Derivatives....Max Lay - has been beaten at Long Odds On last 3 times scoots clear trades at 1.0whatever and then finds Nil and gets done by some random long shot ( last three to beat it were 25/1 , 8/1 and 12/1 ) currently trading now at 2.04 which is low im tempted to lay now but i am going for an in running Lay of 1.32 , why not BTL ? , i have a feeling the layers may have cottoned onto this horse and if it doesnt look likely to win they will just shove it out and you will end up dumping your dough , although tbf the most likely outcome will be that it again travels brilliantly for 4f , kicks on...and finds Nothing.
OR - MAX BET - Looking thru this field , where else is the winner going to come from? , the unraced Andrew Tinkler owned Mon Amie Jolie? , an unraced 4yr from Hannon is quite rare However the owner does have a bit of influence.
Ring of Baileys could be Interesting coming from Kyllachy and related to a few winners , you have the MJ trained Hurriya , could easily improve enough to win or will come stone last....its a guessing game with his , and a middle order filled with 4 or 5 that have run and generally been tugged but should improve , will any of these run to a solid 65+ which will be good enough to take this?...
Conclusion : Looking back thru all its form and every race its quite clear that this horse finds nil at the business end of his races , and i will take him on in the hope that 1 or 2 will be running on at the end ..Lay ( but at the 1.3 in running )
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