Lingfield.
1. MAGICAL EFFECT - Unplaced at 1/4F as the " lay Odds on in a maiden " stat comes in full force haha .
Not forced to be miles better than these as a couple could also improve significantly however on the form shown this son of New Approach has a winning mentality.
2. THE HUNGERFORD EFFECT - 1st @ 8.79 ( Yay a Winner ;-) )
The Dream Fast is the logical choice on form however i have gone for an EW improver in this as the form on offer isn't a million miles apart.
3. LUEJANIE - 2nd @ 7.42
This has to be the EW selection , CD winner that won this same race last year from an 8lb lower weight and also ran well for a 3rd over cd lto and the 8/1 looks a nice price.
4. WROOD - Unplaced ( 5th ) - Ran ok .
Again another impossible to ignore having had 5 races so far and all at Lingfield and most over this kind of distance with form figures that read 2/2/1/3/1 with the last three all being close , won by a NK , lost by a NK and then a DH....if this goes down it wont be without a fight and the 3.30 looks a fair price.
5. LINTON - Unplaced ( v poor ride from a shit rider )
Not a confident choice but the 12/1 is too big to ignore imo and this arrives from the yard that won this last year and will have a good idea of what it will need to win having had stable runners race against others in this field.
6. CHICAGO BERE - Unplaced ( But WON on the PPL Bet )
Tight race and its currently a Max PPL race which is nice the Godolphin runner is a worry but this Hannon horse is in form and having only run just two weeks ago is pretty much nailed on to run his race.
7. STARLIGHT SYMPHONY - 4th @ 17.1
EW for me and why ??...i always back Crowley in the last...its just one of my many betting quirks.
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Wetherby.
1. PADDY MULLIGAN - Unplaced and absolute garbage lol...what a dog.
Its a Bloomfields horse so who really knows ? , the fact its 30/1 should be enough to put me off however it didnt run that bad lto in 3rd and the drop from 3m2f to 2m4f will def help....at the price its worth a few quid ew.
2. HORIZONTAL SPEED - 1st @ 1.88
Should be too classy for these having shown form thats a good deal better than anything else on offer , Red Devil Boys is only interesting but even that needs to find in excess of 12lb to threaten.
3. WORDYS BOY - 3rd @ 11.50
This has an Honest profile and will give its truest running in a race full of dodge pots you cant ask for anymore , solid chance on form and arrives on the back of a decent lto effort and the 8/1 looks very fair another nice EW to nothing.
4. FIRTH OF THE CLYDE - 1st @ 8.52
A bit speculative as one would expect in such a tight race however the main protagonists have failed to cope with their recent respective weight rises and FOTC has run well with this rating so should prove the most honest and reliable of runners and at around 6/1 is good value imo and with BF paying top three looks another decent EW.
5. SMOOTH STEPPER - 1st @ 6.60
Sue Smith likes a winner or two here at Wetherby and this is probably her best chance of getting gold today although it will have to improve both in terms of ability and its jumping prowess but looking at the way and where its been running i think this is the prize, sedge' a couple of times then Weth' back to to Sedge' for a confidence booster and now back to Wetherby.
6. MY IDEA - Unplaced
A Course and Distance winner at times who is in fine fettle from a canny yard will give a good account and looks a positive ew selection at around 8/1.
7. BURMA - 4th @ 6.06
Token gesture in a wide open event although the Kayf Tara's can be discounted as i feel the trip will be way too short.
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WARWICK.
1. G'DAI SYDNEY - Unplaced...did absolutely nothing lol...
Anything that Bowen sends to the gaff tracks needs a look currently as he is very much in form and this looks like one of his better sorts coming here in fine form and arguably having the best form and the 13/2 looks far too big imo as i had this down at around 7/2-4/1 very strong EW bet.
2. UPEPITO - 1st @ 4.90
Largely unexposed french type that is slowly coming to hand and will have every chance he will win its just a case when not if.
3. SEGO SUCCESS - 1st @ 7.0
Its a Tom Cannon ride that is also a very nice horse oh and its trained by Alan King...Tick...Tick...Tick...yeah that'll do.
4. AWAYWITHTHEGREYS - Unplaced ( Jumped poorly )
Its another Bowen runner but this won well lto at its favoured track Chepstow but is quite well in , loves the ground , stays all day and is a rather large 18/1 so i simply cant get away from it although i do also like Big Hands Harry so this might be another Dutch race for me.
5. SHANTOU BOB - Unplaced ( v poor show )
On form alone this is a certainty!! , well as we all know nothing is certain in racing but with a good clear round i simply cannot see this getting beat today and is probably the days best bet NAP.
6. SHOTGUN PADDY - 3rd @ 8.20 ( hit 1.70 )
A speculative punt on last years winner and regular long distance stayer although it arrives out of sorts and not offering much this is really a race to watch rather than back in and Ballyoliver is a better ew betting proposition.
7. COPPER KAY - 1st @ 3.13
A nicely bred Irish type that has winners across all lines and with Dickie doing the steering this could be easily good enough to score and at around 5/1 its a decent price.
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And thats it for today...have fun and play nice ;-).
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