Monday, 14 October 2013

Something for a Wet Monday >>>>

Morning Race Fans ,

                             As we mostly all awake to a monsoon type downpour we start to feel the depression of winter come in , Dark , cold , wet and miserable mornings are accompanied by cool days and evenings that are drawing in faster and colder and to a certain degree we all suffer some form of SAD ( seasonal affected disorder ) either consciously or subconsciously and we look to find some brightness from each passing day , well for me its trying to find the extra winning opportunities that will allow me to go and do some therapeutic shopping and today im going to be focusing on Salisbury.
This is pretty much the final week " proper "  of the Flat Season as we know it , the signal for me is the season ending Champions weekend at HQ and the Season NH meeting at Cheltenham , Champions day will be quite interesting this year as the weather has turned and the ground has become soft and could become softer and im expecting a good number of withdrawals before Sat and this could mean we dont get to see a few of the stars we was hoping for.

Pre Season in the  ^^ Tabbed  " 2 yr olds to follow " i highlighted a few bloodlines to focus on with profits and winners expected thru the season and i dont think i have disappointed as we nailed a good number of winners inc Listed and Group Class level.
 From the list and Sires i selected we have got 4 of the top 4 new season sires world wide...

2013 First-Crop Year-to-Date Earnings General Sire List
Last Updated: Sunday, October 13, 2013
Earnings: $651,346 
 AE/R: $10,338
  Mastercraftsman (IRE) (2006) by Danehill Dancer (IRE)
  FYR: 2011 (1 Crop),   Stands: IRE ( 17,500 )
  Sire's AWD for 1st Crop YTD: 6.73,  AWD of Progeny, Lifetime: 6.73

Rnrs: 63
Wnrs: 23
BTW:  3
BTH:  7
GSW:  2
GSH:  4
G1SW:  0
Earnings: $293,152 
 AE/R: $3,758
  Bushranger (IRE) (2006) by Danetime (IRE)
  FYR: 2011 (1 Crop),   Stands: IRE ( 7,500 )
  Sire's AWD for 1st Crop YTD: 5.66,  AWD of Progeny, Lifetime: 5.66

Rnrs: 78
Wnrs: 16
BTW:  0BTH:  3
GSW:  0GSH:  0G1SW:  0
Earnings: $556,206 
 AE/R: $12,935
  Dandy Man (IRE) (2003) by Mozart (IRE)
  FYR: 2011 (1 Crop),   Stands: IRE ( 3,500 )
  Sire's AWD for 1st Crop YTD: 5.48,  AWD of Progeny, Lifetime: 5.48

Rnrs: 43
Wnrs: 16
BTW:  1
BTH:  3
GSW:  0GSH:  2
G1SW:  0
Earnings: $678,702 
 AE/R: $13,574
  Intense Focus (2006) by Giant's Causeway
  FYR: 2011 (1 Crop),   Stands: IR ( 5,500 )
  Sire's AWD for 1st Crop YTD: 6.19,  AWD of Progeny, Lifetime: 6.19

Rnrs: 50
Wnrs: 14
BTW:  1
BTH:  3
GSW:  1
GSH:  3
G1SW:  1
.. This has to be considered a massive success and i hope some of you followed.

and here is the full uk list with the most prominent winners listed....
Mastercraftsman18-48 38%22158242118£153,001£279,142
Top ten progeny by Best RPR for the selected year
Kingston HillRainbow Quest109
Amazing MariaTale Of The Cat106
The Grey GatsbyEntrepreneur106
NezarOasis Dream97
Master CarpenterIn The Wings91
BluebellGreen Desert88
CraftsmanForest Wildcat88
Master The WorldZaha86
Dandy Man15-41 37%18154202118£229,762£346,720
Top ten progeny by Best RPR for the selected year
ExtortionistOasis Dream102
PeniaphobiaGreat Commotion100
Fine ´n DandyEfisio93
AbbakovaDesert King92
The Hooded ClawGulch91
Beau NashRoyal Academy87
CanyariLear Fan86
Lady UltraPeintre Celebre75
ChatezTiger Hill74
Bushranger14-68 21%17229222624£75,177£169,476
Top ten progeny by Best RPR for the selected year
Ben HallKing´s Best98
LangavatLake Coniston95
Riverboat SpringsSelkirk95
Pleasant BayMagical Wonder94
BushcraftRoyal Applause91
Majestic AlexanderDancing Brave89
Fair RangerKingmambo85
MakhfarDixie Union83
Black CaesarSharp Victor82
PillowSilver Hawk82
Intense Focus12-46 26%19175241823£318,332£405,428
Top ten progeny by Best RPR for the selected year
Home SchoolGalileo104
Heart FocusDaggers Drawn99
Focus On VeniceGalileo84
FocusofourthoughtsDesert Style82
Intense DebateSpectrum82
Fiscal FocusRoyal Academy79
...With the top honours shared among three Astaire being top rated on 116 and both Kingston Hill and Parbold on 109.
All Bar Red Rocks are actually in the top 20 new season sires and i think this is great and i am very happy with this..hope you guys are.

Hopefully come next March i can have as much success again!!...

Right onto Salisbury we go and lets see what we have....


RACE 1 : TULLIA - 1st @ 3.45
TULLIA will be hard to beat in this on the back of two solid placed efforts over 7f and at 3.0 is a fair price for a punt.
Horse in Focus :
3. JANET'S LEGACY** ( Bahamian Bounty ) -
Both of these are poorly drawn however and will have to be well ridden and the jockey's will have to be tactically aware to get a good position in this so lumping on maybe cause nerve issues but both Hughes and Callan are decent enough and should get a good spin from them and the dutch is probably the best bet.
That spanner in the works however are the 4 newcomers all of whom come from stables that although not prolific with 2 yr olds can easily ready a fto winner and shouldnt be hastily overlooked.
So with all this i think the 2nd Fav MARMARUS @ 3.5 - 4.0 is a good choice for a LAYbet , this had a ok fto run but this was on Good/Firm ground and its a total unknown how he will act on this much softer going and with so much potential and proven form against it at the quoted prices its a good laybet and will probably be my bet of choice.
RACE 2 : TEA IN TRANSVAAL - 1st @ 2.06
I cant really see past TEA IN TRANSVAAL in this , it has the form to win and comes from a stable in perpetual form ( Hannon ) and with Hughes riding this will be given every chance.
7f appears to be the ideal trip as he has just run out of gas in the dying strides on its latest runs over 1m but has traveled well in all his races upto 6f and quickened then flat lined so a win looks on the cards.

No Horses in Focus this race.
RACE 3 : DUTCH ROMANCE - 1st @ 2.46
Another maiden and again i think it will pay to focus on the top two in the market as both have a smidge of experience and come from winning stables with leading riders and now look primed for a winning run.
DUTCH ROMANCE and JOOHAINA are two to look at and the prices do currently allow for a fixed return dutch.
And thats about it for today as i find myself with a raft of other things to get on with..this will be it now till Friday when i come back to highlight Champions Day and Cheltenham........and btw...regarding the NH scene keep an eye on Balder Success , did fuck all last season , sent chasing this year in the hope of some revitalization after spending the summer with Adrian Maguire and on its first run over the weekend it hosed up and broke the track record and could be ready to finally show us what he really is capable of. 


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