and could end up being a serious black type.
In a tough race like this i think its folly not to take a fourth choice to try and cover some bases and with it i shall be nominating RING OF TRUTH who would be a great winner for the Queen herself and this Hannon runner arrives with every conceivable chance having  won very very cheekily lto and looks a sure fire improver.

RACE 3 : 
Duke Of Cambridge Stakes (Formerly Windsor Forest Stakes) (Fillies' Group 2) (Str) is a very strange to read as its just full of horses that have either failed to reach the heights expected not trained on or just been rather poor of late yet any and all have the required latent ability to win on their day.
RIZEENA looks a cracking bet at 9.20 to win for the third time on a track she loves having already won the Queen Mary in 2013 and Last Years Coronation Stakes and back racing on ground she loves and the 5lb she gets from Integral (rather she has 5lb more to carry this year ) unless this filly is totally shot to bits it will be a complete shock if she cant place and just rather disappointing if she cant turn some form around and show those abject performances of late were reasoned.
Integral will be a major player tho make no doubt about that and will be on the premises throughout and shouldnt be under estimated along with Bragging who just didnt stay last time and is back over her ideal trip and will be in the mix with the remainder easily dismissed as i have nothing positive to say about any of them.

RACE 4 : 
Prince Of Wales's Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) is a race i just love as it brings the best wanna be stayers up against the confirmed stayers but with a pace element and often attracts a great turn out and is usually won by something pretty damn good with past winners featuring Bosra Sham , Dubai Millennium , Byword , Ouija Board , So You Think and The Fugue with many others so there is a level of expectation that comes with this excel and most do.
This year has attracted a raft of entries from overseas and the form is almost an impossible task to work out but we will try and couple into this the fact a few are coming here on the back of long breaks with really decent form makes it a nightmare.
THE GREY GATSBY has the best form on offer historically by some way with Wins in The French Derby , the Irish Champion Stakes and the Dante but has appeared a bit flat this term and im worried he is suffering a boil over and may need an extended break and i cant even work out if the 7/1 is a value bet as i feel a bit lost with him.
FREE EAGLE has raced at an incredible level for a horse with such little experience and light racing and Weld is a master at bringing these along and you have to think this has at least 6-8lb of improvement in him and he can bring that to the table then he will be very hard to beat as i dont see any of these running to around 130 now or ever.
GAILO CHOP tho doesnt look like a ready made winner and probably wont but at 12/1 i will have a go anyway as he has improved enough to make him a level weights winner with Free Eagle based on historic form and isnt far away from being the equal of these and with a decent run could easily get into the mix or better and in such an open race with so many variables im happier taking a price about one that is highly likely to run its true race rather than hope for something to happen.

RACE 5 : 
The Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) is just one of the most bonkers races ever with 30 runners lining up i suggest you find a bookie that does EW 10 places lol as this is a mine field.
So im looking to Longbow to provide me with the answers >
The draw is sure to play a big part in this again. Winners have come from both sides of the track in recent years but it appears it's a disadvantage to be drawn in the centre of the course, which is a worry for supporters of the fancied Speculative Bid and Gm Hopkins. Spark Plug, who beat Gm Hopkins at Newbury after finishing second to Ayaar in the Spring Cup on the same course, could also have a better starting position. The latter will have the far rail to help in the closing stages and could go well, however, while Bancnuanaheireann has stall 33 which delivered the winners in 2012 and 2014. Last year's winner Field Of Dream is drawn on the opposite side this time and has a lengthy absence to overcome. Lincoln was only beaten half-a-length by Speculative Bid in the Victoria Cup over 7f here last month and could reverse the form. But the eye-catcher in that race was sixth Bronze Angel, who met trouble in-running. The dual Cambridgeshire winner loves these cavalry charges and claimer Louis Steward has been on board for his last two victories. He may well prove the best of those drawn low but we like the look of TEMPTRESS near the foot of the weights. She was always travelling best when making a winning reappearance here and is two from two over the course and distance. James Doyle teams up again with old boss Roger Charlton and the filly shouldn't be far away as she still looks to be on a decent mark.

RACE 6 : 
The Finale and its the Sandringham Handicap (Fillies' Listed) (Str) a horrible 17 runner Hcap to have as your getting out...blurgh!!.
I am only really interested in the top 5 in the betting although im struggling to separate them so just look at the picture and dutch one two or all of them but im convinced thats the winners list.


Its a much tougher looking day so we can only hope but its still another awesome days racing.


Copy Halt