Wednesday, 6 July 2011

Morning...

Its Raining , its cool and im tired.....got up far too early today ( although for me , anything before midday is early ) , 3 Flat meeting to look at today and again we'll focus on the first 3 races at each meeting.
And i will also be looking at NAAS tonight , so we should hopefully have 12 Blog bets today.

Did have a lot to say this morning, just sat back and relaxed and now cba...im calm again , lets move onto todays bets..

BATH

14:10: - BTL - Decider - £150 @ 5.3 with a trade set at £200 @ 3.5 ( £145 / £50 ) - Result = Unplaced = Won £50 ( hit 2.40 in running , led from the off as expected )
Tough race to try and split the first 4 in the betting tbh , there is absolutely nothing to choose between Decider and Bateluer other than there running styles , Bateluer likes to come from off the pace and runs onwe as Decider likes to make all or race keenly , on that basis ( decider ) i have concluded that if it runs its natural race then it shall shorten in running , not a certainty by any means but is the best i can offer for this race.

14:40 : - BACK - Hidden Passion - £100 @ 1.54 ( Keep lay also £100 @ 1.1 ) - Result = 1st = Won £44
The form of everything else bar is very modest / poor , the newcomers dont look anything special and Hidden Passions run in the empress would be good enough to destroy these , so given natural improvement and a hassle free run...This should be Nimps.

15:10 : - BACK -Yasmeena - £75 @ 3.85 / LAY - Sarangoo £150 @ 3.8 - Result = Unplaced / 2nd = Won £75
I really quite fancy this Yasmeena to run a decent race here , could be different gravy , the form of the others is questionable and not that fast , Sarangoo looks a handful and finds little in a finish , i like this bet .

CATTERICK

14:20 : - BACK - The Dancing Lord - £100 @ 1.78 - Result = Unplaced = Lost £100
This is an awful race , The Dancing Lord is no world beater by any means and is probably Favourite by default , the dire durge of competition in this race means that there is no viable opposition , i have backed this but dont be surprised if a 33/1 outsider wins....
**Slipped and unbalanced halfway , not recover.

14:50 : - BACK - Cheylesmore - £100 @ 3.9 / Lay - Ingleby Exceed £150 @ 5.1 - Result = 3rd / 1st  = LOST £715
Stuart Williams knows how to place his horses to good effect and this won very nicely a couple of days ago at Brighton outbattling the hardy Mandhooma , its a long way to travel just for the day out , this will run a big race.

15:20 : - Lay - Cat o Nine Tails - £150 @ 9.4 - Result = 3rd = Won £150
Mark Johnston wooly imo , is a complete dog, will probs be there or thereabouts for around 1m4f then start to weaken off gradually falling on its arse , not even the great SDS will be able to muster a win from this.

LINGFIELD

14:30 : - Lay - Pearl Opera - £75 @ 14.0 - Result = Unplaced = Won £75
This has no chance whatsoever , i will be taking as much as i possibly can out of this.

15:00 : - Lay - Fly By White - £150 @ 3.1 - Result = 3rd = Won £150
Yes its running off a no weight and is very well in , however the horse is a complete dog and is an insta lay.
Horses like this must always be layed, if it wins, so what, move on , keep laying them and you will always come out in front in the long run.

15:30 : - BACK - Undulant Way £150 @ 1.72 - Result = 2nd = Lost £150
Should be far to good for these.
*Very Disappointing , bad tactical ride, Should have known better with the inept Dobbs in the saddle.

NAAS

18:30 : - Lay - Haseen - £75 @ 5.1  - Result = Unplaced = Won £75
Think Qatars Pearl will win....Umming and arring over the back bet....??...

19:00 : - Lay - Chieftress - £50 @ bfsp  - Result = Unplaced = Won £50
Lady Wingshot and the speedily bred Aloof look good here.

19:30 : - Lay - Acushladear - £100 @ bfsp  - Result = 2nd = Won £100
Tough Finale , but there are at least 5 others with far superior claims.

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Hopefully everyone will have a great day , will update as usual thru the day , will monitor the prices for Naas and am looking at tmrw's early birds...see ya'll later..;-))

So another good day ruined by one shitty result....;-(..

Overall PnL for the day is a Loss of £196-00 , so would have been awesome if not for that loss...oh well..soon be tmrw....

Tuesday, 5 July 2011

Happy Tuesday Folks...

Just a week to go till me Jollies and i cant wait ....5 weeks of sun/sea and sangria ( beer )...and ofc some Golf ;-).
In the meantime ( and during )i will have to see how much money i can earn to waste....A couple of not bad flat cards today ( 1 x aw ) with some so so racing , although Ponty is usally good for a few trades as the stiff uphill finish kills a lot of....

For the Blog Challenge i am going to look at the first 3 races from both meetings, so potentially 6 bets , still with max cap liability of £1k although tbf i am going to look at lowering this a bit now i have won back those early dutch losses , back on an even keel and an upward curve, thats where we belong.....

WOLVERHAMPTON

14:15 : - Lay - Enigma Code - £50 @ 12.5 - Result = Unplaced = Won £50
Tough race to call this , not many in form , not many with relevant form , all current form is moderate at best and all aw form is ..well slow , there will not be much in this tbh , close finish ensues , i kinda made a valid case for just about every runner...Enigma Code of recent runnings gets the Vote as the Lay as its most recent form is weak enough to push it out , but this is a tight race...
* Was a tight race with my Lay hitting 1.66 in running as it led from the get go right thru till the 1f pole then just folded like a pack of cards....

14:45 : - BACK ( Place market ) - Both , Avonlini ( 2.48 ) and Euroquip Boy ( 2.36 ) for £150 Each.
I simply wont have it that one of these wont place , in my very narrow minded view this is Nimps.
- Result = Avonlini ( 2nd @ 7/1 ) = Won £222.00 and Euroquip Boy = Unplaced = Lost £150 , Total PnL from race = Won £72

15:15 : - Lay - Lemon Drop Kid - £50 @ 1.9 - Result = 1st = Lost £45
Far too short in this race , yes it has recent winning form but that was its first win in 9 attempts with its previous two outings on an artificial surface resulting in a 9th and a 7th at Lingers , its overall form is modest and it has the profile of a dog...so on that basis 1.9 is a Lay....Anyone who backs this at that price wants their head examining!!... ( watch it scoot in by 10 lengths now!! )

PnL From Wolverhampton = PROFIT £77.00

PONTEFRACT

14:30 : - Lay - Aquasulis - £50 @ 6.2 - Result = Unplaced = Won £50
Tough opener , but a lot of these have posted very moderate times and are rated upwards of what they have achieved , IMO this lies between , Nameitwhatyoulike , Lady Victory and Indepub With LADY VICTORY coming out slightly ahead.
I will Probably be dutching LV and Indepub in the place market @ 2.52 and 3.1.
*INDEPUB just got nailed on the line so did very nicely with the Dutch in place market , Lady Victory missed the break and gave away 6 lengths...

15:00 : - Lay - Amazing Blue Sky - £50 @ 4.2 - Result = 3rd = Won £50
Amazing Sky has some solid form but its winning form has been in lesser races and usually with Serena in the plate , nice consistent horse that will get outbattled and outpaced here today.

15:30 : - Lay - Mr Mo Jo - £50 @ 12.5 - Result = 3rd = Won £50
Slow Horse that wont reverse recent form with Lady Royale.

No specials today , No trades and no heads up on market movers , i dont know if anyone is following them, so pointless posting them up..wasting my time me thinks....so i will just keep to this for now and slip the odd rant in...

PnL from Pontefract = PROFIT £150

Total PnL for today = Profit £227.00

Will update thru the day , im here all day if there are any questions...

Monday, 4 July 2011

Early Bird...

Catches the worm.....and today i have nailed a few early prices, most notably in the 20:40 @ Windsor , there is a super hot shot running called BLESSED BIATA, now the value here is certainly not with the outright backing here, its the trade , and i would urge everyone to lay your hands on whatever money you can find and lay this at 1.19 and set a trade off @ 1.25 £1000 makes £50 , the easiest £50 EVER!!..the more you can trade , the more you can make , i have already weighed in with £1k i was considering trying a bit more and setting the buyback it higher , say 1.31....but thats just greedy , 1.25 will get matched im 99.999% sure , so as far as im concerned its easy money , worse case scenario you lose £190...its a No brainer....?!- Hit 1.26 in running - 

Another bet i like to do is the place lay of two in a race which only pays top two and both are odds on in a field where others have a chance..
Todays race in focus for this bet is the 14:30 Brighton , where i have place Layed both Pride and Joy and Tones @ 1.39 and 1.5 for £100 Each.
Your not bothered who wins and who places as long as one of these two fuck up...Long term this is a massive winner...Quite often as well the fav messes up and u get the bigger win ( especially with the NH races ). - These however did come 1st and 2nd...But no real harm done...

For the Blog Challenge today i will be posting just 3 bets.....

1.Brighton 15:00 - LAY - My Learned Friend - £200 @ 6.4 - Result = Unplaced = Won £200

2.Brighton 15:30 - BACK - STARBOUND - £200 @ 1.52 - Result = 1st = Won £104

3.Brighton 16:00 - LAY - Wom - £200 @ 4.2 ( Keep Bet ) - Result = Unplaced = Won £200 ( Hit 1.12 in running )

Gonna be taking it easy this aft and concentrate on the eve card at Windsor , thats where the money lies for me...;-))

Wont bother with the Placepot challenge as no one entered lol , but hey ho.....Got a good week of racing coming up so will keep the barrel full , Murray Lost , Haye Lost and Brown Panther was always going to lose...so not a great weekend for UK Sports...

Right off now for a brew , anyone got anything to say just drop us a line ;-)

**Additional - Roscommon 19-00 - BACK EW - COMPELLING - Currently 6.0 / 2.2
Has an outstanding chance to go in again tonight and is an absolute corking trade option if you want to make some gteed profits , this WILL def 100% trade shorter in running........I will be flabbermentalgasted if it doesnt!!!. - 2nd and Hit 1.77 in running...!!
The thing is i have this horse provo marked up at 3/1 , the SL has it as a 100/30 , the RP has it @ 4/1 and the skybet tissue is 9/2...so trading at 6.0 on Betfair is a MASSIVE prive imvho....5.9 on Betdaq , so lump on and trade yer titties off tonight!!

Firstly Made a very easy £504 today , Secondly Compelling was unlucky not to win and came 2nd , still EW backers and traders should have been well rewarded as it was down to as low as 4.5 before the off and and traded lower in running ( no figures as yet but my 3.0 and 2.5 trade matched ) so good solid profits there...i begged you to do this trade and can only hope u followed....

Sunday, 3 July 2011

Not...

A lot happening today , quiet sunday with some fairly pish racing about.....anyone about today?...

Obv not lol....Everyone down the boozer getting there sunday worship in imo.....and rightly so ;-))..

Racing is thin today , some nice Racing in Chantilly mind , but i tend not to bother too much wi the french stuff unless i already know the form as its hard to get a full set of ratings for their races..

So we have AYR , shitty Market Rasen and a couple of Irish Efforts the best being Bellewstown...
If there is Flat racing that is what i will focus on as im not a great lover of the NH scene....

So lets Look at AYR...

14:15 : Lay  - Latte - £50 @ 6.6 ( Keep Bet ) - Result = Unplaced = Unmatched bet
This is an awful Race , and i feel with some experience under her belt Latte will try and race prominently however , already being fully exposed i expect her to get completely stuffed at the business end , so hopefully she will trade a bit shorter in running , if she gets a Tardy Start she will drift and there will be no movement..

14:45 : Not a race i want to get involved in.

15:15 : Shite Race, with Shite Horses , no bet.

15:45 : Another Tez Race , another in which i dont really have any thoughts..No Bet.

16:15 : Lay - Parc Des Princes - £150 ( LOTD MAX LAY ) @ 7.8 - Result = Unplaced = Won £150

16:45 : Back - MONEL - £50 Win @ 5.4 and £100 Place @ 2.26 - Result = 1st = Won £220 and £126 = Total Win £336-00

17:15 : Really Should be Laying Royal Parade ..but Serena is Riding and that tempers enthusiasm ..so gonna sit this one out.No Bet.

And over at BELLEWSTOWN....

14:20 : Lay - Full Title  £50 @ 3.35 - Result = 3rd = Won £50

14:50 : Lay - Jouster £50 @ 6.2 - Result =2nd = Won £50

15:20 : Lay - Spirit of Xaar £30 @ 6.4 - Result = Unplaced = Won £30

15:55 : Lay - Sky Pilot £150 @ 8.8 - Result = 3rd = Won £150

and thats enough of this shizzle for today...hopefully ive made my money and im now sat in the garden enjoying the sun and preparing my body for Spain..;-))

From a shit day i made £776-00...Nice result considering the dire stuff on show.....

Saturday, 2 July 2011

Good Afternoon

Ladies and Gentlemen...Been another cracking morning out , been a busy ol bee today , so blog is as per running late.....anyone wanna do a placepot challenge with me?? , come on ffs...get one in!!...
Right gonna hammer a couple today , best get busy.....
Just Noticed the SKY bet special today is 8/1 that P Hanaghan rides a four timer....that has to the wankest value bet ever!!!...Fuck off SKY with yer shitty specials...Please!!

Obv today is all about WORKFORCE and can he beat So you Think.......??...i think he is the better horse, im just not convinced the race will be run to suit......
Some other great racing on today..

Firstly lets look at BEVERLEY.....

13:50 : Lay : Clare Island Boy £50 @ 6.6 - Result = Unplaced = Won £50
Hannon newcomer has wide draw and inexperience to overcome.

14:25 : Lay : Kimbali £50 @ 2.6 - Result = 2nd = Won £50
Fahey Newcomer , 11/8 in a maiden with some class in the field , will have to be a 85+ horse to win this first time out, at the price its not a gimme but i would def rather have the field running for me against this Fav.

15:00 : Lay : Red Shadow ( LOTD , MAX LAY ) £175 @ 8.2 - Result = 2nd ( well beaten ) = Won £175
Complete Dog.

Now over to LEICESTER....

14:10 : Lay : Alkawarah £50 @ 11.0 ( keep bet ) - Result = Unplaced = Won £0 ( not Matched )
Woeful inmate for Johnston , probs shud also look at place laying this... ( did place lay this but cant use the figure for the blog ).

14:45 : Lay : June Thirteen £50 @ 11.0 ( Keep  bet ) - Result = Unplaced = Won £50 ( Hit 4.9 in running )
Dog....will probs run good for about 3f then fail..badly...

15:20 : Back : Kens Girl £50 W and £100 P @ 9.0 and 2.94 - Result = 2nd = £144 ( £194 - £50 Win Stake )
A course and distance winner , stays the trip well , in top form with the likeable cosgrave in the saddle , this is a decent bet , me likey.

Now over to SANDOWN.....

14:00 : Lay : Margot Did £50 @ 7.8 - Result = Unplaced = Won £50
Nice horse...in slightly lower grades, at least 2 secs slower than the rest, will struggle to place...
*Gonna look at maybe having a little nibble EW on Burning Thread as this is a seriously quick horse, just doesnt put it all in.

14:35 : Backing : Dunno £50 W and £100 P @ 13.5 and 3.55 - Unplaced = Lost £150
..........: Laying : Soorah ( Place market ) £150 @ 2.8 - 3rd-  = Lost £270

15:10 : Backing  : WORKFORCE  £500 @ 2.74 - 2nd = Won £200**
Having analysed all races regarding the front two ( and only horse in this race ) , i have concluded that workforce is the naturally quicker horse and my judgement is based on all my speed ratings.....
So with the fav having to find a few seconds and lengths and it being very bad ( imo ) value...Workforce is the Obvious bet............
I WILL however also look at backing SYT in running at around 2.5 for £500 , this is not a keep bet as yet , but one that will be traded through the race....however syt may only trade that big if it starts to weaken or looks shot...This will decided during the race....
**Have re-backed £500 @ 2.94 , with a keep lay of £500 @ 2.74 **
**Winnings are due to amazing in running lay of £700 @ 1.4 when it never looked likely to win , SYT never went higher than around 2.2 and always looked like the winner my initial over view to this race was right...this was never going to be workforce's race.** Will be including this aftertiming result as i did state that i would be trading in running during the race, albeit initially the trade was around the run of SYT , but that IR Lay was too good to miss....i simply couldnt lose....!!
Thats it for now...Running out of time....


Have a great day....Enjoy the weather and the racing...TTFN...


Total PnL from today = PROFIT of £469-00


Friday, 1 July 2011

Feeling...

Very lazy today....all i wanna do is sit in the ...

Getting served by...

Watching the...

But instead i have to..
Sit in my office trading...;-(...
Spain beckons imo......Starting to feel it...95 degrees at my pad just now.....Thinking 6 weeks should sort me out ;-)


** Just Booked Flights for Spain...5 weeks of sun/golf/beer..going from 13th July - Aug 16th........Happy Days ;-)


Afternoon..

Just back from tennis and i feel bolloxed, my serving arm is aching , my long running issue with my fingers has flared up and i just feel plain wrecked....been a lovely morning outside today tho , very warm , lost obv again 5-7 , 1-6....second set collapse..was 1-0 and 40/15 up in 2nd game of  2nd set , then just fell to pieces....soon as you hit 40....its very hard to maintain your fitness level...
On the horse front, today looks a good day.....some decent flat action going on day and night.
Not sure how im going to play today...gonna chill in the bath for a bit and consume my ideas and thoughts....

LAYBETS:
Sandown :
14:20 : Fantasy Explorer £50 @ 10.5 and a keep LAY of £50 @ 6.6 - Result = Unplaced ( hit 6.0 in running ) = Won £100
Doncaster :
14:00 : Numeral £150 @ 3.45 - Result = Unplaced = Won £150
14:30 : Ours £75 @ 9.6  - Result = Unplaced = Won £75

BACK BETS:
Doncaster :
14:00 : Easy Over £150 @ 2.26 - Result = 1st = Won £189.00

EXOTICS:
14:20 Sandown - Result = Ritual 1st = Won £33-32

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Lets see how these work out.....
Also Today we are having  a placepot challenge , no more than 48 bets , ..can you beat me??..
Placepot Challenge is for Sandown...
Race 1 : 2 @ 3 - Out first leg lol....Beat that ;-D 
Race 2 : 3 @ 6 - 6 - 2nd
Race 3 : 5 @ 7 - 7 - 3rd
Race 4 : 6 @ 7 - Both Unplaced
Race 5 : 5 @ 9 - 9 3rd
Race 6 : 7        - 1st @ 4/1

32 BETS @ £2 = £64 = Lost lol , not the greatest of placers , but at least me banker won..hoorah!
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Anyone that wants to post your selections, post them in the the comment box and i will copy/paste into here...

Total Profits from a very Lazy day = £547-32

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