Tuesday, 10 May 2011

Morning / Afternoon World...

Another lovely day upon us and just in time for the great Dante meeting in York ( my local track ) , some great racing with some great horses coming up this week......
In particular im looking forward to two cecil runners this week..Amazon Trail and Midday...Should be good and at the weekend i think world Domination runs....so good times...

There are TWO Hanaghan runners i really fancy taking on today...both MAX lays...
1.Clipthorne - Unplaced @ 4.1
2.Aquarian Spirit - 3rd @ 15/8f

Over at Warwick ...i feel the following should be taken on...
1.Barkston Ash  - 1st @ 4/1
2.Island Legend (IRE) - Unplaced @ 11/8f
3.Sagramor - 2nd  @ 4/1f
 and 1 to BACK at Warwick...
1.Anoint  - 1st @ 4/6f


and at Yarmouth the following should be layed....
1.Samminder (IRE) - 1st @ Evens
2.Aleqa - Unplaced @ 15/2
3.Piano - 1st @ 5/4f

I feel there are quite a few runners today who have done very well on the AW but have failed on turf but still carry small prices so well worth taking on...always the value call....

My LOTD  if pushed , is .....Clipthorne - Unplaced @ 4.1


Have a great day all..good luck.

This was abs Nailed on as a bet today , although does represent an overall risk / reward ratio of 1/10 on overall stake..this was buying money....

People , most people will say that this type of bet is -EV but i disagree , the trade options on these races always allow for a green trade out and in this case the 1st and 2nd both went long odds on in running, some races ( although we all know there is no such thing as a dead cert ) will only revolve around a certain nos of runners...and this could be classed as a dutched bet....although £236 has been staked to win a max of £35 i feel the risk reward ratio is actually over generous , think about it , you have over half the field 4 from 7 , running for you , the top 4 in the betting and only ones with any real claims...with the rank outsider being 200/1 ( could chuck £2 for cover )...so you have 5/7 runners for you....me likey....i will look for more and post these....

Nailed Nos 2 ( Posting this pre Race )...so better be right ;-P

And so i was proved correct  ( as usual imo ;-)) ,
With Ektibass winning and scoring £17+ profit from an outlay of £230 ( about 8% return ),
Below i have got some screens from the the in-running perspective and the price fluctuations..




I will continue this where the race is set up right..;-D


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