Friday, 9 January 2015

Sat err day ...;-)

Hi De Hi Campers ,
                              Well its been a rather uneventful week thus far but thankfully the weekend has finally arrived and with it the hope of some semi interesting racing as i have by n large been bored of my tits all week even having to get some writing for the books done ( which bores me a bit in truth but i do get some satisfaction from it in a rather sadistic way ) .
Thankfully we do have a decent looking KEMPTON card to keep us readily amused and with a few decent looking money making races including a Juvenile Hurdle in the 1st to get me smiling so lets crack on ;-)) ,


RACE 1 : 


SUMMARY : A nice little Juvenile Hurdle to get us underway and its not the strongest race by any stretch of the imagination with the top rated only 116 which is very moderate and that runner looks very exposed at that.
Alan King has a very promising sort in the shape of DAYDREAMER who was rated 80 on the Flat ( AW ) and has won over 1m5f very easily which would lend strength to the support of him being a stayer in the making and is also stoutly bred being by Duke of Marmalade but make no mistake he certainly wont get things his own way as Libeccio arrives with arguably the best form with a decent lto 2nd and this will stay for sure and at pace and will make this a proper test although it needs to brush up on its jumping but arrives none the less with solid claims.
Aside from Libeccio Daydreamer will also have to deal with another 2 quite decent ex flat recruits in the shape of Rising Breeze ,  What a Scorcher and RACE TO GLORY who was also a good 2nd over 1m5f to the 85 rated Late Shipment and that form gives him a solid chance if its transferable , this could be a decent little race and considering recent winners have been L'Unique , Saddlers Risk and Goodwood Mirage one would suspect there may be something equally nice in here.

RESULT : ALL 3 of mine unplaced...not a great start by any means the only horse with any real form and rated just 116 wins for BG at nice odds.

RACE 2 : 

WIN - LOST LEGEND - 1st @ 15.80
LONG - N/A -

SUMMARY : Next up we have a small field Handicap Chase and its a pocket emptier for punters...but i think this will be a very strong Stat Lay race so fingers crossed for a good return and a healthy book.
LOST LEGEND gets a speculative vote for a couple of reasons ( why its speculative ) Firstly the Yard ( JJ O Neil ) has only just emerged from a real bad spell in the doldrums but his runners are seemingly hitting some form right now and Secondly this has no real form on soft ground so two massive pinches of luck guessing is required in order to hold this as a punt with any belief however its overall profile is good, solid form when attained , lightly raced and with plenty of obvious improvement this could be well in here as it thrashed a 125 rated rival before losing out twice in close contests but on both occasions they were to runners who were rated 140+ which makes his mark look rock solid and i think he could be good for another 6lb at least which makes him a good bet here but i will need a fair price to get involved and that would be the price plus danger money...i will check the markets in the morning with vigor to see how i stand , Cocktails at Dawn will be the strongest challenger as this is also another improving sort that will win races for sure but suffers from poor jumps n errors but with a clear round could easy win...but is another that needs you to have your fingers crossed.


RACE 3 : 

LONG - N/A -

SUMMARY : Yet another small fucking field....jeez...this time its a shit pot novice hurdle but this should go to KINGSCOURT NATIVE who would have pissed in lto but for falling at the last and surely compensation awaits here...won 3m ptp's before and stays at pace , likes the ground and connections are in good order..all boxes ticked and that makes it a good bet in a shit race.


RACE 4 : 

WIN - BALDER SUCCESS - 1st @ 2.04
LONG - N/A -

SUMMARY : Next up its a Fucking wank watching 3 runner race...for fucks sake this is worth over £30k yet they cant get better than this...something seriously needs to be done!!..fucking arseholes!!...
3 runners and Fox Appeal only Wins if the other two fall , Hunt Ball imo wont win until dropped between 145-150 although with only one runner to beat could sneak a win but BALDER SUCCESS will prove a very tough nut to crack and he wont be able to run his legs off as BS is a top notch stalker on his day however he has been around 14lb shy of his best this season so he will have to step right up as any weakness will be exploited , Balder Sucess now needs this trip and Hunt Ball will welcome the 1f shorter trip ( although stays further )...intriguing race with the LAY on Fox Appeal the only real bet.


RACE 5 : 

EW - SAFFRON WELLS - 3rd @ 11.70
LONG - N/A -

SUMMARY : The LANZAROTE and finally a proper punting race and a decent field with 13 runners on fairly decent ground that should suit most if not all.
Tea for Two is a nice sort but fuck me i will be surprised if good enough for an event like this so for it to be rag fav is a shock in truth and this looks a good Lay , the Pipe pair will both run big races and could pop up , Saffron Wells is in with a big shout and will be right up their placing and/or challenging a consistent a sort as they come with his favoured ground for the first time in ages well since his placed run in a Grade 3 in fact and at a crazy looking 14/1 this has to be one of the best EW bets of the day however rather reluctantly i may have to bypass this or dutch at the minimum as ive been told the yard will not hear of defeat for WARRANTOR tmrw and at 7/1 is worth a very close inspection indeed won as easy as you like lto and will stay this very lightly raced son of Turtle Island ( 1/4/4/1/1 ) could well be worth another 12lb making his current rating look peanuts this is his race, his target and i think this will be given every chance and with the excellent Aiden Coleman doing the steering i cant see this being unplaced in truth , there are some nice types in this field but none with the form , scope or boxed ticked form as this one.


RACE 6 : 

WIN - OPEN HEARTED - 3rd @ 4.83
EW - MASTERS HILL - 2nd @ 5.80

SUMMARY : Handicap Chase to kinda round the day off and its a close looking thing with several holding good claims but for me i think OPEN HEARTED will run a very big indeed , needed the seasonal bow to warm the joints up and the trip was too short today however he is back over 3m  ( takes him 2m4f of racing on and off the bridle just to warm up ) he will have every chance of slowly coming into the race as Chartereaux and Via Sundown set the pace up and BG can come from nicely off an even pace to hunt them down.
Masters Hill and Howards Legacy will make this a good race but this should be another winner for Hendo.



In the true Finale we see FIRST MOHICAN a horse that has patently underwhelmed and under delivered in his initial promise , this one time very smart staying flat runner could place these upon his back and carry them all over the line IF in the right frame of mind as he seems a very quirky sort...its a game of ifs n butts...he has the potential to be a star but has failed at every juncture to deliver any type of performance that would suggest he is enjoying the a very weak race on paper i will give him one last chance to justify the pre nh career hyperbole .....

Result : 3rd @ 5.60....its not looking good for this disappointing sort.

Have a great day all...ttfn x


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