Saturday, 14 February 2015

Quick Haydock Update ....

Morning / Afternoon fuckers...
I didn't really have as much time as i would have liked yesterday as i was pushed for time and tired and then spent the evening Winning @ Poker ;-).....which was nice as i managed to win a pot in which i was only a 3%  chance...My K/J " ALL IN " against the mighty AA...and the flop of 9/5/2 did me no favours at all...however a J on the turn gave me hope and brought me upto 11.6% ;-)....then a magical King exploded onto the river and Dan was crushed.....but in truth the whole night was full of ridic hands coming from behind to win as my very good friend Paul Stephenson will testify as he was on the end of an insane amount of Bad Beats...

So moving back on track and taking a look at Haydock today i will discuss in brief my thoughts on the tracks major races ( lets not forget IRVING who is at Wincanton today and looks nailed on )......

So HAYDOCK....what do you have ??...
In the first race we see the brilliant ( prospect ) that is TOP NOTCH a horse that has looked rather excellent thus far having Won both times seen out this season having beat Maxie 10L fto then 25L on the second outing would suggest he is rapidly improving and the two second placed runners from their respective race were rated 131 and 138 leaving me with an impression that he is already a horse worth around 142p ( Official RPR 144 ) and with much more to offer i would expect him to dispatch todays rivals with the minimum of fuss even if he didnt already have at least 20lb in hand ( more like 30+ )....This will WIN...but at shit odds but there are a few shorties around today worth clumping together for trebles or more... - Result - 1st ( v v easy ) @ 1.15

Next up its the RENDLESHAM hurdle over 3m and the " class " here is by far and away AT FISHERS CROSS but this has to be one of the most annoying horses in training and reminds me very much of the much loved Cab On Target ( always facing upto Morley Street ) so much ability but prone to jumping errors , travelling on and off the bridle in his races and tanking out when least expected this wonderfully frustrating type always always seems to find one or two too good on the day and even being around 20lb clear on official ratings its easy to think that this scenario will play out again....so for me this is a " no bet " race because if the real AFC turns up this is a no contest but if he doesnt then anything else can win and even laying at evens is a poor bet...watch and enjoy and i just hope AFC can return to winning ways...- Result - At Fishers Cross was a WELL BEATEN 3rd and there is no where for to go now..finished imo....Closing Ceremony wins well for Emma Lavelle.

Third race is a Grand National Trial and i dont have a lot to say here but i have been informed by a few shrewdies that GAS LINE BOY is well worth a decent EW punt as you can forget his failure at Chepstow as he has run shit there just about on every visit..currently 10/1 this is well worth a few quid EW. RESULT - 4th....However...i Backed it at 12.9 and traded out at 2.0 ( hit 1.88 ) so made a very nice profit ;-))

Moving on we now have a Pertemps Qualifier over 3m ( Hurdles ) and its interesting that AP rides AQALLM while his long time backer JP has two runners both seemingly with chances...hmm...and i think on that basis alone you can muster an argument that this is another decent looking EW bet at around 6/1 although Buddy Bolero is interesting now back over hurdles at 14/1 and Vincente at 10/1 who was going real well in the lead until falling 4 out lto in a chase race.....so i think the bet here is a three way EW dutch with a combo RFC for giggles in a tough looking race that could prove fruitful at low end stakes. -RESULT - 3rd @ 4.67

Next up we have the Albert Bartlett " Prestige " another 3m Hurdle and this looks a tight affair but im going to stick with FLETCHERS FLYER and if Aqallm wins the earlier race then im going to double my stake....i may have some in the run cover on Ballagh...but will decide as i go...Result - 2nd...

In the Finale TEAFORTHREE has to win to earn his right to race in the Foxhunters at the Cheltfest and after scoring so easily just over a week ago i see no reason why this cannot run another sound race and take this and his place on NH and RPR he has the proverbial ton in hand and should win with ease...the size of my bet here will be determined by the way that my day has panned out...i may be chasing or i may throttle off..we will see...either way its getting some..


Have a great day TTFN...



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