Yes here we are already...how time flies when your having fun!!..Day 4 already and it has been a wow week this year with some astonishing finishes, great rides and wonderful performances can we finish on a high?...Day 3 highlights.....well i can sum this up in one word ESTIMATE my banker for the day did prove it could stay and won well at 5.50 and i had a very productive day with both PPL and the STAT LAYS with 100% on both ;).
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Onto Day 4 and will it be the Ghost of Frankel showing up??...what am i saying?..well JOYEUSE ( Frankel's Sister ) is racing in the opening race and looks to have an outstanding chance and it could be one of those " fate " coincidence bets / races that lands as they so often do and i for one will be cheering it on.
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ROYAL ASCOT ~ DAY 4 ~
RACE 1
Albany Stakes
WIN - SANDIVA - 2nd @ 2.89
EW - KIYOSHI - 1st @ 8.91
LONG - JOYEUSE - 3rd @ 8.06
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SUMMARY : A brilliantly tough race to start the day off with with the ALBANY STAKES over 6f for 2yr olds and we have a line up of fully 20 runners making this another track splitting challenge and is another that will require a degree of both luck and skill although for the analysts im thinking more luck than skill is needed.
I will start off with the chances of my main selection JOYEUSE a sister to the mighty Frankel and holding some decent form in her own right having destroyed the opposition in its maiden winning by a heavily eased down 3L and never off the bridle although admittedly those she beat have done little to enhance the form so perhaps my heart is ruling my head because the form is telling me that its got about 9LB min to find and realistically will have to run at least 12lb better to win this but this is not out of the question..fingers crossed.
SANDIVA for me is the form choice and the one they all have to beat after a very good run at Naas when winning the Coolmore Fillies Listed event and its the form level that every other horse has to aspire to as nothing less will do.
KIYOSHI has to get a mention as it won its last race in a very quick time beating a couple of solid yardsticks and with improvement assured simply has to be involved in the finish and as for the remainder...well honestly you could throw a blanket over the field and take your best guess as i have about 12 of them all within a nose of each other...good luck.#
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NOTES :
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RACE 2
King Edward VII Stakes
WIN - BATTLE OF MARENGO - ( NAP ) - 2nd @ 2.16
EW - THA'IR -
LONG - MUTASHEDED - 3rd @ 6.91
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SUMMARY :A fantastic and intriguing renewal of this great race and its a field full of " nearly " horses , those that aspired to win derbies and go onto greatness, those that promised so much only to fail when push come to shove, those that had more hype than substance....well now its their time to shine, time to get some much alluded black type and improve their status among the elite , this is their day.
Now this is a puzzle +2 because a decent case can be made for almost in fairness but i will start with what i think is the most likely winner based on form and the current jolly and that is BATTLE OF MARENGO who ran such a gallant race in defeat in the Derby going down just a few Lengths in 4th after hitting two flat spots but just couldnt muster enough off the bridle to stay in front and lost two spots at the death so with that and a small rest i feel this is the one they have to beat but he is beatable.
The first of the challengers has to be THA'IR although he currently looks tripless and its anyones guess as to what the outcome will be with this and the seasonal reappearance of MUTASHADED also holds more questions than answers as this could be literally anything and the remainder look exposed or held on form.
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NOTES :
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RACE 3
Coronation Stakes
WIN - VIZTORIA -
EW - JUST THE JUDGE - 3rd @ 7.46
LONG - SKY LANTERN - 1st @ 5.96
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SUMMARY :A cracking race for 3 yr olds that has been previously won by some very decent animals in the past and is usually won by one that has that x-factor and the three that interest the most are SKY LANTERN , JUST THE JUDGE and VIZTORIA with the latter probably having the most scope and with the two former 1000 Guinea enemies having shitty draws this could prove to be Viztorias day , however you rule the other two off at your peril and i think the remainder will have to put in lung busting PB's to get anywhere near these and i also feel the current 12.5 should be snapped up ( on Viztoria ) as i simply cant see this staying in double figures come the off..that is surely bookie suicide...
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NOTES :
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RACE 4
Wolferton Handicap
WIN - DICK DOUGHTYWYLIE -
EW - ALBASHARAH -
LONG - GENZY ( My Favourite EW bet today ) - ALL UNPLACED ( but i dont care now....;) )
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SUMMARY : This is a tough race to get anything from , 1m 2f Hcap for 4+ Yr olds because most of the field either have some form, have had some form or could improve enough to get involved this is not the type of Hcap Prescott can land a coup in.
ALBASHARAH is the one with the most scope in this field, unbeaten and won well lto although both ground and opposition is a negative and a opening Hcap mark of 104 looks high enough.
DICK DOUGHTYWYLIE had run the mighy Al Khazeem to with 6L lto and that on the balance of things looks outstanding and a run to a similar level has to put him in the mix , highly tried on all runs this drop into Hcap company can see him get his head in front.
GENZY will go off at big double figure odds but has been placed in his last three runs and all in Listed class and is no back number and looks a very good EW bet , ( only beaten 4L by Noble Mission and 2L by Miblish ).
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NOTES :
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RACE 5
Queen's Vase In Memory Of Sir Henry Cecil
WIN - DISCLAIMER -
EW - BAIHAS -
LONG - RAY WARD -
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SUMMARY :Fantastically named race in honor of the great man and the roof will be lifted not only off the Grandstand but probably every house within a 5 mile radius of the Berkshire track if the Brilliant DISCLAIMER wins for Lady Cecil ( her late husband was Sir Henry whom this race is named after ) , and this has an absolutely fantastic chance after winning all 3 of its races this season , this son of Dansili is a relentless galloper and can hopefully grind these into submission , i dont want to discuss any others as i really want Lady Cecil to win this for Sir Henry. x.
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NOTES :Boooooooooo ;(
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RACE 6
Buckingham Palace Stakes
WIN - EMILIO LARGO -
EW - ENROL / HIGHLAND COLORI -
LONG - SMARTY SOCKS -
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SUMMARY :And we round of the day with a race so typical of this years Festival a ludicrously tough 29 runner Hcap Dash n Splash over 7f..
Santefisio, Prince Of Johanne and Es Que Love all contested the Royal Hunt Cup on Wednesday and are bidding for quick compensation but others make more appeal. Enrol is sure to be popular as she'd won three in a row prior to going down by a nose to Nocturn over 6f at Newmarket. She was staying on well that day and the extra furlong won't be a problem. Highland Colori has a decent record in these big handicaps and was impressive when getting back to winning ways at Newmarket while Bertiewhittle was only beaten half-a-length over course and distance in the Victoria Cup last month and had a number of these in arrears. One of those was LIGHTNING CLOUD but Kevin Ryan's grey probably saw too much daylight and can be forgiven that effort. He definitely has the ability to win one of these off his current mark and today could be his day drawn right up against the stands' rail, though there are plenty of dangers. Ascot fourth Emilio Largo can reverse that running with Democretes as he looks as though he's been laid out for this while none of David O'Meara's quintet can be left out of calculations. Mont Ras, partnered by Joseph O'Brien, may be the pick of them. Jamesie and Johnny Murtagh's Campanology also go on the short-list.
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NOTES :Lightning Cloud Wins @ 32.0
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The Alison Mack Interlude.....Natural Beauty at its finest...
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Another delicious day to round off what has been a fantastic week i hope you have all enjoyed it , Good luck this Friday , ttfn x.
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