Friday, 13 December 2013

Morning Fuckers ; >>

Howdy Pardners ,
                         Not had much to write about of late as the racing has been a bit substandard and certainly not the type that gets my juices flowing and i have also been away a bit sorting out some bizzo stuff and doing the rounds.
However today i do find myself with a few extra minutes to spare and i have decided to give you my thoughts on today's nice looking card at Cheltenham and hopefully i can steer you towards some winners or winning opportunities.

CHELTENHAM

RACE 1 : OSCAR WHISKEY - 1st @ 1.84
We start off with a small field Novice chase but this is still a very competitive race with all having some sort of chance bar Captain Ocana who looks a bit out of his depth.
On closer inspection this looks a match between WONDERFUL CHARM & OSCAR WHISKEY both of whom are very smart although Oscar Whiskey was about 20lb better over hurdles which hasnt been transferred over fences.
Oscar Whiskey however wasnt the most fluent first time out over the bigger obstacles but was still only beaten a head by the very good Taquein De Seuil but Wonderful Charm has winning form from its last 3 runs that is as good and i feel its almost impossible to split these as its a game of " ifs "..If..OW jumps better then its better flat speed will win the day and that is where this race will be won...whoever jumps best wins.
Close House has a future but this is a tough start for a chaser and Red Riverman is slightly outclassed but will stay n stay and should the favs make errors or fall then this could run into a place or better.

RESULT :

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1stOscar Whisky (IRE)N J Henderson811-0B J Geraghty4/5f
Made all, often went slightly right, mistake 4 out, pecked 3 out, ridden when pressed before last, kept on flat and always just holding rival opened 10/11 £500-£500 £1000-£1100 £500-£550 £2500-£3000 £1667-£2000(x3) £500-£600(x2) £240-£340
2nd½Wonderful Charm (FR)P F Nicholls511-8 tD A Jacob5/4
Chased leader, closed 2 out, challenged last, ridden flat, kept on but always just held by winner £600-£400 £550-£400(x2)
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RACE 2 : FRIENDLY SOCIETY - 
Now we have a big 17 runner Hcap Chase and its a tough un with the field mostly comprised of disappointing types or inconsistent at best so its a case of wheat and chaff.
KING MASSINI  must be of interest as this has been in fairly decent form , has form over the trip and on the ground and comes from the perennially in form yard of Evan Williams with the very decent Conditional Adam Wedge doing the steering.
RICHMOND is possibly the class in the race but must learn to cut out the blunders as a couple of errors took away his chance lto but with a clear round will or should be in the top 3 at the least having one of the most proficient riders in this sphere in Henry Challoner ( Last Years winning combo ) .
Finally i think we should have FRIENDLY SOCIETY on our side as this could be in on a very light mark based on its Irish form and a nice 3rd fto for the new yard bodes well for future runs.
**3 way Dutch the Bet = BooM ;-)

RESULT :

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1st15 King Massini (IRE)Evan Williams711-1Adam Wedge (3)5/1
Always handy, not fluent 9th, jumped right 3 out, led before next, went right last, headed flat, led again post opened 6/1 £2000-£400
2ndnse10 Hit The Headlines (IRE)G Elliott711-6K M Donoghue (3)9/2f
Held up in mid-division, headway from 13th, hampered 4 out, went 2nd last, led flat, idled, headed post opened 11/2
3rd13Max BygravesK C Bailey1011-9Conor Shoemark16/1
Mid-division, headway 5th, ridden and stayed on same pace from 2 out, went 3rd close home, no impression on front pair opened 14/1
4th¾13 Al AlfaP J Hobbs611-4James Best (3)7/1
Prominent, mistake 7th, led before 2 out, soon headed, one pace and no impression flat, lost 3rd close home opened 10/1
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RACE 3 : LYVIUS - 2nd @ 9.09 ( done @ 1.27 ir when it was tanking over the last, good trade n easy profit )
Now we have a steady little 9 runner Hcap hurdle and its a mixed field.
THE SKYFARMER is the place to start on the back of an unbeaten start to his career in NHF and a couple of minor hurdle events , a horse with a future no doubt and its share of ability but just how much ? , well tbh yesterday i was looking at ways at taking this on but its still 5.8 and does represent a cracking EW bet however this will be its toughest test to date and on this occasion  i will give it a miss and look at something in double figures as i think this is a lot more open than official figures would have you believe.
The two i will be looking at for some EW fun will be LYVIUS and DAN BREEN both of whom have the back form to readily get involved although both will have to show an improved level of form to actually win.

RESULT :

Full Result

PosDistHorseTrainerAgeWeightJockeySP
1stThe SkyfarmerP J Hobbs511-0R Johnson4/1
£2250-£500 £1600-£400
2nd4LyviusN J Henderson511-4B J Geraghty7/1
3rd27Canadian Diamond (IRE)B G Powell611-4 pJames Banks (5)8/1
opened 17/2
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.....and i know find myself short on time after having hours to go its now just minutes...so this will be it for today...Ciao & GL....Back tmrw with a full Sat Cheltenham card.

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