Monday 6 February 2012

Morning Campers....

He di fucking Hi....How is everyone today? , me , well thanks for asking , im cold , bored and am waiting rather impatiently for Spring and the return of the flat season thought i was on for a mega payday yesterday after hitiing another set of trebles only to find out that as one was involved in a dead heat Bentfair have halved the stake for the entire bet ;-(( , made a profit but a pathetic one at that , so moving on , whats on offer today? , has anything survived the Snow? , well apparently both meeting are on and that gives us 2 races to aim today for some max wedge , will it be attained?....lets see...

RACE 1

Ayr 16:45 
Bet Mobile At BetVictor.com Standard Open NH Flat Race
£2600.00 added, 4-6yo, 2m, Class 6

..An interesting race where we have a rock solid fav in Big Water but it is my opinion that this fav needs to be taken on , firstly why ? , well for starters on breeding alone a case can be safely made for the remaining 7 runners , most of which are bred for this game and this gives this a very open feel and some strong stables are in attendance , and Secondly we have a Fleminsfirth Gelding in the Line up and i always follow their Progeny in NHF races , this Bay Gelding is called IM A GANGSTER and this will be the horse that gets my attentions and at 5.5 is already looking good value more so is the 2.0 the place , this needs to be backed in any form of EW/Place that takes your fancy.
Alternatively or as well you can fully justify any lay you may wish to make on the fav ( currently 3.0 ) but at that price i would suggest hold your ammo as i expect this to drop either pre or during the race as the market is top heavy .
Big Water is a winner , a stayer and is proven so ticks all the boxes , i just feel it was a weak race it won and would be surprised if one of the newcomers didnt prove to be upto the task.

RESULT :
Pos.Dist.HorseWtJockeyTrainerAgeSP
1Big Water (IRE)11-0Lucy Alexander (5)G A Swinbank42/1 f
made all, hung right stable bend, ridden and edged left over 1f out, kept on well opened 11/4
210Jimmie Brown (USA)10-7Adam Nicol (10)A Crook433/1
held up in touch, ridden over 2f out, chased winner over 1f out, one pace and no impression opened 25/1
3Scarlet Fire (IRE)11-3D C CostelloN G Richards525/1
held up behind, headway over 2f out, kept on from over 1f out opened 20/1
49Julia Too11-3C I GilliesW Amos59/1
tracked leader, took keen hold, challenged over 4f out, one pace final 2f touched 8/1
51Grand Shift (IRE)10-7D F O'ReganB Ellison412/1
in rear, effort over 2f out, soon outpaced opened 9/1
6½She Will Rock You (IRE)10-10P BuchananMiss Lucinda V Russell57/1
held up towards rear, headway 5f out to chase leaders, weakened 2f out opened 8/1 touched 13/2
7nkI'm A Gangster (IRE)11-3J M MaguireD McCain Jnr53/1
tracked leaders and keen, ridden over 2f out, weakened over 1f out touched 7/2
810Yourlookinathim (IRE)11-3G LeeJ S Goldie64/1
tracked leaders, lost place halfway, weakened 4f out touched 9/2

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RACE 2

Wolverhampton 17:30 
Black Country's Only Racecourse Maiden Stakes
£3500.00 added, 4yo plus, 1m 4f 50y, Class 5

..Without a doubt the days moneyspinner as this is a nailed on , cast iron max bet GOLD rated DUTCH , with RED SHUTTLE and BELLES JOSEPHINE , the former has a bit of form that entitles her to a share of the market however the latter albeit with training issues and now 4 cost $460,000 at Tattersalls as a yearling and if fit really ought to annihilate these and not because its going to continue racing and become a star , they NEED a win from her to increase her paddock value and start to reclaim some of the huge outlay so it will be interesting to watch , however the rest of the field are just plain awful and it would be more than a shock if any of the other 100/1 dogs barked anywhere near these.

RESULT :
Pos.Dr.Dist.HorseWtJockeyTrainerAgeSP
12Belle Josephine8-12J FanningM Johnston42/1
 opened 9/4 touched 15/8
25¾Red Shuttle9-6 tA KirbyNoel Quinlan54/7 f
 touched 8/13

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Thats pretty much it for today , a friends got a couple in France today but had no word as yet so that stays a blank , so just gotta hope the weather starts to pick up and we can start having some decent racing back...
Have a great day one n all , cya tmrw....

*TODAY TREBLE 

3 Selections Chosen

1Ayr 6th Feb - 23:30 Backing: Maes Choice OR Lucia Bay @ SP
2Ayr 6th Feb - 00:00 Backing: Sydney Paget OR Dont Back Down @ SP
3Wolverhampton 6th Feb - 03:30 Backing: Red Shuttle OR Belle Josephine @ SP
BOOM!!, Easy Treble landed, Thank you.!

8 comments:

  1. Hi Clint,

    The girl next door was halfway through her fifth snowman...but gone inside because of frostbite to the lips...lol.

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  2. HaHaHa , N1 Jase.....;-) , rude but lifts the mood ;-))

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  3. Today was proof that I can't be successful betting when distracted, managed to wipe off £100 from the balance.

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  4. how did you manage that? , today has been easy?...details, details?...

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  5. Comes down to very poor discipline today. At the start of the day I do selections for every race, then decide which to bet on. Tend to place bet on races over 7 runners with prices 1.5 and above if I like the horses. Finding that involved less scary stakes than outright laying. Sent email to your hotmail addy with details of today. Got £40 on I'm A Gangster placing so hopefully will get a little back to soften the blow. Probably not confident now to put more than that on.

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  6. Forgot to say that I didn't get time to do pre-race selections today.

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  7. and im a gangster fails terribly , coming in 2nd last with the fav winning by a comfortable 10 lengths...poor race for me..

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  8. i made my days money on the treble and left it at that, i now win 10% on day regardless on what happens in finale..;-)

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