Wednesday, 6 July 2011

Morning...

Its Raining , its cool and im tired.....got up far too early today ( although for me , anything before midday is early ) , 3 Flat meeting to look at today and again we'll focus on the first 3 races at each meeting.
And i will also be looking at NAAS tonight , so we should hopefully have 12 Blog bets today.

Did have a lot to say this morning, just sat back and relaxed and now cba...im calm again , lets move onto todays bets..

BATH

14:10: - BTL - Decider - £150 @ 5.3 with a trade set at £200 @ 3.5 ( £145 / £50 ) - Result = Unplaced = Won £50 ( hit 2.40 in running , led from the off as expected )
Tough race to try and split the first 4 in the betting tbh , there is absolutely nothing to choose between Decider and Bateluer other than there running styles , Bateluer likes to come from off the pace and runs onwe as Decider likes to make all or race keenly , on that basis ( decider ) i have concluded that if it runs its natural race then it shall shorten in running , not a certainty by any means but is the best i can offer for this race.

14:40 : - BACK - Hidden Passion - £100 @ 1.54 ( Keep lay also £100 @ 1.1 ) - Result = 1st = Won £44
The form of everything else bar is very modest / poor , the newcomers dont look anything special and Hidden Passions run in the empress would be good enough to destroy these , so given natural improvement and a hassle free run...This should be Nimps.

15:10 : - BACK -Yasmeena - £75 @ 3.85 / LAY - Sarangoo £150 @ 3.8 - Result = Unplaced / 2nd = Won £75
I really quite fancy this Yasmeena to run a decent race here , could be different gravy , the form of the others is questionable and not that fast , Sarangoo looks a handful and finds little in a finish , i like this bet .

CATTERICK

14:20 : - BACK - The Dancing Lord - £100 @ 1.78 - Result = Unplaced = Lost £100
This is an awful race , The Dancing Lord is no world beater by any means and is probably Favourite by default , the dire durge of competition in this race means that there is no viable opposition , i have backed this but dont be surprised if a 33/1 outsider wins....
**Slipped and unbalanced halfway , not recover.

14:50 : - BACK - Cheylesmore - £100 @ 3.9 / Lay - Ingleby Exceed £150 @ 5.1 - Result = 3rd / 1st  = LOST £715
Stuart Williams knows how to place his horses to good effect and this won very nicely a couple of days ago at Brighton outbattling the hardy Mandhooma , its a long way to travel just for the day out , this will run a big race.

15:20 : - Lay - Cat o Nine Tails - £150 @ 9.4 - Result = 3rd = Won £150
Mark Johnston wooly imo , is a complete dog, will probs be there or thereabouts for around 1m4f then start to weaken off gradually falling on its arse , not even the great SDS will be able to muster a win from this.

LINGFIELD

14:30 : - Lay - Pearl Opera - £75 @ 14.0 - Result = Unplaced = Won £75
This has no chance whatsoever , i will be taking as much as i possibly can out of this.

15:00 : - Lay - Fly By White - £150 @ 3.1 - Result = 3rd = Won £150
Yes its running off a no weight and is very well in , however the horse is a complete dog and is an insta lay.
Horses like this must always be layed, if it wins, so what, move on , keep laying them and you will always come out in front in the long run.

15:30 : - BACK - Undulant Way £150 @ 1.72 - Result = 2nd = Lost £150
Should be far to good for these.
*Very Disappointing , bad tactical ride, Should have known better with the inept Dobbs in the saddle.

NAAS

18:30 : - Lay - Haseen - £75 @ 5.1  - Result = Unplaced = Won £75
Think Qatars Pearl will win....Umming and arring over the back bet....??...

19:00 : - Lay - Chieftress - £50 @ bfsp  - Result = Unplaced = Won £50
Lady Wingshot and the speedily bred Aloof look good here.

19:30 : - Lay - Acushladear - £100 @ bfsp  - Result = 2nd = Won £100
Tough Finale , but there are at least 5 others with far superior claims.

_____________________________________________________________________________>>

Hopefully everyone will have a great day , will update as usual thru the day , will monitor the prices for Naas and am looking at tmrw's early birds...see ya'll later..;-))

So another good day ruined by one shitty result....;-(..

Overall PnL for the day is a Loss of £196-00 , so would have been awesome if not for that loss...oh well..soon be tmrw....

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