Saturday, 12 April 2014

Morning Friends , Romans and Noblemen...

As i approach the back end of my protracted 4 week stay in Spain the flat  season has developed and grown and is approaching the realms of normality and today we get a couple of stars out to flex their respective muscle as Newbury today the Fred Darling and the Greenham and both look very very tough and getting the winner in these will prove very tricky indeed as so much has to be taken on trust as so much can change between 2 and 3 years old...i have seen some very smart and almost bomb proof two year olds do nothing as a 3 year old....so you can only trust your opinion on what is available and previously seen.
 Elsewhere......

Surely...surely.....MY TENT OR YOURS will prove too good at Ayr and take down their Scottish Champion Hurdle , with most inc Montbazon all looking up against it i see no way this loses today and i feel the 2.08 is an absolute steal as i in all honesty rate this at 1/2 ( 1.50 ) and i think this is a proper Value bet , this is too big to ignore......ALL IN >>>

Back over at Newbury...here are my thoughts for today as i start to step up a gear or two.....

In the opening Maiden race we have a hot fav in the shape of MUTAKAYYEF @ 2.08  and this has some form as it come 2nd fto running on at the end after looking green and awkward through the race but at no stage did this look like a star in the making and with the field packed with potential it simply has to be taken on....Max LTB for me.............the two i liked on  breeding Hoy Hoy and Elite Force are both 50/1....

Next up is a tough looking JOHN PORTER stakes race over 1m4f for the elder generation and this looks a very nice renewal ( for the bookmakers )....Personally i shall be sticking with Noble Mission  , this is out of blind (* and stupid ) loyalty as its far from being a certain winner but today is one of those days in which i like to unwind and have some fun .....For my Placepot i will be also including Quiz Mistress......Tough Tough race....

Finally for today ( running out of time ) we have the FRED DARLING a starting point for many a classic aspiration and this on paper looks red hot....JOYEUSE is my HCE tipping comp tip and i will obv be sticking with my Frankel connections here although it will have to not only be in top shape but will have to have improved at least 10lbs to get one over Al Thakira who looks the most likeliest winner on paper but Al Thakira is rated a very very high 9.96 on my Stat Scale  ( for Laying or LTB ) and this makes it a gold rated  , turbo charged..super MAX LTB for me.....and hopefully my HCE tip can show some improvement and sneak in....

So regrettably thats it for today but i will be home soon and the cards and analysis will start to return back to their normal levels...Good Luck today All...


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