Sunday, 2 October 2011

i may not...

be able to blog tmrw , as i have just seen and heard what those cunt lib dems have been spouting re:human rights act , im so fucking livid right now i can only think that beheading myself will read my brain of these thoughts and those uber cunts " the lib dem " party...fml , what a set of fucking enormous arseholes......if im not here tmrw its because the beheading has gone wrong and im now actually dead...that may seem like a bit of overkill, but personally i think its better to never have to listen to those terrorist hugging , muslim loving , rapist welcoming do gooder bastards.....fuck off!!

The conservatives want to scrap the human rights act and fuck the eu off , however the lib dems ( the coalition ) dont want this..so i say , call a general election and fuck em off!!..

'Lazy and incoherent'
Mr Huhne, the Lib Dem energy secretary, said: "If Conservative backbenchers persist in wanting to tear up the European Convention on Human Rights, then I can foresee a time when this party would be extremely uncomfortable in coalition," he said.
Shadow justice minister Sadiq Khan described scrapping the act as a "lazy and incoherent position to hold".
"When Tory ministers blame the Human Rights Act, it's usually an excuse not to sort out the problem or a cover for their own failing policies," he said.
He called on government to clarify the coalition's stance.
"Either the deputy prime minister has been overruled, or this is another fantasy policy from Theresa May."
Human rights organisation Liberty did not welcome the government's stance.
Director Shami Chakrabarti said: "Modern Conservatives should think again about human rights values that were truly Churchill's legacy.
"Only a pretty 'nasty party' would promote human rights in the Middle East whilst scrapping them at home."
FUCKING CUNTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

MEGA MASSIVE PAYDAY FOR ME ;-)

Hope you all layed your arses off on " so you think "...WIIIIIIIIiiiiiiiiiiii ;-))) ( i did tell ya all over the last two days to lay lay lay...... )

Friday, 30 September 2011

Morning All....


And what a ludicrously nice day day it is , 30th sept ( just a smidge from oct' ) and its fucking 28*...wtf!! , incred , had the best april ever , then may - now was fairly wank ( although i spent the best part of two months in spain ) , its all upside down , yeah i know its because of the jetstream being more northerly than usual but still its seriously great!, talking of this great weather , no doubt all the " greenies " will come out of hiding to spout more utter fucking bollocks about how the enviroment ( why is my auto spell checker not picking this up as a word? ) is being eroded and how now 16 trillion polar bears have just melted and penguins are now seeking counselling as they are depressed coz its too warm!! , fucking mental , only yesterday i read that ( in the daily mail of course ) that the D.O.T is thinking about lifting the speed limit to 80 but " brake " the retarded anti-speed organisation say we will all die if this happens , even tho its a well known fact that ( imo ) 90% of all motorway users travel beyond the current 70mph limit , the speed limits were introduced in an age where most cars had a 0-60 in well just , thats the point most only had a top speed of 70 anyway , the ford zephyr , a fast car in its time and one that most households would love to have only had a top speed of 90 ( flat out , downhill ) and a 0-60 of about 20 secs , the main problem is that they braked slower than a train and had the turning circle of the titanic so 70 would have been rather " risque " then , now however we have cars that can do 70 in first gear and stop on a sixpence so it is long overdue ( raising the speed limit ) .
The one other thing regarding this that really did make my blood boil is the cunt from save the earth that stated raising the speed limit would increase pollution by a factor of 10 , what a fucking arsehole , clueless and ignorant , all these greenies talk utter fucking bollocks 24/7 and do nothing but scaremonger the mindless into submission , considering we all ready comply to over 100% of our greenhouse gas etc output  and we only ( the uk ) contribute about 0.001% of the worlds emissions i say where pretty safe....however the govt will want to find some new green taxes to hit us with so no doubt they will continue to say that come next may the artic circle will only be a smudge ( until next may comes and they say they have to review the data as its all currently wrong )....i could quite easily rant all day and night about this but im steaming enough..so lets move onto the horses , today i will be producing two cards , Ascot and Fontwell , hopefully i can give you some help in making some cash and AL will have choices to be able to use his wonderful " leeson " technique to make a few pennies ( good luck with that ) , Some decent betting opps here for PK to get stuck into ( dont really know anyone else ) so without further ado..heres your cards...

ASCOT

14:20
BACK - TRY THE CHANCE - Unplaced
LAY - CAPE CLASSIC - £250 @ BFSP - Unplaced = Won £250
EW - INDIAN JACK - Unplaced
**A tough start to the day with most of these looking to have a solid chance however dig a little and you'll find that a few dont like the trip or the ground or turf , so some of these can easily be discounted on a variety of grounds , Indian Jack has no problems with the trip or the ground but is inconsitent , TRY THE CHANCE however loves all conditions , is a 7f specialist and is bang in form and for me just gets the vote on that.
Cape Classic is a 6f horse , max lay.

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14:55

BACK - MUNDANA - £250 @ 3.4 - 1st @ 4.84 = WON £600
LAY - CLASSIC COLOURI - £250 @ 3.6 - Unplaced = Won £250
EW - PRIMAEVAL - 2nd @ 5.64
**In my mind ( however distorted  ) this is only between the two named protagonists , " if " Mundana gets this trip proper then with natural improvement it should be far too good for these as it is the only improver in this field , all the others are what they are , and a modest bunch at that , classic colouri rated at 95 is a joke , 1 win in 13 none since mar 2010 ,  come on!!..this really should be a two horse race.

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15:30

BACK - MIDNIGHT OIL - Unplaced
LAY - ITHOUGHTITWASOVER - £250 @ 8.4 - 2nd = Won £250 ( was a lot closer than i would have liked )
EW - THE BELLS O PEOVER - Unplaced
**Tough hcap with some well known sorts about and most have enough form to entitle them to consideration , however there are also enough direct form lines about to narrow the field down quite comfortably  , midnight oil could easily beat these if on form , but i do like the bells o peover , a truly gutsy animal that never knows when to give up and with SDS in the saddle will be given every opportunity to win.
***Midnight oil never settled and looks a bit of a nutter, bells o peover raced far too quick in the first 1/3 of the raced and eventually weakened right out.
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16:05

BACK - HIGHLAND CASTLE - £250 @ 2.88 - 2nd = Lost £250
LAY - BUTHELEZI - £250 @ 6.6 - Unplaced = Won £250
EW - BARBICAN - £175 @ 4.6 ( will lay trade £175 @ 2.1 ) - 1st @ 4.72 = Won £415.63
**This for me is another straightforward choice between highland castle and barbican , as the others are all out of form and and cannot be relied upon , the one spanner is solar sky however it has shown nothing to convince me that 1m6f is far from an ideal trip.

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16:40

BACK - CUNNING ACT - 2nd @ 9/4
LAY - ELRASHEED - £250 @ BFSP - Unplaced = Won £250
EW - COLLOQUIAL - Unplaced
**2m marathon , tough trip , but colloquial has won over cd a couple of times and likes every yard of this , the only spoiler for me is his age , 10 now , which may just have sufficiently blunted his speed enough in this class , if it hasnt and he runs to his best form...he wins , but there are quite a few " ifs " there , cunning act for me will be the one most likely to take advantage , and elrasheed doesnt stay so max lay nimps ;-).

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17:15

BACK - PABUSAR -Unplaced
LAY - SWENDAB - £250 @ 6.8 ( KEEP BET ) - not matched ( Unplaced )
EW - ELUSIVE PRINCE -Unplaced
**A tricky little sprint to round the day off and not the easiest of getting out stakes to plunge your hard earned into , however i do feel dutching these two reasonably priced ( 9.8 and 18.0 ) animals offers the right risk reward ratio punt , imo both are good quality animals and the thing is with sprinters is that they all take it in turns to win , i believe that today is going to be pabusar's day , elusive prince is in because its a ridic price for a horse with a near 28% strike rate ( all wins over 6f )....

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FONTWELL

14:10
BACK - MEMORABILIA - 2ND @ 4.0 ( HIT 1.02 in running, went thru the last fence ).
LAY - SAQUIL - ( NBB )- UNPLACED
EW - BALLINA BLUE - Unseated at first.
**Complete guesswork based on all known flatform and surmising that they can actually jump....

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14:40

BACK - RED HARBOUR - 1st @ 1.53 ( only because Khorun fucked it up at the last )
LAY - KHORUN - £250 @ BFSP - 2nd = Won £250 ( i was very lucky here )
EW - STAGE ACCLAIM - FELL
**As quite often happens in a 3 runner race the outsider wins....losses expected ;-(.

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15:15

BACK - MR HARMOOSH - 2nd @ 8.91 ( hit 1.30 )
LAY - ZAKEETA - £250 @ BFSP - Unplaced = Won £250
EW - ILLYSANTICHRISTINA - Unplaced
**Illysantachristina has won three of her last four starts but Bernard Llewellyn's mare still doesn't look badly handicapped. Mr Harmoosh has a penalty for his Plumpton win but is another for the short-list.

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15:50

BACK - TROOPER CLARENCE - £150 @ 4.6 ( place market ) -Unplaced
LAY - RIPPLING RING - £350 @ 4.6 -Unplaced = Won £350
EW - GRAND LAHOU - £150 @ 6.4 ( place market ) -Unplaced
**A fantastic race for this time of year , with nearly all having squeaks , this should be a great race , i think trooper clarence has a bit too much weight personally but is my speed ratings choice and i think @ 24 grand lahou is far too big , both will be backed by me EW .
***£50 Profit on race.
****Both selections ran fairly decent races but just did not stay and got well run out towards the end , Rippling Ring fell at the first which was great.
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16:25

BACK - WILLIAM HOGARTH - Unplaced
LAY - TWAE KON DO - ( NBB ) - Unplaced
EW - MIDNIGHT FUN - Unplaced
**Fun race , twae kon do looks unlikely to get this trip , but most pre race analysis is pointless before dec...

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17:00

BACK - MONTANA GOLD -Unplaced
LAY - CALL AT MIDNIGHT - £250 @ BFSP -Unplaced =Won £250
EW - ORION STAR -Unplaced
**............I Think at 7.4 Orion star is massive and with 3 places being paid 2.2 to place is superb , he loves the track , gets the trip well and loves all ground , jockey is well known to the horse , outstanding chance and great value...its an EW must!!

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17:35

BACK - COCK O THE ROCK - 2nd @ 2.5
LAY - VIVIANI - ( NBB ) - 1st @ 4.0
EW - MISS KALIFA -Unplaced
**...At this stage of the afternoon i will be now sipping my first Rekordalig of the day ;-)))

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Total profit and loss for today = £2815.63 PROFIT
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Right guys and Gals , hope youve all had an equally profitable day , as you know the weekends are now members only , so i wish you all the very best and look forward to seeing you all back on monday ;-))..

*nb: dont forget to lay the arse off  " so you think " in the Arc!!

Thursday, 29 September 2011

What a lovely day....

It is today , the sun is shining...and all is well in the world ( well my world anyway ) , no real dramas or news to chew on today , well the news everywhere seems to have remained the same over the last 6 months , some trouble in libya , the world is skint and china is everywhere....thats pretty much it....
On the racing front , for a thursday its pretty fucking dismal tbh , i will flash a couple of todays bets from warwick here....

WARWICK

16:10 - LAY - NEVER SATISFIED - £250 @ BFSP - UNPLACED = WON £250

16:40 - LAY - BRICKFIELDER - £250 @ BFSP - - UNPLACED = WON £250

And thats it for the blog today , tbh pretty uninspiring across the board , its time for me to unearth all my pages and pages of data on the aw and i will have to start the unpleasant task of sifting thru all the nh data and stats , although i will mainly be concentrating on the trading side of things during the winter months , just got a nice looking weekend to look forward to , although that said for my readers all day sat and sun will be restricted to the pro site as its the start of the new year on sat ( arc weekend ) , what i will say now well in advance is that if  SO YOU THINK  runs in the arc @ its current antepost price of 5.8  this is the LAY of the year , an absolute corker , this has as much chance of winning as me if i was wearing a straight jacket and comedy slippers and i will happily empty my whole account and ask everyone i know to lend me more , this will be the easiest money i can make since time began!!!!!.
So i will do two full race cards ( ascot and fontwell ) for you guys tmrw and hopefully you can make enough to have a great weekend !.

Wednesday, 28 September 2011

Some calmness today ...

Yesterday was quite a mental day , today i think i will take you in a different direction and we'll take a look a look at 2yr old only races ( maidens and nurseries )  , you have to garner a different mindset when tackling maidens and 2 yr old races in general as most are big babies and most improve , you have to look at so many components , age ( old / young ) , breeding , ground type ( coupled with breeding ) , trainer form , jockey , track , distance and any current form.....so a lot to think about....so lets see whats on offer today...

SALISBURY

13:30
BACK - CIRCUS MONDAO - 3rd @ 9.62 ( hit 1.6 in running )
LAY - JOURNALISTIC - £250 @ 3.45 ( keep bet ) @ BFSP - 2nd @ 4.81( hit 1.05 in running ) = Won £250
BETA BACK - ROCK BAND - Unplaced
**Very tricky , with this being very open , i simply have to lay Journalistic as i have it against at least 5 viable alternatives and @ 4.2 i have it just about right ( although i would feel happier having 3.45 ) i have left my bet in as a keep bet and not a BTL as i am not convinced it will show enough to contribute to a price collapse in running , im not even sure the bet will get matched tbh and a big part of me is saying just lay at 4.2!!.
for the backers , rock band is selected on the basis that hannon has a lot of big priced second strings winning or getting placed and whilst this line proves profitable it will nearly always come out on top in the ratings registrar , circus mondao is an expensive relative of " one cool cat " ( champion 2 yr old ) as well as others and even with the rather dodgy ajtebi onboard should be good enough to figure here , that said it would not surprise me if burnham , fine resolve or estrela were involved in the finish.

1stOxford Charley (USA)12/1Full Result  
2ndJournalistic (USA)7/2
3rdCircus Mondao (USA)8/1



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14:00

BACK - DEDICATION - Unplaced
LAY - GOLDEN JUBILEE - £250 @ BFSP - Unplaced @ 5.92 = Won £250
BETA BACK - CUBANITA - 2nd @ 19.49
**A more straight forward maiden to grapple as it is considerably weaker in depth , the three hannon runners are all over looked as they appear to be very average , cubanita is worth a double check as beckett is not averse to coming up with the odd decent 2 yr old , dont like the breeding of the zarooni runner , bonfire is interesting and could run a decent race and the meehan runner , well his always come on for the 2nd run , i would only consider one of his first time out if it was heavily supported.

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14:30

BACK - FROG HOLLOW - £300 WIN ( NAP ) - 1st @ 2.18 = WON £354
LAY - WASEEM FARIS - £300 @ 7.4 ( LOTD )  - Unplaced = Won £300
BETA BACK - LORD OF THE SHADOWS - 2nd @ 2.88
**This is effectively a 2 horse race as none of the others have a hope in hell!! , lord of the shadows looks a bit exposed now and is probably ( for now ) as good as he will be , Frog Hollow however looks like a horse on the up and could prove to be very useful , nise run ( 3rd ) in a listed event first time out , then scooted up in a CD maiden after having to check , switch , swap run on and accelerate , all the attributes a decent sort needs , has a good attitude and im very sweet on this today.

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15:35

BACK - GUSTO - Unplaced
LAY - IHSAS - £250 @ 2.9 - Unplaced = Won £250
BETA BACK - ARTISTIC JEWEL - 1st @ 3.05
**Only the 4 runners left in this and all four have a squeak , however ihsas has only run on the poly , arnold lane is not gteed to like the ground.
So we are left With Gusto the obv form choice , dropping slightly in grade and improving artistic jewel , this should be a great race to trade.

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NEWCASTLE

14:10

BACK - GABRIAL THE GREAT - Unplaced
LAY - CHOISAN - £250 @ BFSP - 2nd @ 7/2 = Won £250
BETA BACK - DEIA SUNRISE - 1st @ 5.0
**I cannot see how the thoroughly exposed Choisan will ever be good enough against some decent sorts , it is was it is ...and thats not much , with a few arab entries and a couple of interesting newcomers this is going to won by a fairly forward decent sort , gabrial the great comes here full of hype and hope , an expensive " dr " purchase , when these are favoured they will go well....

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14:40 

BACK - TALK OF THE NORTH - 3rd @ 9/4
LAY - PETER ANDERS - £250 @ BFSP - unplaced = Won £250
BETA BACK - SHOLAAN - 2nd @ 11/4
**Straight forward maiden here , nothing really stand out so go with the form choices , strange race , if one of the favs doesnt win this then i think it will be a roughie...

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15:10

BACK - VAN DE ART - 1st @ 3.25
LAY - KHALEEJIYA - £250 @ BFSP - 2nd = Won £250
BETA BACK - PERSHIDA - Unplaced
**The quality is starting to slacken off now lol , obv only so many to go around!! , again Van de art is the obv form choice and really shouldn't be overlooked , Khaleejiya has a good 4 lengths to make up with the selection on their Yarmouth form and there is no reason for this to be turned around today.

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NOTTINGHAM

14:20

BACK - RHAGORI - 2nd @ 4/5
LAY - TAFFE - £250 @ BFSP - 1st @ 7.78 = Lost £1,700-00
BETA BACK - GLEN ELLYN - Unplaced ( but good trade matched )
**Rhagori has easily the best form on offer with its run behind firdaws , taffe looks only moderate and De Sousa is here to ride a couple on orders so Glen Ellyn could be interesting....

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15:55

BACK - BAILEYS OVER ICE - Unplaced
LAY - FARLEAZE - ( NBB ) - Unplaced
BETA BACK - KEY GOLD - Unplaced
**Not a lot to say regarding this other than ..move along...

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Right thats it , all done ( the 17:00 is a piece of shit ) , this is my take it events today , although i can see me doing some hard core trading s the 2yr old races are great for trading...what ever ya do today , stay lucky , be happy and healthy ;-))...
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Total P n L for the day = £454-00 Profit ( shame about Taffe , but shit happens!! ) , still a profit is a profit..

Tuesday, 27 September 2011

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