Ateaser race for the new season , the 14:10 @ LINGFIELD.
This really only involves 4 horses ,
1.Tadabeer
Has the past form to figure and if this can reproduce its turf form will be in with a leading chance.
2.House of Mirrors
A £390,000 purchase that has been beset with training problems , IF this runs as its breeding projects then it would be a great surprise if this wasnt at least an 85+ rated horse , the stable is in great form and it would ne no surprise to see this running on at the end , will it win? , breeding suggests yes, however that cannot be the only reason for thinking a horse will run well! , in the context of this race i think it would be a surprise if this didnt get placed and it wouldnt be a surprise if it won.
3.Bert The Alert -
Although its first run was promising i think its punching slightly above its weight here , for me this would be a shock if this won , place possibilities although from the 4 selected imo its def the weakest.
4.Archelao -
For me this is the most Interesting , Decent form , gets the trip well , is fit and in form and with the delightful Hayley in the plate i think this is a corking bet , but the price is a bit skinny ( 3.8 ) so i would feel more comfortable with a place only bet ( 1.80 ) .
Suggestion : Archelao is a SILVER win bet or a GOLD place only bet , Bert the Alert is a SILVER LAY , my bet here is a PLACE ONLY LUMP on Archelao.
Conclusion :
This really only involves 4 horses ,
1.Tadabeer
Has the past form to figure and if this can reproduce its turf form will be in with a leading chance.
2.House of Mirrors
A £390,000 purchase that has been beset with training problems , IF this runs as its breeding projects then it would be a great surprise if this wasnt at least an 85+ rated horse , the stable is in great form and it would ne no surprise to see this running on at the end , will it win? , breeding suggests yes, however that cannot be the only reason for thinking a horse will run well! , in the context of this race i think it would be a surprise if this didnt get placed and it wouldnt be a surprise if it won.
3.Bert The Alert -
Although its first run was promising i think its punching slightly above its weight here , for me this would be a shock if this won , place possibilities although from the 4 selected imo its def the weakest.
4.Archelao -
For me this is the most Interesting , Decent form , gets the trip well , is fit and in form and with the delightful Hayley in the plate i think this is a corking bet , but the price is a bit skinny ( 3.8 ) so i would feel more comfortable with a place only bet ( 1.80 ) .
Suggestion : Archelao is a SILVER win bet or a GOLD place only bet , Bert the Alert is a SILVER LAY , my bet here is a PLACE ONLY LUMP on Archelao.
Conclusion :
| ||||
| 1st | 6 Tadabeer | 11-10 F | ||
| 2nd | 1 Archelao (IRE) | 3-1 | ||
| 3rd | 2 Bert The Alert | 4-1 That will do , thank you very much!. | ||
Tmrw @ Lingfield : 13:05 : SAFARI SUNSEEKER - GOLD BET - end the year in style , barring some nobbling he really ought to be winning this , against a very moderate bunch he has shown enough to suggest hes superior to these.
ReplyDeleteWell done mate, top work!
ReplyDeleteGreat work today, I love the new format for your bets! Good luck in 2012 (and with Safari Sunseeker tomorrow :-)
ReplyDeleteRegards
Mark
Boooom!! , Safari Sunseeker wins cosily @ 2.02...Nimps!!, Hope u all got on ;-)
ReplyDelete