Thursday, 3 April 2014

Greetings from Spain >>>

Morning All , as you may have noticed the blogging has been rather quiet for a couple of weeks and this is because i am currently in Spain on more business than pleasure although its always a pleasure doing any work when its a nice 80 degrees ;-).
So here i am burning thru the country's WI-FI in order to fully examine the start of a great looking Aintree festival and it looks outstanding and deserves to be supported no less than the Cheltenham festival , all the big guns are out and some well hyped names on show.
This will be the final NH post for the season as the flat will be taking over in earnest from the weekend.

So what have we got to look forward to today.....THE NEW ONE for starters who is accompanied by Silvi Conti , Dynaste and a good few others...so without further ado lets crack on......

RACE 1 > 

Injured Jockeys Fund 50th Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1)2m 1f

  • (4yo, 2m 1f, Class 1, 15 runners)
  • Winner £56,270 2nd £21,200 3rd £10,610 4th £5,300 5th £2,660 6th£1,330 7th £660 8th £340
  • Going: Good, Good to Soft in places
  • Surface: Turf
.A wide open affair to start and not because of any one reason , the field is tight , big in size  with most having shown similar levels of ability it is hard to really get an angle thru this and it looks a typical 10/1 the field race.
The two leading protagonists do look the most likely winners based on current form and running ability , ACTIVAL was a good winner lto winning the Adonis and looks a sort on the upgrade and the fact it swerved Cheltenham for this only serves to strengthen its case and will be involved in the finish.
CALIPTO is the other and would arguably have won lto at the Festival had it not lost its stirrups after being hampered 2f out and that left Daryl Jacob unable to ride a finish out but still did surprisingly well and with better luck in running will surely be out for some compensation today and it would be no surprise to see this win.
Statswise its a curious race as favourites when heavily fancied and punted do well with a few recent winners coming in at Evens , 4/6 , 11/8 and 2/1 but when we have a more open race like today you generally find it going to a bigger double priced runner but is there anything out there good enough to reverse any recent form or improve enough.....???...
Well the three i like are CLARCAM who imo would have won the Fred Winter had it not tipped up 2f out when moving into the lead and at 20/1 looks a nice bet , Hawk High who actually won the Fred Winter looks a progressive battling sort and is well worth some coin at around 14/1 and finally we have Commissioned from the bully boy stable of Ferguson and this is entitled to run to an improved rating as it is lightly raced and has a lot of scope and i have a sneaky feeling this has been kept cool for a race like this if not exactly this.

WIN - CALIPTO - 3rd @ 5.22
EW - CLARCAM - 2nd @ 21.0
LONG - COMMISSIONED - 4th @ 21.77

____________________________________________________

and has the day has developed into a scorcher i am going to keep the remainder short n sweet...sorry guys......

Betfred Bowl > This is for me a straight fight between DYNASTE and SILVI' CONTI with the rest looking outclassed or passed it and i see no way FL can reverse any recent form lines and the current prices allow for a nice Dutch Win bet.-SILVI CONTI > 1st @ 3.25 & DYNASTE 2nd @ 2.68

In the AINTREE HURDLE....We see the return of THE NEW ONE and at 1.38 is priced correctly as its my true belief that this is a true great in the making plus it thrashed Rock on Ruby earlier in the season by 10L without coming off the bridle and i see no way this smooth traveling , solid jumping star will get beat.....> 1st @ 1.48 ( only just got up to beat Rock on Ruby & Diakali )

In the Pinsent Manifesto Chase ( 1650 ) i think we should stick with Oscar Whiskey in what is arguably the days toughest race with both Western Warhorse and Dodging Bullets providing a stern test.

and thats it for today ....maybe if i get more time tmrw i will do more ...ttfn ya miserable fuckers.

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