Wednesday, 8 February 2012

Its Cold .....Still !!

Fuck me , starting to feel like the fecking Armageddon , its like a Nuclear Winter outside , we have all the downsides of one yet none of the pluses , i mean we get the Freezing temps , we have the misery and the drudgery , everything is covered in snow all this but still the Muslims still survive....lifes just so unfair! , if your a Muslim and you are now offended by what you read  then i suggest you read the Koran as all forms of Gambling are outlawed , so stop reading and go give yourself 50 lashes.
Again we have no racing apart from a miserable looking Kempers Card , again we will struggle , lets have a quick look at the mammoth card of shizzle and drizzle....

Race 1  - Place Dutch - Silver Linnet & White Shift **Probs DotD**
Silver Linnet is now racing 18lbs lower than its last win and must have every chance if fit , White Shift has Fanning in the plate and being a C and D winner has shown enough consistency to suggest this will be in the mix.

Result :
15Silver Linnet (IRE)9-3 v1A KirbyJ Butler515/8 f
opened 9/4 touched 7/4
291Good Timin'9-0J P SpencerD H Brown417/2
opened 14/1
321Bobbyow9-2M Coumbe (5)T T Clement413/2
opened 11/2


Race 2 - Is Shit
Its Dubai Dolly in the Place Market ( EW 20/80 ) is the most tentative of tentative selections....

Result :
16Sylas Ings9-2 vI MonganP Phelan415/2
held up mid-division, headway over 1f out, soon led, hung left inside final furlong, held on well towards finish opened 9/1
221Trecase9-2 tL MorrisA W Carroll58/1
reared start, behind, headway over 2f out, chased winner inside final furlong, held towards finish opened 9/1
37½Laser Blazer9-2 p1A KirbyJ Gask49/4 f
dwelt, held up in touch, headway over 2f out, soon led, headed final furlong, not much room inside final furlong, kept on opened 11/4
412It's Dubai Dolly9-2 bS J DrowneA J Lidderdale69/1
towards rear and pushed along, headway on outer over 1f out, kept on opened 8/1


Race 3 - Win Dutch - Lady Caprice & Majestic Rose
Lady Caprice is worth sticking with whilst in such rude health and Majestic Rose has won over CD and if fit and ready should be there but its a guess as to how much has been done currently.

Result :
13Gin Twist9-4 bR KingscoteTom Dascombe34/1
tracked leaders, headway over 1f out, led well inside final furlong, just held on opened 6/1
24hdRooknrasbryripple8-8Phoebe Cruse (7)R J Smith320/1
soon tracked leaders and keen, led narrowly inside final furlong, soon headed, kept on, just held opened 16/1
351Lady Caprice9-5 pC CatlinJane Chapple-Hyam313/8 f
led, ridden and headed inside final furlong, no extra opened 11/8 touched 2/1


Race 4 - Win Dutch - Satwa Laird & Russian Ice
This looks a straight fight as Aprils Fool looks regressive and the others are awful.

Result :


 Satwa Laird 11/10F 68-10 David Simcock73**
Jamie Spencer

½ Russian Ice 11/449-3 bDean Ivory72**


Race 5 - Win Dutch - Discoverer & Fairway to Heaven
Possibly the best race of the day and quite a tricky call , i think the fav @ 2.44 ( Pale Orchid ) is too short  , its form over 7f is dire and has it all to do to beat Adranian and two very potentially progressive types ( named ) at the current prices of 5.5 the Dutch offers more value than a direct Lay on the Fav.

Result -


 Discoverer (IRE) 3/1 39-1 John Gosden78**
Nicky Mackay

shd Pale Orchid (IRE) 7/4F39-2 David Evans79**
Luke Morris

8 Adranian (IRE) 10/139-3 vDavid C Griffiths80**


Race 6 - L.O.T.D - Cotes du Rhone
This has been beaten by both Spartilla & Astroscarlet ( a win dutch on these is also a solid bet ) and has no chance of reversing the form  ( imo ) , For you George today i would say , lay this for your entire bank , Job done...

Result -

17Spartilla9-4James P SullivanJ G Given37/4 f
 tracked leaders, led over 2f out, kept on well opened 2/1
25Ctappers9-7Charles Bishop (5)M R Channon316/1
 held up towards rear, took keen hold, pushed along 3f out, headway over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, kept on and went 2nd close home touched 20/1
32hdLeading Star8-3Ryan Powell (3)M Madgwick325/1
 led, headed over 9f out, tracked leader, every chance over 2f out, no extra and lost 2nd place close home
49Astroscarlet8-8N MackayM H Tompkins34/1
 held up in touch, ran wide from 3f out, ridden over 2f out, one pace opened 11/4


Race 7 - 3 Horse Dutch - Rightcar , Les Verguettes & Dingaan
Possibly the trappiest race of the day and not one to go overboard on , however if you must play then i feel this is the safest option.

Result :
Kempton 5.30Full Result
 1st1 Zip Lock (IRE)16-1
 2nd10 Rightcar4-1
 3rd7 Belinsky (IRE)7-1


Race 8 - LAY - Lastkingofscotland
Only placed 1/7 starts at this venue , a stat that screams lay to me...and thats it to round the day off...

Result :
13Sole Danser (IRE)9-6R KingscoteJ M Bradley413/2
 dwelt, in rear, headway 2f out, led entering final furlong, kept on opened 6/1 touched 7/1
25Katmai River (IRE)8-11 vS J DrowneM D I Usher54/1 jf
 in touch, ridden over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, went 2nd close home opened 9/2
310s.hLastkingofscotland (IRE)9-7 bHayley TurnerC R Dore66/1
 held up mid-division, ridden and headway over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong touched 5/1


Any Exotics today ?...

Yes is the answer , firstly i am having a Trixie on Races 3,4 and 5 and a Treble on 3,4 and 5 and an additional acca with 3,4,5 and 7.

Whatever your doing today , have fun ( if possible ) , stay warm , keep smiling...

Personally a GREAT day , thank you all and c ya tmrw ;-)


Copy Halt