Wednesday, 29 April 2015

Sagaro Stakes and Nibbles

Morning you degenerates ,
                                           Well Punchestown produced....like it does in Ireland a sense of disbelief and utter bullshit lol now i know Horses are not machines but to run 40lb below your last run is something else lol..... and the joke results continued although thankfully the Douvan show rolled into town and flattened its rivals wit a pulverising display of class.
Hidden Cyclone managed a 3rd but was comfortably beaten so a so so day for the blog but with hope that today brings more and i will need to stick a few extra hours in as the mercury is nudging its way upto 90° and i can feel a beach day or two coming on ;-).

Today we have a raft of racing or for the more educated a " plethora " and for the fuckwits we have lots n lots.Ascot for me today is the main card but we have some ( more dodgy ) from Punchestown and some more AW fare...so plenty to get ones teeth firmly clasped onto.

So today i am going to take a look thru the ASCOT card and also will add a mention or two from over in Ireland ( reluctantly ).

The first race is a Conditions race for 2 yr olds with 3 first time out winners an unraced Hannon colt and two with something to prove.
The one i like as a betting proposition is HANDYTALK @ 18.5 ( currently ) this won fto in a good time with good sectionals and beat a decent type in Rajs to Riches and has at the minimum an equal chance to that of Gifted Master who is the 2.30 Fav so for me this is a no brainer as a bet and this can be Dutched with BURATINO ( around 4.5 ) as this also won and ran well fto and provides good cover as i think the Hannon Runner will have to be group class to win here fto in what looks like a baptism of fire.

Next up its a Fillies Conditions race for 3 yr olds only and this is over 1m and the field is made up entirely of seasonal debutantes so there is going to be much guessing required.
I can only offer a speculative vote in this and my selection would be MONTELACINO who arrives here with Juvenile form as smart as anything else on offer and with assumed natural development could be good enough to take this down but in truth any of this could win...so really its just one to watch unless your there at he track n fancy a nibble but even then i would advise just dutching the two or three biggest priced runners.

The SAGARO Stakes and im gutted to see the ground has not sufficiently softened to allow my all time fav stayer Tac De Boistron ( and last years winner ) to take his place ( High Jinx also withdrawn ) however we do have a more or less ready made replacement in the shape of MIZZOU who is well up to running over this 2m trip and this son of Galileo could easily be upto Gold Cup class and at 4.5 im making this my EW NAP of the day....it has to be done.

The fourth race of the day is the Pavillion Stakes over 6f for 3 yr olds and is due to be contested b y 12 runners in a very open race this is very tricky for punters.
LIMATO could be the next " big thing " in the sprinting sphere and should be followed even at 2.54 im interested although not any real value as i made him 6/4 myself however he was untested last season winning all 4 races including listed events and nothing getting close.

Im running out of time today so i will just say that in the Next race we have MONDALISTE who is my NAP of the day as this looked a sure fire nto winner after getting getting heavily hampered.

Over in Ireland DJAKADAM should be winning the Gold Cup as his form is imo way above anything else on offer and a repeat of his lto run wins this easily....but as with Don Poli nothing is impossible in the emerald isle.

Good Luck n see you tmrw....maybe ;)

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